StingMe
StingMe
Joined: May 24, 2010
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April 7th, 2012 at 10:27:36 PM permalink
Who else is excited? I'm headed to Vegas for my first trip sans wife. Happen to have a futures ticket from January where I got 220:1 on I'll Have Another. After the Santa Anita today, I feel really great about that ticket. I also have 20:1 on Creative Cause, whom IHA beat by a nose. CC had the blinkers off for the first time, so I expect a stronger race from him on Cinco de Mayo. Really liked Gemologist in the Wood Memorial. I think I'll probably play these three quite a bit. I really stumbled onto that futures bet for I'll Have Another, and I'm so glad I did.
JW17
JW17
Joined: Dec 30, 2011
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April 8th, 2012 at 5:28:13 PM permalink
Ill be in Vegas for the Friday and Saturday cards. Have gone the last 3 years, usually end up watching the big race in the room. Creative Cause is my horse right now, but Take Charge Indy seems to be getting it together and has gotten my attention.
buzzpaff
buzzpaff
Joined: Mar 8, 2011
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April 8th, 2012 at 5:46:04 PM permalink
I will pass on Creative Cause as I had the winner in the Santa Anita Derby yesterday. The winner did not impress me either. I mean both those horses were game, and dueled from 1/8 pole to the wire. Nobody could be sure who won, even after the slo-mo replay.
What bothers me is a 42 to 1 shot had a 1/2 length lead at head of the stretch and it took the whole stretch for these 2 horse to finish a half- length ahead of the longshot.
I do not judge horses solely by the odds board, but do not think I saw 3 great thoroughbreds in that race.
Have not really handicapped the Derby yet, too early. But so far, do not see anybody beating Hansen.
ThatDonGuy
ThatDonGuy
Joined: Jun 22, 2011
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April 9th, 2012 at 6:50:40 AM permalink
I'm not as excited about wins on California tracks, since they're all Polyturf, and from what I have seen, that does seem to make a difference.
JW17
JW17
Joined: Dec 30, 2011
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April 9th, 2012 at 5:09:21 PM permalink
Don that is mostly true, that the California tracks are poly, except for one. Santa Anita is no longer poly, it went back to dirt in 2010.

As for it making a difference it is a different surface, and there are different types of "poly" track a more acurate way to say it is "synthetic" surface, but I too use the term poly all the time. There is the polytrack, tapeta, cushion track and the pro-ride those are all the types I know of. They all have different biases, and biases that can and will change. For instance when hollywood park first went to a synthetic track it was a stone closers paradise. It now plays almost as fair as dirt.

Now for a difference last years derby winner Animal Kingdom was a synthetic specialist never had run on dirt, then look what he did in the mud on the dirt. I threw him out because it is hard for horses to go synthetic to dirt. Its like going turf to dirt as the synthetic is more like turf than it is dirt, especially the tepeta.

Anyway just my thoughts on that.

Thanks for the opinion though!
i0r0retardod
i0r0retardod
Joined: Mar 29, 2012
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April 9th, 2012 at 5:29:36 PM permalink
When we having it. It is never anything that I ever really plan for, however I usually always end up watching it on t.v. And I have picked at least the first second and third 5 times out of 12 and the forth and fifth more often actually. WOuld nice to finally start betting them ponys.
JW17
JW17
Joined: Dec 30, 2011
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April 9th, 2012 at 7:09:20 PM permalink
If anyone wants to meet up for the race Im game. Ill be there. I will tell you this, you will be able to find me about 8 am Friday at the back of the Mirage book smoking a cigar waiting for the races to start.
StingMe
StingMe
Joined: May 24, 2010
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April 10th, 2012 at 7:29:29 AM permalink
While I'll Have Another might not have what it takes at 1 1/4 with an entire field of good talent, I still fell really good about getting him at 220:1 in January...
buzzpaff
buzzpaff
Joined: Mar 8, 2011
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April 10th, 2012 at 8:17:53 AM permalink
Anytime you can get those odds and you horse even starts in the Derby, damn right, you should really feel good.
JW17
JW17
Joined: Dec 30, 2011
  • Threads: 8
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April 10th, 2012 at 12:53:04 PM permalink
For those interested and have an IPad. They updated the Kentucky Derby App. Nice app.

Also I remember a few years back I had the Pamplemouse on a future at a big number, then Julio Canani blew him up.

220-1 ill be rooting for you come May 5th

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