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Keeneone
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October 16th, 2016 at 9:34:00 PM permalink
7-0 makes for a great week. I know you may not have played BUF, but they still crushed SF. Thanks Wizard. I owe you a beer. On to Week #7...
AxelWolf
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October 17th, 2016 at 12:18:07 AM permalink
I think Romes spent our money on a weekend bender, it's been lost to hookers and blow (crack and whores).
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
Wizard
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October 17th, 2016 at 1:28:47 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard



Here are my favorite picks.

Pick Market Basis points
NOS +3.5 3 EV 43.4
NYG -2.5 -3 (-120) 25.8
Indy +3.5 2.5 22.0
Clev +7.5 7 19.6
Rams +3.5 7 17.0
Dal +4.5 4 12.3
SF -7.5 -9 5.8



I admit that I screwed up on the last one and meant Buf -7.5, as you had to only give up 7.5 on Buffalo and the going spread was 9. So, I don't know if I get to count that one as a win. It was marginal anyway, I probably wouldn't have bet it personally with so many other good picks. If I do, here is what the results look like:

Pick Market Basis points W/L
NOS +3.5 3 EV 43.4 W
NYG -2.5 -3 (-120) 25.8 W
Indy +3.5 2.5 22.0 W
Clev +7.5 7 19.6 W
Rams +3.5 7 17.0 W
Dal +4.5 4 12.3 W
Buf -7.5 -9 5.8 W


If you had bet all seven you would have made 100x your money. Two words, people -- Silver Platter.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
beachbumbabs
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October 17th, 2016 at 4:14:32 AM permalink
Quote: Wizardofnothing

I feel the blowout and can't imagine how upset some people are going to be that the money didn't get wagered this week



I think starting a strawman argument of resentment among the team is counterproductive. Be upset if you want, but don't sour the fun with stuff like this on the board. If we didn't get bets down, we didn't. Shrug. On to next week.

If I'd been in Vegas, I'd have placed the bets. I wasn't. Probably true for most of us. Maybe those who are local or likely to be there at the right time could sign up each weekend in a thread, and we'd have a group to draw from as runners if it looks to be THE weekend . Wizard can escrow if he's willing. We're only talking a little over $200.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Romes
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October 17th, 2016 at 6:50:22 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

There are plenty of people that could have done it, we managed to get put our cards in with everyone out of town, someone(apparently Romes is in charge) just needed to speak up.

Literally sent you a text about it last Friday...

Quote: AxelWolf

I think Romes spent our money on a weekend bender, it's been lost to hookers and blow (crack and whores).

All ~$250 of it got me the "high quality" versions of both of those! =D
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
IndyJeffrey
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October 18th, 2016 at 9:23:53 AM permalink
Quote: Wizardofnothing

I feel the blowout and can't imagine how upset some people are going to be that the money didn't get wagered this week



It is what it is. Life is too short to get upset over missing a week. Of course, I'm the one who said stay away from IND.
mrsuit31
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October 18th, 2016 at 10:43:26 AM permalink
As Axel said, I do think its wise to make sure we have a fall back bettor/s now for the upcoming week/s.

I do think we should get something placed in the next two weeks. Also, please post in the other thread. Others like me may be missing these posts thinking it doesnt have to do with the team.
.
AxelWolf
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October 18th, 2016 at 11:39:03 AM permalink
Quote: Romes

Literally sent you a text about it last Friday...

All ~$250 of it got me the "high quality" versions of both of those! =D

Friday literally too late. Already heading to the airport. Had someone called me on Monday and said, I'm not sure if we will have any good options this week, or if Mike or you are available, but do you know anyone available just in case?

I would've done my best to get someone as I did for us(probably the same person, thanks BTW. And even one other). We were in a tight spot ourselves.We almost had to skip it due to other better things. I even suggested skipping it myself , but since it was a jucy week and we on a roll there was much resistance. I literally had to meet with a forum member just before my flight suitcase in hand and GF in tow, just to get him set up.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is the Romes show, so get your sh*t together or give up the pot. Don't make me regret suggesting the parlays in the first place.

Where's the tar? 2F can send his feathers.

One a good note, I can imagine 2f cursing you with some indian bad luck BJ voodoo rain dance.

Speaking of a dance. Did OnceDear(the rat) take parlay action? I think not, If not he probably bought another premium celebratory 5th and is dancing a jig while watching FB highlights.
Last edited by: AxelWolf on Oct 18, 2016
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
AxelWolf
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October 18th, 2016 at 11:53:25 AM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

we didn't. Shrug. On to next week.

Yes but I wonder How did YOU end up on FB that week?? (-;

I'm not upset my $5 didn't get any action either. Poor 2f lost both of his feathers that week, yet he could've had full feathered headdress for the entire reservation.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
beachbumbabs
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October 18th, 2016 at 11:54:41 AM permalink
I did juuuuust fine, thanks. ;-)
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
AxelWolf
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October 18th, 2016 at 12:00:35 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

I did juuuuust fine, thanks. ;-)

EEEXXXACTLY.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
OnceDear
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October 18th, 2016 at 12:09:43 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Speaking of a dance. Did OnceDear(the rat) take parlay action? I think not, If not he probably bought another premium celebratory 5th and is dancing a jig while watching FB highlights.

No Foxy, I didn't. I feel the pain of those who did and saw that winning bunch of non-wagers. I did say that I would try my own silly little parley with my bit of the winnings. But I would never expect to multiply my bit 100 fold. If you guys had achieved that, I'd have conceded that my humble doubling of my $15 was as far as I would risk.

I wish your team all the best, for next time..
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
ontariodealer
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October 18th, 2016 at 5:39:09 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

I think Romes spent our money on a weekend bender, it's been lost to hookers and blow (crack and whores).



at least it wasn't wasted.
get second you pig
TomG
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October 18th, 2016 at 8:50:02 PM permalink
Missed by one game on multiple 10-team cards. As it was only earned about one months income from these instead of six months. Been out of the loop about what anyone else has been doing on these, but should be in touch this weekend. Hoping to hear about some six figure wins, if not close to seven figures.
Keeneone
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October 20th, 2016 at 9:26:29 PM permalink
Week 7
GWAE
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October 21st, 2016 at 12:45:22 AM permalink
I didn't realive they were for 1 bets. Normal parlays are to 1, right?
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
RS
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October 21st, 2016 at 1:13:10 AM permalink
Is the team on the LEFT or the RIGHT side on the parlay cards the underdog? I take it the team on the right is the underdog? And the team on the left is the overdog?
Last edited by: RS on Oct 21, 2016
DRich
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October 21st, 2016 at 7:33:06 AM permalink
Looks like it could be a good card with all of those 2.5's.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
Wizard
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October 21st, 2016 at 11:59:45 AM permalink
Here is the week 7 WH card.

Favorite Underdog Line on Underdog Market on Underdog
NYG Rams 2.5 3 (-120)
Min Phil 2.5 3
KC No 6.5 6
Det Wash 1.5 1.5
Cin Clev 9.5 10
Buff Mia 2.5 3 (-120)
Jack Oak 0.5 1
Tenn Indy 2.5 3 EV
NYJ Bal 0.5 2
Atl SD 6.5 6.5
TB SF 2.5 0
NEP Pitt 7.5 7
Ariz Sea 1.5 1.5
Den Hou 7.5 8.5


Here are my favorite picks.

Pick Market Basis points
Tenn -2.5 -3 (-120) 37.0
Pitt +7.5 7 19.6
SF +2.5 PK 18.0
Phil -2.5 -3 15.8
Bal -0.5 -2 13.2
KC +6.5 6 13.0


Not as good as last week but probably the second or third best week of the season thus far.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Keeneone
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October 21st, 2016 at 1:52:04 PM permalink
The bottom chart looks off.

Minnesota -2.5 (not Philadelphia -2.5)
New York Jets -0.5 (not Baltimore -0.5)
New Orleans +6.5 (not Kansas City +6.5).
Stuunod
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October 21st, 2016 at 3:59:25 PM permalink
I blew it last week with SF by not clarifying the discrepancy. This week it's Phil, Bal & KC...Wizard please advise & as always thanks for your guidance!!!
Last edited by: Stuunod on Oct 21, 2016
Pinit2winit
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October 21st, 2016 at 5:02:30 PM permalink
Can we get some confirmation on the corrections?

BTW Wiz, Thanks for that 420 bucks, i only threw a 5 teamer last week, remind me if i make it to next dinner to buy you a couple beers for last years 8 teamer 5-500 and this years 5 20-440 (thanks boyd for ruining Alinate's odds)
Pinit2winit
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October 21st, 2016 at 9:30:54 PM permalink
MY dad threw 50 on Pats -7.5, Titans -2.5, SF +2.5 for what its worth i think they are solid with roethisberger out and the bucs being the bucs
Wizard
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October 21st, 2016 at 11:22:22 PM permalink
Quote: Keeneone

The bottom chart looks off.

Minnesota -2.5 (not Philadelphia -2.5)
New York Jets -0.5 (not Baltimore -0.5)
New Orleans +6.5 (not Kansas City +6.5).



You're absolutely right. I apologize. Here is a corrected table.

Pick Market Basis points
Tenn -2.5 -3 (-120) 37.0
Pitt +7.5 7 19.6
SF +2.5 PK 18.0
Min -2.5 -3 15.8
NYJ -0.5 -2 13.2
NO +6.5 6 13.0
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Wizard
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October 21st, 2016 at 11:23:27 PM permalink
Quote: Stuunod

I blew it last week with SF by not clarifying the discrepancy. This week it's Phil, Bal & KC...Wizard please advise & as always thanks for your guidance!!!



Again, I'm sorry. I know it is a bad excuse, but it was a spreadsheet error, which is my fault.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Stuunod
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October 22nd, 2016 at 1:22:45 AM permalink
Quote: Pinit2winit

MY dad threw 50 on Pats -7.5, Titans -2.5, SF +2.5 for what its worth i think they are solid with roethisberger out and the bucs being the bucs


👍🏻
TomG
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October 22nd, 2016 at 7:48:48 AM permalink
There is Miami +3.5 available for those who don't worship at the church of William Hill
TomG
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October 22nd, 2016 at 7:55:44 AM permalink
Quote: Pinit2winit

Thanks for that 420 bucks, i only threw a 5 teamer last week, remind me if i make it to next dinner to buy you a couple beers for last years 8 teamer 5-500 and this years 5 20-440 (thanks boyd for ruining Alinate's odds)



If you played two $10 six team parlays with opposite sides of the same game, it would have paid out $460 instead of $440.

Or just 10 $2 cards each to win $92 and each with at least a 52% chance of winning the added game. But that's more work
Pinit2winit
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October 22nd, 2016 at 10:27:19 AM permalink
I didnt even pay attention, it was like 945 and my dad called and i checked the forum for the first time this season and bolted over to aliante only to see the discust that is boyd taken over. Thanks for the info though!!
Pinit2winit
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October 23rd, 2016 at 7:31:23 PM permalink
Rough week! get em next time!
Wizard
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October 23rd, 2016 at 8:21:56 PM permalink
Quote: Pinit2winit

Rough week! get em next time!



Yep. Glad I put in only one card. It probably would have won had I chosen the opposite side on every pick (depending on the Monday night game).
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Stuunod
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October 24th, 2016 at 6:25:42 AM permalink
👍🏻
Wizard
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October 27th, 2016 at 9:29:46 AM permalink
There are some very strong plays in week 8:

Favorite Underdog Line on Underdog Market on Underdog
Tenn Jax 3.5 3
Cin Wash 2.5 3
atl GB 2.5 3 (-120)
Hou Det 2.5 2.5
Sea NO 3.5 2 (-105)
NEP Buf 6.5 6.5
NYJ Clev 4.5 3 (-105)
TB Oak 1.5 1
KC Indy 2.5 2.5
Den SD 5.5 5.5
Car Ariz 2.5 3 (-120)
Dal Phil 4.5 4.5
Min Chic 5.5 5.5


Here are the strongest picks:

Pick Market Basis points
Jax +3.5 3 27.0
Cin -2.5 3 15.8
GB -2.5 3 EV 5.8
NO +3.5 2 (-105) 47.8
Clev +4.5 3 (-105) 35.4
Car -2.5 3 EV 5.8
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
mrsuit31
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October 27th, 2016 at 10:19:14 AM permalink
Ill post this in the other thread as well...
.
Stuunod
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October 27th, 2016 at 10:22:06 AM permalink
Are they listed strongest to weakest? Thanks.
mrsuit31
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October 27th, 2016 at 10:45:17 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

There are some very strong plays in week 8:

Favorite Underdog Line on Underdog Market on Underdog
Tenn Jax 3.5 3
Cin Wash 2.5 3
atl GB 2.5 3 (-120)
Hou Det 2.5 2.5
Sea NO 3.5 2 (-105)
NEP Buf 6.5 6.5
NYJ Clev 4.5 3 (-105)
TB Oak 1.5 1
KC Indy 2.5 2.5
Den SD 5.5 5.5
Car Ariz 2.5 3 (-120)
Dal Phil 4.5 4.5
Min Chic 5.5 5.5


Here are the strongest picks:

Pick Market Basis points
Jax +3.5 3 27.0
Cin -2.5 3 15.8
GB -2.5 3 EV 5.8
NO +3.5 2 (-105) 47.8
Clev +4.5 3 (-105) 35.4
Car -2.5 3 EV 5.8



At Mike's request I am issuing a correction to the above table. Line three should read ATL -2.5, not GB...
.
Ayecarumba
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October 27th, 2016 at 11:54:58 AM permalink
NO +3.5 vs. SEA sounds like a lock, but I wonder if it will make getting cards approved difficult.

Personally, I don't feel so confident the Saints will cover. They have had a hard first half of the season.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
AxelWolf
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October 27th, 2016 at 12:43:57 PM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

NO +3.5 vs. SEA sounds like a lock, but I wonder if it will make getting cards approved difficult.

Personally, I don't feel so confident the Saints will cover. They have had a hard first half of the season.

I have very good reason to believe it's going to get a lot harder no matter what. They already stopped Kiosk parlay betting as of the 21st.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
TomG
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October 27th, 2016 at 7:44:48 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: Ayecarumba

NO +3.5 vs. SEA sounds like a lock, but I wonder if it will make getting cards approved difficult.

Personally, I don't feel so confident the Saints will cover. They have had a hard first half of the season.



I have very good reason to believe it's going to get a lot harder no matter what. They already stopped Kiosk parlay betting as of the 21st.



Market says the Saints +3.5 is only about 60% chance. If anyone thinks that's close to a lock they should have no problem loading up as much as they want without having to drive around from place to place, nor having to worry if the other games on the parlay win.

WH may have the best payouts, but other books with different lines and less flagging can be worth almost as much. Buffalo +7.5, Green Bay +3.5, and Chicago +6.5 all available elsewhere this week.

Heard about a group who brought in some new guys who either didn't know or didn't care about the impact if they put too much money through with all the same games in one place.
Rigondeaux
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October 28th, 2016 at 1:20:48 AM permalink
Gonna have to be creative going forward.
Pinit2winit
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October 31st, 2016 at 10:45:39 AM permalink
Anyone going to put action down on tonights game or have action on it?
Rigondeaux
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October 31st, 2016 at 10:54:53 AM permalink
Need the Bears +6.5. They are my team and never fail to screw me in betting, so the other side is a lock.
Pinit2winit
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October 31st, 2016 at 1:26:09 PM permalink
Im debating vikings -6 If they win its going to be by over a td or two. Bears are injury ridden and mentally down
Rigondeaux
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October 31st, 2016 at 3:16:50 PM permalink
Quote: Pinit2winit

Im debating vikings -6 If they win its going to be by over a td or two. Bears are injury ridden and mentally down



Don't do that. -6 is the worst number possible. Seems to be available only on Bovada. Supposed to be -4 to 4.5.

Bears +6 should be a good bet, unless you believe that the purpose of every Bears game really is to make me lose bets. Which it is. But still...
Pinit2winit
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November 1st, 2016 at 2:53:14 AM permalink
I didnt. Congrats. !! I figured i couldnt watch it anyways and i felt funny about vikings o line
SOOPOO
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November 1st, 2016 at 10:26:30 AM permalink
Quote: Pinit2winit

Im debating vikings -6 If they win its going to be by over a td or two. Bears are injury ridden and mentally down



Disclaimer--- I would have taken the Vikings too... But this is the NFL..... I think the 'mentally down' pat is really just nonsense. These guys are always playing for their next contract, the coaches coaching hard so not to be fired.... The Bears get their QB back and they look like a real team. Vikings obviously most overrated team in NFL (except maybe my 4-4 Bills). Did someone actually post that Bills were good bet against Brady????
Pinit2winit
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November 1st, 2016 at 11:36:11 AM permalink
Bot me! I took the pats and won lol. I know in the end its a game. I suppose the main teason i didnt bet was all those sam bradford sack replays and i couldnt stay up to watch it. Another week another bet.
Wizard
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November 3rd, 2016 at 7:27:54 PM permalink
Is it week 9 already? Here is the WH card.

Favorite Underdog Line on Underdog Market on Underdog
KC Jack 7.5 7 (-105)
Min Det 6.5 6
NYG Phil 2.5 2.5
Dal Clev 7.5 7
Mia NYJ 3.5 3.5
Pitt Bal ? 2.5
NO SF 3.5 4.5
Car Rams 3.5 3 (-105)
GB Indy 7.5 7.5 (-120)
SD Tenn 5.5 5
Oak Den 0.5 1.5
Sea Buff 6.5 7 (-120)


This week is worth playing. Here are my favorite picks.

Pick Market Basis points
Rams +3.5 3 (-105) 22.0
Clev +7.5 7 19.6
Indy +7.5 7.5 (-120) 15.6
Jack +7.5 7 (-105) 14.6
Det +6.5 6 13.0
NO -3.5 -4.5 7.8
Last edited by: Wizard on Nov 3, 2016
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
RS
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November 3rd, 2016 at 7:45:06 PM permalink
That seems backwards to me... O_O
djatc
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November 3rd, 2016 at 9:04:28 PM permalink
Plz book my Cowboys +7 action I want 350k
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
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