StingMe
StingMe
Joined: May 24, 2010
  • Threads: 5
  • Posts: 55
April 10th, 2012 at 1:44:26 PM permalink
Thanks buzz and JW. I'm trying to decide where I want to play and watch the Derby. I'll be staying downtown at the Golden Gate. I know they don't have a sports book beyond maybe a kiosk of some kind. Any suggestions? If any of my futures tickets win, I'll have to head to the strip to collect, but I don't plan to go to the strip otherwise. I'll likely play the ponies a bit on Friday, at least on the Oaks.
JW17
JW17
Joined: Dec 30, 2011
  • Threads: 8
  • Posts: 331
April 10th, 2012 at 4:36:25 PM permalink
I dont really go downtown so I cant help you. BUT if you can find a small book Im guessing it will be fine, the big books seem to get the crowds. Thats why I start at the Mirage, when that gets too packed I head over to the Ellis Island to finish any plays I need to make. Plus it puts me real close to home in case I over do it on the Bud Lights.
buzzpaff
buzzpaff
Joined: Mar 8, 2011
  • Threads: 112
  • Posts: 5328
April 10th, 2012 at 4:53:56 PM permalink
Quote: StingMe

While I'll Have Another might not have what it takes at 1 1/4 with an entire field of good talent, I still fell really good about getting him at 220:1 in January...



You might dutch a few horses as will. Probably have to bet Hansen and a longshot like

Done Talking made a powerful argument in Saturday's Grade II $500,000 Illinois Derby.

Barging between horses down the Hawthorne Race Course stretch, his body talk convinced trainer Hamilton Smith that he belongs in the Kentucky Derby on the first Saturday in May.
FinsRule
FinsRule
Joined: Dec 23, 2009
  • Threads: 119
  • Posts: 3667
April 10th, 2012 at 5:26:53 PM permalink
I watch horse racing constantly, and have been studying this hard for 3 months. There is no pick. Any horse starting can win. Except probably liasion, sabercat, done talking.

My pick that day (I'll be at the race!) will be completely dependant on odds. So many horses have a legitimate claim, so grab one at a good price and put it in some exotics. I'll have another at 220-1? I'd love that...
buzzpaff
buzzpaff
Joined: Mar 8, 2011
  • Threads: 112
  • Posts: 5328
April 10th, 2012 at 5:39:54 PM permalink
Have you read Tom Ainslie and Betty Ledbetter's BODY LANGUAGE OF HORSES ? Would be invaluable on Derby Day, when so many horses leave their race in the paddock. I have a copy laying around somewhere, I can mail it to you if have not read it.
JW17
JW17
Joined: Dec 30, 2011
  • Threads: 8
  • Posts: 331
April 15th, 2012 at 8:57:49 AM permalink
Bodemeaister looked really good yesterday. Hanson doesnt look like he is going to make the 1 1/4. And Dullahan is a great close but will he find his way through all the derby traffic? Yesterday answered nothing for me.
StingMe
StingMe
Joined: May 24, 2010
  • Threads: 5
  • Posts: 55
April 26th, 2012 at 8:54:06 AM permalink
The Derby looks to be tough to figure this year. I think there really is no clear favorite. I do like Bodemeister, Dullahan, Gemologist, Creative Cause, and of course I'll Have Another. I'm not real big on Hansen at this point, but I wouldn't put it past him to rebound for the roses. Decisions, decisions!
buzzpaff
buzzpaff
Joined: Mar 8, 2011
  • Threads: 112
  • Posts: 5328
April 26th, 2012 at 10:31:33 AM permalink
Still waiting till post positions and drawn, workouts, etc. But it is a tuff field with no standout. Hansen will not get a chance to relax, so he's out.
I can not say the same for Gemologist. He's undefeated, rated well in the Wood, and dud in when challenged at the end.
FinsRule
FinsRule
Joined: Dec 23, 2009
  • Threads: 119
  • Posts: 3667
April 26th, 2012 at 10:43:47 AM permalink
Gemologist beat Alpha, and that's it in the Wood. And Alpha has beat no one. Gemologist is probably the big wildcard in the race. I'm probably most worried about him beating me.

My 3 picks as of now are:

Creative Cause
Daddy Nose Best
Went the Day Well

If one of them has a bad post position, I might move Gemologist into one of those spots.
JW17
JW17
Joined: Dec 30, 2011
  • Threads: 8
  • Posts: 331
April 26th, 2012 at 5:16:36 PM permalink
Daddy Nose Best, I cannot get away from this horse. I do not like him AT ALL. But everyone I ask "who you got in the Derby?" Gives me him. Granted everyone I have asked does not follow horses, instead they "like" the name. Fins I imagine you play the ponies and like the horse. I might play $100 across because he is the name I hear all day long.

BUT I am with you, LOVE Creative Cause.

Im taking my lady to Carnevino on the 4th. Where should I take her after Creative Cause walks in the Derby? Probably wont matter as I will be walking 3 inches taller ala Trotter from Let it Ride LOL.

  • Jump to: