mikeeating
mikeeating
Joined: Jul 5, 2018
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July 5th, 2018 at 6:19:52 AM permalink
Hello.

Firstly, sorry if this has been posted before. But im wondering what or where icna find the stats are for this.

I have a strategy for using a martinglale approach for baccarat but the streak size (may) needs to stay under 9. Where can i find the stats for how often a 9 runs in a game of or session baccarat. The most I have seen at the casino is a 8, also, It would be possible to still be successful at this if it went to a 11 streak, but how often does this happen? is there stats for this somewhere? but the problem with this is that it would take longer for me to double my account. on average it taken me 3 hours to double my account.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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July 5th, 2018 at 6:29:29 AM permalink
Quote: mikeeating

but the problem with this is that it would take longer for me to double my account. on average it taken me 3 hours to double my account.



Welcome to the forum. Your question needs to be a little more specific. Are you asking how often there are 9 Player wins in a row? Or how often there are 9 Banker wins in a row? I assume you are aware that Banker wins slightly more often than Player.
So also remember, if you are betting Banker you only win 95 cents for every dollar wagered, making a Martingale a little complicated.

The real problem is that if trying to double your account you will FAIL more often than you succeed, no matter what system you use. If there was a way to 'double my account' reliably the fact that it would take 3 hours would not deter you, or anyone else for that matter.
mikeeating
mikeeating
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July 5th, 2018 at 6:35:22 AM permalink
Thanks.

Yes I dont have alot of experience with baccarat in casinos, but have been using probability trading in forex for a while, which is why i am investigating this as it has worked for a short time

I cant find stats on how often a player or banker would win every-time in a row for an extended period of time. The time I was playing i only saw a continuous streak of 8.
michael99000
michael99000
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July 5th, 2018 at 6:39:59 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Welcome to the forum. Your question needs to be a little more specific. Are you asking how often there are 9 Player wins in a row? Or how often there are 9 Banker wins in a row? I assume you are aware that Banker wins slightly more often than Player.
So also remember, if you are betting Banker you only win 95 cents for every dollar wagered, making a Martingale a little complicated.

The real problem is that if trying to double your account you will FAIL more often than you succeed, no matter what system you use. If there was a way to 'double my account' reliably the fact that it would take 3 hours would not deter you, or anyone else for that matter.



If thereís one thing about casino gambling that annoys me , itís when it takes longer than 3 hours to double my bankroll
mikeeating
mikeeating
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July 5th, 2018 at 6:45:48 AM permalink
oK obviously i have just had beginners luck a few times, but i do want to check the facts before i throw it in
klimate10
klimate10
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July 5th, 2018 at 6:57:29 AM permalink
Quote: michael99000

If thereís one thing about casino gambling that annoys me, itís when it takes longer than 3 hours to double my bankroll



Thatís because youíre using old boring Martingale. I invented the Super Martingale, where you triple your bet after every loss.
beachbumbabs
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beachbumbabs
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July 5th, 2018 at 7:18:27 AM permalink
Quote: mikeeating

Hello.

Firstly, sorry if this has been posted before. But im wondering what or where icna find the stats are for this.

I have a strategy for using a martinglale approach for baccarat but the streak size (may) needs to stay under 9. Where can i find the stats for how often a 9 runs in a game of or session baccarat. The most I have seen at the casino is a 8, also, It would be possible to still be successful at this if it went to a 11 streak, but how often does this happen? is there stats for this somewhere? but the problem with this is that it would take longer for me to double my account. on average it taken me 3 hours to double my account.



Welcome, mikeeating.

I'm sure this has been run out. I'm almost sure it's a poster named Mustang Sally who has posted a table specific to baccarat. Could have been one of several.others.

I'm assuming you're ignoring ties, since they push.

I'll see if I can pick it up quickly, but you might keep searching the archives.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
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July 5th, 2018 at 7:20:55 AM permalink
delete
"𝘣𝘦𝘭𝘪𝘦𝘷𝘦 𝘩𝘢𝘭𝘧 𝘰𝘧 𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘯𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘩𝘦𝘢𝘳"______Edgar Allan Poe
beachbumbabs
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beachbumbabs
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July 5th, 2018 at 7:31:11 AM permalink
WINS PROBABILITY
10 + 0.000411
9 0.000486
8 0.001059
7 0.002310
6 0.005036
5 0.010982
4 0.023947
3 or less 0.955769
Total 1.000000

This calculation is excerpted from Wizard of Odds Banker Streak sidebet. It is valid for Banker side only, due to differing rules for Banker and Player hands.

Move the decimal 2 places right to get a percentage. IE 95.5769% of the time your Martingale will be successful in 3 or less hands.

I'll leave it to you to find the Player hands, or longer than 10 exactly, assuming this doesnt answer enough of your question. Note the top number is 10 OR MORE hands for the streak to resolve, 9-4 are exactly (mathematically) that percentage.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
mikeeating
mikeeating
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July 5th, 2018 at 5:16:09 PM permalink
Thanks for the reply.

Yes, I guess this means i have a 4% chance of being wiped out.

What I was doing was betting that each hand (player or banker) would be repeated (won for eg) more than it wouldn't. Except I wouldn't enter until a pattern formed that would correspond such as, player win, banker win, player win and then at this stage I would assume that either the player or banker would then win at least twice in a row, this also meant that I could survive up to 9 hands (not including the 2 i didn't enter in at the start) which greatly improved my chances I saw. so as you can see If i stroke a run of say 12 continuos single wins then I would be wiped out. But i never saw more than 7 for the time I was doing this.

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