2019 WoV Picks game (discussion thread)

Quote: miplet

At least it ended in a scorigami!

Quote: EdCollins

fyi...Normally I post the updated standings just minutes after the Monday Night game. Tonight, however is our annual company Christmas party, so tonight's results will probably be a little late. :)

Quote: djatc

Quote: EdCollins

Thanks.

I have JW17 as 52-31. (48-29 last week and 4-2 this week.)
I have unJon as 47-31. (43-29 last week and 4-2 this week.)
I have Mission as 44-32. (41-30 last week and 3-2 this week.)
I have Kuma as 45-36. (41-35 last week and 4-1 this week.)
I have Michael99000 as 44-37. (40-35 last week and 4-2 this week.)

I have a few other differences as well.

Also note that we've always ignored ties completely, and do not figure them into the percentage.

Quote: unJon

I am moved to add to the list of side prizes. Instead of the “closest to unJon” from last year, I would propose adding a $50 consolation prize to the person whose wins divided by losses most closely matches the Golden Ratio. Confidence picks included just as per the official calculation. This prize can not be won by someone that is already winning an official Mission prize, and in that case the prize will roll to the next closest person, etc.

Quote: SOOPOO

I'm channeling my inner Phil Ivey, and am offering shares in myself. I am in solo first place, running at a 75% clip. I think first place is like $800? And there is some consolation for second and third place? Anyway, I will sell the first 3 lucky bidders 20% of my winnings for $30. Looking to lock up $90 and keep a 40% interest for myself.

Quote: Johnzimbo

Two weeks ago I was 6 games above .500 and thinking I had a shot at the top. So then I went 0-12 the last two weeks, so now I am 6 games below .500. I need to zig when I should zag.

Quote: Johnzimbo

Two weeks ago I was 6 games above .500 and thinking I had a shot at the top. So then I went 0-12 the last two weeks, so now I am 6 games below .500. I need to zig when I should zag.

Quote: EdCollins

After last week it looked like RisingDough had the You Suck Prize all but wrapped up... but Sparty10k said, "Hold my beer" and with his 0-6 record this week, is now making it interesting again.

Mike's gonna win the Most Average Prize with his default picks. LOL. Mike hasn't picked a game since Week 9.

For the first time since Week 8, SOOPOO is not in the #1 spot. He and I both bombed this week (the Redskins didn't help us) allowing miplet to take the lead. Miplet was in 10th place just four weeks ago but has since gone 19-5.

Quote: EdCollins

Week 15 Current Standings

Name	Wins	Losses	%
miplet	53	29	64.63%
SOOPOO	55	33	62.50%
DJATC	51	31	62.20%
EdCollins	54	34	61.36%
scolist	53	34	60.92%
JW17	54	35	60.67%
Joeman	49	32	60.49%
unJon	50	34	59.52%
FourFiveFace	52	36	59.09%
Gordonm888	51	38	57.30%
GenWyzgy	46	35	56.79%
Michael99000	49	38	56.32%
Kuma	49	39	55.68%
Mission146	45	36	55.56%
JohnnyQ	47	39	54.65%
Ayecarumba	48	40	54.55%
PlayYourCardsRight	44	37	54.32%
IndyJeffrey	48	41	53.93%
prozema	43	39	52.44%
BeachBumBabs	41	41	50.00%
Wizard	39	39	50.00%
GWAE	41	47	46.59%
JohnZimbo	41	47	46.59%
Bruce1*	33	39	45.83%
Odiousgambit	36	44	45.00%
Sparty10k	38	50	43.18%
RisingDough	35	47	42.68%
MidwestAP*	25	50	33.33%
Paradigm*	25	53	32.05%
rdw4potus*	21	54	28.00%
Mwalz9*	16	58	21.62%
Onenickelmiracle*	14	61	18.67%
Romes*	11	62	15.07%
Totals	1,357	1,372	49.73%

Quote: beachbumbabs

Nice tight race at the top, you guys!

Don't discount me, Ed, I'm at 50.00% right next to the Wizard. I intend to squat right on top of it.

Looks like Sparty's gonna take the most 0-6 prize, too. We'll have to see how it comes out.

Quote: Ayecarumba

Hmmm... Decision time... Go for the 6-0 and try to pass Mission for ONM trophy, or try to take a piece of the "AVG" prize by getting to 50/50.

As for the other side games, "Pi" was quickly out of my reach, but who's in striking distance for the "Golden Ratio"?

Quote: Mission146

Quote: EdCollins

Week 15 Current Standings

Name	Wins	Losses	%
miplet	53	29	64.63%
SOOPOO	55	33	62.50%
DJATC	51	31	62.20%
EdCollins	54	34	61.36%
scolist	53	34	60.92%
JW17	54	35	60.67%
Joeman	49	32	60.49%
unJon	50	34	59.52%
FourFiveFace	52	36	59.09%
Gordonm888	51	38	57.30%
GenWyzgy	46	35	56.79%
Michael99000	49	38	56.32%
Kuma	49	39	55.68%
Mission146	45	36	55.56%
JohnnyQ	47	39	54.65%
Ayecarumba	48	40	54.55%
PlayYourCardsRight	44	37	54.32%
IndyJeffrey	48	41	53.93%
prozema	43	39	52.44%
BeachBumBabs	41	41	50.00%
Wizard	39	39	50.00%
GWAE	41	47	46.59%
JohnZimbo	41	47	46.59%
Bruce1*	33	39	45.83%
Odiousgambit	36	44	45.00%
Sparty10k	38	50	43.18%
RisingDough	35	47	42.68%
MidwestAP*	25	50	33.33%
Paradigm*	25	53	32.05%
rdw4potus*	21	54	28.00%
Mwalz9*	16	58	21.62%
Onenickelmiracle*	14	61	18.67%
Romes*	11	62	15.07%
Totals	1,357	1,372	49.73%

(Quote clipped, relevance)

My Observations:

1.) The game is still pretty interesting in that Wizard (.500) could technically mathematically still win whereas BBB can technically still tie. Only players below .5000 are mathematically eliminated, at this point.

2.) The Most Average Consolation Prize is as wide open as it could be. Our two, "You Suck," contenders could both run the table with Confidence Picks and finish .500, which would guarantee at least a split of the prize. On the high side, Gordonm888 can't finish .500, but could theoretically finish one game over .500, which would put him in reasonable contention.

3.) In terms of the, "You Suck," prize: The two currently at the bottom can theoretically finish .500 (assumes Confidence Picks), so anyone who can theoretically finish as bad as .500---or worse---which is everyone below GordonM888 is still technically in contention for that.

4.) In short, everyone can still win one of the main/consolation prizes, so the latter prizes are doing what was intended.

OneNickelMiracle/Prozema/Mission Trophy

As mentioned, AyeCarumba and I are the only one who can theoretically qualify and have agreed to split it already. We have continued to put in our picks before the early deadline as that is all that is needed for us to finish this thing out. I tend to think that he and I were the only two really trying to go for it, so we saw the opportunity there and pounced. I would apologize to everyone, but I did give everyone fair notice I was going after it since I can't be the main winner anyway.

At the end of the season, if anyone requests that I put in Picks submitted times for AyeCarumba, myself or both, I will be happy to oblige, but would otherwise prefer not to do that as it would be time-consuming. When I say nobody has any claim to the prize besides AyeCarumba and myself...I mean, nobody else even came close to doing the requirements. That said, if anyone requests to see the times, I'll look them up and put them.

Quote: unJon

Are we allowed to pick Saturday games?

Quote: unJon

Are we allowed to pick Saturday games?

Quote: unJon

Just submitted a 6-0 pick selection.

Quote: Ayecarumba

I'm curious if Sparty was actually trying to make losing picks, or just fell into them.