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BlackjackLover
BlackjackLover
Joined: Oct 2, 2018
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October 24th, 2018 at 1:40:56 PM permalink
The amount of money doesn't matter, but I wonder about the return. I played 5 hands. Was it just bad luck?
gamerfreak
gamerfreak
Joined: Dec 28, 2014
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October 24th, 2018 at 1:45:20 PM permalink
Quote: BlackjackLover

The amount of money doesn't matter, but I wonder about the return. I played 5 hands. Was it just bad luck?


Yup, bad variance.

Five hands (or 46?) is an extremely low sample size. The more hands you play the more you actual return will approach your theoretical return.
BlackjackLover
BlackjackLover
Joined: Oct 2, 2018
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October 24th, 2018 at 1:49:25 PM permalink
Five hands per round. I lost a lot of money very fast in those 46 rounds.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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October 24th, 2018 at 1:59:56 PM permalink
Quote: BlackjackLover

The amount of money doesn't matter, but I wonder about the return. I played 5 hands. Was it just bad luck?



There is no way to tell with certainty. Most likely bad luck. Sounds like (not clear from your original post) that you won around 15 of 46 hands. (Doubles, splits, BJs make it an approximation). Expected is around 21 or 22. 15 is bad luck, but I have had far worse runs....
billryan
billryan
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
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October 24th, 2018 at 2:13:07 PM permalink
Sometimes you get the bear, sometimes the bear gets you.
unJon
unJon
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
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IndyJeffrey
October 24th, 2018 at 2:17:18 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

Sometimes you get the bear, sometimes the bear gets you.

Sometimes you get the elevator, sometimes you get the shaft.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
BlackjackLover
BlackjackLover
Joined: Oct 2, 2018
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October 24th, 2018 at 2:42:51 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

There is no way to tell with certainty. Most likely bad luck. Sounds like (not clear from your original post) that you won around 15 of 46 hands. (Doubles, splits, BJs make it an approximation). Expected is around 21 or 22. 15 is bad luck, but I have had far worse runs....


Overall, I won only 11 rounds. I lost 32 rounds. There were 3 pushes.
Face
Administrator
Face
Joined: Dec 27, 2010
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beachbumbabsIndyJeffreyRigondeaux
October 24th, 2018 at 3:03:31 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

Sometimes you get the elevator, sometimes you get the shaft.



Obligatory

The opinions of this moderator are for entertainment purposes only.
Ace2
Ace2 
Joined: Oct 2, 2017
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BlackjackLover
October 24th, 2018 at 3:05:37 PM permalink
I get a per bet SD of 1.78 for 5 bets per hand.

So for 230 bets your result of -38% is about 3 SDs to the left of expectations (slightly more). A 3 SD event is about 1 in 370, so though itís certainly a bad streak itís not that rare at all for a regular player. In a weekend in Vegas I probably make 1,000 bets.

If you believe in clustering you should probably start betting big now. Lots of wins coming up after so many losses. This is not gamblers fallacy...totally different concept.
Itís all about making that GTA
7craps
7craps
Joined: Jan 23, 2010
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October 24th, 2018 at 4:10:22 PM permalink
Quote: Ace2

In a weekend in Vegas I probably make 1,000 bets.

Title says online, with no name given.
LOST A LOT OF MONEY IN 46 HANDS OF ONLINE BLACKJACK.

hope OP had some fun in all that
some might also say, "Better you than me"

who all trusts online blackjack games?
I see... not many

When I used to deal 21 in real casinos, last century, northern Nevada,
every time a player won a hand they thought it was their skill only
and
everytime a player LOST a hand, they ALWAYS blamed the dealer (In my case... ME!)

I was not even sexy like most of the female dealers around me
I hated dealing that game

Better LUCK next time
(imo, stay away from online play)
winsome johnny (not Win some johnny)

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