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DRich
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August 22nd, 2019 at 3:09:08 PM permalink
Good luck. If I can get +7.5 -110 or better I will probably put a small bet on Miami.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
DRich
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August 22nd, 2019 at 3:16:06 PM permalink
Wow, do you think paying 25 cents juice to buy onto the 7 is cost justifiable? I can only see paying that on or off of the 3 in NFL.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
GWAE
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August 22nd, 2019 at 3:36:38 PM permalink
You should not post the barcode. People can steal your ticket

If you think they are winning by 14 then your 7.5 is a steal, why are you wasting money on the .5? I understand the 7 and all but if you think they are so off on the line it seems pointless to move it
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JoelDeze
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August 22nd, 2019 at 4:55:23 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Wow, do you think paying 25 cents juice to buy onto the 7 is cost justifiable? I can only see paying that on or off of the 3 in NFL.

On this small a wager I'm not overly worried. I haven't put an eye test on both teams other than what I hear in practice reports, or what I've seen on game film for spring/fall games. I like Florida a lot in this game.
“It’s a dog eat dog world out there and I’m wearing milkbone underwear .” – Norm Peterson
JoelDeze
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August 22nd, 2019 at 4:59:50 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

You should not post the barcode. People can steal your ticket

If you think they are winning by 14 then your 7.5 is a steal, why are you wasting money on the .5? I understand the 7 and all but if you think they are so off on the line it seems pointless to move it



I edited the post to remove the barcode. Thanks, I appreciate it. I didn't think about that. I think the final margin will be around 10/11 in favor of Florida but first game of the season and I wasn't overly worried about the value on the buy for this small a wager. I just want to get off to a positive start.
“It’s a dog eat dog world out there and I’m wearing milkbone underwear .” – Norm Peterson
Spaffinnn
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August 22nd, 2019 at 5:03:55 PM permalink
it seems to me that there is no difference in horses.
unJon
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August 22nd, 2019 at 5:49:27 PM permalink
Quote: JoelDeze

I edited the post to remove the barcode. Thanks, I appreciate it. I didn't think about that. I think the final margin will be around 10/11 in favor of Florida but first game of the season and I wasn't overly worried about the value on the buy for this small a wager. I just want to get off to a positive start.



I see Florida at -7 -115 right now. Think you ill timed your bet. Will he interested to see how you do as the season progresses. Good luck and thanks for this thread!
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
Boz
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August 22nd, 2019 at 5:54:42 PM permalink
Mr. Deze, who should bet everything I can get down on this week? I understand you have inside information on a game that cannot lose.

I live East of the Mississippi. I will gladly show my generosity and appreciation after I win for the person who made it possible.
JoelDeze
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August 22nd, 2019 at 6:12:56 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

I see Florida at -7 -115 right now. Think you ill timed your bet. Will he interested to see how you do as the season progresses. Good luck and thanks for this thread!



William Hill is still at 7.5. Unfortunately I’m stuck with those lines at Twin River. They use them.
“It’s a dog eat dog world out there and I’m wearing milkbone underwear .” – Norm Peterson
SM777
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August 22nd, 2019 at 6:16:37 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Wow, do you think paying 25 cents juice to buy onto the 7 is cost justifiable? I can only see paying that on or off of the 3 in NFL.



Hahahaha. This is incredible. Buying 1/2 points in college football?

We gotta book this dude's action.
Geppi
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August 22nd, 2019 at 6:29:06 PM permalink
Joel hope you have the sense to ignore the negatives. A block may be in order. G/L
GWAE
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August 22nd, 2019 at 6:35:37 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

I see Florida at -7 -115 right now. Think you ill timed your bet. Will he interested to see how you do as the season progresses. Good luck and thanks for this thread!



In PA I have it at -7 for -121
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JoelDeze
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August 22nd, 2019 at 9:42:31 PM permalink
Quote: SM777

Hahahaha. This is incredible. Buying 1/2 points in college football?

We gotta book this dude's action.



Who is "we"? You actually think anyone remotely intelligent is in your corner? You suddenly feel like you have an entourage around you? Are you having flights of fancy and seeing alien spaceships? Do you honestly believe that no one ever buys a 1/2 point in college football? Anything else you want to tell us that you believe in? Tooth Fairy? Santa Claus?

You will always be "all talk" and "no action". Want action? Put your money where your mouth is. Post your wagers alongside mine and post the images too. Here, I'll help you with your response to this statement: ** crickets **
“It’s a dog eat dog world out there and I’m wearing milkbone underwear .” – Norm Peterson
Geppi
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August 22nd, 2019 at 9:50:50 PM permalink
Quote: JoelDeze

Who is "we"? You actually think anyone remotely intelligent is in your corner? You suddenly feel like you have an entourage around you? Are you having flights of fancy and seeing alien spaceships? Do you honestly believe that no one ever buys a 1/2 point in college football? Anything else you want to tell us that you believe in? Tooth Fairy? Santa Claus?

You will always be "all talk" and "no action". Want action? Put your money where your mouth is. Post your wagers alongside mine and post the images too. Here, I'll help you with your response to this statement: ** crickets **



Nice response Joel, but why waste the energy. Ignore the dopes and block them. If they want to follow you they can't,
AxelWolf
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August 22nd, 2019 at 10:29:45 PM permalink
Quote: Geppi

Nice response Joel, but why waste the energy. Ignore the dopes and block them. If they want to follow you they can't,

That sounds like a personal insult to me.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
AxelWolf
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August 22nd, 2019 at 10:34:56 PM permalink
Quote: JoelDeze

Who is "we"? You actually think anyone remotely intelligent is in your corner? You suddenly feel like you have an entourage around you? Are you having flights of fancy and seeing alien spaceships? Do you honestly believe that no one ever buys a 1/2 point in college football? Anything else you want to tell us that you believe in? Tooth Fairy? Santa Claus?

You will always be "all talk" and "no action". Want action? Put your money where your mouth is. Post your wagers alongside mine and post the images too. Here, I'll help you with your response to this statement: ** crickets **

SM777 wasn't implying he was good at college football, he was just implying you were bad.

Let me ask you a question, will your unit size remain the same the whole season?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
JoelDeze
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August 23rd, 2019 at 3:22:44 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf



Let me ask you a question, will your unit size remain the same the whole season?



I’ve already answered that in a few posts including my wagers post. And, I went ahead and blocked him.
“It’s a dog eat dog world out there and I’m wearing milkbone underwear .” – Norm Peterson
DRich
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August 23rd, 2019 at 7:23:49 AM permalink
Quote: SM777

Hahahaha. This is incredible. Buying 1/2 points in college football?

We gotta book this dude's action.



I do think it is a very poor decision that the math would never back up.


Some people would rather get the worst of the EV just to say they won the game. They would rather brag of their record because that is all most people will look at. The smart people will be looking at the amount wagered vs the amount won. BTW, I am not accusing Joel of being this person, that is just how some touts do it.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
JoelDeze
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August 23rd, 2019 at 10:49:03 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

I do think it is a very poor decision that the math would never back up.


Some people would rather get the worst of the EV just to say they won the game. They would rather brag of their record because that is all most people will look at. The smart people will be looking at the amount wagered vs the amount won. BTW, I am not accusing Joel of being this person, that is just how some touts do it.



What I have not done, and I'll admit I may be a bit weak in this aspect, is calculate the ROI on buying points in various scenarios over a 10-year period for college football. I would want to dive deeper into this type of scenario though, and have added it to my todo:

Scenario:

P5 conf vs. P5 conf. opponent (10-year span) -7.5 (no buys) | ROI Data and then have the buy examples placed. I don't just want it for all of college football. I'd want to see G5 vs P5, G5 vs G5, P5 vs P5 - home/neutral/away etc. I've started the calculations of ATS in all scenarios but I don't have the ROI tracking in place yet.
“It’s a dog eat dog world out there and I’m wearing milkbone underwear .” – Norm Peterson
DRich
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August 23rd, 2019 at 2:43:45 PM permalink
I can not find any Miami +7.5 right now but I will look again tomorrow. I also really like the game under but if I bet it now my friends will disown me because the total has already moved down from 52.5 to 46.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
unJon
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August 23rd, 2019 at 2:45:42 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

I can not find any Miami +7.5 right now but I will look again tomorrow. I also really like the game under but if I bet it now my friends will disown me because the total has already moved down from 52.5 to 46.

Wow that would make a fun middle to root for. I grew up calling middles a Jake. Anyone else do that? Like: I jaked the Steelers at -2.5 and +4.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
JoelDeze
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August 24th, 2019 at 7:50:38 PM permalink
Florida wins 24-20. Tough crazy game. A lot of mistakes by both teams, a lot of turnovers by Florida. A lot of penalties by Miami. Both defenses played well.

Lost the ATS.

Original Capital: $1,000
Loss: $200
New Capital: $800

Week 1 CAR: $160 max play.

Will post week 1 late in the week.
“It’s a dog eat dog world out there and I’m wearing milkbone underwear .” – Norm Peterson
AxelWolf
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August 24th, 2019 at 8:00:36 PM permalink
Quote: JoelDeze

Florida wins 24-20. Tough crazy game. A lot of mistakes by both teams, a lot of turnovers by Florida. A lot of penalties by Miami.

And no human being or program can predict that.

Line shopping is an important aspect of betting.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
lilredrooster
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August 25th, 2019 at 1:48:36 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

..............................And no human being or program can predict that.

Line shopping is an important aspect of betting.




yes, but there are some wrong ideas out there about line shopping
i.e. - a player sees all the books offering -7 on the fave - but one is offering -6.5 - and he thinks he got a great deal
except, the strong handicapper who has a much stronger edge than the line shopper may realize that the best deal is +7 on the dog
he's much better off not taking the deal on the fave



no human being or program can predict it for sure at any given time - but a few talented ones can make the right call on a traditional ATS bet paying 10/11 55% of the time or slightly more - often enough to make a profit
Please don't feed the trolls
7craps
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August 25th, 2019 at 7:53:48 AM permalink
Quote: JoelDeze

Florida wins 24-20.

money line was around -300, so it was expected
Quote: JoelDeze

Tough crazy game.

only if watched but most should not care. 1st game of season at neutral site.
Florida does not beat Miami that often (in the past)
Quote: JoelDeze

A lot of mistakes by both teams, a lot of turnovers by Florida. A lot of penalties by Miami. Both defenses played well.

no one really cares except the coaches.
Quote: JoelDeze

Lost the ATS.

the only thing that matters

The Arizona/Hawaii was a better bet on the over. I missed that one
winsome johnny (not Win some johnny)
GWAE
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August 25th, 2019 at 8:56:15 AM permalink
Is there a site that shows all of the opening and closing spreads/ml for previous years?
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
lilredrooster
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August 25th, 2019 at 1:08:54 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

Is there a site that shows all of the opening and closing spreads/ml for previous years?




covers.com - you have to toggle thru and find the team, the season, the results, then the game, then the line history
for sports where spread betting is predominant it won't show you the moneylines
Please don't feed the trolls
Rigondeaux
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August 25th, 2019 at 1:10:47 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

I do think it is a very poor decision that the math would never back up.


Some people would rather get the worst of the EV just to say they won the game. They would rather brag of their record because that is all most people will look at. The smart people will be looking at the amount wagered vs the amount won. BTW, I am not accusing Joel of being this person, that is just how some touts do it.



True.

Joel, I'm not saying this antagonistically, but you fundamentally misunderstand sportsbetting if you don't think these things matter. Not only do they matter, they are the name of the game.

Sports is just another form of gambling. You are trying to get your payout to exceed the true odds by a few % points. When you are giving up % because your local book has a bad line and you just say "eff it," or because you buy points you shouldn't, you are eliminating whatever edge you might have.

If there is a roulette wheel that is biased that is a good bet. If they fix the wheel and you keep betting that is a bad bet. It's the same in sports. It might SEEM different because there are a bunch of people playing instead of a ball bouncing around randomly. But what you are really betting on is "if these teams played a million times, what would the average result be." Just as with roulette.

You should read "Sharper" by my friend, Poker Joe. I've heard Ed Miller's recent book is good too. If you actually are skilled in things like player evaluation, this will allow you to apply those skills properly.
SM777
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August 25th, 2019 at 1:58:50 PM permalink
Quote: JoelDeze

Who is "we"? You actually think anyone remotely intelligent is in your corner? You suddenly feel like you have an entourage around you? Are you having flights of fancy and seeing alien spaceships? Do you honestly believe that no one ever buys a 1/2 point in college football? Anything else you want to tell us that you believe in? Tooth Fairy? Santa Claus?

You will always be "all talk" and "no action". Want action? Put your money where your mouth is. Post your wagers alongside mine and post the images too. Here, I'll help you with your response to this statement: ** crickets **



I think what you're missing is that I am not touting myself as a college football expert, like yourself. More than likely if I posted picks for a college football season, I'd lose. Hence why I don't bet the sport. I don't come on here touting myself as the next Jesus and get crushed and buy points.

I can assure you buying points in college football has a negative ROI, and I will absolutely book any action you want. I'll charge you less than William Hill to buy points. Find a way, let's make it happen. I'm open for business.

Funny story, the first book I worked at in Vegas, we reprinted a few tickets of large wagers on college football that had bought points to laugh at. This is a true story. The worst gamblers of the worst are buying points in college football. It's a ritual every season in the back of books to reprint the tickets for the worst wagers of the season, and buying a half point for 25c in college football would qualify. Don't know if the tradition exists in Rhode Island.
GWAE
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August 25th, 2019 at 2:32:41 PM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

covers.com - you have to toggle thru and find the team, the season, the results, then the game, then the line history
for sports where spread betting is predominant it won't show you the moneylines



is there anywhere that shows ML?
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DRich
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August 25th, 2019 at 3:24:27 PM permalink
I thoroughly enjoyed our first week of college football.

I woke up early and turned "College Gameday" on at 6am. Watched that for three hours. I had an hour or two to do my chores and stimulate the wife. I then watched every play of "Youngstown St vs Samford", "Miami vs Florida", & "Arizona vs Hawaii". It was was about 11:30[m when Arizona down by 7 points runs the ball to the one yard line as time expires.

What a day of football. We had friends at the house for a BBQ and swimming and I barely spoke to anyone. I am not going to waste my day socializing when there is football to be watched. Fortunately my wife is a trooper and did the entertaining.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
JoelDeze
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August 26th, 2019 at 9:32:28 PM permalink
Because the games are spread out across Thursday, Friday, Sat, Sun, and Monday for Week 1, I've been heavily researching the Thursday night games.

I'm leaning on FIU to beat Tulane at the moment. Right now they are +2 ATS and I know I said ATS is all I would do this year, but the +ML is the better value. FIU returns many of their offensive and defensive starters and are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. The total is also at 57 and I'm saying it right now, this game is definitely going over 57. I just can't play the totals this year.

So, for purposes of wagering (and looking at the rules I posted in the first thread), can I still take the better value at +ML on dog picks if I feel they are going to win? Before I place any wager, I'll let a few of you chime in on the interpretations.

Maybe I should have said on vegas oddsmaker favorites, I have to pick an -ATS. But on Vegas oddsmaker underdogs, I have a choice of +ML or +ATS. Does that seem fair?
“It’s a dog eat dog world out there and I’m wearing milkbone underwear .” – Norm Peterson
AxelWolf
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August 27th, 2019 at 3:00:21 AM permalink
Quote: JoelDeze

The total is also at 57 and I'm saying it right now, this game is definitely going over 57.

if that's the case, shouldn't you bet everything you own(And even things you don't) on it?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
JoelDeze
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August 27th, 2019 at 3:27:45 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

if that's the case, shouldn't you bet everything you own(And even things you don't) on it?



I’m simply stating I have confidence that the totals are set incorrectly for this game. My risk appetite on any wager is measured. I won’t ever change that.
“It’s a dog eat dog world out there and I’m wearing milkbone underwear .” – Norm Peterson
NokTang
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August 27th, 2019 at 3:40:12 AM permalink
Quote: JoelDeze


So, for purposes of wagering (and looking at the rules I posted in the first thread), can I still take the better value at +ML on dog picks if I feel they are going to win? Before I place any wager, I'll let a few of you chime in on the interpretations.

Maybe I should have said on vegas oddsmaker favorites, I have to pick an -ATS. But on Vegas oddsmaker underdogs, I have a choice of +ML or +ATS. Does that seem fair?



I think you should stick with ATS picks. ML wagers are a different breed of cat and you will confuse people with your results. It is fine IMHO to suggest ML picks but please consider not putting them in your results summary.
SOOPOO
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August 27th, 2019 at 4:01:32 AM permalink
Quote: JoelDeze

Because the games are spread out across Thursday, Friday, Sat, Sun, and Monday for Week 1, I've been heavily researching the Thursday night games.

I'm leaning on FIU to beat Tulane at the moment. Right now they are +2 ATS and I know I said ATS is all I would do this year, but the +ML is the better value. FIU returns many of their offensive and defensive starters and are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. The total is also at 57 and I'm saying it right now, this game is definitely going over 57. I just can't play the totals this year.

So, for purposes of wagering (and looking at the rules I posted in the first thread), can I still take the better value at +ML on dog picks if I feel they are going to win? Before I place any wager, I'll let a few of you chime in on the interpretations.

Maybe I should have said on vegas oddsmaker favorites, I have to pick an -ATS. But on Vegas oddsmaker underdogs, I have a choice of +ML or +ATS. Does that seem fair?



Since you are buying points your win loss record is already meaningless, so picking money line bets does not change anything. So as long as you use a real line and post it in advance of the game there should be no problem.

You must see the problem with you saying "this game is definitely going over 57". You must know no game is definitely going over 57. Look deep inside your soul.... do you really think there is even a 70% chance the game is going over 57? I know nothing about those teams, the expected weather, the injuries, etc.... But if you gave me 2-1 I'd bet the under. On ANY real Vegas line. There may be inefficiencies in a line, and you may have found one, but please..... not 'definitely'.
DRich
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August 27th, 2019 at 9:24:03 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Since you are buying points your win loss record is already meaningless, so picking money line bets does not change anything. So as long as you use a real line and post it in advance of the game there should be no problem.

You must see the problem with you saying "this game is definitely going over 57". You must know no game is definitely going over 57. Look deep inside your soul.... do you really think there is even a 70% chance the game is going over 57? I know nothing about those teams, the expected weather, the injuries, etc.... But if you gave me 2-1 I'd bet the under. On ANY real Vegas line. There may be inefficiencies in a line, and you may have found one, but please..... not 'definitely'.



Great post!!!
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
michael99000
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August 27th, 2019 at 9:27:05 AM permalink
Quote: JoelDeze

FIU returns many of their offensive and defensive starters and are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. The total is also at 57 and I'm saying it right now, this game is definitely going over 57.



You can walk into just about any Vegas sportsbook and they’ll gladly take upwards of $50k on that over 57
lilredrooster
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IndyJeffrey
August 27th, 2019 at 10:22:26 AM permalink
Joel: I have a suggestion for you


just make your picks and 86 the commentary - there are dozens of different reasons a person could bet one way or another - anything you post can easily be countered or ridiculed


if you end up winning (by a large margin - i.e. R.O.I - 12% - based on betting equal amounts) you'll have the last laugh - if you don't - 2020 isn't that far away






also: your CAR (Capital at Risk) thing is not in any way helpful to anybody

the only important thing is whether or not you have an edge - every bet should be an equal amount or 1 unit -

then at the end - if you're up - maybe you're good enough to have an edge - or maybe you just got lucky

if you're down - maybe you're not good enough to have an edge - or maybe you were just unlucky

that's the way the cookie crumbles

your CAR (Capital at Risk) thing................................................... that dog won't hunt
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JoelDeze
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August 27th, 2019 at 12:25:24 PM permalink
Good points from everyone and I appreciate the responses and the advice. I’ll limit my feedback from now on to research info and image wagers.

Thanks again.
“It’s a dog eat dog world out there and I’m wearing milkbone underwear .” – Norm Peterson
gordonm888
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gordonm888
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August 27th, 2019 at 2:55:38 PM permalink
Quote: JoelDeze

Because the games are spread out across Thursday, Friday, Sat, Sun, and Monday for Week 1, I've been heavily researching the Thursday night games.

I'm leaning on FIU to beat Tulane at the moment. Right now they are +2 ATS and I know I said ATS is all I would do this year, but the +ML is the better value. FIU returns many of their offensive and defensive starters and are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. The total is also at 57 and I'm saying it right now, this game is definitely going over 57. I just can't play the totals this year.

So, for purposes of wagering (and looking at the rules I posted in the first thread), can I still take the better value at +ML on dog picks if I feel they are going to win? Before I place any wager, I'll let a few of you chime in on the interpretations.

Maybe I should have said on vegas oddsmaker favorites, I have to pick an -ATS. But on Vegas oddsmaker underdogs, I have a choice of +ML or +ATS. Does that seem fair?



I actually have an open mind about your advice and picks and will judge you based on your performance.

But I must say that most of your analysis such as "FIU returns many of their offensive and defensive starters and are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games." is the kind of analysis I see on many sports betting sites. This doesn't seem to amount to profound insights that include info that isn't already worked into the line on games. Just saying . . . .
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IndyJeffrey
IndyJeffrey
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August 27th, 2019 at 6:12:41 PM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

just make your picks and 86 the commentary - there are dozens of different reasons a person could bet one way or another - anything you post can easily be countered or ridiculed



While I don't mind the commentary, the counter arguments can get tiresome, even if they are 100% right.

I look forward to your week one picks.
JoelDeze
JoelDeze
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August 27th, 2019 at 6:32:51 PM permalink
Thursday Wagers. Removed the barcodes. If I have time tomorrow night, I'll post some analytics before Thursday. If not, I'll do so for Saturday games.

Utah -5.5 ats
FIU +125 ml
FIU/CIN OV 57.5
UCLA +115 ml







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IndyJeffrey
IndyJeffrey
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August 27th, 2019 at 7:00:06 PM permalink
I thought your CAR was only $160 this week, no?
michael99000
michael99000
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AxelWolf
August 27th, 2019 at 8:35:56 PM permalink
Quote: IndyJeffrey

I thought your CAR was only $160 this week, no?



It turned from that into.. Lose one bet and let half the bankroll ride the next week.. in a hurry
DRich
DRich
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August 27th, 2019 at 8:43:54 PM permalink
Quote: IndyJeffrey

I thought your CAR was only $160 this week, no?



That is what I thought too. Maybe he meant $160 per game which is crazy with that small of a bankroll. My theory is a max of 5% of the bankroll per game (and that should be very rare. Most bets should not exceed 2% of the bankroll).
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michael99000
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AxelWolf
August 27th, 2019 at 8:50:27 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

That is what I thought too. Maybe he meant $160 per game which is crazy with that small of a bankroll. My theory is a max of 5% of the bankroll per game (and that should be very rare. Most bets should not exceed 2% of the bankroll).



Should’ve let that entire remaining $800 ride on the FIU over 57
DRich
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August 27th, 2019 at 8:51:46 PM permalink
Quote: michael99000

Should’ve let that entire remaining $800 ride on the FIU over 57



If I ever found a sure thing I would bet my whole net worth.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
DRich
DRich
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August 28th, 2019 at 10:56:41 AM permalink
UCLA +135 is now available in Vegas. Sorry, you got a bad number. Your number on Utah -5.5 is good as the best I am seeing now is -6 at one shop and -6.5 at most places.
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GWAE
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August 28th, 2019 at 11:21:43 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

UCLA +135 is now available in Vegas. Sorry, you got a bad number. Your number on Utah -5.5 is good as the best I am seeing now is -6 at one shop and -6.5 at most places.



PA I have Utah at +7, seems like a good middle there.
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