Poll

No votes (0%)
13 votes (86.66%)
No votes (0%)
No votes (0%)
3 votes (20%)
1 vote (6.66%)
1 vote (6.66%)
No votes (0%)
1 vote (6.66%)
2 votes (13.33%)

15 members have voted

Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
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March 20th, 2020 at 11:16:54 AM permalink
I have heard a lot of stories about amazing luck before that it takes a lot to impress me. Expect in cases where foul play was an issue, this is perhaps the most amazing video poker hand I've ever seen, assuming a clean game. This image speaks for itself.



The probability of getting a four of a kind in a single hand after holding a pair is 45/combin(47,3) = 3/1081 =~ 1 in 360 =~ 0.28%.

The probability of this happening in 10 out of 10 hands is (3/1081)10 = 1 in 36,901,531,632,979,730,767,360,889.*

By way of comparison, the probability of winning the Powerball is 1 in 292,201,338. This hand would be like buying 3 Powerball tickets and winning on all of them.

I thought maybe this was a special game like Dream Card, but you can see the player bet 5 credits per hand.

I got the hand from this video, which the player sent me an Email about.



Direct: https://www.youtube.com/embed/F7-cnVfRkEc?start=402. Note the hand in question starts at the 6:42 point.

At first I was rather perplexed, but I'm 99.54% sure this comment about the video explains it. VLT stands for Video Lottery Terminal.

Quote: Tony Harris


3 weeks ago (edited)
VLT. Not a standard video poker machine. Same phenomenon at 5:05 holding one pair and getting 10 two pairs.

Strategy doesn't matter on these games. The outcome is predetermined when the initial hand is dealt. Doesn't matter what you hold, you'll get the same results.



The question for the poll is what are your thoughts?

* Thanks to Pari/GP for this many significant digits.
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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March 20th, 2020 at 11:26:01 AM permalink
You are more likely to die in the next minute than that event having occurred randomly.

Not EVEN close.


Gaffed machine, or retouched photo.
sabre
sabre
Joined: Aug 16, 2010
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March 20th, 2020 at 11:31:01 AM permalink
It's a VLT. Earlier in the same video he holds 1 pair and draws 2 pair 10 times. This was discussed in https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/video-poker/34362-impossibly-lucky-draws/#post758321
SkittleCar1
SkittleCar1
Joined: Feb 7, 2014
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March 20th, 2020 at 2:23:02 PM permalink
The lack of being excited has me questioning. I don't show a lot of emotion, but that many hands like that...I'd being at least dropping some cuss words.

EDIT: Now I see it's a VLT.
bobbartop
bobbartop
Joined: Mar 15, 2016
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March 20th, 2020 at 2:46:02 PM permalink
Why a 1250 royal?
'Emergencies' have always been the pretext on which the safeguards of individual liberty have been eroded.
tringlomane
tringlomane
Joined: Aug 25, 2012
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Thanks for this post from:
bobbartop
March 20th, 2020 at 3:58:07 PM permalink
Quote: bobbartop

Why a 1250 royal?



At the 32s mark, you can see the max bet is 200 credits, or 20 per line, so he isn't betting max. The 80 for 1 SF payout is also odd. I don't know if that paytable is available in Vegas machines.
RealizeGaming
RealizeGaming
Joined: Aug 1, 2013
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March 20th, 2020 at 4:13:40 PM permalink
Incredible hand! At first I thought is was just dealt kings, but after looking closer I saw the player was only dealt a pair of kings. I can't even begin to imagine how rare that would be to get the other kings on each line!
RealizeGaming
RealizeGaming
Joined: Aug 1, 2013
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March 20th, 2020 at 4:16:29 PM permalink
This got me thinking a bit. What is the probability of the player getting the other two kings in the exact same position in each hand? For example, the king of hearts appearing in the same spot on the draw of each game.
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
Joined: Jan 26, 2012
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March 20th, 2020 at 4:34:26 PM permalink
If anyone wants to keep an eye on the reflection in the background of the slot machines, see if anyone walks past the entire video. I need more than a video on this one.

Oh wait someone walked by soon enough, looks good, unless....
In the land of the blind, the man with one eye is the care taker. Hold my beer.
sabre
sabre
Joined: Aug 16, 2010
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March 20th, 2020 at 5:20:45 PM permalink
Quote: RealizeGaming

Incredible hand! At first I thought is was just dealt kings, but after looking closer I saw the player was only dealt a pair of kings. I can't even begin to imagine how rare that would be to get the other kings on each line!



It's not an incredible hand. It's a VLT.

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