DMackdaddy
DMackdaddy
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August 3rd, 2012 at 9:22:37 AM permalink
Hey,

Ok a little background, the casino near me stands on soft 17, uses 6 decks, doubling is allowed after all splits on any two cards, dealer peaks, late surrender is allowed on any two cards, player can split up to 4 hands, except for Aces where only one split is allowed and you only get one card after splitting aces.

My question is this:

After i split aces and get the one card that I am allowed, I am allowed to surrender each "A-Whatever" hand individually. Which hand values should I be surrendering against which dealer up cards?

The hand values can range from 12 to 21, and the dealer could have a 2 to A for their up card.

This is the one situation I'm always questioning myself what to do. Should I be surrendering in any situation here?

Thanks for everybody's help.

I HOPE THE WIZARD WILL SEE THIS POST CUZ I'M HOPING TO HEAR WHAT HE HAS TO SAY.
FinsRule
FinsRule
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August 3rd, 2012 at 9:49:22 AM permalink
The part I don't know is what to do if you have 17. If I had to guess, I'd say 17, surrender with 10-A.

If you have 18 or more, never surrender.

16 or fewer, surrender against 8-A.

(This is an educated guess)
dwheatley
dwheatley
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August 3rd, 2012 at 9:55:15 AM permalink
You can use this return table to get very close to optimal surrendering play. If the EV of standing is less than -0.5, you should surrender.

So, surrender 16 or less against 8-A
DON'T surrender anything else. Including 17 vs A (-0.478 for standing)
Wisdom is the quality that keeps you out of situations where you would otherwise need it
Switch
Switch
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August 3rd, 2012 at 9:58:26 AM permalink
Normally late surrender applies to the first 2 cards only, however, if it's any 2 cards then, by splitting Aces, you would surrender a hand that was less than 17 against a dealer up-card that has greater than 75% of making a total (or less than 25% chance of 'busting').

So, if you split Aces and end up with soft 12,13,14,15 or 16 then you should surrender against a dealer 8, 9 10 or Ace. A dealer 7 is a close surrender but you gain slightly more by not surrendering. Also, (if I've calculated correctly), 17 verses Ace is a close decision but again you are slightly better off by not surrendering.


edit: posted this same time as dwheatley above ...
DMackdaddy
DMackdaddy
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August 3rd, 2012 at 10:12:50 AM permalink
Thanks dwheatley and thanks Switch for doing the math on this.....I'll use this rule the next time I play...that would be tonight lol.
Hunterhill
Hunterhill
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August 3rd, 2012 at 10:16:34 AM permalink
Quote: DMackdaddy

Hey,

Ok a little background, the casino near me stands on soft 17, uses 6 decks, doubling is allowed after all splits on any two cards, dealer peaks, late surrender is allowed on any two cards, player can split up to 4 hands, except for Aces where only one split is allowed and you only get one card after splitting aces.

My question is this:

After i split aces and get the one card that I am allowed, I am allowed to surrender each "A-Whatever" hand individually. Which hand values should I be surrendering against which dealer up cards?

The hand values can range from 12 to 21, and the dealer could have a 2 to A for their up card.

This is the one situation I'm always questioning myself what to do. Should I be surrendering in any situation here?

Thanks for everybody's help.

I HOPE THE WIZARD WILL SEE THIS POST CUZ I'M HOPING TO HEAR WHAT HE HAS TO SAY.


I believe this would be the same as double down rescue in spanish 21.you should surrender totals of 12-16 against 8-A and 17 against A
The mountain is tall but grass grows on top of the mountain.
jmaftir
jmaftir
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August 3rd, 2012 at 10:22:01 AM permalink
I would also be surprised if they let you surrender a hand after a split. Please confirm that is the case.
24Bingo
24Bingo
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August 3rd, 2012 at 10:33:14 AM permalink
I'm not sure the Spanish 21 strategy (surrender up to 16 against 8-A, 17 against A) is optimal, since that's assuming fewer tens. If nothing else, my guess would be it prices you in to surrender low totals against a 7, but I'm not even close to certain, and the math is pretty tedious unless there's a trick I'm missing.
The trick to poker is learning not to beat yourself up for your mistakes too much, and certainly not too little, but just the right amount.
MangoJ
MangoJ
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August 3rd, 2012 at 10:36:53 AM permalink
Quote: 24Bingo

the math is pretty tedious unless there's a trick I'm missing.



The math is simple: If you have the choice between surrender and an (implicit) stand, you surrender (EV = -0.5) your hand if the EV on stand is lower.
If you consult the table (which is given above), you find that this is the case for all stiff hands against dealers 8, 9, 10, or Ace.
bigpete88
bigpete88
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August 3rd, 2012 at 10:51:08 AM permalink
Those are as favorable rules as I have ever seen. Pound that game if you are able. Standard Vegas strip rules with the added bonus of late surrender.
Hunterhill
Hunterhill
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August 3rd, 2012 at 11:05:00 AM permalink
Quote: 24Bingo

I'm not sure the Spanish 21 strategy (surrender up to 16 against 8-A, 17 against A) is optimal, since that's assuming fewer tens. If nothing else, my guess would be it prices you in to surrender low totals against a 7, but I'm not even close to certain, and the math is pretty tedious unless there's a trick I'm missing.

I was wrong about using spanish, surrendering 17 against ace is wrong foR S17
The mountain is tall but grass grows on top of the mountain.
DMackdaddy
DMackdaddy
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August 3rd, 2012 at 11:36:04 AM permalink
Quote: bigpete88

Those are as favorable rules as I have ever seen. Pound that game if you are able. Standard Vegas strip rules with the added bonus of late surrender.



Would you get even more jealous if I told you this casino openly supports counting? There's one dealer that burns the first card and says while showing it....so if you're counting that's a -1 (or +1) lol.
24Bingo
24Bingo
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August 3rd, 2012 at 11:58:41 AM permalink
Quote: MangoJ

The math is simple: If you have the choice between surrender and an (implicit) stand, you surrender (EV = -0.5) your hand if the EV on stand is lower.
If you consult the table (which is given above), you find that this is the case for all stiff hands against dealers 8, 9, 10, or Ace.



Return table. That would be the trick.
The trick to poker is learning not to beat yourself up for your mistakes too much, and certainly not too little, but just the right amount.
DMackdaddy
DMackdaddy
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August 3rd, 2012 at 12:40:08 PM permalink
Quote: jmaftir

I would also be surprised if they let you surrender a hand after a split. Please confirm that is the case.



Yes, that is the case.

You split aces, the dealer gives you one card on one hand, then asks if you want to surrender. You can either signal to surrender or wave sideways to stay....the dealer then gives you your other card on the other ace....then you get the same options.
AcesAndEights
AcesAndEights
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August 3rd, 2012 at 12:49:55 PM permalink
Quote: DMackdaddy

Yes, that is the case.

You split aces, the dealer gives you one card on one hand, then asks if you want to surrender. You can either signal to surrender or wave sideways to stay....the dealer then gives you your other card on the other ace....then you get the same options.


Dat shit cray!
"So drink gamble eat f***, because one day you will be dust." -ontariodealer
mga
mga
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August 8th, 2012 at 11:18:37 AM permalink
Quote: DMackdaddy

Hey,

Ok a little background, the casino near me stands on soft 17, uses 6 decks, doubling is allowed after all splits on any two cards, dealer peaks, late surrender is allowed on any two cards, player can split up to 4 hands, except for Aces where only one split is allowed and you only get one card after splitting aces.

My question is this:

After i split aces and get the one card that I am allowed, I am allowed to surrender each "A-Whatever" hand individually. Which hand values should I be surrendering against which dealer up cards?

The hand values can range from 12 to 21, and the dealer could have a 2 to A for their up card.

This is the one situation I'm always questioning myself what to do. Should I be surrendering in any situation here?

Thanks for everybody's help.

I HOPE THE WIZARD WILL SEE THIS POST CUZ I'M HOPING TO HEAR WHAT HE HAS TO SAY.



Shouldn't OP just follow standard late surrender rules?
i.e 16 vs 9/X/A and 15 vs X at neutral counts
mga
mga
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August 8th, 2012 at 11:22:11 AM permalink
I should add that using LS properly should add a decent amount of EV to (basic indexes are easy to learn) a card-counter. That said, surrendering when you shouldn't (eg any 17) is a huge mistake and will cost lots in EV.
MangoJ
MangoJ
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August 8th, 2012 at 11:43:16 AM permalink
Quote: mga

Shouldn't OP just follow standard late surrender rules?



Nope, because standard strategy is "best of stand, hit, split, double, or surrender".
After you split your aces, you need "best of stand or surrender" - which is quite different.
dwheatley
dwheatley
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August 8th, 2012 at 12:26:45 PM permalink
Quote: dwheatley

You can use this return table to get very close to optimal surrendering play. If the EV of standing is less than -0.5, you should surrender.

So, surrender 16 or less against 8-A
DON'T surrender anything else. Including 17 vs A (-0.478 for standing)



The issue of counting is why I said close to optimal. If you are counting, you need the index numbers for all the surrenders (16 and under would have the same index number)
Wisdom is the quality that keeps you out of situations where you would otherwise need it
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