tuttigym

1)So you are saying that in a billion coin flips, you don’t “believe” that heads will appear almost exactly 50% of the time...essentially with 100% confidence...because it cannot be verified?Quote:tuttigymYour "example," in real world terms, can not be verified, so I personally and I am not sure anyone with real craps experience, would be "confident" of a 1.41% loss.

I do not want to seem rude, but "21" is much less complicated with only one wager at risk, so that contemplating a HE/HA is not that important, I believe. The suggestion regarding the Don't Pass bet is valid and could work, but again as you yourself would say, "no guarantees." There are always pitfalls to any extended play using the same strategy repeatedly.

tuttigym

2) Blackjack is so much more complicated than Craps that you can’t even compare them. You can work out the edge of nearly every Craps bet in your head. Yet I have never seen a direct calculation of the edge in blackjack...only simulations

You are seriously not smart enough to use Google?Quote:tuttigymNothing came up. Why not just tell me??

Quote:tuttigymNothing came up. Why not just tell me??

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_troll

Quote:In internet slang, a troll is a person who posts inflammatory, insincere, digressive, extraneous, or off-topic messages in an online community (such as a newsgroup, forum, chat room, or blog), with the intent of provoking readers into displaying emotional responses, or manipulating others' perception. This is typically for the troll's amusement

That’s a pretty insulting post. I’ve not quoted it in case you decide to edit it.

Also, I directed him to a page that told him to type "troll definition" into the search box, and he couldn't even handle THAT. Real genius there. Kind of what you'd expect from someone who signs his name after every post.

Though actually, this was the link I meant to share: https://letmegooglethat.com/?q=trolling

Quote:MichaelBluejaycouldn't even handle THAT.

In fairness, the UI and display in the early days of LMGTFY made it much more obvious what was going on. The updated link is an improvement.

He said 'nothing came up' and I can picture someone that age just not getting what to do

Tuttigym, I seem to be your Advocate and I don't know how I got here!

Quote:odiousgambit

Tuttigym, I seem to be your Advocate and I don't know how I got here!

It's a legit complaint. lmgtfy used to be the bee's knees; now apparently less so.

Quote:Ace21)So you are saying that in a billion coin flips, you don’t “believe” that heads will appear almost exactly 50% of the time...essentially with 100% confidence...because it cannot be verified?

No, I said I do not use the coin flip example at all to explain or justify HA/HE math. One does not need one billion trials of anything to prove a postulate or hypothesis. The coin flip 50% "heads/tails" postulate is a mathematical and statistical certainty simply because it happens often, not every time and not guaranteed to happen in any specified number of attempts. I may have written this before, so if I am repeating myself and you did not see it, I apologize, but in craps, a mathematical and statistical certainty is that the 7 will be rolled 16.667% of the time or one in 6 rolls of the dice. The event is witnessed at virtually every craps table and session in the gambling world. However, it does NOT necessarily occur consecutively, with any prescribed regularity, or within any time frame, and one does not need a billion rolls of the dice to prove that hypothesis.

Quote:Ace2) Blackjack is so much more complicated than Craps that you can’t even compare them. You can work out the edge of nearly every Craps bet in your head. Yet I have never seen a direct calculation of the edge in blackjack...only simulations

One does not have to "work out" the HE in "21." The "real edge" is that the dealer turns his card over AFTER the players make their decision based on their hand and what card the dealer has up. When the casinos went to multi-deck shoes, that edge increased even more, and when the casinos ruled that players could not enter the game in mid-shoe, that increased the HE, and if the dealer feels that some how there is an incredible card counter at their table, they will stop mid-shoe play and res-shuffle the cards and start a new shoe increasing the HE again. Obviously, based on your post you will disagree with that analysis or maybe not, and that is okay.

tuttigym