Presidential Election Betting
Quote: EvenBobAnd this is before the reparations announcement.
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And before his lawyers and Mark Meadows flipped on him.
Quote: WizardQuote: billryanI never thought it was possible, but after today, I believe trump is prison-bound.
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Care to wager on that position?
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Let's make it enjoyable. If I win, I get to ban one member of this forum. Anyone I chose. What would you want in return?
Quote: billryanLet's make it enjoyable. If I win, I get to ban one member of this forum. Anyone I chose. What would you want in return?
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Oh, I like where this is going....
Quote: TigerWuQuote: billryanLet's make it enjoyable. If I win, I get to ban one member of this forum. Anyone I chose. What would you want in return?
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Oh, I like where this is going....
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If you are going to dream, dream big.
It will never happen unless you get that one member to agree as well.Quote: billryanQuote: WizardQuote: billryanI never thought it was possible, but after today, I believe trump is prison-bound.
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Care to wager on that position?
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Let's make it enjoyable. If I win, I get to ban one member of this forum. Anyone I chose. What would you want in return?
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Quote: billryanQuote: WizardQuote: billryanI never thought it was possible, but after today, I believe trump is prison-bound.
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Care to wager on that position?
link to original post
Let's make it enjoyable. If I win, I get to ban one member of this forum. Anyone I chose. What would you want in return?
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Offer $270. Amount of electoral votes to win Presidency. I have to say if these terms are accepted by Wiz I’d be more interested in this bet than any other…!
Way to go, Billy! (I’ll offer you $2 not to ban me….)
Quote: WizardHere are the Pinnacle odds on the winning party:
Dem: -129
Rep: +103
Other: 3338
If we squeeze out the juice, that implies the probabilities are:
Dem: 54.85%
Rep: 42.33%
Other: 2.83%
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I don’t believe Trump is a clear favorite. But I will stop arguing the point.
Quote: FinsRuleQuote: WizardHere are the Pinnacle odds on the winning party:
Dem: -129
Rep: +103
Other: 3338
If we squeeze out the juice, that implies the probabilities are:
Dem: 54.85%
Rep: 42.33%
Other: 2.83%
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I don’t believe Trump is a clear favorite. But I will stop arguing the point.
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To me, in NO WAY is Trump the favorite to win the election. He ‘might’ be a slight favorite to win the election if it were held today, but as many have pointed out the election that matters isn’t for a full year. One can EASILY see that there are many more possibilities for negatives for Trump to ‘pop up’. Biden’s plethora of negatives are already out there. He can only BENEFIT if there is a semblance of a real border policy, or a decrease in inflation, or a few more Trump indictments/convictions.
I’m still open for business on the ‘Trump will not be President again’ bet.
He's an election denier and about as far-right as it gets, not to mention the most inexperienced House Speaker in 140 years.
Will be "interesting" to see where this goes.
Quote: SOOPOO
To me, in NO WAY is Trump the favorite to win the election. He ‘might’ be a slight favorite to win the election if it were held today, but as many have pointed out the election that matters isn’t for a full year. One can EASILY see that there are many more possibilities for negatives for Trump to ‘pop up’. Biden’s plethora of negatives are already out there. He can only BENEFIT if there is a semblance of a real border policy, or a decrease in inflation, or a few more Trump indictments/convictions.
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I agree. There is nowhere for Trump to go but down. I think he's barely holding on to what support he has, and he's doing absolutely nothing to gain any more support.
The only thing that could possibly hurt Biden right now is some major health issue, or if he just dies.
I think Trump could still win, but he has a lot more to lose before the election.
Quote: TigerWuMike Johnson is the new House Speaker.
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He didn't even decide to run until Saturday night. He immediately got Trump's endorsement and 4 days later he's Speaker of the House. Trump just came out a few minutes ago and made a brief statement about what a great thing they just did in electing Johnson.
Quote: EvenBobQuote: TigerWuMike Johnson is the new House Speaker.
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He didn't even decide to run until Saturday night. He immediately got Trump's endorsement and 4 days later he's Speaker of the House. Trump just came out a few minutes ago and made a brief statement about what a great thing they just did in electing Johnson.
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And this impressive? How? Do you think having one of the main election deniers in charge of the House will work well?
Quote: FinsRuleIs there a site that we can bet on a shutdown? I think it’s going to happen.
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My question would be how long would you bet the shutdown lasts.? I would put the over.under at 12 days.
I looked at the Social Security actuarial tables and found these statistics:
Trump is 77. Life expectancy is about another 9 years. Odds of dying within one year is 4.9%, or about 1 in 20.
Biden is 80. Life expectancy is about another 7.8 years. Odds of dying within one year is 6.5%, or about 1 in 15.
If you ask me, those aren't exactly negligible odds...
Quote: TigerWuI looked at the Social Security actuarial tables and found these statistics:
Trump is 77. Life expectancy is about another 9 years. Odds of dying within one year is 4.9%, or about 1 in 20.
Biden is 80. Life expectancy is about another 7.8 years. Odds of dying within one year is 6.5%, or about 1 in 15.
Those are the odds for the average American, right? I'm sure the stress that comes with being the President, and the stress of legal proceedings, are taking a toll on both of their healths as well.
Quote: DeucekiesQuote: TigerWuI looked at the Social Security actuarial tables and found these statistics:
Trump is 77. Life expectancy is about another 9 years. Odds of dying within one year is 4.9%, or about 1 in 20.
Biden is 80. Life expectancy is about another 7.8 years. Odds of dying within one year is 6.5%, or about 1 in 15.
Those are the odds for the average American, right? I'm sure the stress that comes with being the President, and the stress of legal proceedings, are taking a toll on both of their healths as well.
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Yes, those are the odds for "normal" people. I figure the stress is pretty bad both being President and having multiple court cases pending, but at the same time they both have access to some of the best healthcare in the world, so maybe it all cancels out....lol
I noticed something yesterday. Eric Trump never stands next to his father, he's always a few feet away. I think it's because he is taller than Donald.
Quote: billryanWhen you are 6'3 215 with great genes, age is just a number. Some people are just blessed.
I noticed something yesterday. Eric Trump never stands next to his father, he's always a few feet away. I think it's because he is taller than Donald.
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Have you seen Barron Trump lately. He had a growth spurt and I read he might be 6’7”. He is way taller than dad.
Quote: vegasQuote: billryanWhen you are 6'3 215 with great genes, age is just a number. Some people are just blessed.
I noticed something yesterday. Eric Trump never stands next to his father, he's always a few feet away. I think it's because he is taller than Donald.
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Have you seen Barron Trump lately. He had a growth spurt and I read he might be 6’7”. He is way taller than dad.
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Have you seen a picture of them together? I have not.
