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mustangsally
mustangsally
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May 11th, 2015 at 8:54:20 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I estimated it lower because of the no re-splitting rule and lots of surrenders. I'm all ears as to a more precise value.

i ran 2 400 million round sims in cvdata and both were very close to each other
player advantage .695%
SD 1.14, so less than what i figured
then it has SD per shoe at 1.1 but i had it shuffle after every round so i do nots know what that is

this software hurts my eyes, just me, the text is so small on my monitor
i do not really use this software a lot so it also took me some time to go thru every tab and make sure i set the rules right
i thinks i did

you should be able to run a sim too if you have cvdata or one of qfit programs
i used all 4 threads and it was fast in me win 7 64-bit Dell laptop
so i was happy about that
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rainman
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May 11th, 2015 at 11:10:30 PM permalink
All the horrific results suffered playing this BJ game have happened to me on
IGT machines as well as several reputable online casino's one of which carries
a big endorsement from someone you know and respect.

Maybe I have not suffered 65 units in 222 rounds not sure but it could be close.
I have played millions upon millions of hands on IGT and online. I figure I
average 800+ hands an hour. I have lost 60-80 units within an hour
several times on both IGT and the endorsed casino. My play is usually
broken down into hour blocks so this devastation could have taken
20,40,50 minutes I'm not sure, only sure it happened within an hour.



Variance is an "SOB" these events can and do happen,
A single horrific mathematical event in this game can't prove
anything except that the said event can and does happen.
The frequency at which this horrific cataclysm happens
to you is all telling.

That being said I wouldn't deposit a plug nickel in this
Amateur blatantly deceitful excuse for a professional operation.
Wizard
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May 12th, 2015 at 5:52:29 AM permalink
Quote: mustangsally

SD 1.14, ...



Thank you. I use hand-rolled programs for everything I do.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
mustangsally
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May 12th, 2015 at 5:55:41 AM permalink
Quote: rainman

Maybe I have not suffered 65 units in 222 rounds not sure but it could be close.

i doubt you have seen and or played this game B4 with the stated rules that is.
60 units in 222 rounds with the stated rules i show abouts 1 in 3400 get ruined
so from 1 billion of the Wizards friends we would expect arounds 300,000 of them to do
just that and some (not most) would be ruined B4 222 rounds

other posters here want it to be known it could never happen
and it is their right to express their opinions too
events like -4.3SD never happens (but maybe 4.3 does) unless it is forced to happen


that is still so funny

my video here
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/blackjack/21921-blackjack-game-with-0-75-player-advantage/10/#post455143
is the same thing

because i said the BJ game i coded could be rigged against the player
all that play it say it is rigged and one can get that feeling by watching just the first few hands played

still funny too (2 or 1+1 but not 3-1)

Quote: rainman

That being said I wouldn't deposit a plug nickel in this
Amateur blatantly deceitful excuse for a professional operation.

nice opinion
it seems to me the online casinos that offer honest games are the ones some can win at
the ones that they lose at are cheating to some degree

this is so very entertaining i still say
and a very scientific approach to catching an online casino cheating red handed too

some love to catch fish
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teddys
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May 12th, 2015 at 7:15:26 AM permalink
Sally got a one track mind ...
"Dice, verily, are armed with goads and driving-hooks, deceiving and tormenting, causing grievous woe." -Rig Veda 10.34.4
mustangsally
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May 12th, 2015 at 8:24:03 AM permalink
Quote: teddys

Sally got a one track mind ...

maybe so

how about this

i posted my BlackJack video
is the game honest or did i code it to cheat the player

watching the 1st 4 hands and one should be able to tell, i think

let us make this fun

you bet me $10,000
if you guess right (it could be an educated guess) and you are right
that the Excel game in the video IS cheating the player - because i may have coded it to do just that
I pay you $20,000

if you are wrong
I give you back $5000
and keep $5000

of course, only I know the answer
we could use different units too

Hmmm,
i bet you will never win as i have 4 versions of that game
some cheat and some do not
hahaha
Mully
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TwoFeathersATL
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May 12th, 2015 at 8:31:42 AM permalink
Quote: teddys

Sally got a one track mind ...


I'm in love,.. I'm all shook up...
Hm, hm, hm...... Hmm , Hmm,... hey, hey....I'm all shook up!
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
odiousgambit
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May 12th, 2015 at 3:53:54 PM permalink
what? no news? now I gotta see what's going on with Teddy's other thing
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
Wizard
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May 12th, 2015 at 10:57:55 PM permalink
I just lost 33.5 units of $50 each in 189 hands. This is not as bad as some other stories in this thread. Probability of doing this bad or worse is 1.1%. I have it all on video but it would prove nothing to post it.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
MaxPen
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May 12th, 2015 at 11:10:23 PM permalink
Seems like this game has a 7.5% advantage for the house. I have seen better results from a group of roulette players.
Has anybody won yet?
rainman
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May 13th, 2015 at 12:46:21 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I just lost 33.5 units of $50 each in 189 hands. This is not as bad as some other stories in this thread. Probability of doing this bad or worse is 1.1%. I have it all on video but it would prove nothing to post it.



So now four players have run this bad or close to it at relatively the same time and same place in history whats the probability of that happening?

As bad as your run was I have been on the flip side of that and ran that good or better several times on an IGT with their
crappy no BJ and other rules, have also run this good 3 times on the big B but like I said earlier I have seen millions of
rounds.
AxelWolf
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May 13th, 2015 at 12:50:04 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I just lost 33.5 units of $50 each in 189 hands. This is not as bad as some other stories in this thread. Probability of doing this bad or worse is 1.1%. I have it all on video but it would prove nothing to post it.

Pleas post it, it can't hurt to do so.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
Romes
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May 13th, 2015 at 7:19:32 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I just lost 33.5 units of $50 each in 189 hands. This is not as bad as some other stories in this thread. Probability of doing this bad or worse is 1.1%. I have it all on video but it would prove nothing to post it.


EV = $70.86
SD = Sqrt(189)(1.1*50) = $756.12

33.5 units lost is 33.5*50 = $1675

...You're still more than 2 SD out, which isn't impossible, but very unlucky... Guess everyone is very unlucky, right?

Didn't you say you had normal and some winning experiences betting smaller? Now you got o $50/hand and have a 33.5 unit, more than 2 SD, loss.
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
mustangsally
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May 13th, 2015 at 7:49:28 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I just lost 33.5 units of $50 each in 189 hands. This is not as bad as some other stories in this thread. Probability of doing this bad or worse is 1.1%.

"The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. "

Example 1: A Blackjack player perceives a 0.71% advantage <snip>
If the standard deviation is 1.14, then the variance is 1.14 * 1.14 = 1.2996
The portion of bankroll to bet is 0.71% / 1.2996 = 0.00546321945213911972914742997845

Max bet for Bankroll:
1300: $7.10
1400: $7.65
1500: $8.19
1600: $8.74
1700: $9.29
1800: $9.83
1900: $10.38
2000: $10.93
5000: $27.32
10000: $54.63

key word remains
variance
even with Kelly

"Hi, my name is Kelly. It is so nice to meet you."
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mustangsally
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May 13th, 2015 at 7:53:04 AM permalink
Quote: Romes

but very unlucky...

how about a proof that your statement is indeed 100% fact

your opinions (and there are many) are so entertaining, thank you,
way more than mine (i whistle the same tune... always)
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Wizard
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May 13th, 2015 at 8:13:51 AM permalink
Quote: mustangsally

"Hi, my name is Kelly. It is so nice to meet you."



Nice to meet you too.

In my case, while I had $1756 in my account before I lost the $1675, I had plenty more where that came from.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
mustangsally
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May 13th, 2015 at 8:33:13 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I had plenty more where that came from.

of course, we all do

in other words

you are (or are you - order matters)
trying to say the probability to bust a Blackjack bankroll betting full Kelly is >0
while playing with an advantage

being that the min bet MAY be $1

but it must be less than 1% or is that 10%?
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mustangsally
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May 13th, 2015 at 8:36:41 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

In my case, while I had $1756 in my account

how about doing that again and try Kelly.
will you be ruined making Full Kelly bets
what are the odds of that?
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thecesspit
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May 13th, 2015 at 11:15:46 AM permalink
The Kelly Criterion and wether a game is rigged appear to be orthogonal questions... yeah sure, variance happens, but whether or not you had sufficient bank roll for a game with an edge at your bet size doesn't matter if the edge you expect is incorrect.


-2-4 SDs out of expected is not a smoking gun, but having data to show that the cards dealt are not 'fair' would be.
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
beachbumbabs
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May 13th, 2015 at 11:26:47 AM permalink
Quote: thecesspit

The Kelly Criterion and wether a game is rigged appear to be orthogonal questions... yeah sure, variance happens, but whether or not you had sufficient bank roll for a game with an edge at your bet size doesn't matter if the edge you expect is incorrect.


-2-4 SDs out of expected is not a smoking gun, but having data to show that the cards dealt are not 'fair' would be.



This is why I kept a hand log (at least that was my intent). The Wizard determines expectation of each choice by hand vs. dealer's up card, then chooses the most advantageous strategy. It seems to me that the easiest way to program a cheat is to change the expected ratio of dealer busts vs. dealer 21's/20's/qualifiers by just a little in order to change the EV enough for us to get these kind of results. A couple of If:then statements in a subroutine that keys by time of day, time of session play, something else, would be enough (I expect it would be a more subtle line or two of code by far). I'm still suspicious of being kicked out both nights, having to sign back in, and having drastically different results among my first 1600 hands. The last 300 were consistent with the bad results of the 1600, so I was in the bad "loss-mitigation" code already at that point.

If it were worth doing, I'd like to see the full EV chart of this particular strategy, and compare my 1900 hands broken down to those categories. However, in that amount of detail, I'm not sure 1900 is statistically significant, so it may not be worth doing. But there could be a smoking gun if a pattern emerged on a few particular hands.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
mustangsally
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May 13th, 2015 at 11:35:09 AM permalink
Quote: thecesspit

The Kelly Criterion and wether a game is rigged appear to be orthogonal questions... yeah sure, variance happens, but whether or not you had sufficient bank roll for a game with an edge at your bet size doesn't matter if the edge you expect is incorrect.

i simulated the game with the stated rules (twice or 2 times)
and got a .695% player edge
the Wizard calculated a bit higher

when one has the edge what is the best way to bet and maximize profits?
how about something from Ed Thorp (remember him? he has other papers about his concept too, especially about Blackjack)

from a wsj interview
http://www.futureblind.com/2008/03/ed-thorp-over-betting/

"This prevalence of over-betting has caused the downfall of many hedge funds and most recently the collapse of Bear Sterns. As Thorp states above, excessive leverage has a lot to do with it. Of course, you don’t need leverage to over-bet.

Let’s say you knew the exact probabilities and possible outcomes of a certain investment.
Then you use the Kelly Formula
to determine the optimum amount of your portfolio that should be placed in the investment. In this case, it’s 40%. If you keep making this same bet over and over again, a 40% allocation will give you the maximum possible return (which comes with large volatility). If you only put 30% into it, you’ll get a little less return with reduced volatility.
If you over-bet, putting 50% into the investment, you’ll get less return with more volatility. A pretty bad combination.

So basically, you never want to over-bet. If you always knew the exact probabilities like the above example, assuming you don’t mind a little volatility, you wouldn’t under-bet either. But outside the world of gambling, you never know the exact probabilities."

ET rules!

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mustangsally
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May 13th, 2015 at 12:12:32 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

I'm not sure 1900 is statistically significant, so it may not be worth doing. But there could be a smoking gun if a pattern emerged on a few particular hands.

1900 hands of this BJ game looks very normal to me
so i say it will be way more statistically significant
than just 900 hands (that looks normal too, 2 me)
or even just 90 hands

just admit it girl,
until you find the cheating,
you over-bet your bankroll

and that may have happened on most hands played (without looking)

you were up then down
that = variance
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Wizard
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May 13th, 2015 at 1:24:19 PM permalink
Regarding Kelly, yes, I claim that in a fair game with any player advantage and no minimum bet the probability of ruin is zero. However, I don't have the patience to dink around with $5 bets.

Here is the video of my last session as requested.

"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
beachbumbabs
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May 13th, 2015 at 2:07:22 PM permalink
So, let's say my hypothesis is that manipulation of double-down results is a wisp of smoke.

Double-down is +EV enough (double the value of a hit in many cases, best EV in all) that it's worth putting more money on the table, right? Ref: WoO Appendix 9

So, in the table below, out of 1900 hands:

147 total double-down opportunities, for 7.7737% of hands.

Record is W=77, L=64, P = 6. Net win is +13, for +26 units.
First 1000 hands: W=54, L=25, P=3.
Second 900 hands: W=23, L=39, P=3.

Net value in dollars for 1900 hands was $1050.00.
However, net value for first 1000 hands was $1330.00.
Net value for last 900 hands was -$280.00. Doubling. Really?

This started roughly when the game booted me and required me to re-sign in. (Which happened twice, but the first night it was in the 5th hundred hands, where I net lost 1.5 unit and quit for about 18 hours.)

The trend values for winning and losing doubles seems to mirror those of winning/losing as well, when if the game were honest, the doubles should not be consistently negative, as they're the most likely wins, and +ev by definition. Sure, a particular hundred hands might be a losing set of doubles, but I think there's a correlated trend indicated.


GameUnit $Starting $Ending $Net $$Net UD won D lost D pushD net Units
Classic10
1754.00
1804.00
50.00
5.0
4
0
1
8
Royal25
1773.30
1910.80
137.50
5.5
4
2
2
4
Royal25
1910.80
2360.80
450.00
18.0
7
2
0
10
Royal25
2360.80
2635.80
275.00
11.0
7
1
0
12
Royal 25
2635.80
2598.30
-37.50
-1.5
7
4
0
6
Royal 25
2508.30
2495.80
-12.50
-.5
3
1
0
4
Royal 25
2495.80
2858.30
362.50
14.5
8
4
0
8
Royal 25
2858.30
3245.80
387.50
15.5
8
3
0
10
Royal 25
3245.80
3483.30
237.50
9.5
6
3
0
6
Royal 25
3483.30
3433.30
-50.00
-2.0
0
5
0
-10
Royal 25
3433.30
3345.80
-87.50
-3.5
4
1
0
6
Royal 25
3345.80
2733.30
-612.50
-24.5
3
4
0
-2
Royal 25
2733.30
1533.30
-1200.00
-48.0
1
6
0
-10
Surrender 15
1533.30
1075.80
-457.50
-30.5
5
6
1
-2
Surrender 15
1075.80
528.30
-547.50
-36.5
2
3
0
-2
Surrender 15
528.30
228.30
-300.00
-20.0
1
2
1
-2
Classic2
228.30
132.30
-96.00
-48
3
7
0
-8
Classic2
132.30
96.30
-36.00
-18
1
5
1
-8
Classic2
96.30
25.30
-71.00
-35.5
3
5
0
-4
TOTALS1900 h
-$1608.00
-189.5
77
64
6
+26


Also, adding in the 300 hands at $2 for the 1900 hand total produced the following:

Gamehands/bet perStarting BR in $Ending BR in $Net $$Net UnitsSD in $SD result
TOTALS1900=19.00 avg bet
-$1608.00
-189.5
$209.00
-7.693780


-7.693780 SD's out. I say again, really?
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
RS
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May 13th, 2015 at 2:18:18 PM permalink
Deleted.
mustangsally
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May 13th, 2015 at 2:22:02 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

So,
-7.693780 SD's out. I say again, really?

the chance to lose $1600 in 1900 hands flat betting $20
is about 1 in 15
1 in 17 if you want the SD to be 1.1 instead of 1.14
So
see


i do not make this stuff up as it seems that i do (DUE)

is this what some call "data mining"
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mustangsally
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May 13th, 2015 at 2:23:00 PM permalink
Quote: RS

Deleted.

+1
hey hey
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beachbumbabs
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May 13th, 2015 at 2:51:58 PM permalink
Quote: mustangsally

the chance to lose $1600 in 1900 hands flat betting $20
is about 1 in 15
1 in 17 if you want the SD to be 1.1 instead of 1.14
So
see


i do not make this stuff up as it seems that i do (DUE)

is this what some call "data mining"



The only argument I have with your numbers (I'm still using Rome's values of 1.1 and .0075, so that differs a little as well) is the win goal. I don't care about $10,000. I only wanted to win $1 on my $200 investment, as the rest was bonus money. But I don't know how much the win goal matters to the RoR calculation - maybe it's just a placeholder you used? But how does it change the RoR, if at all, to change 10000 to $201?

The other caveat, though it would be very instructive to see where my RoR should have been at this point, using 1900 rounds, is:

Assuming my average bet was $20. 20% of that counts towards my bonus requirement playthrough. So it would take 57882/4 = 14471 rounds to get to the playthrough point and convert anything left (including my deposit) to cash. So 1900 is kind of irrelevant, though worth knowing as to my chances of making it this far. I mixed in a couple other games, with different percentages of playthrough value, but I crashed and burned somewhere around 8700 of the 57882 required. (Can't find in account history where it tells my exact amount, if it's available.)

I did, however, earn 3463.10 bonus points, which equals $34.63 in bonus money, that's still sitting there. Considering I only deposited $200.00, that seems a generous accumulation. I could be wrong.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
mustangsally
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May 13th, 2015 at 3:02:27 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

The only argument I have with your numbers (I'm still using Rome's values of 1.1 and .0075, so that differs a little as well) is the win goal. I don't care about $10,000. I only wanted to win $1 on my $200 investment, as the rest was bonus money. But I don't know how much the win goal matters to the RoR calculation - maybe it's just a placeholder you used? But how does it change the RoR, if at all, to change 10000 to $201?

i used the values you want
still 1 in 17 or 1 in 18 on how you round

I) Survival criterion -- 1900 rounds
does not use the win goal value

still not a certainty you can even win $1 before losing $1600 playing with an advantage
it is what it is

math is so fun!
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beachbumbabs
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May 13th, 2015 at 3:05:58 PM permalink
Quote: mustangsally

1900 hands of this BJ game looks very normal to me
so i say it will be way more statistically significant
than just 900 hands (that looks normal too, 2 me)
or even just 90 hands

just admit it girl,
until you find the cheating,
you over-bet your bankroll

and that may have happened on most hands played (without looking)

you were up then down
that = variance



MS,

I absolutely over-bet the BR ("my" BR is different from what I was willing to spend on this questionable casino, FWIW). No question in my mind. I was looking to test the game. I don't know if what I found is, in itself, statistically significant; I suspect it isn't. But it's a set of data points for the Wizard to use if he should get enough aggregated to make a case either fair or foul. Which was the point of doing it.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
beachbumbabs
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May 13th, 2015 at 3:06:45 PM permalink
Quote: mustangsally

i used the values you want
still 1 in 17 or 1 in 18 on how you round

I) Survival criterion -- 1900 rounds
does not use the win goal value

still not a certainty you can even win $1 before losing $1600 playing with an advantage
it is what it is

math is so fun!



Thanks, Sally!
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
rudeboyoi
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May 13th, 2015 at 4:07:55 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Regarding Kelly, yes, I claim that in a fair game with any player advantage and no minimum bet the probability of ruin is zero. However, I don't have the patience to dink around with $5 bets.

Here is the video of my last session as requested.



I feel like there should be some ominous music playing at the beginning of this video.
beachbumbabs
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May 13th, 2015 at 5:54:43 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Please let us know what they come back with. I've never heard of a game where a wild doesn't count in any position. If there must be such an awful rule, it should be disclosed. However, I'd like to give the casino a full opportunity to state their version. Information given via live chat is often incorrect, in my experience.



Update: received 5 returned emails in my inbox last night. Their server refused receipt. The message from my administrator:

Quote: BBB's mailer daemon

This Message was undeliverable due to the following reason:

Your message was not delivered because the destination computer was
not reachable within the allowed queue period. The amount of time
a message is queued before it is returned depends on local configura-
tion parameters.

Most likely there is a network problem that prevented delivery, but
it is also possible that the computer is turned off, or does not
have a mail system running right now.

Your message was not delivered within 4 days and 0 hours.
Host mission2game.com is not responding.



So the upshot is, the info they requested by email, they still have not received, though I've tried twice now. Any suggestions?

EDIT: I think I had one character wrong in the first broken-out-pics email address and duplicated the error on the rest; my fault. Sending again.

I'd be interested in knowing whether anyone else has heard from them in the past 5 days (the support via email folks, not the in-game chat). Thanks!
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
BoulderDamIt
BoulderDamIt
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May 13th, 2015 at 6:13:56 PM permalink
Wouldn't the slots be at a complete disadvantage if the Wild is not valid on the first reel? That means that any line touching that square is now a completely null line, correct?
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
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May 13th, 2015 at 6:16:53 PM permalink
Quote: BoulderDamIt

Wouldn't the slots be at a complete disadvantage if the Wild is not valid on the first reel? That means that any line touching that square is now a completely null line, correct?



Not completely. If the Wild on the first reel has one or more Wilds on adjacent subsequent reels, it wins on whatever Wild lines are formed with 2 or more wilds, but even if those lines win, they only count the value of two or more wilds; they don't act as wilds for any subsequent symbols.

Maybe a better way of saying it: First reel wilds are only wild unto themselves.





This is the only help screen that discusses wilds. They say "Wild symbol substitutes for all symbols except scatter or bonus." They don't say anywhere that if a wild is on the first reel, it's not wild unless it's on a line with another wild on reel 2 (at a minimum), in which case it uses the paytable listed above for any lines (of 25) that use those first 2 spots in a win. It is not wild for the other 9 symbols in the game, all of which need at least 3 on adjacent reels to win.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
BoulderDamIt
BoulderDamIt
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May 13th, 2015 at 7:01:04 PM permalink
But it still drastically drops the odds yes? It's like a blank space.
Also, the Wild has a Multiple possibility of 5 according to that picture. How is that possibile if any Wild on the first reel is null?
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
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May 13th, 2015 at 8:24:29 PM permalink
Quote: BoulderDamIt

But it still drastically drops the odds yes? It's like a blank space.
Also, the Wild has a Multiple possibility of 5 according to that picture. How is that possibile if any Wild on the first reel is null?



I would agree it drastically drops the odds. The wild on reel 1 is not null. It acts as a regular symbol with other wilds only. The wilds on subsequent reels are fully wild, and will act accordingly with all the other symbols.

If 5 wilds appear on all 5 reels on a played line, it will pay the 5 wilds value. If any symbol breaks up those wilds on reel 2, it pays nothing, even with wilds on reels 1,3,4,and 5. If a symbol breaks up the wilds on reel 3, it will pay the 2 wilds only, not 5 OAK of the symbol, or even 3OAK with wild, wild, symbol.

It's not just this machine, it's all of them according to in-game chat cust. svc., and I verified that on 2 other games. Have not heard back from support via email.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
andysif
andysif
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May 13th, 2015 at 9:46:29 PM permalink
This is plain robbery in broad day light.

Slot is not good pay in the first place, even with the "wild" really being wild.

With this "blank" (which I still think it is, after all your explanation) it must be paying around like 70% or something.
AxelWolf
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May 13th, 2015 at 10:23:20 PM permalink
Quote: andysif

This is plain robbery in broad day light.

Slot is not good pay in the first place, even with the "wild" really being wild.

With this "blank" (which I still think it is, after all your explanation) it must be paying around like 70% or something.


Slots are not always a bad play. IE Downtown Grand Loss rebate.

Doubtful it's even 70%.

That doesn't matter. What matters is the fact that the rules LIE at best. How many thousands have they cheated?



Even if the rules stated this, it's at minimum deception.

Anyone who thinks a casino that runs a tricky version of 9/6 Job and a no 1st line pay with a wild isn't cheating at BJ. I have a bridge to sell you.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
CLed
CLed
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May 13th, 2015 at 11:10:22 PM permalink
Those of you that have played there and are posting about it might want be sure that you are aware of this term in the casino's T&Cs section:

Quote:

20. If you are found to be cheating or attempting to defraud the Game, or if you make untrue and/or malicious comments with regard to the Company's operation, the Company reserves the right to publicize your actions together with your identity and e-mail address, as well as to circulate this information to other casinos, banks, credit card companies, and appropriate agencies.



Some of you are going to be identifiable due to the details posted here of your play sessions. The phrase "malicious comments" is open to wide interpretation and the casino's discretion. Its obviously a scummy term from an unprofessional outfit but you should be cautious anyway, especially if it turns out that the Wizard finds conclusive proof that these guys are cheating.
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
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May 13th, 2015 at 11:36:35 PM permalink
Quote: CLed

Those of you that have played there and are posting about it might want be sure that you are aware of this term in the casino's T&Cs section:

Quote:

20. If you are found to be cheating or attempting to defraud the Game, or if you make untrue and/or malicious comments with regard to the Company's operation, the Company reserves the right to publicize your actions together with your identity and e-mail address, as well as to circulate this information to other casinos, banks, credit card companies, and appropriate agencies.



Some of you are going to be identifiable due to the details posted here of your play sessions. The phrase "malicious comments" is open to wide interpretation and the casino's discretion. Its obviously a scummy term from an unprofessional outfit but you should be cautious anyway, especially if it turns out that the Wizard finds conclusive proof that these guys are cheating.



Your point is well taken. However, I stand by what I've reported, both good and bad, about the various games, and if the casino chooses to cause me trouble because of it, I expect they will invite further problems for themselves in doing so.

I think they may well be in breach of what they promised me as a member in not disclosing true information about how their games' paytables are set and, more than that, publishing misleading and false statements on their games. They say a symbol is wild for all symbols except bonus and scatter symbols; they are being dishonest. If they had disclosed the reel 1 exception information somewhere on the games and their paytable info, they would perhaps be within their rights, though I would be disinclined to do business with them. They did not. They took it one step further and actively misrepresented the value.

EDIT: I would mention, in response to their T&C clause above, that the following is on their website under Security.
Quote: mission2game


Mission2Game online casino is here to ensure and guarantee that your personal and financial information remains 100% confidential and secure at all times. We have implemented industry standard security protocols (including 128 bit, SSL data encryption technology) to ensure that all transactions including casino deposits and withdrawals are executed in a completely secure manner.

All financial transactions at the casino are carried out by Mission2Game casino and processed by the most advanced billing platforms available today. These technologies protect you from having your vital information intercepted by anyone while it is being transmitted between you and Mission2Game casino. Under NO circumstances will your details or personal information be passed to third-parties.



(from above) Under NO circumstances. Except...? No, under NO circumstances. 100% Confidential personal and financial information.

http://mission2game.com/fair_gaming.php
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
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May 14th, 2015 at 12:11:02 AM permalink
Quote: CLed

Those of you that have played there and are posting about it might want be sure that you are aware of this term in the casino's T&Cs section:



Quote:

20. If you are found to be cheating or attempting to defraud the Game, or if you make untrue and/or malicious comments with regard to the Company's operation, the Company reserves the right to publicize your actions together with your identity and e-mail address, as well as to circulate this information to other casinos, banks, credit card companies, and appropriate agencies.



That clause is really disgusting. Thank you for bringing it to our attention. Good first post!
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
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May 14th, 2015 at 1:44:41 AM permalink
I was talking with rudeboyoi about having him play and Video the results, if I could get someone to take bets on the red/black feature.

I mentioned I was reluctant to ask for my casino results file because "I know I sound like a conspiracy theorist, but doing so could lead to my information being spread around" Who knows what they could do or what other places they could be involved with. including software providers.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
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May 14th, 2015 at 2:11:12 AM permalink
Quote: rudeboyoi

I've enjoyed following this thread. It's another example of anarchy in action. How to deal with fraud in a stateless society. The other recent example here being the strictlyAP welching incident.

Great example instead of being physically shut down, fined and jailed they continue to defraud people. Meanwhile we sit and talk about it online. They lose very little not having a few AP's running bonuses compared to what they bring in.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
rudeboyoi
rudeboyoi
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May 14th, 2015 at 4:13:40 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Great example instead of being physically shut down, fined and jailed they continue to defraud people. Meanwhile we sit and talk about it online. They lose very little not having a few AP's running bonuses compared to what they bring in.



On the contrary it's a wonderful example. It only takes a few to warn the many about their fraudulent practices urging others to then shun them. If they're determined to be fraudulent then I'm assuming it will most likely be blacklisted on latestcasinobonuses.com. Then those that visit lcb will learn they probably shouldn't play on their site. I have no idea what kind of traffic lcb gets but I'm assuming it's at least in the hundreds of thousands and all it took was a handful of people here to warn those hundreds of thousands.
Wizard
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May 14th, 2015 at 6:50:09 AM permalink
Quote: rudeboyoi

On the contrary it's a wonderful example. It only takes a few to warn the many about their fraudulent practices urging others to then shun them. If they're determined to be fraudulent then I'm assuming it will most likely be blacklisted on latestcasinobonuses.com. Then those that visit lcb will learn they probably shouldn't play on their site. I have no idea what kind of traffic lcb gets but I'm assuming it's at least in the hundreds of thousands and all it took was a handful of people here to warn those hundreds of thousands.



The guy who owns LCB it the one who bought all the Wizard sites. He is watching this issue carefully.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
AxelWolf
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May 14th, 2015 at 7:17:56 AM permalink
Quote: rudeboyoi

On the contrary it's a wonderful example. It only takes a few to warn the many about their fraudulent practices urging others to then shun them. If they're determined to be fraudulent then I'm assuming it will most likely be blacklisted on latestcasinobonuses.com. Then those that visit lcb will learn they probably shouldn't play on their site. I have no idea what kind of traffic lcb gets but I'm assuming it's at least in the hundreds of thousands and all it took was a handful of people here to warn those hundreds of thousands.

Wonderful they will only get to cheat less people.

The rapists, molesters and thugs will move around and do exactly the same things. Your Idea is nice to think about, but it's not practical and wont work.
We need laws cops and punishment.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
rudeboyoi
rudeboyoi
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May 14th, 2015 at 7:37:20 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Wonderful they will only get to cheat less people.

The rapists, molesters and thugs will move around and do exactly the same things. Your Idea is nice to think about, but it's not practical and wont work.
We need laws cops and punishment.



Fraud isn't a crime. It's just being a jerk to other people. Hence the shunning. Rapists, molestors, and thugs are criminals. And will be defended against the same way they are now. As things are now police can not protect you nor do they have any obligation to. There's been supreme court rulings stating they have no 9th ligation to and if they did indeed decide to show up to protect you their average response time is 11 minutes. Only you can protect yourself or those in close proximity to you such as your family and neighbors. The problem is people have this misconception that police are there to protect them so are less prepared to defend themselves and criminals know this. Without the police they can't hold onto this false belief and will be more prepared to defend themselves and when criminals find out that people are more willing to defend themselves they will be less likely to commit crimes against others.
mustangsally
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May 14th, 2015 at 8:12:28 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Regarding Kelly, yes, I claim that in a fair game with any player advantage and no minimum bet the probability of ruin is zero.

many others have claimed that also
like Dr. Thorp (how about you coming to Newport Beach, CA and interviewing him. I bet $2.50 he would like that.
Your wife can go shopping and the kids can hit the beach - maybe the Wedge!)
He seems like such a super nice guy
I like him!

where am I
spinning
so that tells me with a min bet the RoR is >0

Quote: Wizard

However, I don't have the patience to dink around with $5 bets.

ding!
so the reason(s) you started this thread was
to show a money making opportunity to your readers
at a new and unknown casino, ands MAYbe to see how honest they are while doing just that

so, last question (given the casino games are honest)
IF you really wanted to take money (win) playing the games .6%, .71% and .75% players edge
how would you go about that and with a players edge, when would you stop playing?
(flat betting is a good answer)

the drift is up, i do know that part

do not be shy
and have fun!
I Heart Vi Hart
AxelWolf
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May 14th, 2015 at 9:04:23 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

He is watching this issue carefully.



So far they have suspicious BJ games.

They have a deceptive VP game.

They have slots that don't pay correctly according to their slot rules.

Anytime your game crashes you lose your money that's currently being wagered. That's very 1990's technology.

They have fairly poor support.

They have despicable terms and conditions threatening the distribution of players personal information.

This is probably just the tip of the iceberg.
What does it take to put them on a Warning/blacklist list? Why haven't they said anything on LBC? Links on the ODDS site go directly to the casino and give no warning to potential problems.
Someone may not notice they had a pending BJ hand or bonus when game crashes and they lose it.

Shouldn't the guy who owns LCB and the one who bought all the Wizard sites address the situation.

A member on LBC reported this to the comments section of M2Gon March 26th. That's plenty of time to have fixed the issues.

"On Anyway, as a side note this casino has a very bad reputation. Searches online have shown that on many slots the symbols don't pay as they should. There's a video showing wild symbols sometimes paying as they should, but other times not even registering as a wild. Plus people have reported bonus rounds freezing and when they go back to it, the bonus round doesn't exist and they do not get their winnings... Be warned!!!"
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
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