The Adventures of MDawg II
November 3rd, 2023 at 7:40:22 PM
permalink
Day 33 play
Baccarat
Light action.
+4000
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
Baccarat
Light action.
+4000
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 3rd, 2023 at 9:11:39 PM
permalink
Louis Vuitton has moved to a new larger store near Watches of Switzerland (Rolex store), and McLaren taken its place.
Once again, vehicles for sale inside the Wynn. Remember the Ferrari store down at the end past where Chrome Hearts is now?
Once again, vehicles for sale inside the Wynn. Remember the Ferrari store down at the end past where Chrome Hearts is now?
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 3rd, 2023 at 9:12:29 PM
permalink
Formula 1 cars right inside the casino behind the Wynn tables.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 5th, 2023 at 5:04:08 AM
permalink
Day 34 play
Baccarat
Won most of it on one single advantage hand, with an expected outcome that...turned out as expected!
+21000
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
Baccarat
Won most of it on one single advantage hand, with an expected outcome that...turned out as expected!
+21000
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 5th, 2023 at 6:15:43 AM
permalink
Quote: MDawgDay 34 play
Baccarat
Won most of it on one single advantage hand, with an expected outcome that...turned out as expected!
+21000
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
link to original post
What were you betting before the ‘advantage hand’? And what did you bet on that single hand? Would anyone other than you watching the play realize it was ‘an advantage hand’?
And was your advantage slight (like a card counter) or something more?
November 5th, 2023 at 9:48:38 PM
permalink
You have to understand that everyone who plays Baccarat thinks that there is some reason that a certain hand gets for example a natural 8 or 9, that it's not all random. So any human watching including the crew would have no idea how or why I picked that hand or bet so much on it.
Obviously too anyone watching behind the scenes hasn't figured it out either.
Obviously too anyone watching behind the scenes hasn't figured it out either.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 5th, 2023 at 9:53:07 PM
permalink
Day 35 play
Baccarat
Three sessions, cumulative win. Heavy hitting galore!
+6100
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
Baccarat
Three sessions, cumulative win. Heavy hitting galore!
+6100
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 5th, 2023 at 10:40:21 PM
permalink
Was the posters question ever answered?
November 5th, 2023 at 11:52:15 PM
permalink
Quote: Wynn4meWas the posters question ever answered?
link to original post
Yes, he answered by not answering.
November 8th, 2023 at 9:14:54 AM
permalink
Day 36 play
Baccarat
Couple sessions, cumulative win. No big bets.
+7200
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
Baccarat
Couple sessions, cumulative win. No big bets.
+7200
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 9th, 2023 at 7:22:01 AM
permalink
Day 37 play
Baccarat
I was up about ten K, went all the way back to even, then ended first session around +5K, came back for a second session and clear some more.
+9100
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
Baccarat
I was up about ten K, went all the way back to even, then ended first session around +5K, came back for a second session and clear some more.
+9100
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 9th, 2023 at 7:37:44 AM
permalink
Another one of these small head $100s came my way while cashing winning chips. These are worth more than $100. if you can find a buyer.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 9th, 2023 at 7:43:24 AM
permalink
The Sands Bridge between Wynn and Venetian has been closed off with webbing, probably to make sure no one throws anything onto the F1 race course, but also maybe to discourage free unobstructed viewing of the race.
Lights installed - everywhere.
Lights installed - everywhere.
Last edited by: MDawg on Nov 9, 2023
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 9th, 2023 at 7:45:37 AM
permalink
Venetian stadium seats being installed.
Stadium seats next to Mirage.
You'll notice no northbound traffic on the Strip. This was at mid-day on a weekday. These days generally, there is a lot of traffic going south on the Strip between Wynn/Venetian and Cosmopolitan, and depending on the number of lanes open, northbound traffic may look like this:
One morning it took me forty five minutes to go north from Cosmopolitan to Palazzo.
Stadium seats next to Mirage.
You'll notice no northbound traffic on the Strip. This was at mid-day on a weekday. These days generally, there is a lot of traffic going south on the Strip between Wynn/Venetian and Cosmopolitan, and depending on the number of lanes open, northbound traffic may look like this:
One morning it took me forty five minutes to go north from Cosmopolitan to Palazzo.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 9th, 2023 at 7:55:27 AM
permalink
If you like hot dogs, in Henderson there is a place called Steamie Weanie that is quite good.
Authentic dogs. (These two are turkey, but they have of course beef ones too.)
Not the ones filled with discordant crap at Dirt Dog.
Authentic dogs. (These two are turkey, but they have of course beef ones too.)
Not the ones filled with discordant crap at Dirt Dog.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 9th, 2023 at 8:04:02 AM
permalink
If you're a fan of octopus (I am not - I left most of the octopus uneaten), Allegro at Wynn has a new dish, a shellfish pot, with Clams, Mussels, Octopus, Fennel, Lobster Saffron Broth, Garlic Butter Toasted Focaccia.
No real seasoning it is not a "hot" pot.
No real seasoning it is not a "hot" pot.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 9th, 2023 at 8:15:43 AM
permalink
I have written in the past about how Nobu tends to put too much salt in their dishes, in their sauces and dressing. We advised them to take it easy on that, as well as put one or two of the sauces on the side (including on their signature black cod) and had the seven course Omakase tasting menu. Will run you about $500. before tip for two, with no alcohol. Actually was quite good, and service excellent.
I set up those low sodium soy sauce with wasabi bowls at the beginning of the dinner, but didn't really need them as the food came with its own special sauces.
For sixth course I had sea bass
she had steak.
That dessert in the middle is infused with whiskey, it probably has a proof.
I set up those low sodium soy sauce with wasabi bowls at the beginning of the dinner, but didn't really need them as the food came with its own special sauces.
For sixth course I had sea bass
she had steak.
That dessert in the middle is infused with whiskey, it probably has a proof.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 9th, 2023 at 8:58:00 AM
permalink
Quote: MDawgIf you like hot dogs, in Henderson there is a place called Steamie Weanie that is quite good.
I lived just a couple of blocks from Steamie Weenie and I also liked it.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
November 9th, 2023 at 10:31:41 AM
permalink
I wrote a script to parse the 83 pages of HTML in this thread and pull out all of your session results. I found 254 unique dollar amounts representing your reported sessions wins/losses. The collection of results you report in this thread have some very odd statistical properties. I am sure that I had some parsing errors when I did this because I only spent an hour on it. Still, I find the distribution of reported wins very odd and hard to explain if they were accurate results from real-world gambling sessions.Quote: MDawgDay 37 play
Baccarat
I was up about ten K, went all the way back to even, then ended first session around +5K, came back for a second session and clear some more.
+9100
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
link to original post
Would it be possible for you to give us the complete list of the session results that you have reported in this thread? You could put it in a spoiler if the list is too long. Perhaps I will find out that my data extraction method is flawed. Or perhaps there is an explanation of why your results have such a strange non-gaussian distribution. If your results are legit, you should be happy to submit the complete data set to statistical analysis.
Gambling is a math contest where the score is tracked in dollars. Try not to get a negative score.
November 9th, 2023 at 10:34:50 AM
permalink
Are you referring to that I like to stop at certain points?
And this is the MDawg challenge.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 9th, 2023 at 11:10:40 AM
permalink
What points do you like to stop at?Quote: MDawgAre you referring to that I like to stop at certain points?
And this is the MDawg challenge.
link to original post
Gambling is a math contest where the score is tracked in dollars. Try not to get a negative score.
November 9th, 2023 at 12:41:28 PM
permalink
Don't be an idiot (not calling you an idiot)Quote: MentalI wrote a script to parse the 83 pages of HTML in this thread and pull out all of your session results. I found 254 unique dollar amounts representing your reported sessions wins/losses. The collection of results you report in this thread have some very odd statistical properties. I am sure that I had some parsing errors when I did this because I only spent an hour on it. Still, I find the distribution of reported wins very odd and hard to explain if they were accurate results from real-world gambling sessions.Quote: MDawgDay 37 play
Baccarat
I was up about ten K, went all the way back to even, then ended first session around +5K, came back for a second session and clear some more.
+9100
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
link to original post
Would it be possible for you to give us the complete list of the session results that you have reported in this thread? You could put it in a spoiler if the list is too long. Perhaps I will find out that my data extraction method is flawed. Or perhaps there is an explanation of why your results have such a strange non-gaussian distribution. If your results are legit, you should be happy to submit the complete data set to statistical analysis.
link to original post
Someone already looked into his past claims and ran some calculations on a different forum, It was like 18 yo's in a row territory. Please refer to Mdawgs claims of some 50 something BJ wins in a row.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
November 9th, 2023 at 2:15:03 PM
permalink
Quote: AxelWolfPlease refer to Mdawgs claims of some 50 something BJ wins in a row.
link to original post
I've done 40 something roulette wins in a row, I think what he said is completely plausible.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
November 9th, 2023 at 2:37:09 PM
permalink
Quote: MDawgAnother one of these small head $100s came my way while cashing winning chips. These are worth more than $100. if you can find a buyer.
link to original post
I came across an old hundred like this a couple of years ago. I sold it on eBay and ended up profiting maybe $10-$12 on it. At that point it was probably just barely worth the effort; I don't know if I'd go through the trouble again.
November 9th, 2023 at 2:42:11 PM
permalink
I did what I did for my own amusement. I was curious what sort of distribution was formed by the results in his session posts. I reached my own conclusions already. I just asked a simple yes-or-no question about the willingness to share primary data. It seems like the answer is 'no' to sharing primary data or to offering explanations for why it the distribution is so odd.Quote: AxelWolfDon't be an idiot (not calling you an idiot)
Someone already looked into his past claims and ran some calculations on a different forum, It was like 18 yo's in a row territory. Please refer to Mdawgs claims of some 50 something BJ wins in a row.
link to original post
Gambling is a math contest where the score is tracked in dollars. Try not to get a negative score.
November 9th, 2023 at 3:56:00 PM
permalink
We might be talking about something different unless you have a different name on a different forum. Someone did a calculation on Dawgs previous number of session wins and it was statistically outrageous.Quote: MentalI did what I did for my own amusement. I was curious what sort of distribution was formed by the results in his session posts. I reached my own conclusions already. I just asked a simple yes-or-no question about the willingness to share primary data. It seems like the answer is 'no' to sharing primary data or to offering explanations for why it the distribution is so odd.Quote: AxelWolfDon't be an idiot (not calling you an idiot)
Someone already looked into his past claims and ran some calculations on a different forum, It was like 18 yo's in a row territory. Please refer to Mdawgs claims of some 50 something BJ wins in a row.
link to original post
link to original post
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
November 9th, 2023 at 10:29:11 PM
permalink
40 consecutive even-money roulette wins is a probability of (18/38)^40 =~ 1 in 9.6 trillion.Quote: EvenBobQuote: AxelWolfPlease refer to Mdawgs claims of some 50 something BJ wins in a row.
link to original post
I've done 40 something roulette wins in a row, I think what he said is completely plausible.
link to original post
That is the opposite of “completely plausible”. It didn’t happen
It’s all about making that GTA
November 9th, 2023 at 10:41:18 PM
permalink
Quote: Ace240 consecutive even-money roulette wins is a probability of (18/38)^40 =~ 1 in 9.6 trillion.
That is the opposite of “completely plausible”. It didn’t happen
link to original post
Your math is wrong. You're using random guesses against random outcomes, that's not what I do. My bets are not random, they are educated guesses and you have no math for that. So yes, it did happen. Live with it..
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
November 9th, 2023 at 11:08:02 PM
permalink
Unless you detected a biased wheel after recording thousands of spins, roulette is random. That’s a fact you cannot debate
It’s all about making that GTA
November 10th, 2023 at 7:23:09 AM
permalink
Quote: Ace2Unless you detected a biased wheel after recording thousands of spins, roulette is random. That’s a fact you cannot debate
link to original post
Wrong. But I'm not going to hijack this thread with roulette, go to one of my roulette threads.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
November 10th, 2023 at 7:38:58 AM
permalink
Quote: Ace2Unless you detected a biased wheel after recording thousands of spins, roulette is random. That’s a fact you cannot debate
link to original post
November 10th, 2023 at 7:57:08 AM
permalink
As far as AWolf, I haven't observed a clear recollection from him about anything that happened more than weeks ago. He is recollecting my blackjack run imprecisely, and if he'd care to state whatever he recollects from that other forum in other than a dim general way, then we could comment on it. Otherwise, I don't take anything he has to say seriously and his less than perfect memory is just a part of the reason.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 10th, 2023 at 7:58:55 AM
permalink
Quote: MentalWhat points do you like to stop at?Quote: MDawgAre you referring to that I like to stop at certain points?
And this is the MDawg challenge.
link to original post
link to original post
Few grand, five grand, ten grand, then usually go for twenty grand, are some of them. Frequently I get past these points, slip, and then stop. On some of these reports I might drop the small change from the final figure.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 10th, 2023 at 8:04:23 AM
permalink
Day 38 play
Baccarat
Pretty smooth and steady.
+11100
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
Baccarat
Pretty smooth and steady.
+11100
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 10th, 2023 at 8:09:53 AM
permalink
Quote: MDawgAs far as AWolf, I haven't observed a clear recollection from him about anything that happened more than weeks ago. He is recollecting my blackjack run imprecisely, and if he'd care to state whatever he recollects from that other forum in other than a dim general way, then we could comment on it. Otherwise, I don't take anything he has to say seriously and his less than perfect memory is just a part of the reason.
link to original post
I run into this constantly with him. He asks me the same questions over and over that I've already answered like he's never heard it before. It's amazing. He'll ask me the most basic questions that I've answered dozens of times and like it's all new to him. I keep asking him if there's something wrong with him, and he never answers. He's either not paying attention or something's wrong with his memory.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
November 10th, 2023 at 8:16:39 AM
permalink
He also states that he only half reads or skims most of what is written. Waste of my time to try to counter most of what he posts because he gets it wrong almost always, if not always.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 10th, 2023 at 8:54:19 AM
permalink
I am just trying to be helpful. You can post whatever you want. If you have the records that back up your postings, create a histogram on the dollar amounts that you posted in this thread. You will see that $5/10/20K is not where the distributions look hinky. Better yet, post the complete data set and someone here will do the analysis. They can help you create session amounts that look less suspect in the future.Quote: MDawgQuote: MentalWhat points do you like to stop at?Quote: MDawgAre you referring to that I like to stop at certain points?
And this is the MDawg challenge.
link to original post
link to original post
Few grand, five grand, ten grand, then usually go for twenty grand, are some of them. Frequently I get past these points, slip, and then stop. On some of these reports I might drop the small change from the final figure.
link to original post
By the way, I broke your data set into four equal parts, and each part exhibits the same anomalies. At least your method is consistent. I might go back to the prior thread and look at that data, too. My casino play patterns change from month to month. Conditions change -- I adapt. It would be amazing if your winning patterns are stayed consistent over more than two years.
Gambling is a math contest where the score is tracked in dollars. Try not to get a negative score.
November 10th, 2023 at 9:08:19 AM
permalink
All session reports are posted.
And are accurate. Like I said, might be rounded down, but otherwise exact.
How did you come up with the name Mental? That's a derogatory insult meaning - well you know what it means. Why did you pick it?
And are accurate. Like I said, might be rounded down, but otherwise exact.
How did you come up with the name Mental? That's a derogatory insult meaning - well you know what it means. Why did you pick it?
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 10th, 2023 at 9:25:35 AM
permalink
Of course they are accurate. I wouldn't even be doing the exercise if you were representing this thread as pure fiction. If it was fiction, the distribution could be anything you chose for dramatic effect.Quote: MDawgAll session reports are posted.
And are accurate. Like I said, might be rounded down, but otherwise exact.
How did you come up with the name Mental? That's a derogatory insult meaning - well you know what it means. Why did you pick it?
link to original post
By the way, I did not run your results through a filter for Benford's Law and I am not interested in rounding errors.
I used to play Blokus online. My screen name was MentalBlok. The other players called me Mental.
Gambling is a math contest where the score is tracked in dollars. Try not to get a negative score.
November 10th, 2023 at 9:34:33 AM
permalink
Quote: MDawgHe also states that he only half reads or skims most of what is written. Waste of my time to try to counter most of what he posts because he gets it wrong almost always, if not always.
link to original post
Thanks for all the validation, it's been driving me nuts. He constantly says to me that I contradict everything I say and he constantly gets wrong what I've said. Or he claims I never said it. I knew it was him and not me and here you are saying exactly the same thing.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
November 10th, 2023 at 9:37:14 AM
permalink
When anyone I know calls someone "mental" it means a person with mental retardation. Obviously you don't get that connotation every time you consider your moniker. That must not have occurred to you when you decided on the screen name, or at a minimum you discounted the relevance of that connotation. So, I am basically seeing something that isn't there every time I look at your screen name.
Earlier in this thread we had a discussion over the word "guido" where others viewed the term differently from the way I understood it.
Similarly, you are looking at a series of numbers and think you see something that isn't there. Given enough parameters a person may convince himself of anything.
Nothing more to it than that, but you are free to spend time analyzing my wins, versus all I do is deposit the end result in the bank or spend it.
Earlier in this thread we had a discussion over the word "guido" where others viewed the term differently from the way I understood it.
Similarly, you are looking at a series of numbers and think you see something that isn't there. Given enough parameters a person may convince himself of anything.
Nothing more to it than that, but you are free to spend time analyzing my wins, versus all I do is deposit the end result in the bank or spend it.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 10th, 2023 at 9:46:47 AM
permalink
do benfords analysis. DYORQuote: MentalI am just trying to be helpful. You can post whatever you want. If you have the records that back up your postings, create a histogram on the dollar amounts that you posted in this thread. You will see that $5/10/20K is not where the distributions look hinky. Better yet, post the complete data set and someone here will do the analysis. They can help you create session amounts that look less suspect in the future.Quote: MDawgQuote: MentalWhat points do you like to stop at?Quote: MDawgAre you referring to that I like to stop at certain points?
And this is the MDawg challenge.
link to original post
link to original post
Few grand, five grand, ten grand, then usually go for twenty grand, are some of them. Frequently I get past these points, slip, and then stop. On some of these reports I might drop the small change from the final figure.
link to original post
By the way, I broke your data set into four equal parts, and each part exhibits the same anomalies. At least your method is consistent. I might go back to the prior thread and look at that data, too. My casino play patterns change from month to month. Conditions change -- I adapt. It would be amazing if your winning patterns are stayed consistent over more than two years.
link to original post
Psalm 25:16
Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted.
Proverbs 18:2
A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
November 10th, 2023 at 10:14:30 AM
permalink
You are correct, I don't remember your blackjack STORY well, I dont care to remember all the details of things I believe to be fiction. Your claim was even more outrageous than I originally thought, you actually said you won sixty some hands in a row.Quote: MDawgAs far as AWolf, I haven't observed a clear recollection from him about anything that happened more than weeks ago. He is recollecting my blackjack run imprecisely, and if he'd care to state whatever he recollects from that other forum in other than a dim general way, then we could comment on it. Otherwise, I don't take anything he has to say seriously and his less than perfect memory is just a part of the reason.
link to original post
You even titled the thread "60 WINNING HANDS IN A ROW". It's a good read and I don't think anyone here believed you. It seemed as if you even doubled and tripled down on your claim.
It would appear that after some PMing with Mike, you tried to backtrack.
Quote: joedolI'd like to know why the mods put up with crap like this nonsense. The forum has really gone to hell
lately and everyone knows why.
link to original post
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/big-wins/36485-60-winning-hands-in-a-row/
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
November 10th, 2023 at 10:21:09 AM
permalink
Feel free to point out where I claimed you said somthing that you didn't say, or where I claimed you didn't say something that you did.Quote: EvenBobQuote: MDawgHe also states that he only half reads or skims most of what is written. Waste of my time to try to counter most of what he posts because he gets it wrong almost always, if not always.
link to original post
Thanks for all the validation, it's been driving me nuts. He constantly says to me that I contradict everything I say and he constantly gets wrong what I've said. Or he claims I never said it. I knew it was him and not me and here you are saying exactly the same thing.
link to original post
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
November 10th, 2023 at 10:25:06 AM
permalink
Of course you'd have to read the thread to know that I didn't title it, or what exactly was said or claimed.
Look, I discount anything you have to say about casinos - you showed me how little you know when you thought a seven figure winner would cash out in cash and then asked SiegFriedRoy to "show me the CTR" as if a CTR were a piece of paper handed to a winning player. But let's just stop at that you assumed that a seven figure winner would cash out in cash to begin with - that's small potatoes Ellis Island thinking. Good luck with getting some of the others to buy your mis-thinking, it doesn't work with someone who is actually involved in casinos and knows that you don't know much about any of this. Good luck gaining some credibility with those who don't know better.
Of course, it's all right not to know something. But to act like you know when you don't, that's not all right.
Look, I discount anything you have to say about casinos - you showed me how little you know when you thought a seven figure winner would cash out in cash and then asked SiegFriedRoy to "show me the CTR" as if a CTR were a piece of paper handed to a winning player. But let's just stop at that you assumed that a seven figure winner would cash out in cash to begin with - that's small potatoes Ellis Island thinking. Good luck with getting some of the others to buy your mis-thinking, it doesn't work with someone who is actually involved in casinos and knows that you don't know much about any of this. Good luck gaining some credibility with those who don't know better.
Of course, it's all right not to know something. But to act like you know when you don't, that's not all right.
Last edited by: MDawg on Nov 10, 2023
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 10th, 2023 at 11:18:51 AM
permalink
I’m not sure what value Mental’s analysis of the actual amounts of MDawg’s individual session win claims is. If I posted my results, BY FAR the most common result would be up a few dollars. If down $30, and it’s time to go, I’ll bet $35. If I lose that $70, if that $145. If I lose that going home down my $300 buy in.
If up $100ish I’ll play but stop on a losing streak up some negligible amount. So my session results might look like this…. Up $6, down $300, up $350, up $7, down $280, down $290, up$380, up$1, up $8. How would ANY mathematical analysis assort a likelihood of me making the results up without knowing my ‘betting session motive’?
If up $100ish I’ll play but stop on a losing streak up some negligible amount. So my session results might look like this…. Up $6, down $300, up $350, up $7, down $280, down $290, up$380, up$1, up $8. How would ANY mathematical analysis assort a likelihood of me making the results up without knowing my ‘betting session motive’?
Last edited by: SOOPOO on Nov 10, 2023
November 10th, 2023 at 11:20:07 AM
permalink
MDawg did you really go to Nobu, pay $500 for a tasting assortment of foods, and tell them "go easy with the salt"? Lol that's gonna upset any foodies around here(ok probably just me.)
Livin' the dream.
I dunno maybe MDawg cracked the code to these high limit baccarat tables and he can semi-accurately predict when a bunch of natural 8-9s are gonna come out, and that's where he's making most or losing most of his money.
MDawg when are you gonna team up with VegasMatt or BigJackpot guy. We need a stream dude.
Livin' the dream.
Quote: SOOPOOI’m not sure what value Mental’s analysis of the actual amounts of MDawg’s individual session win claims is. If I posted my results, BY FAR the most common result would be up a few dollars. If down $30, and it’s time to go, I’ll bet $35. If I lose that $70, if that $145. If I lose that going home down my $300 buy in.
If up $100ish I’ll play but stop on a losing streak up some negligible amount. So my session results might look like this…. Up $6, down $300, up $350, up $7, down $280, down $290, up$380, up$1, up $8. How would ANY mathematical analysis assort a likelihood of me making the results ip without knowing my ‘betting session motive’?
link to original post
I dunno maybe MDawg cracked the code to these high limit baccarat tables and he can semi-accurately predict when a bunch of natural 8-9s are gonna come out, and that's where he's making most or losing most of his money.
MDawg when are you gonna team up with VegasMatt or BigJackpot guy. We need a stream dude.
November 10th, 2023 at 12:01:25 PM
permalink
Quote: MentalOf course they are accurate. I wouldn't even be doing the exercise if you were representing this thread as pure fiction. If it was fiction, the distribution could be anything you chose for dramatic effect.Quote: MDawgAll session reports are posted.
And are accurate. Like I said, might be rounded down, but otherwise exact.
How did you come up with the name Mental? That's a derogatory insult meaning - well you know what it means. Why did you pick it?
link to original post
By the way, I did not run your results through a filter for Benford's Law and I am not interested in rounding errors.
I used to play Blokus online. My screen name was MentalBlok. The other players called me Mental.
link to original post
I would not have thought Benford’s law would apply to gambling session results. There’s not an underlying power law function that is apparent to me. Though Bendord distributions do turn up in some counter intuitive places.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
November 10th, 2023 at 12:34:44 PM
permalink
Quote: ChallengedMillyMDawg did you really go to Nobu, pay $500 for a tasting assortment of foods, and tell them "go easy with the salt"? Lol that's gonna upset any foodies around here(ok probably just me.)
Livin' the dream.
link to original post
There was a period during this stay (I can't really call it a trip any longer, I'm a local) when I was dining at Nobu daily, either alone at the sushi bar or with someone at a table. I don't need a host any longer to get me in even during busier times, they know me there.
The first few meals plus prior experience taught me that Nobu oversalts a lot of their food. For example this dish
their shiitake mushroom with lobster salad, the dressing is just salt infused. Terrible. So I got them to put less dressing or sauce on (or put the dressing or sauce on the side) when the dressing or sauce is premade, or to put less salt in the dressing or sauce if possible.
And again has nothing to do with health or dietary reasons, they just make a lot of their dishes too salty.
Last edited by: MDawg on Nov 10, 2023
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 10th, 2023 at 12:37:46 PM
permalink
Quote: SOOPOOwithout knowing my ‘betting session motive’?
link to original post
'Nuff said. Yes.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
