Super Bowl 53 Prop Bet Challenge
February 3rd, 2019 at 7:14:53 PM
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I must be close to last. Everything went polar opposite of what I expected.
Edit: 42/47. Stinko.
Edit: 42/47. Stinko.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
February 3rd, 2019 at 7:16:37 PM
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Thanks to all for the live updates and the scoring calc's.
There's emptiness behind their eyes
There's dust in all their hearts
They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
February 3rd, 2019 at 7:16:53 PM
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Quote: EdCollinsI show Tommy711 winning, with 223.61 points.
Nathan is second with 123.08 points.
Tommy is closest with a guess of 38 total points scored and 2 touchdowns scored, which nets him 200 points right there.
Give me a few minutes to double-check everything.
Thanks Ed. I can guarantee the forum that the $10 I won from Mike WAS NOT WORTH IT! I think I also beat him heads up. So that should be another $20. Assuming I added right and Michel is 13 points!
February 3rd, 2019 at 7:19:59 PM
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Thanks for putting this on Wizard!
If it wasn’t for this contest, I wouldn’ have enjoyed the game.
Congratulations to the winner!
If it wasn’t for this contest, I wouldn’ have enjoyed the game.
Congratulations to the winner!
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
February 3rd, 2019 at 7:20:06 PM
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Charlie... I get a different number of total points than you do. I show Tommy711 with 223.61, Nathan with 123.08, etc. Can you figure out where our discrepancy is? I've uploaded my spreadsheet.Quote: charliepatrickHere's how I made it. It seemed the best strategy was to go for outlying events; we didn't see that low total points and total touchdowns were correlated so a reasonable strategy to adopt. Congratulations and thanks for a fun event.
February 3rd, 2019 at 7:21:16 PM
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My only strategy was to pick the opposite of what I think people would pick. I needed to be even more opposite and I could have won.
February 3rd, 2019 at 7:26:24 PM
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Where I messed up badly was that damned 125 points accumulated.
In perhaps the lowest scoring SB of all time. Had I said 16 points, people would have been LAUGHING, and be like,"Wow, what a bad bet Nathan made," but be ASTOUNDED as that's what it ended up being.
In perhaps the lowest scoring SB of all time. Had I said 16 points, people would have been LAUGHING, and be like,"Wow, what a bad bet Nathan made," but be ASTOUNDED as that's what it ended up being.
In both The Hunger Games and in gambling, may the odds be ever in your favor. :D
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
"Olive oil is processed but it only has one
ingredient, olive oil."-Even Bob, March 27/28th. :D The 2 year war is over! Woo-hoo! :D
I sometimes speak in metaphors. ;) Remember this. ;)
Crack the code. :D 8.9.13.25.14.1.13.5.9.19.14.1.20.8.1.14! :D
"For about the 4096th time, let me offer a radical idea to those of you who don't like Nathan -- block her and don't visit Nathan's Corner. What is so complicated about it?" Wizard, August 21st. :D
February 3rd, 2019 at 7:27:33 PM
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I've corrected my figures as I changed it from when 10-3 to 13-3 and forgot 16 wasn't prime. So I agree.Quote: EdCollinsCharlie... I get a different number of total points than you do. I show Tommy711 with 223.61, Nathan with 123.08, etc. Can you figure out where our discrepancy is? I've uploaded my spreadsheet.
February 3rd, 2019 at 7:29:17 PM
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Quote: SOOPOOThanks Ed. I can guarantee the forum that the $10 I won from Mike WAS NOT WORTH IT! I think I also beat him heads up. So that should be another $20. Assuming I added right and Michel is 13 points!
Damn close call with Nathan. Good job finishing 5th!
Great job finishing 2nd Nathan!
And congrats for winning Tommy711!
Given my picks, i'm surprised I finished in the top half. Lol
February 3rd, 2019 at 7:34:09 PM
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Hey, I tied with unjon, boz, CharliePatrick, TomG, and chuckleberry for the most Props won, with 12.
Of course, it's not about the number of Props won, as Nathan demonstrated. Nathan won just six Props, yet finished in 2nd Place.
Of course, it's not about the number of Props won, as Nathan demonstrated. Nathan won just six Props, yet finished in 2nd Place.
February 3rd, 2019 at 7:34:17 PM
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Remember my "Half serious," switch offer? Does anyone wish they had switched with me? ;)
In both The Hunger Games and in gambling, may the odds be ever in your favor. :D
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
"Olive oil is processed but it only has one
ingredient, olive oil."-Even Bob, March 27/28th. :D The 2 year war is over! Woo-hoo! :D
I sometimes speak in metaphors. ;) Remember this. ;)
Crack the code. :D 8.9.13.25.14.1.13.5.9.19.14.1.20.8.1.14! :D
"For about the 4096th time, let me offer a radical idea to those of you who don't like Nathan -- block her and don't visit Nathan's Corner. What is so complicated about it?" Wizard, August 21st. :D
February 3rd, 2019 at 7:46:52 PM
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Fun game, thanks Wizard! I didn’t realize when I made my picks that this was a version of the three vendor problem.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
February 3rd, 2019 at 8:39:19 PM
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For some of the questions could I have picked ANY number as a selection, even if the number was not a whole number , for example, prop 3. Total points, would 50.5 points have been a valid or invalid selection for this prop?
I didn't want to ask this until after the game, because I had already submitted my picks
If we were allowed to pick a ".5" number as well as a whole number, it would have meant "less chance" of splitting the 100 points for each question (for the props that required a number as the selection)
Also, thanks for the prop bet challenge, as It made a fairly "boring" game a lot more enjoyable.
I didn't want to ask this until after the game, because I had already submitted my picks
If we were allowed to pick a ".5" number as well as a whole number, it would have meant "less chance" of splitting the 100 points for each question (for the props that required a number as the selection)
Also, thanks for the prop bet challenge, as It made a fairly "boring" game a lot more enjoyable.
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Feb 3, 2019
February 3rd, 2019 at 9:23:50 PM
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This was Wizard's game, but I suspect a pick of 50.5 points (for example), would have most certainly been a valid selection. (If I were in charge of the game, I would have allowed it without a moment's hesitation.)Quote: ksdjdjFor some of the questions could I have picked ANY number as a selection, even if the number was not a whole number , for example, prop 3. Total points, would 50.5 points have been a valid or invalid selection for this prop?
I found it interesting that of 47 players, no one selected the MoV to be 10.
February 3rd, 2019 at 9:59:09 PM
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Quote: EdCollins
...I found it interesting that of 47 players, no one selected the MoV to be 10.
That is interesting.
I actually considered an MoV of 6, 7 and 10 to start with, but I thought too many people would pick 7 or 10, so that is why I picked 6 ( a lot of the "yes/no" questions would split the points, so you had to try to be the "only winner" on something, to give yourself a good chance of coming out on top).
At least I didn't come "last", I think I was 2nd last : )
February 3rd, 2019 at 10:06:21 PM
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If it makes you feel any better, I show you as coming in 3rd to last! :)Quote: ksdjdjAt least I didn't come "last", I think I was 2nd last : )
February 3rd, 2019 at 10:09:52 PM
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It does, a little bit, : )
February 4th, 2019 at 4:22:17 AM
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ay I beat RS suck it
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
February 4th, 2019 at 6:20:45 AM
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Quote: EdCollinsI show Tommy711 winning, with 223.61 points.
Congratulations Tommy!!! It will take two or three more months for the second version of my book to be out. If I forget to reach out, please PM me after I mention it to settle up. Or you can have the old version now with the cards.
Quote:Nathan is second with 123.08 points.
Congratulations for winning Ms. Runner Up, Nathan! We almost did it. It looks like we made SOOPOO sweat that bet hard. That would have been epic if we had won. Free copy of my book to you too, when its out, or you can have the old version now.
Quote:Give me a few minutes to double-check everything.
My thanks to Ed and Charlie for scoring everything. I know it was time consuming and I appreciate your help.
Finally, my thanks to all who played. Let's do this again next year.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
February 4th, 2019 at 7:03:45 AM
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Thank you Wizard for making a fun game out of the biggest Dustbowl of game! :D If it weren't for you, this game would have been completely crappy. ;) Wow! I won Runner Up! :D I was not expecting to win Runner Up! There was a Celebration of Oscar Categories who could have won and it was titled,"It's An Honor To Be Runner Up," or something like that. Reminds me of this game. :)
In both The Hunger Games and in gambling, may the odds be ever in your favor. :D
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
"Olive oil is processed but it only has one
ingredient, olive oil."-Even Bob, March 27/28th. :D The 2 year war is over! Woo-hoo! :D
I sometimes speak in metaphors. ;) Remember this. ;)
Crack the code. :D 8.9.13.25.14.1.13.5.9.19.14.1.20.8.1.14! :D
"For about the 4096th time, let me offer a radical idea to those of you who don't like Nathan -- block her and don't visit Nathan's Corner. What is so complicated about it?" Wizard, August 21st. :D
February 4th, 2019 at 7:14:23 AM
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Quote: NathanThank you Wizard for making a fun game out of the biggest Dustbowl of game! :D
You're welcome. I'm sure if you were expecting 125 points, that at 16 total points, the would have seemed rather boring.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oPwrodxghrw
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
February 4th, 2019 at 7:20:10 AM
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Quote: WizardYou're welcome. I'm sure if you were expecting 125 points, that at 16 total points, the would have seemed rather boring.
I can imagine predicting 16 points and being LAUGHED at my crazy, crazy to win on just 16 points! Oh my God, I'm LAUGHING myself because choosing 16 points would have won on very, very, long odds. :D
In both The Hunger Games and in gambling, may the odds be ever in your favor. :D
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
"Olive oil is processed but it only has one
ingredient, olive oil."-Even Bob, March 27/28th. :D The 2 year war is over! Woo-hoo! :D
I sometimes speak in metaphors. ;) Remember this. ;)
Crack the code. :D 8.9.13.25.14.1.13.5.9.19.14.1.20.8.1.14! :D
"For about the 4096th time, let me offer a radical idea to those of you who don't like Nathan -- block her and don't visit Nathan's Corner. What is so complicated about it?" Wizard, August 21st. :D
