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jackmagic777
jackmagic777
Joined: Jan 11, 2019
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February 11th, 2019 at 4:45:30 PM permalink
So it is no longer a Guaranteed win...DUH
FinsRule
FinsRule
Joined: Dec 23, 2009
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February 11th, 2019 at 5:05:14 PM permalink
Quote: jackmagic777

So it is no longer a Guaranteed win...DUH



You can guarantee it if you have good tote access.
jackmagic777
jackmagic777
Joined: Jan 11, 2019
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February 11th, 2019 at 5:12:52 PM permalink
NOT TRUE... I am done with this foolishness
speedycrap
speedycrap
Joined: Oct 13, 2013
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February 11th, 2019 at 5:37:14 PM permalink
Quote: jackmagic777

NOT TRUE... I am done with this foolishness

Just keep a open mind. I will google it later.
unJon
unJon
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
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February 11th, 2019 at 6:11:06 PM permalink
Quote: jackmagic777

NOT TRUE... I am done with this foolishness

Was it foolish when you learned that the 15.4% take isnít an absolute?
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
jackmagic777
jackmagic777
Joined: Jan 11, 2019
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February 11th, 2019 at 6:14:33 PM permalink
Santa Anita ABSOLULETY does take 15.4% of the money wagered when there is not a MINUS POOL.
unJon
unJon
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
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February 11th, 2019 at 6:21:22 PM permalink
Quote: jackmagic777

Santa Anita ABSOLULETY does take 15.4% of the money wagered when there is not a MINUS POOL.

Hence not absolute. But conditional.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
jackmagic777
jackmagic777
Joined: Jan 11, 2019
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February 11th, 2019 at 6:29:30 PM permalink
My mistake You can have a guaranteed win if people will bet as much to show on the longest shot in the race as on the second favorite, Certainly that happens a lot. Or if you are allowed to post bet, so you can adjust the amounts bet on the non-favorite horses. Silly me.
unJon
unJon
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
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February 11th, 2019 at 6:33:05 PM permalink
Quote: jackmagic777

My mistake You can have a guaranteed win if people will bet as much to show on the longest shot in the race as on the second favorite, Certainly that happens a lot. Or if you are allowed to post bet, so you can adjust the amounts bet on the non-favorite horses. Silly me.



Indeed. Horses 2 through 6 donít need to have the same odds for this to work. Interesting math exercise to see the conditions when you can still win no matter how the horses finish. Hint: you donít bet the same amount on the horses.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
jackmagic777
jackmagic777
Joined: Jan 11, 2019
  • Threads: 1
  • Posts: 161
February 11th, 2019 at 6:34:48 PM permalink
Gee I was told that earlier . Just have to be able to post bet. HINT : No such condition exists

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