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100xOdds
100xOdds
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September 2nd, 2014 at 12:29:32 PM permalink
nviv down to .59 now

anyone double up their shares?
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
steeldco
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September 2nd, 2014 at 12:31:11 PM permalink
I haven't yet.
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steeldco
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September 4th, 2014 at 2:32:19 PM permalink
I was oh so tempted to add today, but I did not. Further, the more I think about it, the more inclined I am to just stick with what I have. If their product succeeds then it will provide an awfully nice return. Many fold my original investment. I'll be content with that and not risk any more. It would appear that the price getting bashed is due to massive selling by the CEO who was canned and is getting sued. If that's true, then I feel comfortable. Time will tell.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
100xOdds
100xOdds
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September 4th, 2014 at 3:05:50 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

I was oh so tempted to add today, but I did not. Further, the more I think about it, the more inclined I am to just stick with what I have. If their product succeeds then it will provide an awfully nice return. Many fold my original investment. I'll be content with that and not risk any more. It would appear that the price getting bashed is due to massive selling by the CEO who was canned and is getting sued. If that's true, then I feel comfortable. Time will tell.



ahh.. so thats why the huge slide from .90 to .50 in a couple of weeks?

unfortunately, I think it'll go lower because I see the stock market in general going lower for the rest of the month.
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
steeldco
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September 5th, 2014 at 6:04:10 AM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

ahh.. so thats why the huge slide from .90 to .50 in a couple of weeks?

unfortunately, I think it'll go lower because I see the stock market in general going lower for the rest of the month.



Yep. I would agree with you.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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September 20th, 2014 at 7:13:20 AM permalink
Below is a table of the results of each month's stock screens and a comparison to the S&P 500. The stock screens have underperformed, although I think that they may have beaten most money managers. In any case, a whole bunch of the runs, were done on an unfiltered basis, whereas the most recent runs have been filtered to remove slow, or, no growth industries. Since this has become a tedious task, I am going to remove the screens that were unfiltered, starting with next month. I believe that the results will improve.


Summary S&P $ Invested $ Gain % Gain Stk Screen $ Invested $ Gain (Loss) % Gain
Screen Run of 09/09/13: $1,653.08 357.32 21.62% $3,964.90 583.46 14.72%
Screen Run of 10/09/13: $1,656.40 354.00 21.37% $1,235.33 133.24 10.79%
Screen Run of 11/09/13: $1,770.61 239.79 13.54% $726.58 70.03 9.64%
Screen Run of 12/07/13: $1,805.09 205.31 11.37% $141.70 (18.98) -13.39%
Screen Run of 01/10/14: $1,842.37 168.03 9.12% $1,233.47 (5.39) -0.44%
Screen Run of 02/08/14: $1,797.02 213.38 11.87% $1,618.39 (41.24) -2.55%
Screen Run of 03/08/14: $1,878.04 77.02 4.10% $1,681.25 (74.04) -4.40%
Screen Run of 04/12/14: $1,815.69 194.71 10.72% $1,022.51 13.30 1.30%
Screen Run of 05/11/14: $1,878.48 76.58 4.08% $1,246.53 (11.38) -0.91%
Screen Run of 06/11/14: $1,936.16 74.24 3.83% $1,590.80 (13.19) -0.83%
Screen Run of 07/19/14: $1,978.22 32.18 1.63% $129.91 6.58 5.07%
Screen Run of 08/16/14: $1,955.06 55.34 2.83% $589.45 13.08 2.22%
Total $21,966.22 2047.90 9.32% $15,180.82 $655.45 4.32%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
Boz
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September 20th, 2014 at 7:15:16 AM permalink
Anyone know why EGHT has been dumping lately? Not much news out there.
steeldco
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September 20th, 2014 at 7:54:44 AM permalink
This month's stock screen:


Company Name Ticker Purchase Price
ANADIGICS CORP ANAD 0.70
CYAN INC CYNI 3.54
DIADEXUS INC DDXS 0.52
FINISAR CORP FNSR 18.65
FURMANITE CORP FRM 7.72
GIGAMON INC GIMO 11.49
INFINERA CORP INFN 11.56
MEDICINES CO MDCO 24.84
MAXLINEAR INC-A MXL 7.52
OMNICELL INC OMCL 27.20
PERFORMANT FINL PFMT 9.00
POWERSECURE INT POWR 10.28
RENEWABLE ENERG REGI 10.64
SHUTTERFLY INC SFLY 47.71
SUPPORT.COM INC SPRT 2.32
VIRTUSA CORP VRTU 35.72
YUME INC YUME 5.26
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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September 20th, 2014 at 8:01:29 AM permalink
Quote: Boz

Anyone know why EGHT has been dumping lately? Not much news out there.



Boz, I don't see a fundamental reason. It may be broken on a technical basis however (not an expert on the technicals).
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
nickolay411
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September 20th, 2014 at 8:02:22 AM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

nviv down to .59 now

anyone double up their shares?



at .54 now. I agree that It will go lower. Everyone keeps talking about a correction I feel it's scaring a lot of investors. If it hits .40 I'll double up!
100xOdds
100xOdds
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September 20th, 2014 at 8:20:14 AM permalink
Quote: nickolay411

at .54 now. I agree that It will go lower. Everyone keeps talking about a correction I feel it's scaring a lot of investors. If it hits .40 I'll double up!


yeah, sold nviv at a $500 loss.
will rebuy at .40

has the former CEO stopped dumping his shares?

also, correction in the general stock market? as in 10%+ drop?
yeah, I see that coming. another bloody OCt...
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
nickolay411
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September 20th, 2014 at 10:08:28 PM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

yeah, sold nviv at a $500 loss.
will rebuy at .40

has the former CEO stopped dumping his shares?

also, correction in the general stock market? as in 10%+ drop?
yeah, I see that coming. another bloody OCt...



not too bad of a loss. I'm only down around 200 so far. Not sure about the former CEO. I've read some pretty terrible things about him though.

Yep they are calling for a bear market in the next few months. Who really knows though with the holiday season coming around!
petroglyph
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October 29th, 2014 at 11:53:00 AM permalink
Anyone have any thoughts on hemp stocks?

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/american-seed-oil-company-announces-160000394.html

Somebody somewhere is going to make money from hemp and oil products, but it probably won't be me?
steeldco
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October 29th, 2014 at 12:19:48 PM permalink
When last I looked at a few, from my perspective, those stocks have received a tremendous amount of hype, driving up prices. I certainly have them on my mind and will revisit them from time to time. However, for the time being, I'm doing nothing with those.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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November 9th, 2014 at 6:35:38 AM permalink
Here are the results of the monthly screens since I began to filter them. I missed running one for October. I will be running, and posting, November in just a bit. Results aren't too shabby.....


Summary S&P $ Invested $ Gain % Gain Stk Screen $ Invested $ Gain (Loss) % Gain
Screen Run of 07/19/14: $1,978.22 53.70 2.71% $129.91 19.22 14.79%
Screen Run of 08/16/14: $1,955.06 76.86 3.93% $589.45 36.78 6.24%
Screen Run of 09/20/14: $2,010.40 21.52 1.07% $231.44 4.67 2.02%
Total $5,943.68 152.08 2.56% $950.80 $60.67 6.38%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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November 9th, 2014 at 7:17:22 AM permalink
Here are the picks from today's stock screen:


Symbol Name Purchase Current Change % Change
AAOI APPLIED OPTOELE 15.73 $15.73 $0.00 0.00%
ANAD ANADIGICS CORP 0.772 $0.77 $0.00 0.00%
BCOR BLUCORA INC 14.79 $14.79 $0.00 0.00%
BRDR BORDERFREE INC 7 $7.00 $0.00 0.00%
CRAY CRAY INC 33.92 $33.92 $0.00 0.00%
CRTO CRITEO SA-ADR 36.19 $36.19 $0.00 0.00%
CYNI CYAN INC 2.81 $2.81 $0.00 0.00%
ENZY ENZYMOTEC LTD 6.84 $6.84 $0.00 0.00%
FNSR FINISAR CORP 17.22 $17.22 $0.00 0.00%
FRM FURMANITE CORP 6.16 $6.16 $0.00 0.00%
MDCO MEDICINES CO 24.59 $24.59 $0.00 0.00%
MXL MAXLINEAR INC-A 7.43 $7.43 $0.00 0.00%
PFMT PERFORMANT FINL 7.04 $7.04 $0.00 0.00%
PKT PROCERA NETWRKS 7.19 $7.19 $0.00 0.00%
REGI RENEWABLE ENERG 10.31 $10.31 $0.00 0.00%
SFLY SHUTTERFLY INC 41.68 $41.68 $0.00 0.00%
SMCI SUPER MICRO COM 33.93 $33.93 $0.00 0.00%
SPA SPARTON CORP 25.7 $25.70 $0.00 0.00%
SPRT SUPPORT.COM INC 2.16 $2.16 $0.00 0.00%
SQNM SEQUENOM INC 2.91 $2.91 $0.00 0.00%
SYNA SYNAPTICS INC 63.66 $63.66 $0.00 0.00%
TNGO TANGOE INC 12.24 $12.24 $0.00 0.00%
VSAT VIASAT INC 65.39 $65.39 $0.00 0.00%
XCRA XCERRA CORP 8.53 $8.53 $0.00 0.00%
YUME YUME INC 4.81 $4.81 $0.00 0.00%
$459.00 $459.00 $0.00 0.00%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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November 11th, 2014 at 12:17:49 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

I was oh so tempted to add today, but I did not. Further, the more I think about it, the more inclined I am to just stick with what I have. If their product succeeds then it will provide an awfully nice return. Many fold my original investment. I'll be content with that and not risk any more. It would appear that the price getting bashed is due to massive selling by the CEO who was canned and is getting sued. If that's true, then I feel comfortable. Time will tell.



Invivo article below:


Barrow Neurosurgeons Implant the World's First Scaffold into a Patient's Spinal Cord

Surgery Performed on 25-Year-Old Valley Man after Dirt Bike Accident

Neurosurgeons at Barrow Neurological Institute have implanted the world's first scaffolding device into the spinal cord of a patient.

PR Newswire

PHOENIX, Nov. 11, 2014


PHOENIX, Nov. 11, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- Performed last month, the surgery involves inserting a bioresorbable scaffolding implant to act as a bridge across the gap of the injured section of the cord in an attempt to help the spinal cord heal. This first case is part of a pilot study to measure the clinical safety of the implanted device developed by InVivo Therapeutics Holdings Corp. If proven successful, surgeons believe the new technique could become a standard protocol in the treatment of acute spinal cord injury.

"This is a major milestone for spinal cord injury treatment and we are elated to be the first hospital in the world to perform this innovative surgery and to be part of the clinical trial," says Nicholas Theodore, MD, Chief of Spinal Surgery at Barrow and principal investigator of the study. "This could be the first step in identifying a new treatment option to improve the overall recovery of individuals with acute spinal cord injury."

Twenty-five-year-old Jordan Fallis, the first patient to have the scaffold implanted, will be closely monitored throughout his recovery to see if there are any changes or improvements to his spinal cord and mobility.

Fallis, a machinist who resides in Scottsdale, was injured in October in a dirt biking accident. A section of his spinal cord was injured and he was airlifted to Barrow which is located at Dignity Health St. Joseph's Hospital and Medical Center, where he underwent emergency surgery by Dr. Theodore that evening. Fallis spent a week in the ICU before being transferred to the hospital's Neuro Rehabilitation Center where he is currently undergoing intensive physical and occupational therapy.

"Dr. Theodore explained the study to me before my surgery and I immediately consented," says Fallis. "I'm excited to be the first patient in this research study that may one day become the standard of spinal cord injury treatment."

To measure the safety of the device, the FDA has approved five individuals in the United States to undergo the procedure. Fallis will be monitored for three months before InVivo reopens enrollment. In addition to Barrow, the University of North Carolina, the University of Arizona and the Washington University Medical Center are participants in the study.

SOURCE Barrow Neurological Institute
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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November 12th, 2014 at 1:17:07 PM permalink
Fortunately, we have held our NVIV. I hope that there are a few fortunate others here who also did.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
100xOdds
100xOdds
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November 18th, 2014 at 2:08:24 PM permalink
what happened to Nviv?!

it dropped 99% to $0.01 today?!
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
steeldco
steeldco
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November 18th, 2014 at 2:17:11 PM permalink
No it didn't. Bad data was transmitted to the brokerages houses. Off a couple of decimal places on all pink sheet type stocks.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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November 23rd, 2014 at 8:06:57 AM permalink
Since I will look to be adding to the WOV portfolio tomorrow, I thought that I would show the current results below.
The addition tomorrow will be TRIB (Trinity Biotech- Biotech is a misnomer, the business is mostly medical equipment and testing).


Symbol Price Price Paid Gain % Gain Annualized Gain
CKSW 7.49 8.04 ($558.00) -6.93% -3.15%
EGHT 7.57 7.28 $282.00 3.87% 7.76%
NVIV 1.31 0.93 $3,032.00 40.71% 128.09%
SIMG 5.60 4.61 $1,477.00 21.33% 11.35%
SVA 5.05 3.72 $2,851.50 35.62% 22.22%
YNDX 26.67 32.16 ($1,380.50) -17.15% -23.54%
Total $5,704.00 12.46%


Closed Positions:

Symbol Time & Price Price Shares Mkt Value Price Paid Cost Gain & % Gain % Gain Annualized Gain
Purchased 9/23/2012
OPTR 23-Oct $12.78 571 $7,297.38 $14.00 $7,994.00 ($704.62) -8.71% -7.94%
Purchased 7/3/2013
CCIH 6-Dec $8.74 2,025 $17,698.50 $3.95 $7,998.75 $9,699.75 121.27% 279.84%
$15,992.75 $8,995.13
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
odiousgambit
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November 26th, 2014 at 8:16:15 AM permalink
Bored today and decided to gamble on an oil etf, PowerShares DB Oil Fund

it's down over 2% today

sure, it could go lower, in fact I practically predict it, but I want to take a position in oil. I won't sell it until I can make a profit, even if that takes years of waiting. The question becomes whether to buy more if it goes down. But I don't want a big position yet.

Gold is really hanging in there at $1200, which just doesnt float my boat.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
steeldco
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November 26th, 2014 at 9:13:22 AM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

Bored today and decided to gamble on an oil etf, PowerShares DB Oil Fund

it's down over 2% today

sure, it could go lower, in fact I practically predict it, but I want to take a position in oil. I won't sell it until I can make a profit, even if that takes years of waiting. The question becomes whether to buy more if it goes down. But I don't want a big position yet.

Gold is really hanging in there at $1200, which just doesnt float my boat.



Good Luck! I personally have not done well playing oil, long or short. As a matter of fact, I held interests in 2 working oil wells in the 80's and even those only provided a mediocre return to me. Never played gold, or silver.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
odiousgambit
odiousgambit 
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November 26th, 2014 at 9:50:41 AM permalink
I'm considering just playing this for its volatility. If it can go down 2% in one day, it can go up 2% too. The cost of the commission for the amount I've invested is 0.4%

Thus for a lark, it's easy to see what a player might do [probably would wait for more than 2%]

Like I said, I'm bored. I can see one problem: if it *keeps* going down, I can't play it at all without taking a loss first. So the hope is I've caught it somewhere around its floor.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
teddys
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November 26th, 2014 at 11:08:20 AM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

Bored today and decided to gamble on an oil etf, PowerShares DB Oil Fund

it's down over 2% today

sure, it could go lower, in fact I practically predict it, but I want to take a position in oil. I won't sell it until I can make a profit, even if that takes years of waiting. The question becomes whether to buy more if it goes down. But I don't want a big position yet.

Gold is really hanging in there at $1200, which just doesnt float my boat.

Are you sure that's the play you want to make? DBO tracks the GSCI crude price index pretty much exclusively. So you are basically going long on just the underlying commodity. Not a bad idea but extremely volatile. But I would guess as a craps player you like variance :)

I like the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP). It tracks a portfolio of most of the major oil producers (Exxon, Chevron, etc.) and oil-field services companies (Schlumberger, Halliburton, etc.). I took a fairly big long position (for me, anyway) in it because I feel it is good value. It's down at the moment. XLE is also an excellent energy fund from SPDR, with a lot more exposure to Exxon and Chevron. It might actually be a better play than XOP, with more volatility.

Plus I like SPDR funds in general. I'm sure you are familiar with GLD? ;)
"Dice, verily, are armed with goads and driving-hooks, deceiving and tormenting, causing grievous woe." -Rig Veda 10.34.4
odiousgambit
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November 26th, 2014 at 11:13:26 AM permalink
Quote: teddys

Are you sure that's the play you want to make? DBO tracks the GSCI crude price index pretty much exclusively. So you are basically going long on just the underlying commodity. Not a bad idea but extremely volatile. But I would guess as a craps player you like variance :)

I like the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP). It tracks a portfolio of most of the major oil producers (Exxon, Chevron, etc.) and oil-field services companies (Schlumberger, Halliburton, etc.). I took a fairly big long position (for me, anyway) in it because I feel it is good value. It's down at the moment.



You're making a good move. Your tax situation will be better too [capital gains rate] ... commodity funds profits get taxed at income rates.

I never invest like this! This is kind of new for me, just gambling.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
Boz
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November 26th, 2014 at 12:49:27 PM permalink
Big jump on EGHT today to back over $8.00. Stock seems to move without a lot of news both up and down.
steeldco
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November 26th, 2014 at 1:53:31 PM permalink
Quote: Boz

Big jump on EGHT today to back over $8.00. Stock seems to move without a lot of news both up and down.



There seems to have been a good sized buy at the close. Hopefully this is just a beginning.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
odiousgambit
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November 28th, 2014 at 7:42:23 AM permalink
Stocks, verily, are armed with goads and driving-hooks, deceiving and tormenting, causing grievous woe!

that bet only down about 9% today

the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
beachbumbabs
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November 29th, 2014 at 3:15:32 AM permalink
Conoco/Phillips has been very good to my mom over 30 years of holdings. That is the sum total of my knowledge about oil stocks.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
odiousgambit
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November 29th, 2014 at 3:49:08 AM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

Conoco/Phillips has been very good to my mom over 30 years of holdings. That is the sum total of my knowledge about oil stocks.



She probably doesn't look at the value much anymore. Don't.

I said Don't
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
beachbumbabs
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November 29th, 2014 at 5:04:25 AM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

She probably doesn't look at the value much anymore. Don't.

I said Don't



HAHAHA. I couldn't resist. OUCH!

Well, she's made her money back several times over. It is what it is.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
teddys
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November 29th, 2014 at 4:01:48 PM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

She probably doesn't look at the value much anymore. Don't.

I said Don't

Well, don't look at it TODAY, that's for sure!

Great stock, a bargain at this point, even more so the downstream subsidiary Phillips 66. She was smart to buy and hold. I wish I had held Exxon for the whole time since I bought it. Stellar performer. Actually, I wish I had held everything. My legal guardian (a.k.a. Dad) sold a lot at various bottoms.
"Dice, verily, are armed with goads and driving-hooks, deceiving and tormenting, causing grievous woe." -Rig Veda 10.34.4
odiousgambit
odiousgambit 
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November 29th, 2014 at 4:21:22 PM permalink
in fact a case can be made that, today, you should buy

and it's not even a 52 wk low for c-phillips

and it pays dividends

and capital gains tax rates for taking profits

my choice, on the other hand *sigh*
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
odiousgambit
odiousgambit 
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December 1st, 2014 at 5:27:15 AM permalink
well, I did know that the Saudis were making a decision that would impact me, but didn't know it would be so dramatic. Of course I thought the decision would go the other way



in other news, the 10 yr bond yield has fallen to 2.215% . That trend is probably related but also quite shocking.

for my next possible mistake, I have to consider selling bonds
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
teddys
teddys
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December 1st, 2014 at 5:46:17 PM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

well, I did know that the Saudis were making a decision that would impact me, but didn't know it would be so dramatic. Of course I thought the decision would go the other way



in other news, the 10 yr bond yield has fallen to 2.215% . That trend is probably related but also quite shocking.

for my next possible mistake, I have to consider selling bonds

Haha, I made the mistake of checking my portfolio today. I own almost exclusively energy stocks and energy indexes. (Yep...eggs, meet one basket.) That HURTS!
"Dice, verily, are armed with goads and driving-hooks, deceiving and tormenting, causing grievous woe." -Rig Veda 10.34.4
odiousgambit
odiousgambit 
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December 1st, 2014 at 6:49:16 PM permalink
Quote: teddys

Haha, I made the mistake of checking my portfolio today. I own almost exclusively energy stocks and energy indexes. (Yep...eggs, meet one basket.) That HURTS!



Hang in there with me, I already had owned a lot of energy stocks [in funds] before making this last risky move, which in spite of my wailing was a smallish lark. Oil in recent memory did go down to $30 a barrel I believe, so it might keep going down, but to sell to avoid further loss is usually a really bad idea. Especially if you can wait it out, which is my plan, and I do not believe for a minute oil is a commodity that is going to stay depressed for any long period.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
coilman
coilman
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December 5th, 2014 at 10:30:08 AM permalink
OIL STOCKS

well lets put it this way..... some of the major players prices are juicy right now

BAKER HUGHES was taken over just a few weeks back for $34.6 BILLION by Haliburton

Today for under a billion you can buy TRICAN
You can also buy CALFRAC for under a billion
CANYON Services Group sets you back $605 million ( had mom sell hers in August at $14 or so today $8.80 )

for just over $2.5 BILLION you get three companies that three months ago would have cost you about $5.5 billion

do you like to gamble which way the price of oil is going to go? is it really any gamble at all which way it will go up long before next summer travel season comes upon us?
odiousgambit
odiousgambit 
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December 5th, 2014 at 2:13:10 PM permalink
Quote: coilman

is it really any gamble at all which way it will go up long before next summer travel season comes upon us?



gluts have lasted for a while, but I have no concern that oil won't eventually return to $80 a barrel at least ... in constant dollars too ... taking many moons perhaps but I will be surprised if moons aren't the proper measuring stick

PS: as far as constant dollars go, that part of the formula is good, as low oil prices are deflationary
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
steeldco
steeldco
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December 6th, 2014 at 9:56:29 AM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit



PS: as far as constant dollars go, that part of the formula is good, as low oil prices are deflationary



Apparently the morons in Washington feel that gas prices have fallen too much and they have an opportunity to garner greater tax dollars. Leave it up our politicians to F-up a good thing.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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December 9th, 2014 at 5:25:47 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Since I will look to be adding to the WOV portfolio tomorrow, I thought that I would show the current results below.
The addition tomorrow will be TRIB (Trinity Biotech- Biotech is a misnomer, the business is mostly medical equipment and testing).


Symbol Price Price Paid Gain % Gain Annualized Gain
CKSW 7.49 8.04 ($558.00) -6.93% -3.15%
EGHT 7.57 7.28 $282.00 3.87% 7.76%
NVIV 1.31 0.93 $3,032.00 40.71% 128.09%
SIMG 5.60 4.61 $1,477.00 21.33% 11.35%
SVA 5.05 3.72 $2,851.50 35.62% 22.22%
YNDX 26.67 32.16 ($1,380.50) -17.15% -23.54%
Total $5,704.00 12.46%


Closed Positions:

Symbol Time & Price Price Shares Mkt Value Price Paid Cost Gain & % Gain % Gain Annualized Gain
Purchased 9/23/2012
OPTR 23-Oct $12.78 571 $7,297.38 $14.00 $7,994.00 ($704.62) -8.71% -7.94%
Purchased 7/3/2013
CCIH 6-Dec $8.74 2,025 $17,698.50 $3.95 $7,998.75 $9,699.75 121.27% 279.84%
$15,992.75 $8,995.13



I'll be looking to double up on YNDX today. The value has just become much too compelling to overlook. Market cap is 2 times earnings and one-tenth of sales. Are you kidding me? Thank you Putin!
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
odiousgambit
odiousgambit 
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December 9th, 2014 at 6:24:48 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

I'll be looking to double up on YNDX today. The value has just become much too compelling to overlook. Market cap is 2 times earnings and one-tenth of sales. Are you kidding me? Thank you Putin!



Quote: below link

Yandex N.V. (Yandex) is an European Internet company and a search provider in Russia



Hard for me to get totally comfortable with such a description, on the other hand you do make it seem like a deal.

Sometimes it's not whether it is going to go up, but whether it's going down further first, a lesson that I had to learn all over again [per my previous posts]



[this is directed at me, not you]

http://www.google.com/finance?q=YNDX&ei=WAOHVOmtHZCa9AbU_4GgBw
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
steeldco
steeldco
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December 9th, 2014 at 12:51:24 PM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

Hard for me to get totally comfortable with such a description, on the other hand you do make it seem like a deal.



I'm guessing that you are referring to the fact that are a foreign company? Russian in particular? If so, yep, I get it. The mitigating factor is that this isn't exactly a small company. $60 Billion in sales lends a lot of credibility.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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December 9th, 2014 at 1:47:39 PM permalink
I added to YNDX today as mentioned earlier. The below are the current open, and closed, positions.

Open Positions:


Symbol Price Price Paid Gain % Gain Annualized Gain
CKSW 7.4 8.04 ($648.00) -8.05% -3.59%
EGHT 8.16 7.28 $872.00 11.96% 22.06%
NVIV 1.03 0.93 $792.00 10.63% 29.40%
SIMG 7.33 4.61 $4,072.00 58.82% 30.58%
SVA 4.97 3.72 $2,679.50 33.47% 20.33%
TRIB 17.1 16.97 $57.00 0.67% 16.33%
YNDX 20.11 25.815 ($2,868.50) -22.20%
Total $4,956.00 8.39%


Closed Positions:


Symbol Time & Price Price Shares Mkt Value Price Paid Cost Gain & % Gain % Gain Annualized Gain
Purchased 9/23/2012
OPTR 23-Oct $12.78 571 $7,297.38 $14.00 $7,994.00 ($704.62) -8.71% -7.94%
Purchased 7/3/2013
CCIH 6-Dec $8.74 2,025 $17,698.50 $3.95 $7,998.75 $9,699.75 121.27% 279.84%
$15,992.75 $8,995.13
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
100xOdds
100xOdds
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December 12th, 2014 at 3:49:35 PM permalink
if you believe that oil is going down to $40/barrel, what would you short?
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
steeldco
steeldco
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December 12th, 2014 at 4:59:47 PM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

if you believe that oil is going down to $40/barrel, what would you short?



Not really a recommendation since I don't play oil, or ETFs, but I had heard that SCO would be a good short oil play.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
teddys
teddys
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December 12th, 2014 at 7:13:15 PM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

if you believe that oil is going down to $40/barrel, what would you short?

If you can't get your hands on some futures contracts directly, probably USO (U.S. Oil Fund). I'm not sure if they have an inverse. Most actively traded oil fund and most closely tracks the WTI futures.
"Dice, verily, are armed with goads and driving-hooks, deceiving and tormenting, causing grievous woe." -Rig Veda 10.34.4
100xOdds
100xOdds
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December 13th, 2014 at 7:54:50 AM permalink
Quote: teddys

If you can't get your hands on some futures contracts directly, probably USO (U.S. Oil Fund). I'm not sure if they have an inverse. Most actively traded oil fund and most closely tracks the WTI futures.



thx.
and i dont know how to do futures. :(
thus i'll probably shorting uso
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
100xOdds
100xOdds
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December 14th, 2014 at 7:58:24 AM permalink
interesting.. I don't even need to short USO.

I can just buy the short Oil fund:
http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/dno

I;m going to be doing this mon
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
odiousgambit
odiousgambit 
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December 14th, 2014 at 8:05:14 AM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

interesting.. I don't even need to short USO.

I can just buy the short Oil fund:
http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/dno

I;m going to be doing this mon



in order to short funds with who I use, I have to set up credit and don't want to

so a 'short oil fund' would be a better thing then for me too. Plus, the whole business of shorting [the regular way] is tricky. To just pick something to take one shot , a stock that you *correctly* predict will be going down, is not good enough. You have to pick it and be right immediately, settling in 3 days I believe. Or just have a huge amount of money you can play with so you can short the stock over and over, taking losses as necessary before your crystal ball pays off.

So, yeah, I think you have the right idea

PS: which is not to say I am going to do this
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
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