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darkoz
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August 29th, 2022 at 1:08:49 PM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

Quote: darkoz



I have a theory that MDawg may actually know somewhat the composition of the cards at Baccarat to be dealt.

I have a hypothesis how this could be done, how it would not be cheating and how the Casino might never catch on.

That's not to say I am guessing correctly. Just that I could see a possible way it could be done.
link to original post



Well, yeah, you could know the general composition by counting cards....
link to original post



No, I don't believe he is counting. That's not my hypothesis at least.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
TigerWu
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August 29th, 2022 at 1:21:57 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Quote: TigerWu

Quote: darkoz



I have a theory that MDawg may actually know somewhat the composition of the cards at Baccarat to be dealt.

I have a hypothesis how this could be done, how it would not be cheating and how the Casino might never catch on.

That's not to say I am guessing correctly. Just that I could see a possible way it could be done.
link to original post



Well, yeah, you could know the general composition by counting cards....
link to original post



No, I don't believe he is counting. That's not my hypothesis at least.
link to original post



What other technique is there that is consistent enough that isn't straight up cheating or collusion of some sort?
darkoz
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August 29th, 2022 at 1:33:27 PM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

Quote: darkoz

Quote: TigerWu

Quote: darkoz



I have a theory that MDawg may actually know somewhat the composition of the cards at Baccarat to be dealt.

I have a hypothesis how this could be done, how it would not be cheating and how the Casino might never catch on.

That's not to say I am guessing correctly. Just that I could see a possible way it could be done.
link to original post



Well, yeah, you could know the general composition by counting cards....
link to original post



No, I don't believe he is counting. That's not my hypothesis at least.
link to original post



What other technique is there that is consistent enough that isn't straight up cheating or collusion of some sort?
link to original post



It's a hypothesis supported by comments MDawg has made over the years. If he truly is doing this then he really has found a unique advantage play.

But if I describe it MDawg will most likely deny it either way.

If I am wrong he naturally will deny it.

If I am right he will not want to admit something that might end the Golden goose.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
MDawg
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August 29th, 2022 at 3:09:33 PM permalink
SooPoo you never know for sure that you will win a hand. But I expect to win certain hands much more than others.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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August 29th, 2022 at 3:10:47 PM permalink
Day 11 play.

DD Blackjack.

Pretty small betting I actually think my largest bet was a couple thousand. Pretty good consistency with winning.

+8560

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
tuttigym
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August 29th, 2022 at 3:17:46 PM permalink
I like Alan's reports on his $5 & $10 free play better. More riveting, more dramatic, and more comprehensive.

tuttigym
tuttigym
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August 29th, 2022 at 3:23:15 PM permalink
Quote: TigerWu



What other technique is there that is consistent enough that isn't straight up cheating or collusion of some sort?
link to original post


Come on, the guy Martingales to the extreme and the casino allows the limits to whatever he desires. It should come as no surprise.

tuttigym
darkoz
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August 29th, 2022 at 3:27:28 PM permalink
Quote: tuttigym

Quote: TigerWu



What other technique is there that is consistent enough that isn't straight up cheating or collusion of some sort?
link to original post


Come on, the guy Martingales to the extreme and the casino allows the limits to whatever he desires. It should come as no surprise.

tuttigym
link to original post



MDawg has flat out denied doing a martingale.

He does admit to raising his bets and claims it's when he has a pretty good idea if he is going to win although it's not guaranteed.

My hypothesis takes this into account

Sorry I am being mysterious a bit myself.

I noticed MDawg completely ignored my post while answering other posters. This might mean he is concerned I am closer than he desires to understanding what he does.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
MDawg
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August 29th, 2022 at 3:48:43 PM permalink
All you have to do is look at my witnessed session report to know I do not Martingale, I even lower my bet after losing more often than not. How I managed to win all 8/8 on that entire Player run, obviously has nothing to do with any betting system. I do that sort of thing all the time.

To summarize: there were no long periods of flat betting. If anything, I pressed into runs quite successfully time and again, and my bets ranged from 200 – 3500. There was no Martingale betting; in fact, I would tend to lower my bet after losing a hand versus increasing.

The Adventures of MDawg was placed in the Betting Systems sub-forum by agreement, as an accommodation. Whether it belongs here or not, you decide. I've yeah yeah yeahed accommodations more than once related to my thread. I don't really care about labels. Just gimme the winning chips!
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
Seedvalue
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August 29th, 2022 at 3:56:38 PM permalink
Duplicate
Seedvalue
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August 29th, 2022 at 3:57:08 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Quote: tuttigym

Quote: TigerWu



What other technique is there that is consistent enough that isn't straight up cheating or collusion of some sort?
link to original post


Come on, the guy Martingales to the extreme and the casino allows the limits to whatever he desires. It should come as no surprise.

tuttigym
link to original post



MDawg has flat out denied doing a martingale.

He does admit to raising his bets and claims it's when he has a pretty good idea if he is going to win although it's not guaranteed.

My hypothesis takes this into account

Sorry I am being mysterious a bit myself.

I noticed MDawg completely ignored my post while answering other posters. This might mean he is concerned I am closer than he desires to understanding what he does.
link to original post



Dm sent. I think he is leaving out things on purpose and it’s up to open minds to connect the dots. Plus he likes to troll just a little IMO. Maybe I’m wrong but I’m out here testing my theory so will see. I will say it was not easy to negotiate what I think he’s doing with the casino. Maybe I’m totally off base but I kept a completely open mind when analyzing everything he has posted Over the last few years. I just looked at it through the Lens that he was playing with an advantage, and everything he has posted that goes against the math was by design. Like just enough miss information as to not reveal the play. I’m not saying he is lying about anything I’m just describing the way I analyzed the situation. Either way If Im wrong about him, or not I seemed to have stumbled into a play that I otherwise would not have pursued.
darkoz
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August 29th, 2022 at 4:02:18 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

All you have to do is look at my witnessed session report to know I do not Martingale, I even lower my bet after losing more often than not. How I managed to win all 8/8 on that entire Player run, obviously has nothing to do with any betting system. I do that sort of thing all the time.

To summarize: there were no long periods of flat betting. If anything, I pressed into runs quite successfully time and again, and my bets ranged from 200 – 3500. There was no Martingale betting; in fact, I would tend to lower my bet after losing a hand versus increasing.

The Adventures of MDawg was placed in the Betting Systems sub-forum by agreement, as an accommodation. Whether it belongs here or not, you decide. I've yeah yeah yeahed accommodations more than once related to my thread. I don't really care about labels. Just gimme the winning chips!
link to original post



And it's this type of play that is perfectly in line with my theory.

Now the question is do I write about it?
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
Seedvalue
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August 29th, 2022 at 4:05:20 PM permalink
I would a say wait two months, like not two weeks but two months to slow the spread
Seedvalue
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August 29th, 2022 at 4:05:50 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Quote: MDawg

All you have to do is look at my witnessed session report to know I do not Martingale, I even lower my bet after losing more often than not. How I managed to win all 8/8 on that entire Player run, obviously has nothing to do with any betting system. I do that sort of thing all the time.

To summarize: there were no long periods of flat betting. If anything, I pressed into runs quite successfully time and again, and my bets ranged from 200 – 3500. There was no Martingale betting; in fact, I would tend to lower my bet after losing a hand versus increasing.

The Adventures of MDawg was placed in the Betting Systems sub-forum by agreement, as an accommodation. Whether it belongs here or not, you decide. I've yeah yeah yeahed accommodations more than once related to my thread. I don't really care about labels. Just gimme the winning chips!
link to original post



And it's this type of play that is perfectly in line with my theory.

Now the question is do I write about it?
link to original post



I would a say wait two months, like not two weeks but two months to slow the spread
tuttigym
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August 29th, 2022 at 4:44:25 PM permalink
Quote: tuttigym

Quote: TigerWu



What other technique is there that is consistent enough that isn't straight up cheating or collusion of some sort?
link to original post


Come on, the guy Martingales to the extreme and the casino allows the limits to whatever he desires. It should come as no surprise.

tuttigym
link to original post


Excuse me. I misspoke or in this case mis-posted. There really is no secret sauce to his play. First, his reply I see as accurate by using playing trends as they occur, i.e., win a few then reduce then lose some, then increase again kind of like an elevator. The real key for his play is that, my terms, he is very cavalier with his money. That mindset allows him to bet whatever he feels might be necessary to win. The casino creates the environment for his play by allow him to extend the betting limits. For proof, I once asked him if he would play at a regular table with normal casino limits. His reply was that he did that and lost, I believe, $5k. Another words, if he is constrained by real casino rules, his results are quite normal.

tuttigym
Last edited by: tuttigym on Aug 29, 2022
darkoz
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August 29th, 2022 at 5:01:49 PM permalink
Quote: tuttigym

Quote: tuttigym

Quote: TigerWu



What other technique is there that is consistent enough that isn't straight up cheating or collusion of some sort?
link to original post


Come on, the guy Martingales to the extreme and the casino allows the limits to whatever he desires. It should come as no surprise.

tuttigym
link to original post


Excuse me. I misspoke or in this case mis-posted. There really is no secret sauce to his play. First, his reply I see as accurate by using playing trends as they occur, i.e., win a few then reduce then lose some, then increase again kind of like an elevator. The real key for his play is that, my terms, he has no respect for money. That mindset allows him to bet whatever he feels might be necessary to win. The casino creates the environment for his play by allow him to extend the betting limits. For proof, I once asked him if he would play at a regular table with normal casino limits. His reply was that he did that and lost, I believe, $5k. Another words, if he is constrained by real casino rules, his results are quite normal.

tuttigym
link to original post



Perhaps but that's the essence of most AP.

If I was constrained by normal Casino rules and only used my own players card....?

I don't begrudge MDawg if he has figured out a rare play not doable or available to the majority of players.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
ChumpChange
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August 29th, 2022 at 5:11:49 PM permalink
It's kind of hard to make $20K case bets at a $3K max bet table.
tuttigym
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August 29th, 2022 at 7:40:23 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz


Perhaps but that's the essence of most AP.

If I was constrained by normal Casino rules and only used my own players card....?



So, you are saying that the advantage player throws caution to the winds and wagers wildly when the mood strikes regardless of what the prevailing math might indicate?

Quote: darkoz

I don't begrudge MDawg if he has figured out a rare play not doable or available to the majority of players.
link to original post


If $$$ are no object, one can be foolhardy at their discretion, and there is no objection from me.

tuttigym
MDawg
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August 29th, 2022 at 8:02:31 PM permalink
If you give Tuttigym a little slack he'll run to places that no one could ever predict! with his conclusions.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
darkoz
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August 29th, 2022 at 8:03:28 PM permalink
Quote: tuttigym

Quote: darkoz


Perhaps but that's the essence of most AP.

If I was constrained by normal Casino rules and only used my own players card....?



So, you are saying that the advantage player throws caution to the winds and wagers wildly when the mood strikes regardless of what the prevailing math might indicate?



No not at all.

What I am saying is advantage player's often utilize methods not available to the average player

For example the average player doesn't use ten or twenty players cards in other people's names.

You could make the argument that if I played by the rules (one card per person) I would also not be able to consistently win at the casino.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
tuttigym
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August 29th, 2022 at 9:00:45 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

If you give Tuttigym a little slack he'll run to places that no one could ever predict! with his conclusions.
link to original post


Since you did NOT push back or deny my conclusions, they must be correct. Thanks for the affirmations, and I do not need any "slack."

tuttigym
tuttigym
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August 29th, 2022 at 9:07:42 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Quote: tuttigym

Quote: darkoz


Perhaps but that's the essence of most AP.

If I was constrained by normal Casino rules and only used my own players card....?



So, you are saying that the advantage player throws caution to the winds and wagers wildly when the mood strikes regardless of what the prevailing math might indicate?



No not at all.

What I am saying is advantage player's often utilize methods not available to the average player

For example the average player doesn't use ten or twenty players cards in other people's names.

You could make the argument that if I played by the rules (one card per person) I would also not be able to consistently win at the casino.
link to original post


I believe we all understand and admire your advantage play by multicarding with slots, but can you give us definitive advantage play in craps or roulette or baccarat? Then define an advantage playER in each of those venues as well as blackjack (6 deck shoe).

tuttigym
MDawg
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August 29th, 2022 at 10:10:32 PM permalink
A radish may know no Greek, but I do.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
AxelWolf
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August 30th, 2022 at 6:19:58 AM permalink
He NOW wants you to now think it's possible he is playing with an advantage.

MDawg has indicated in the past he doesn't play Baccarat with a mathematical advantage, I believe he even scoffed at those who use Advantage Play methods. The way he has talked about baccarat in the past are all indicative of a run-of-the-mill system player who thinks he can beat a -EV game by outsmarting the math.

Since he has a photographic memory he should recall exactly when, where, and what he has said /indicated regarding playing with an advantage. I think he has since realized it's better if he keeps you guys thinking it's possible he has a legitimate advantage(read the room)

You guys are missing some key factors why it's highly unlikely.
How often does something like you guys are thinking work on both baccarat and Blackjack? How does that explain his ability to predict the stock market so well? When he won his 60-some hands in a row, was he using his method you guys are thinking it could be?

The Wizard witness his play where he was supposed to be as he normally would. The Wizard didn't notice any substantial Advantage Play situation. Mike eluded to the fact that he might have an advantage, however, that's probably Mike thinking about RFB and various offers. He might somehow have an advantage if you include that stuff, or even if he has something extra special going on, but that certainly wouldn't explain the supposed continuous winning at such a high rate that he claims.

If you really had some special technique to beat baccarat would you invite Mike to watch you play? Would you be bragging, posting pictures of markers, chips, food rooms, gift cards, etc? I don't think you would want to be rubbing it in the casino's face.

Do you guys really think the major high-end casinos on the Las Vegas strip are going to comp a player for months and months at a time while that player is beating their brains in with such a significantly high win rate?
IIRC he had a $250k day? Meanwhile, All the dealers, hosts, and pit bosses keep mentioning how he always wins. You don't think that's gonna raise some eyebrows. Just how many years of consistent table game winning are the casinos going to take it in the A@$ for? There are all kinds of legit stories where casinos are asking winners not to play anymore after just a few lucky big sessions(known People with lots of clout). But, you guys think he might have some secret way to beat THE GAME?

C'mon on guys, USE SOME LOGIC!!
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
tuttigym
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August 30th, 2022 at 6:59:17 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

He NOW wants you to now think it's possible he is playing with an advantage.

MDawg has indicated in the past he doesn't play Baccarat with a mathematical advantage, I believe he even scoffed at those who use Advantage Play methods. The way he has talked about baccarat in the past are all indicative of a run-of-the-mill system player who thinks he can beat a -EV game by outsmarting the math.

Since he has a photographic memory he should recall exactly when, where, and what he has said /indicated regarding playing with an advantage. I think he has since realized it's better if he keeps you guys thinking it's possible he has a legitimate advantage(read the room)

You guys are missing some key factors why it's highly unlikely.
How often does something like you guys are thinking work on both baccarat and Blackjack? How does that explain his ability to predict the stock market so well? When he won his 60-some hands in a row, was he using his method you guys are thinking it could be?

The Wizard witness his play where he was supposed to be as he normally would. The Wizard didn't notice any substantial Advantage Play situation. Mike eluded to the fact that he might have an advantage, however, that's probably Mike thinking about RFB and various offers. He might somehow have an advantage if you include that stuff, or even if he has something extra special going on, but that certainly wouldn't explain the supposed continuous winning at such a high rate that he claims.

If you really had some special technique to beat baccarat would you invite Mike to watch you play? Would you be bragging, posting pictures of markers, chips, food rooms, gift cards, etc? I don't think you would want to be rubbing it in the casino's face.

Do you guys really think the major high-end casinos on the Las Vegas strip are going to comp a player for months and months at a time while that player is beating their brains in with such a significantly high win rate?
IIRC he had a $250k day? Meanwhile, All the dealers, hosts, and pit bosses keep mentioning how he always wins. You don't think that's gonna raise some eyebrows. Just how many years of consistent table game winning are the casinos going to take it in the A@$ for? There are all kinds of legit stories where casinos are asking winners not to play anymore after just a few lucky big sessions(known People with lots of clout). But, you guys think he might have some secret way to beat THE GAME?

C'mon on guys, USE SOME LOGIC!!
link to original post


Nice follow-up to my post that Mdawg has NO secret sauce, plus your extended treatise above is quite reasonable and believable. One other thing, if you look at his latest BJ exploits and sessions, there are no outrageous over the top wins, so if he is card counting, he needs to back to the drawing board.

tuttigym
TigerWu
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August 30th, 2022 at 8:30:38 AM permalink
MDawg's only advantage in baccarat is that he gets a lot more breaks and bonuses as a high roller than the rest of us in the proletariat. Nothing wrong with that at all, but he doesn't have some secret, insider baccarat knowledge or hidden advantage play where "knows" what the next hand is likely going to be. He just knows how to take full advantage of the casino "system."
darkoz
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August 30th, 2022 at 8:51:54 AM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

MDawg's only advantage in baccarat is that he gets a lot more breaks and bonuses as a high roller than the rest of us in the proletariat. Nothing wrong with that at all, but he doesn't have some secret, insider baccarat knowledge or hidden advantage play where "knows" what the next hand is likely going to be. He just knows how to take full advantage of the casino "system."
link to original post



The thing about secret systems is no one believes you unless the secret is exposed.

Answering Axel, you are here on this forum and while you don't explain your tricks, you certainly admit to having tricks which allow you to advantage play.

And you get irate when tricks and secrets are explained.

Then when someone who might have a secret may be throwing everyone off track by posting wins by psychic method (I know in advance when to wager, etc) you flip out as well that his "cover" is ridiculous and he should be forthright and forthcoming with his secret or admit he has nothing.

I don't know if he truly has something but based on his many many posts, (did I say many) there is a germ of a possibility I see that would satisfy me he maybe could have an actual advantage over the casino so deeply imbedded beyond the ability to see, that even the Wizard watching him play would be unable to see the advantage.

I personally don't have any plans to pursue this theory for myself in the real world (if it even exists) so maybe for farts and giggles I might post the theory and how it could potentially work.

Unless of course Axel will be irate at even posting hypothetical advantage play!?
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
tuttigym
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August 30th, 2022 at 9:01:20 AM permalink
I believe we all understand and admire your advantage play by multicarding with slots, but can you give us definitive advantage play in craps or roulette or baccarat? Then define an advantage playER in each of those venues as well as blackjack (6 deck shoe).

tuttigym
Hey DO, could you please answer the questions I posed above?
MDawg
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August 30th, 2022 at 9:03:42 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

MDawg has indicated in the past he doesn't play Baccarat with a mathematical advantage
link to original post


I challenge AxelWolf, at risk of suspension, to produce the posts where I have ever indicated that I do not play with a mathematical advantage.

Discussing trends or anything else is not the same thing as stating that I do not play with an advantage.

If he can produce the posts, I'll take a suspension. If he cannot, he should be suspended.


I also challenge him to produce the Wizard's post where he stated this:

Quote: AxelWolf

The Wizard didn't notice any substantial Advantage Play situation.link to original post


Because the only official statements made by the Wizard about the witnessed session were as follows:




AxelWolf seems desperate to inject himself into The Adventures of MDawg with some kind of relevancy, but he can't get away with saying things that are simply not true.
Last edited by: MDawg on Aug 30, 2022
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
TigerWu
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August 30th, 2022 at 9:21:31 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz

......so maybe for farts and giggles I might post the theory and how it could potentially work.



Do it, so we can discuss it and see if it's real or just some psychic mumbo-jumbo.
darkoz
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August 30th, 2022 at 9:29:22 AM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

Quote: darkoz

......so maybe for farts and giggles I might post the theory and how it could potentially work.



Do it, so we can discuss it and see if it's real or just some psychic mumbo-jumbo.
link to original post



Definitely not psychic mumbo-jumbo. Not my theoretical that is.

But he wouldn't admit I am correct because he wouldn't want to. If it's his method he may even simply ignore my entire post while fuming quietly that someone nailed it.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
darkoz
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August 30th, 2022 at 9:34:23 AM permalink
Quote: tuttigym

I believe we all understand and admire your advantage play by multicarding with slots, but can you give us definitive advantage play in craps or roulette or baccarat? Then define an advantage playER in each of those venues as well as blackjack (6 deck shoe).

tuttigym
Hey DO, could you please answer the questions I posed above?
link to original post



I'm not certain what the purpose of the question is.

Edge sorting is a known advantage play at Baccarat and Phil Ivey used it successfully (not including the ultimate outcome of the court cases).

At Roulette wheel clocking is supposed to be viable however extremely difficult. There are shows about people who wheel clocked.

At Blackjack there is of course card counting but beyond that there is shuffle tracking, ace tracking, hole carding, weak dealer tracking, etc.

What is the point of your asking?
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
MDawg
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August 30th, 2022 at 9:35:22 AM permalink
I actually did have two short Baccarat sessions, back to back, that involved (from the point of view of the outsider looking in) nothing short of magic, as far as percentage results and final take versus amount played. I will have to post about them on down the line because if I did so right now, anyone who was around for those sessions would instantly know who was making these posts. Will wait for the memory to fade.

This trip I have been playing mostly Blackjack, but I decided to play some Bacc too.

Last edited by: MDawg on Aug 30, 2022
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
TigerWu
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August 30th, 2022 at 10:05:33 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Quote: TigerWu

Quote: darkoz

......so maybe for farts and giggles I might post the theory and how it could potentially work.



Do it, so we can discuss it and see if it's real or just some psychic mumbo-jumbo.
link to original post



Definitely not psychic mumbo-jumbo. Not my theoretical that is.

But he wouldn't admit I am correct because he wouldn't want to. If it's his method he may even simply ignore my entire post while fuming quietly that someone nailed it.
link to original post



Okay, well, just forget about what MDawg will or won't do. Tell us what your theoretical and consistent advantage at baccarat is so we can discuss it. Isn't that one of the main reasons for this website?
darkoz
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TigerWuOnceDear
August 30th, 2022 at 10:22:07 AM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

Quote: darkoz

Quote: TigerWu

Quote: darkoz

......so maybe for farts and giggles I might post the theory and how it could potentially work.



Do it, so we can discuss it and see if it's real or just some psychic mumbo-jumbo.
link to original post



Definitely not psychic mumbo-jumbo. Not my theoretical that is.

But he wouldn't admit I am correct because he wouldn't want to. If it's his method he may even simply ignore my entire post while fuming quietly that someone nailed it.
link to original post



Okay, well, just forget about what MDawg will or won't do. Tell us what your theoretical and consistent advantage at baccarat is so we can discuss it. Isn't that one of the main reasons for this website?
link to original post



I will create a separate thread. My explanation will have to be lengthy because as a hypothetical advantage play I am certain there will be doubters.

So best to explain all the aspects.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
darkoz
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August 30th, 2022 at 11:24:31 AM permalink
I tried going through the MDawg threads but it's over a thousand pages now.

I was looking for comments I remember him making that led to the conclusion of what his advantage play might be.

An interesting development. My conclusion was also reached at one point by Sodawater. He mentioned it only in passing. It was a long time ago.

I will include it in the thread I create. It makes me feel a little less crazy now that someone else hit upon the same hypothesis in passing at least.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
OnceDear
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August 30th, 2022 at 1:04:09 PM permalink
Quote: tuttigym

Quote: MDawg

If you give Tuttigym a little slack he'll run to places that no one could ever predict! with his conclusions.
link to original post


Since you did NOT push back or deny my conclusions, they must be correct. Thanks for the affirmations, and I do not need any "slack."

tuttigym
link to original post

Tuttygym,
Since he did not push back or deny your conclusions, they must be conclusions that are to his advantage for others to waste time on: Vis-a-vis Suitably incorrect distractions. He is surely happy to have you muddy the waters with your totally wrong (I redacted an insulting word) speculations.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
OnceDear
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August 30th, 2022 at 1:11:03 PM permalink
Quote: tuttigym

One other thing, if you look at his latest BJ exploits and sessions, there are no outrageous over the top wins, so if he is card counting, he needs to back to the drawing board.

tuttigym
link to original post


https://www.studysmarter.us/explanations/english/rhetoric/false-dichotomy/

What has card counting got to do with 'outrageous over the top wins'?
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
OnceDear
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Dieter
August 30th, 2022 at 1:22:30 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg


I challenge AxelWolf, at risk of suspension, to produce the posts where I have ever indicated that I do not play with a mathematical advantage.

Discussing trends or anything else is not the same thing as stating that I do not play with an advantage.

If he can produce the posts, I'll take a suspension. If he cannot, he should be suspended.


I also challenge him to produce the Wizard's post where he stated this:


I quite like this definition.

https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Trolling

Quote:


AxelWolf ... he can't get away with saying things that are simply not true.
link to original post


Well, MDawg, I think it's long been established that members CAN get away with saying things that simply are not true.
AxelWolf is not obliged to post any evidence. Moderators are under no obligation to suspend anyone at MDawg's behest.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
AxelWolf
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August 30th, 2022 at 2:04:58 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

I tried going through the MDawg threads but it's over a thousand pages now.

I was looking for comments I remember him making that led to the conclusion of what his advantage play might be.

An interesting development. My conclusion was also reached at one point by Sodawater. He mentioned it only in passing. It was a long time ago.

I will include it in the thread I create. It makes me feel a little less crazy now that someone else hit upon the same hypothesis in passing at least.
link to original post

Will it be able to explain how he is consistently beating THE GAME silly?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
AlanMendelson
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August 30th, 2022 at 2:08:05 PM permalink
Question: if there were no betting limits and no bankroll limits is it possible for a player to keep betting until he has a net win on any session?
TigerWu
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August 30th, 2022 at 2:10:25 PM permalink
Quote: AlanMendelson

Question: if there were no betting limits and no bankroll limits is it possible for a player to keep betting until he has a net win on any session?
link to original post



Yes.
darkoz
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August 30th, 2022 at 2:14:46 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: darkoz

I tried going through the MDawg threads but it's over a thousand pages now.

I was looking for comments I remember him making that led to the conclusion of what his advantage play might be.

An interesting development. My conclusion was also reached at one point by Sodawater. He mentioned it only in passing. It was a long time ago.

I will include it in the thread I create. It makes me feel a little less crazy now that someone else hit upon the same hypothesis in passing at least.
link to original post

Will it be able to explain how he is consistently beating THE GAME silly?
link to original post



Judge for yourself. I posted it just now
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
Ace2
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August 30th, 2022 at 2:20:46 PM permalink
Quote: AlanMendelson

Question: if there were no betting limits and no bankroll limits is it possible for a player to keep betting until he has a net win on any session?
link to original post

No.

For instance, calculate the probability that no heads appear in X coin flips. No matter how large X is, that probability is always greater than zero. There is no guarantee that a head will ever appear, assuming that's what you're betting on

Even if you have a $10 billion dollar bankroll and there are no betting limits, a martingale will work for you until you hit a very unlucky streak and you can't cover the next bet, at which point you've lost the majority of your bankroll. All of that for the goal of winning one measly unit
It’s all about making that GTA
AxelWolf
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August 30th, 2022 at 2:49:47 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Quote: AxelWolf

MDawg has indicated in the past he doesn't play Baccarat with a mathematical advantage
link to original post


I challenge AxelWolf, at risk of suspension, to produce the posts where I have ever indicated that I do not play with a mathematical advantage.

Discussing trends or anything else is not the same thing as stating that I do not play with an advantage.

If he can produce the posts, I'll take a suspension. If he cannot, he should be suspended.


I also challenge him to produce the Wizard's post where he stated this:

Quote: AxelWolf

The Wizard didn't notice any substantial Advantage Play situation.link to original post


Because the only official statements made by the Wizard about the witnessed session were as follows:




AxelWolf seems desperate to inject himself into The Adventures of MDawg with some kind of relevancy, but he can't get away with saying things that are simply not true.
link to original post

If I accept this challenge, who gets to decide if you have indicated that you do not play with a mathematical advantage? It would have to include any and all posts, and PM's made on the internet that you have made. I won't accept a ruling from Mike.

I want it to be worthwhile, so the suspension would need to be for 3 months. If I accept, let's make it fun, we both promise not to post on any forum or Facebook, YouTube, Instagram, TikTok, Snapchat, Pinterest, Reddit, LinkedIn, and Twitter. If it's something directly related to your business, then that's fine. I don't consider apps such as Viber, Discord, Telegram, WeChat, Skype, WhatsApp, or GroupMe, a forum.

Also, no playing catch-up upon one's return and posting about things that happened during that 3 months, unless it's something significant and totally unrelated to casinos and gambling.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
OnceDear
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August 30th, 2022 at 2:55:41 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

If I accept this challenge, who gets to decide if you have indicated that you do not play with a mathematical advantage? It would have to include any and all posts, and PM's made on the internet that you have made. I won't accept a ruling from Mike.
link to original post


For $1,999 (+ Taxes) per hour, payable 50:50 by the two parties, I would be willing to adjudicate fairly.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
AxelWolf
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August 30th, 2022 at 3:33:52 PM permalink
Quote: OnceDear

Quote: AxelWolf

If I accept this challenge, who gets to decide if you have indicated that you do not play with a mathematical advantage? It would have to include any and all posts, and PM's made on the internet that you have made. I won't accept a ruling from Mike.
link to original post


For $1,999 (+ Taxes) per hour, payable 50:50 by the two parties, I would be willing to adjudicate fairly.
link to original post

I have one thing to say about that, I think you will greatly appreciate it, it's been a long time and long overdue.

WMOAT.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
MDawg
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August 30th, 2022 at 6:43:29 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Quote: AxelWolf

MDawg has indicated in the past he doesn't play Baccarat with a mathematical advantage
link to original post


I challenge AxelWolf, at risk of suspension, to produce the posts where I have ever indicated that I do not play with a mathematical advantage.

Discussing trends or anything else is not the same thing as stating that I do not play with an advantage.

If he can produce the posts, I'll take a suspension. If he cannot, he should be suspended.


I also challenge him to produce the Wizard's post where he stated this:

Quote: AxelWolf

The Wizard didn't notice any substantial Advantage Play situation.link to original post


Because the only official statements made by the Wizard about the witnessed session were as follows:




AxelWolf seems desperate to inject himself into The Adventures of MDawg with some kind of relevancy, but he can't get away with saying things that are simply not true.
link to original post


I already PM'ed the Wizard and told him that I challenge the statement,
Quote: AxelWolf

MDawg has indicated in the past he doesn't play Baccarat with a mathematical advantage
link to original post


it's not a complex matter. Obviously as always the person challenged has to come up with something I posted at WOV that supports what he claims I said. If not, he gets suspended. This is nothing new, it's been done before.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/36481-sabre-coachs-challenge/
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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August 30th, 2022 at 6:53:44 PM permalink
Day 12 play.

DD Blackjack.

Three separate sessions, win, lose, lose. Over all, not good.

-15200

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
AxelWolf
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August 30th, 2022 at 11:06:40 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Quote: MDawg

Quote: AxelWolf

MDawg has indicated in the past he doesn't play Baccarat with a mathematical advantage
link to original post


I challenge AxelWolf, at risk of suspension, to produce the posts where I have ever indicated that I do not play with a mathematical advantage.

Discussing trends or anything else is not the same thing as stating that I do not play with an advantage.

If he can produce the posts, I'll take a suspension. If he cannot, he should be suspended.


I also challenge him to produce the Wizard's post where he stated this:

Quote: AxelWolf

The Wizard didn't notice any substantial Advantage Play situation.link to original post


Because the only official statements made by the Wizard about the witnessed session were as follows:




AxelWolf seems desperate to inject himself into The Adventures of MDawg with some kind of relevancy, but he can't get away with saying things that are simply not true.
link to original post


I already PM'ed the Wizard and told him that I challenge the statement,
Quote: AxelWolf

MDawg has indicated in the past he doesn't play Baccarat with a mathematical advantage
link to original post


it's not a complex matter. Obviously as always the person challenged has to come up with something I posted at WOV that supports what he claims I said. If not, he gets suspended. This is nothing new, it's been done before.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/36481-sabre-coachs-challenge/
link to original post

Never claimed you said anything on WOV(I certainly could have been here and other places), I said you eluded to that fact in the past. I don't care if it was talked about here, there, or the other place, if you elude to or say something somewhere else, that doesn't mean it didn't happen and magically go away..
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
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