100xOdds
100xOdds
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Joined: Feb 5, 2012
June 23rd, 2026 at 4:25:38 AM permalink
$1 9/6 ddb (99%) has var=40. ($5/spin)
.25 triple play 9/6 ddb has var= 50 because triple play adds 1.25x to variance. ($3.75/spin)

I've been told in this forum that more hands at same amount wagered is less variance.
So less $ per spin should be even less variance.
But the math above says differently?!

Edit:
Or were they talking about lower chances of risk of ruin?
ie: Your $1k bankroll will, on avg, earn more tier points at .25 triple play 9/6 ddb than $1 single line 9/6 ddb?
Last edited by: 100xOdds on Jun 23, 2026
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
ChumpChange
ChumpChange 
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Joined: Jun 15, 2018
June 23rd, 2026 at 9:00:37 AM permalink
I can't see either of them putting you ahead after 10,000 spins unless you hit a Royal. With 3 chances instead of 1 chance to hit a Royal, I'd think you have a better chance of being ahead after 10K spins with the triple play, but it's not for sure.
KevinAA
KevinAA
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Joined: Jul 6, 2017
June 23rd, 2026 at 9:18:05 AM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

$1 9/6 ddb (99%) has var=40. ($5/spin)
.25 triple play 9/6 ddb has var= 50 because triple play adds 1.25x to variance. ($3.75/spin)

I've been told in this forum that more hands at same amount wagered is less variance.
So less $ per spin should be even less variance.
But the math above says differently?!

Edit:
Or were they talking about lower chances of risk of ruin?
ie: Your $1k bankroll will, on avg, earn more tier points at .25 triple play 9/6 ddb than $1 single line 9/6 ddb?
link to original post



That's for a one unit bet. Multiply the first by 5^2 and the second by 1.25^2. Now they are comparable (units is $^2).
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