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Wizard
Wizard
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  • Posts: 28287
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
Thanked by
harris
August 13th, 2026 at 6:34:58 PM permalink
I'm in the early stages of writing my next book, Gambling 103. This will be a deep dive into esoteric math-heavy gambling topics. Comparisons could easily be made to Gambling Ramblings by Peter Griffin.

Here is an initial chapter list, the first time I've put one in writing.

  • How to analyze craps side bets using integral calculus
  • Why card counting works in blackjack
  • Why fewer decks lower the house edge in blackjack
  • How to do a card-counting vulnerability analysis for blackjack and baccarat side bets
  • How to analyze a video poker pay table in one second
  • Using logistic regression to analyze Super Bowl proposition bets
  • Using the Poisson distribution to analyze Super Bowl proposition bets
  • Wagering in Final Jeopardy
  • Optimal strategy for The Price is Right "Big Wheel"
  • Two Envelope Paradox
  • Benford's Law and the 2020 election.
  • When a must-hit-by jackpot turns positive
  • Optimal bet sizing using the Kelly Criterion
  • Parlaying side and total in baseball.


That said, do you have any other suggestions?

Please remember I'm trying to break new ground here. Yes, I know Stanford Wong covered using Poisson in his Sharp Sports Betting book, but I think it deserves more attention.

I know some of these chapters have little to do with gambling, but I think the type of person who would buy this book would still find them interesting.

The question for the poll is would you buy Gambling 103?

Thank you for your comments and suggestions.
"No great mind has ever existed without a touch of madness." -- Aristotle
Mental
Mental
  • Threads: 17
  • Posts: 1614
Joined: Dec 10, 2018
August 13th, 2026 at 7:45:16 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I'm in the early stages of writing my next book, Gambling 103. This will be a deep dive into esoteric math-heavy gambling topics. Comparisons could easily be made to Gambling Ramblings by Peter Griffin.

Here is an initial chapter list, the first time I've put one in writing.

  • How to analyze craps side bets using integral calculus
  • Why card counting works in blackjack
  • Why fewer decks lower the house edge in blackjack
  • How to do a card-counting vulnerability analysis for blackjack and baccarat side bets
  • How to analyze a video poker pay table in one second
  • Using logistic regression to analyze Super Bowl proposition bets
  • Using the Poisson distribution to analyze Super Bowl proposition bets
  • Wagering in Final Jeopardy
  • Optimal strategy for The Price is Right "Big Wheel"
  • Two Envelope Paradox
  • Benford's Law and the 2020 election.
  • When a must-hit-by jackpot turns positive
  • Optimal bet sizing using the Kelly Criterion
  • Parlaying side and total in baseball.


That said, do you have any other suggestions?

Please remember I'm trying to break new ground here. Yes, I know Stanford Wong covered using Poisson in his Sharp Sports Betting book, but I think it deserves more attention.

I know some of these chapters have little to do with gambling, but I think the type of person who would buy this book would still find them interesting.

The question for the poll is would you buy Gambling 103?

Thank you for your comments and suggestions.
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I wrote an VP analyzer based partly on an article you wrote 25 years ago. It can analyze a quick-quads pay table and create a near optimal strategy in less than a second. I would be interested in your ideas on automatic strategy generation.

It seems online gambling topics are absent in your list except to the extent that sports betting is done online. However, sharp bettors cannot get much money down online. I have been limited to betting less than $2 online in some cases and I am not a sharp bettor.

Does your progressive section assume uniform PDF for mystery progressives triggering? Many interesting mystery progressive have absurdly nonuniform PDFs.
Gambling is a math contest where the score is tracked in dollars. Try not to get a negative score.
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