Zcore13
Zcore13
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October 25th, 2019 at 10:27:30 AM permalink
Does anyone know what the chances of losing are if you get dealt pocket Aces in a heads up texas holdem game? I've seen the chances in a 10 handed game, but never for heads up.



ZCore13
I am an employee of a Casino. Former Table Games Director,, current Pit Supervisor. All the personal opinions I post are my own and do not represent the opinions of the Casino or Tribe that I work for.
PokerGrinder
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October 25th, 2019 at 10:32:07 AM permalink
AA against two random cards are 82% to win the hand. They range from 75%-87% depending on the hand they are up against.
You can shear a sheep a hundred times, but you can skin it only once. — Amarillo Slim Preston
billryan
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October 25th, 2019 at 1:02:48 PM permalink
Quote: PokerGrinder

AA against two random cards are 82% to win the hand. They range from 75%-87% depending on the hand they are up against.



How can you determine something like that when so much of poker is betting and bluffing? When you play one on one, aren't you playing the player as much as the cards? It's been a long time since I played poker but I watched a lot ten years ago.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
PokerGrinder
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October 25th, 2019 at 1:31:48 PM permalink
BillRyan I just assumed he meant all in pre as there is no way to put a percentage on it otherwise.
You can shear a sheep a hundred times, but you can skin it only once. — Amarillo Slim Preston
Lovecomps
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October 26th, 2019 at 3:28:00 PM permalink
The answer can't be determined. The guy could know your tells or be bluffing with a unsuited 2-7.
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Zcore13
Zcore13
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October 26th, 2019 at 6:05:26 PM permalink
Quote: Lovecomps

The answer can't be determined. The guy could know your tells or be bluffing with a unsuited 2-7.



Wrong. Questions like this are assumed to be pre-flop odds. There is no bluffing AA pre-flop.


ZCore13
I am an employee of a Casino. Former Table Games Director,, current Pit Supervisor. All the personal opinions I post are my own and do not represent the opinions of the Casino or Tribe that I work for.
billryan
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October 26th, 2019 at 6:09:51 PM permalink
Hopefully, your opponent isn't sitting with an identical hand.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
beachbumbabs
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October 27th, 2019 at 9:14:12 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Hopefully, your opponent isn't sitting with an identical hand.



There was one of those a few years back in the WSOP. It was pretty viral at the time. I'll try and add the YT rather than spoil it, because it's fun to watch.



https://youtu.be/PbmkJkBdxW0
Last edited by: beachbumbabs on Oct 27, 2019
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
DRich
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Forager
October 27th, 2019 at 10:22:22 AM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

There was one of those a few years back in the WSOP. It was pretty viral at the time. I'll try and add the YT rather than spoil it, because it's fun to watch.



https://youtu.be/PbmkJkBdxW0



Sadly, anyone that has played a lot of poker has had that happen to them.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
MaxPen
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October 27th, 2019 at 11:11:59 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: beachbumbabs

There was one of those a few years back in the WSOP. It was pretty viral at the time. I'll try and add the YT rather than spoil it, because it's fun to watch.



https://youtu.be/PbmkJkBdxW0



Sadly, anyone that has played a lot of poker has had that happen to them.



The worst is when your opponent gets a flush and takes you out. 😪
billryan
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October 27th, 2019 at 11:37:47 AM permalink
Quote: MaxPen

Quote: DRich

Quote: beachbumbabs

There was one of those a few years back in the WSOP. It was pretty viral at the time. I'll try and add the YT rather than spoil it, because it's fun to watch.



https://youtu.be/PbmkJkBdxW0



Sadly, anyone that has played a lot of poker has had that happen to them.



The worst is when your opponent gets a flush and takes you out. 😪



That's what I was thinking.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
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