Super Bowl 53 Prop Bet Challenge
- There is a list of questions/props relating to Super Bowl 53 below.
- All entrants must answer each question.
- 100 points will be associated with each question, to be divided among all those who answer correctly.
- For questions like the total points, if nobody is exactly correct, the points will go to those closest to the correct answer.
- Please PM me your predictions.
- Deadline is 9:00 AM, Vegas time, Feb 2. After this time, predictions will be posted.
Prop List
- Winning team
- Will the coin toss land on heads or tails?
- Total points
- Margin of victory
- Total number of touchdowns
- Total number of field goals
- Team to score first
- Team to score last
- Will the team to score first win?
- First score (TD, FG, or safety)
- Last score (TD, FG, or safety)
- Will there be a safety?
- Will the game go into overtime?
- Will there be a successful two-point conversion?
- Will there be a failed field goal attempt?
- Longest field goal
- Longest touchdown
- Will there be a defensive or special teams touchdown?
- Will the total points be a prime number?
- Total Scrabble points in the last name of the first player to score a touchdown.
If you want to side bet with each other, by all means, go ahead. I would be interested to join. However, neither I nor the site will vouch that losers will pay, it will be entirely on the honor system. I welcome any volunteer to organize that. I promise to not read submissions until after the deadline. Please do mark the title of your PM's properly, so I will know to not open it until the deadline.
May the best man, or woman, win!
Quote: JohnzimboIs this just for bragging rights unless side bets are involved?
Yes. Bragging rights trumps money any day, right?
Quote: AyecarumbaThanks for putting this on Wizard!
You're welcome. We have two entrants so far, not counting me.
But are those last two items real items that can be bet in real sports books?
Yeah, I know SB props can get pretty outlandish, but really....Quote:19. Will the total points be a prime number?
20. Total Scrabble points in the last name of the first player to score a touchdown.
Quote: DJTeddyBearSounds like fun. 😁
But are those last two items real items that can be bet in real sports books? Yeah, I know SB props can get pretty outlandish, but really....
Boyd casinos have done the Scrabble points one before. Speaking of which, here are the points per letter:
(1 point)-A, E, I, O, U, L, N, S, T, R
(2 points)-D, G
(3 points)-B, C, M, P
(4 points)-F, H, V, W, Y
(5 points)-K
(8 points)- J, X
(10 points)-Q, Z
I would also like to report I sent in my own picks to AyeCarumba, in the interests of being above reproach.
Quote: WizardLadies and gentlemen, welcome to the Super Bowl 53 prop bet challenge. Here are the rules:
- ...
- ...
- 100 points will be associated with each question, to be divided among all those who answer correctly.
- ...
Prop List
16. Longest field goal
17. Longest touchdown
I have a question about the two "longest" props. For the purposes of this game, will points only be awarded for an exact number, or will the points go to whomever is closest to the correct answer in the event that the exact number was not chosen by anyone?
PS. Thanks for putting this on, Wiz. It sounds like fun.
Quote: IndyJeffreyWiz: Are you going on GWAE podcast to discuss props this year? I cannot remember if you retired from that appearance or not. Thx
Same ask, and let me say I always enjoy the Wiz's appearances on GWAE, including this one. Doit!
Quote: JoemanI have a question about the two "longest" props. For the purposes of this game, will points only be awarded for an exact number, or will the points go to whomever is closest to the correct answer in the event that the exact number was not chosen by anyone?
The points will go to whoever is closest if nobody gets it exactly right.
Quote: AcesAndEightsSame ask, and let me say I always enjoy the Wiz's appearances on GWAE, including this one. Doit!
Thanks for the kind words. No, I'm not doing the show about prop picks this year. I find my data is too old to accurately make predictions any longer. Also, despite perceiving advantages, my actual results have not matched my expectations.
I wouldn't mind being on the show again, but, sadly, I don't have anything good to talk about.
Quote: WizardThanks for the kind words. No, I'm not doing the show about prop picks this year. I find my data is too old to accurately make predictions any longer. Also, despite perceiving advantages, my actual results have not matched my expectations.
I wouldn't mind being on the show again, but, sadly, I don't have anything good to talk about.
Bob and Munch have been doing a fair number of "listener questions" shows - you could appear on one of those to provide your gambling expertise! Just a thought.
Just a point of clarification, longest field goal is longest 'made' fg, as contrasted with longest 'attempted' fg, correct?
Quote: MidwestAPJust a point of clarification, longest field goal is longest 'made' fg, as contrasted with longest 'attempted' fg, correct?
That is correct.
Quote: WizardThat is correct.
Does going over matter ?
Let’s say longest FG is 40 yards. Nobody picked 40 but one person picked 39 and one person picked 41.
They’d get 50 points each ?
Quote: michael99000Does going over matter ?
Let’s say longest FG is 40 yards. Nobody picked 40 but one person picked 39 and one person picked 41.
They’d get 50 points each ?
You can go over. In your example, yes, each would get 50 points.
This is probably fodder for a new thread, but are you planning on accepting cash bets this year? I believe you were talking about retiring from that last year, but took my bets anyway. And, I lost all 4 of my bets. :(
And on that note, have the LV books posted their props sheets yet? I plan on stopping by the Meadowlands this weekend to get their props sheets, if they have them ready.
Quote: DJTeddyBearI'll probably submit my picks this weekend.
This is probably fodder for a new thread, but are you planning on accepting cash bets this year? I believe you were talking about retiring from that last year, but took my bets anyway. And, I lost all 4 of my bets. :(
And on that note, have the LV books posted their props sheets yet? I plan on stopping by the Meadowlands this weekend to get their props sheets, if they have them ready.
Usually the full prop sheets aren't out until Thursday night.
Quote: speedycrapI wonder Wizard will have porp bets in mind? I dont mind offering better odds to take his action.
What are you offering for "No Safety"?
I hope you mean tomorrow and not next week....Quote: DRichUsually the full prop sheets aren't out until Thursday night.
What is the line please?Quote: AyecarumbaWhat are you offering for "No Safety"?
Quote: WizardAs a prize for the winner, I will award a copy of my upcoming second edition of Gambling 102, a set of two all-plastic high-quality poker cards, as well as a beer.
I am here to tell you, those poker cards are fantastic. Sweet and smooth to shuffle and deal.
The only thing is, they're bridge sized (which I personally prefer), not the wider poker size. But probably the nicest cards I've ever used.
Quote: beachbumbabsI am here to tell you, those poker cards are fantastic. Sweet and smooth to shuffle and deal.
The only thing is, they're bridge sized (which I personally prefer), not the wider poker size. But probably the nicest cards I've ever used.
Better than Kem Cards? What brand are they?
Quote: unJonBetter than Kem Cards? What brand are they?
The brand is Bravo. I can't compare them to Kem Cards.
In other news, let the record show that I have a $20 one-on-one bet with SOOPOO on the greater total points between the two of us.
Quote: speedycrapWizard, any exact number of winning points this year? I am ready and available.
I don't understand what you're asking.
Quote: WizardAs a prize for the winner, I will award a copy of my upcoming second edition of Gambling 102, a set of two all-plastic high-quality poker cards, as well as a beer.
That's a sweet free roll. I'm in, if I can find a spare moment to assemble my picks.
Quote: unJonBetter than Kem Cards? What brand are they?
They're made by Cartimundi. They're similar to Kem Cards, but in my experience, better. Then again, my Kem cards are 30+ years old, but I do think they've made significant advances.
These feel like the finest thin linen card stock, can easily be bent and go back into shape. No bowing from shuffling,.no dog ears, just feel like they have a thin coating of powder (silky - there's no powder). Non-glossy finish, don't seem to hold fingerprints, but can be wiped clean with no soak-in or trace of a stain.
Wizard
FCBLComish
Bruce1
JohnnyQ
SOOPOO
WBGamble
scolist
Joeman
unJon
MidwestAP
Ayecarumba
IndyJeffrey
aceofspades
ksdjdj
Johnzimbo
Quote: beachbumbabsThey're made by Cartimundi. They're similar to Kem Cards, but in my experience, better. Then again, my Kem cards are 30+ years old, but I do think they've made significant advances.
These feel like the finest thin linen card stock, can easily be bent and go back into shape. No bowing from shuffling,.no dog ears, just feel like they have a thin coating of powder (silky - there's no powder). Non-glossy finish, don't seem to hold fingerprints, but can be wiped clean with no soak-in or trace of a stain.
Sounds awesome. I can’t find these cards available retail anywhere on the Internet. The Cartimundi site looks set for large order sizes. I may contact them to see what their minimum order is for these decks of cards. If there are other interested WoVers maybe we can chip in to buy them and divvy it up (though I don’t relish the idea of mailing decks of cards all over the country and adding the extra layer of postage).
.Quote: WizardAs a prize for the winner, I will award a copy of my upcoming second edition of Gambling 102, a set of two all-plastic high-quality poker cards, as well as a beer.
When I first read this, I was wondering why anyone would want 2 poker cards. I was thinking of Teliot's thread of the single card from 250+ casinos.
Now I see it is 2 decks of cards.
I can confirm that the Bravo cards are of very good quality.
Quote: AdminPicks removed by management
If time allows, you can then go back to your post above and "edit" it to remove your guesses from public view.
Wizard
FCBLComish
Bruce1
JohnnyQ
SOOPOO
WBGamble
scolist
Joeman
unJon
MidwestAP
Ayecarumba
IndyJeffrey
aceofspades
ksdjdj
Johnzimbo
southbucki
beachbumbabs
Betday1
folman
Ladygordon27
coolemc84
gordonm888
Knuckleball3
What next? A LadyZenKing? A LordNathan? A WickedWitchofOdds?
Any objections?
Quote: WizardI must admit that I accidentally opened a few entries. However, I'd like to be able to enter the picks as they come in, so I won't be stuck with doing it all at once on Saturday morning. Any objections? I already sent my picks into AyeCarumba right after I started this thread. Also, as indicated above, if I win I'll give the prize the second place person, so it isn't like I'm motivated to cheat.
Any objections?
Correct me if I'm wrong, but you will be giving out the exact same prize regardless of whether you win or lose. Thus since you have no financial interest in this event, and it is your forum, and you were kind enough to set this up, I will speak for the forum and say we all trust you to arbitrate this contest fairly in whatever way is easiest for you.
Quote: unJonSince I’m confident that I picked each answer exactly correctly, I have no issues with however you want to handle it. The prize is already as good as mine.
You let him off too easily. I say we demand 1,000 push-ups!
I just PMd Wizard my prop guesses or whatever they’re called.
RS
ThatDonGuy
jjflynn2
southbuki
Beach Bum Babs
betday1
folman
coolemc84
Ladygordon27
gordon888
SOOPOO
ayecarumba
scolist
johnnyQ
WBGamble
Bruce1
FCBLcomish
Joeman
unjon
midwestAP
IndyJeffrey
aceofspades
ksdjdj
johnzimbo
Wizard
:D
