The Adventures of MDawg II

Quote: MDawg

Thanks!

I went back to playing more DD Blackjack at some points during the trip, and I definitely varied the bet quite a bit.

What was crazy was during one session a pit boss called out "All in!" on a certain hand which actually I was reaching for the chips at the same moment the pit boss said that, but this particularly dealer was dealing to me so fast (one on one, private table) that I didn't have time to place the table max chips down. Sure enough, Blackjack!

It was at an obvious moment when the count was high, among other things.

I actually took it easier on Blackjack than usual, varying my bet only, say...with a 20X or so spread, but I got most of the biguns.

That negotiated dealer stands on soft 17 rule helped me out on some hands.

For whatever reason(s) I feel more comfortable laying out the ridiculously large bets at Bacc, but as I get back into more Blackjack, that may change. My DD table is entirely hand shuffled.
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Quote: MDawg

One thing you definitely don't want to do is purposefully not push any advantage that you might have. Take all you can, when you can. When your number's up, you'll regret not having taken everything you could have.
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Quote: MDawg

In what situation was the dealer showing his hole card? Was it at a low limit table? I have been at relatively low limit tables where the dealer flat out turns over his hole card, with full house approval, just for fun. Doesn't do it that often, but does do it.

So by the same token, unless you were really making some money I doubt anyone would have cared about what was going on to the extent of figuring out that you were winning a few red chips due to a weak dealer - to the extent of that ONE HAND would have caused any ruckus. Now, you give an extreme example - hitting 19, that's just bad odds anyway, so yes, I'd agree that the tiny chance of getting an ace or two would be eclipsed by the possibility of revealing either that you were a bad player (which would be a good thing in that situation anyway) or that the dealer was weak.

But I'll tell you what, if I had a huge bet on that hand that was larger than most of my other bets I wouldn't care about anything other than trying to win that hand.

By the way, as far as your ratholing chips - I was watching a recent high limit Baccarat table, just tracking it, and a player left the table with no chips and asked the pit boss to mark it on the way out. After a few minutes, the pit boss had counted the table and laughed, saying "They think they're slick with putting those chips in their pockets" and obviously had figured out exactly what the player had walked with.
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Quote: MDawg

I have now won something (anywhere from a few grand to mid five figure grand) in EVERY SINGLE DRAWING I have participated in in Vegas. All free entry, although a couple did require some play over a period of time prior to the drawing. Most required to be present to win anything, although one did not.

These are drawing for the ultra elite where there are around fifty participants, and usually ten prizes, so the odds of getting something are actually pretty good.
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Quote: 214me4ever

Quote: MDawg

I have now won something (anywhere from a few grand to mid five figure grand) in EVERY SINGLE DRAWING I have participated in in Vegas. All free entry, although a couple did require some play over a period of time prior to the drawing. Most required to be present to win anything, although one did not.

These are drawing for the ultra elite where there are around fifty participants, and usually ten prizes, so the odds of getting something are actually pretty good.
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I was asked to visit here to talk about a recent claim that went unchallenged. The claim is this individual has never lost a casino drawing, which we all dream could be possible. The claim is these are elite drawings with 50 entires and 10 winners. Or a 20% chance of winning in any drawers if the odds of winning are balanced. If this is the case and the claimant has entered 5 drawings lifetime the odds of winning in all 5 are 1 in 3125. Possible in a rare occurrence but most will say not likely. If he has entered 10 drawings with the same odds of winning the odds go up to 1 in almost 10,000,000.

Next we examine if these drawings are biased toward certain individuals legally or in the case of the Venetian situation years ago, illegally. This can be done by giving certain individuals far more entries to give desired customers better odds of winning. In this case you have a claim of 50 of the casinos Elite highest rollers in a drawing. Even in this situation some players are more importantly financially to the casino and drawings could used as an incentive to return losses to a player or encourage them to return.

In what case can anyone see a casino rewarding a player in this manner who claims to win on every trip? A player who claims to win hundreds of thousands during each trip which add up to annual 7 figure wins? Or would it make more sense to return some losses to a high roller in these drawings? Why would a casino provide incentives to a player who claims to win consistency and says the casinos even tell him he never loses? Any why is a casino allowing a player to spread 20-1 or more on DDBJ at high counts?

As we are not contesting the players claims in which case either he is beating the odds on these drawings or we have a situation where AP’s in Vegas need to be looking at these drawings closer for potential. And everything we based our play on considering sweat was a misgiving nightmare in our minds.

I am a first time member here who lives in Vegas and knows how things work in this town. Many here know me or know of me including Shack. I was directed to these claims over drinks recently and after first laughing saying everyone was in on it, I was told it’s be going on for years. I was told to make sure this post follows the stated rules of this forum under the basis of debating the claim and not the individual. My IP will prove I am local and not hiding behind any hanky panky
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Quote: 214me4ever

Quote: MDawg

I have now won something (anywhere from a few grand to mid five figure grand) in EVERY SINGLE DRAWING I have participated in in Vegas. All free entry, although a couple did require some play over a period of time prior to the drawing. Most required to be present to win anything, although one did not.

These are drawing for the ultra elite where there are around fifty participants, and usually ten prizes, so the odds of getting something are actually pretty good.
link to original post

I was asked to visit here to talk about a recent claim that went unchallenged. The claim is this individual has never lost a casino drawing, which we all dream could be possible. The claim is these are elite drawings with 50 entires and 10 winners. Or a 20% chance of winning in any drawers if the odds of winning are balanced. If this is the case and the claimant has entered 5 drawings lifetime the odds of winning in all 5 are 1 in 3125. Possible in a rare occurrence but most will say not likely. If he has entered 10 drawings with the same odds of winning the odds go up to 1 in almost 10,000,000.

Next we examine if these drawings are biased toward certain individuals legally or in the case of the Venetian situation years ago, illegally. This can be done by giving certain individuals far more entries to give desired customers better odds of winning. In this case you have a claim of 50 of the casinos Elite highest rollers in a drawing. Even in this situation some players are more importantly financially to the casino and drawings could used as an incentive to return losses to a player or encourage them to return.

In what case can anyone see a casino rewarding a player in this manner who claims to win on every trip? A player who claims to win hundreds of thousands during each trip which add up to annual 7 figure wins? Or would it make more sense to return some losses to a high roller in these drawings? Why would a casino provide incentives to a player who claims to win consistency and says the casinos even tell him he never loses? Any why is a casino allowing a player to spread 20-1 or more on DDBJ at high counts?

As we are not contesting the players claims in which case either he is beating the odds on these drawings or we have a situation where AP’s in Vegas need to be looking at these drawings closer for potential. And everything we based our play on considering sweat was a misgiving nightmare in our minds.

I am a first time member here who lives in Vegas and knows how things work in this town. Many here know me or know of me including Shack. I was directed to these claims over drinks recently and after first laughing saying everyone was in on it, I was told it’s be going on for years. I was told to make sure this post follows the stated rules of this forum under the basis of debating the claim and not the individual. My IP will prove I am local and not hiding behind any hanky panky
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Quote: MDawg

When I used to play hand shuffled doubledeck Blackjack I'd feel as though the cards were "stuck" for a while after the decks were changed. By stuck I mean, not contributing to much wins for me no matter what the count.
Also, one night when I was beating the h out of the house at single deck, won sixty some hands in a row, they kept changing decks (although this had zero effect, I just kept winning every single hand anyway, that night), but it goes to show that even the house thinks that changing the deck lends to eliminating a player win streak.

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Quote: 214me4ever

I was asked to visit here to talk

Quote: SOOPOO

MDawg…. How many of these drawings would you say you’ve participated in that you have never lost one? Do you think that everyone wins something on some of them?
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Quote: MDawg

It's really not that hard to jack the bet up and win more often than not on Advantage hands whatever the table game. Just a question of whether you are willing to do it, and have the bankroll to maintain the play long enough to reap the inevitable benefit.

Everyone knows MDawg wins. Just that a few are bothered by it, others are not.

Quote: SOOPOO

MDawg…. How many of these drawings would you say you’ve participated in that you have never lost one? Do you think that everyone wins something on some of them?
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If I mentioned the exact number, anyone who is truly a Vegas resident and truly participates in any kind of high level Vegas casino action reading this forum could figure out exactly who I am, because this streak has been the topic of some discussion among a number of people.

Which gets back to that I don't believe that AxelWolf (or this new guy who claims that he is new anyway) have much to do with the high end Vegas casinos, because if they did, they would know something about what is going on, and has been going on. They obviously don't.
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Quote: AxelWolf

I just can't imagine any AP I know would take the time
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Quote: MDawg

I've talked privately with some and actually posted obliquely about why MDawg might be allowed free rein. It comes down to that there is a net positive for the casinos even if there is a net negative for them when it comes specifically to me.

As far as why I won the drawings, it was just luck. Many speculate about that there is a light to MDawg which brings down all good fortune on him, and of course I just smile and nod, but bottom line is that some people have good luck in their lives and others do not.

Participation in the drawings is simply based on high end play and for most of the drawings, being present to win.
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Quote: 214me4ever

Quote: MDawg

I have now won something (anywhere from a few grand to mid five figure grand) in EVERY SINGLE DRAWING I have participated in in Vegas. All free entry, although a couple did require some play over a period of time prior to the drawing. Most required to be present to win anything, although one did not.

These are drawing for the ultra elite where there are around fifty participants, and usually ten prizes, so the odds of getting something are actually pretty good.
link to original post

I was asked to visit here to talk about a recent claim that went unchallenged. The claim is this individual has never lost a casino drawing, which we all dream could be possible. The claim is these are elite drawings with 50 entires and 10 winners. Or a 20% chance of winning in any drawers if the odds of winning are balanced. If this is the case and the claimant has entered 5 drawings lifetime the odds of winning in all 5 are 1 in 3125. Possible in a rare occurrence but most will say not likely. If he has entered 10 drawings with the same odds of winning the odds go up to 1 in almost 10,000,000.

Next we examine if these drawings are biased toward certain individuals legally or in the case of the Venetian situation years ago, illegally. This can be done by giving certain individuals far more entries to give desired customers better odds of winning. In this case you have a claim of 50 of the casinos Elite highest rollers in a drawing. Even in this situation some players are more importantly financially to the casino and drawings could used as an incentive to return losses to a player or encourage them to return.

In what case can anyone see a casino rewarding a player in this manner who claims to win on every trip? A player who claims to win hundreds of thousands during each trip which add up to annual 7 figure wins? Or would it make more sense to return some losses to a high roller in these drawings? Why would a casino provide incentives to a player who claims to win consistency and says the casinos even tell him he never loses? Any why is a casino allowing a player to spread 20-1 or more on DDBJ at high counts?

As we are not contesting the players claims in which case either he is beating the odds on these drawings or we have a situation where AP’s in Vegas need to be looking at these drawings closer for potential. And everything we based our play on considering sweat was a misgiving nightmare in our minds.

I am a first time member here who lives in Vegas and knows how things work in this town. Many here know me or know of me including Shack. I was directed to these claims over drinks recently and after first laughing saying everyone was in on it, I was told it’s be going on for years. I was told to make sure this post follows the stated rules of this forum under the basis of debating the claim and not the individual. My IP will prove I am local and not hiding behind any hanky panky
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Quote: MDawg

I've talked privately with some and actually posted obliquely about why MDawg might be allowed free rein. It comes down to that there is a net positive for the casinos even if there is a net negative for them when it comes specifically to me.

As far as why I won the drawings, it was just luck. Many speculate about that there is a light to MDawg which brings down all good fortune on him, and of course I just smile and nod, but bottom line is that some people have good luck in their lives and others do not.

Participation in the drawings is simply based on high end play and for most of the drawings, being present to win.
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Quote: Seedvalue

There are actually people who do what they say, the rest seem to be armchair QBs with theory's they really don’t understand.
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Quote: MDawg

Another big drawing coming up, half a mill.
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Quote: MDawg

One of the casinos is trying to re-negotiate the terms of my per trip / per session loss rebate! saying that it's not going to fly because my over all wins are lifetime too high. I had mentioned this before, but now it's actually happening not just dark mutterings.

Actually, they're not really "trying" they're pretty much saying that the gig is up.
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Quote: darkoz

Quote: MDawg

One of the casinos is trying to re-negotiate the terms of my per trip / per session loss rebate! saying that it's not going to fly because my over all wins are lifetime too high. I had mentioned this before, but now it's actually happening not just dark mutterings.

Actually, they're not really "trying" they're pretty much saying that the gig is up.
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Try using other people's players cards :)))
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