Sports betting chatter
March 25th, 2023 at 5:57:23 PM
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Quote: DRichQuote: gamerfreakAm I missing something here? Both ML are positive for the same game, you can just hedge and profit?
I am pretty sure you still lose on a draw.
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I ended up using a promotion and hedging completely. Seems like a low risk way to use the promo.
March 25th, 2023 at 8:15:26 PM
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Quote: gamerfreakQuote: DRichQuote: gamerfreakAm I missing something here? Both ML are positive for the same game, you can just hedge and profit?
I am pretty sure you still lose on a draw.
link to original post
I ended up using a promotion and hedging completely. Seems like a low risk way to use the promo.
link to original post
I haven’t gotten a 100% profit boost in a long time. When I was a VIP at Draft Kings they were pretty common. Those were free money…..
I hedged a ton on the under on UConn game tonight. Had to make $50 bet on Bet Rivers so started there under 153.5. In game, as it looked like a rout added under 151.5 twice. Under 147.5 twice. Tried 143.5 but it locked before it accepted my bet.
March 25th, 2023 at 8:22:44 PM
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What's your confidence level if one were to beat a coin flip pick over 1550 picks with a 1% vig only flat betting? +19 units
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
March 25th, 2023 at 8:24:44 PM
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Quote: SOOPOOQuote: gamerfreakQuote: DRichQuote: gamerfreakAm I missing something here? Both ML are positive for the same game, you can just hedge and profit?
I am pretty sure you still lose on a draw.
link to original post
I ended up using a promotion and hedging completely. Seems like a low risk way to use the promo.
link to original post
I haven’t gotten a 100% profit boost in a long time. When I was a VIP at Draft Kings they were pretty common. Those were free money…..
I hedged a ton on the under on UConn game tonight. Had to make $50 bet on Bet Rivers so started there under 153.5. In game, as it looked like a rout added under 151.5 twice. Under 147.5 twice. Tried 143.5 but it locked before it accepted my bet.
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The 100% boost is on Draftkings but its soccer only. They also run weekly casino offers that are ezpz $10-$20
I need to start checking FanDuel and others for similar
March 25th, 2023 at 8:32:55 PM
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Quote: AxelWolfWhat's your confidence level if one were to beat a coin flip pick over 1550 picks with a 1% vig only flat betting? +19 units
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Can I rephrase to see if I understand the question?
I know someone who bet 1 unit on 1550 coin flip type events. If he wins, he gets paid .99 units, if he loses, he loses 1 unit. What are the chances that he will be up 19 units after 1550 coin flips?
Rounded, you’d need to win 788 and lose 762 to achieve the result you want. I’ll let someone better at math see how rare that is but it is likely not even close to achieving any meaningful level of certainty that your guesser is guessing with a true advantage.
March 25th, 2023 at 8:36:45 PM
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Quote: gamerfreakQuote: SOOPOOQuote: gamerfreakQuote: DRichQuote: gamerfreakAm I missing something here? Both ML are positive for the same game, you can just hedge and profit?
I am pretty sure you still lose on a draw.
link to original post
I ended up using a promotion and hedging completely. Seems like a low risk way to use the promo.
link to original post
I haven’t gotten a 100% profit boost in a long time. When I was a VIP at Draft Kings they were pretty common. Those were free money…..
I hedged a ton on the under on UConn game tonight. Had to make $50 bet on Bet Rivers so started there under 153.5. In game, as it looked like a rout added under 151.5 twice. Under 147.5 twice. Tried 143.5 but it locked before it accepted my bet.
link to original post
The 100% boost is on Draftkings but its soccer only. They also run weekly casino offers that are ezpz $10-$20
I need to start checking FanDuel and others for similar
link to original post
I am getting no such soccer offers from DK. It is very interesting the varied offers various players get in various states.
I’m jealous now……
March 25th, 2023 at 8:46:55 PM
permalink
Quote: SOOPOOQuote: gamerfreakQuote: SOOPOOQuote: gamerfreakQuote: DRichQuote: gamerfreakAm I missing something here? Both ML are positive for the same game, you can just hedge and profit?
I am pretty sure you still lose on a draw.
link to original post
I ended up using a promotion and hedging completely. Seems like a low risk way to use the promo.
link to original post
I haven’t gotten a 100% profit boost in a long time. When I was a VIP at Draft Kings they were pretty common. Those were free money…..
I hedged a ton on the under on UConn game tonight. Had to make $50 bet on Bet Rivers so started there under 153.5. In game, as it looked like a rout added under 151.5 twice. Under 147.5 twice. Tried 143.5 but it locked before it accepted my bet.
link to original post
The 100% boost is on Draftkings but its soccer only. They also run weekly casino offers that are ezpz $10-$20
I need to start checking FanDuel and others for similar
link to original post
I am getting no such soccer offers from DK. It is very interesting the varied offers various players get in various states.
I’m jealous now……
link to original post
On Draftkings I was able to bet on Oscar results in NJ but not PA.
In NJ you can’t bet on college basketball games where a NJ team is playing.
Caesars Sportsbook makes you have a completely separate account in different states (at least between PA and NJ), where many other books don’t.
Lots of quirks with state laws.
March 25th, 2023 at 10:56:34 PM
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Quote: gamerfreakQuote: SOOPOOQuote: gamerfreakQuote: SOOPOOQuote: gamerfreakQuote: DRichQuote: gamerfreakAm I missing something here? Both ML are positive for the same game, you can just hedge and profit?
I am pretty sure you still lose on a draw.
link to original post
I ended up using a promotion and hedging completely. Seems like a low risk way to use the promo.
link to original post
I haven’t gotten a 100% profit boost in a long time. When I was a VIP at Draft Kings they were pretty common. Those were free money…..
I hedged a ton on the under on UConn game tonight. Had to make $50 bet on Bet Rivers so started there under 153.5. In game, as it looked like a rout added under 151.5 twice. Under 147.5 twice. Tried 143.5 but it locked before it accepted my bet.
link to original post
The 100% boost is on Draftkings but its soccer only. They also run weekly casino offers that are ezpz $10-$20
I need to start checking FanDuel and others for similar
link to original post
I am getting no such soccer offers from DK. It is very interesting the varied offers various players get in various states.
I’m jealous now……
link to original post
On Draftkings I was able to bet on Oscar results in NJ but not PA.
In NJ you can’t bet on college basketball games where a NJ team is playing.
Caesars Sportsbook makes you have a completely separate account in different states (at least between PA and NJ), where many other books don’t.
Lots of quirks with state laws.
link to original post
Trying to run a business while being hobbled by thirty different sets of rules gets expensive.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
March 26th, 2023 at 2:17:54 AM
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.
reddit guy potd:
Texas - 4 (up to 5) over Miami_________5:05 ET
right now several books show 4 and FanDuel and MGM show 3.5 per vegasinsider.com
.
reddit guy potd:
Texas - 4 (up to 5) over Miami_________5:05 ET
right now several books show 4 and FanDuel and MGM show 3.5 per vegasinsider.com
.
"believe half of what you see and none of what you hear" - Edgar Allan Poe
March 26th, 2023 at 5:39:28 AM
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Quote: lilredrooster.
reddit guy potd:
Texas - 4 (up to 5) over Miami_________5:05 ET
right now several books show 4 and FanDuel and MGM show 3.5 per vegasinsider.com
.
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I will be rooting for Miami as I have a lot of respect for coach larranaga ever since he was at Bowling Green. If coach Beard didn't get fired during the season for Texas I would be rooting for them.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
