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28 members have voted
VIDEO POKER OPPORTUNITY WITH 105% RETURN
I welcome all comments about that article. After this post, I will copy and paste a post I made prior to writing that article from the Sequential Royal thread.
The question for the poll is would you play this game?

I paid a visit to the Red Rock to confirm this game. The screen above shows the jackpot as of about 1PM on Oct 17.
The same jackpot is available on six different base games. The following table shows those games with the return for all royals paying 800x the bet amount.
Base game | Pay table | Return |
Bonus Poker Deluxe | 6-5 | 0.953611 |
Jacks or Better | 6-5 | 0.949961 |
Triple Double Bonus | 7-5 | 0.949178 |
Double Double Bonus | 6-5 | 0.946569 |
Double Bonus | 8-5 | 0.941897 |
Bonus Poker | 10-8-5-3-1 | 0.941829 |
As you can see, Bonus Poker Deluxe offers the best value.
The next table shows the return with optimal strategy, including card position for 8-6 Bonus Poker Deluxe. The lower right cell shows a return of 105.22%!
This has an expected profit of 1.3 cents per hand. Assuming a playing speed of 1000 hands per hour, the expected win per hour is $13.05, not including the value of points earned.
Outcome | Win | Combinations | Probability | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Reversible Royal Flush | 807,782 | 67,567,248 | 0.000001 | 0.109525 |
Royal Flush | 4,000 | 2,531,111,347 | 0.000025 | 0.020317 |
Straight Flush | 250 | 10,545,248,235 | 0.000106 | 0.005290 |
Four of a Kind | 400 | 246,151,065,684 | 0.002470 | 0.197580 |
Full House | 30 | 811,309,337,868 | 0.008140 | 0.048842 |
Flush | 25 | 1,067,259,148,415 | 0.010708 | 0.053542 |
Straight | 20 | 1,275,953,861,466 | 0.012802 | 0.051209 |
Three of a Kind | 15 | 7,722,917,814,918 | 0.077488 | 0.232464 |
Two Pair | 5 | 10,770,132,885,066 | 0.108062 | 0.108062 |
Jacks or Better | 5 | 22,463,692,195,905 | 0.225389 | 0.225389 |
All Other | 0 | 55,295,592,349,848 | 0.554808 | 0.000000 |
Totals | 99,666,152,586,000 | 1.000000 | 1.052220 |
The next table shows the return with optimal strategy, NOT including strategy changes for card position. It is based on an average royal of 17,396 coins, which is a weighted average between 1/60 the jackpot and 59/60 a win of 4000 coins. The lower right cell shows a return of 103.56%.
Outcome | Prize | Combinations | Probability | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Royal Flush | 17,396 | 52,825,312 | 0.000032 | 0.110643 |
Straight Flush | 250 | 160,811,571 | 0.000097 | 0.004841 |
Four of a Kind | 400 | 4,128,394,310 | 0.002485 | 0.198827 |
Full House | 30 | 13,632,719,598 | 0.008207 | 0.049242 |
Flush | 25 | 18,607,023,152 | 0.011202 | 0.056008 |
Straight | 20 | 20,468,179,301 | 0.012322 | 0.049288 |
Three of a Kind | 15 | 129,801,408,860 | 0.078142 | 0.234425 |
Two Pair | 5 | 181,189,140,336 | 0.109078 | 0.109078 |
Jacks or Better | 5 | 370,795,511,313 | 0.223223 | 0.223223 |
All Other | 0 | 922,266,529,347 | 0.555213 | 0.000000 |
Totals | 1,661,102,543,100 | 1.000000 | 1.035574 |
The next table shows the return with optimal strategy for non-progressive 8/6 Bonus Poker Deluxe. The lower right cell shows a return of 101.97%.
Outcome | Prize | Combinations | Probability | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Royal Flush | 17,396 | 40,987,885 | 0.000025 | 0.085850 |
Straight Flush | 250 | 179,539,017 | 0.000108 | 0.005404 |
Four of a Kind | 400 | 4,136,976,035 | 0.002491 | 0.199240 |
Full House | 30 | 13,653,938,163 | 0.008220 | 0.049319 |
Flush | 25 | 18,041,709,548 | 0.010861 | 0.054306 |
Straight | 20 | 21,688,438,418 | 0.013057 | 0.052227 |
Three of a Kind | 15 | 129,936,095,954 | 0.078223 | 0.234668 |
Two Pair | 5 | 181,027,999,728 | 0.108981 | 0.108981 |
Jacks or Better | 5 | 381,597,343,986 | 0.229725 | 0.229725 |
All Other | 0 | 910,799,514,366 | 0.548310 | 0.000000 |
Total | 1,661,102,543,100 | 1.000000 | 1.019720 |
Are these different from the machines you spotted or did the meter rise dramatically in just a couple of days?
If they are a different set of machines have you checked their paytables, etc.?
Quote: AlanMendelsonIn the Red Rock casino near the buffet, but near the restrooms on the opposite wall, there are four reversible royal 5-cent machines with the jackpot north of $73,000.
Are these different from the machines you spotted or did the meter rise dramatically in just a couple of days?
If they are a different set of machines have you checked their paytables, etc.?
The machines I refer to are near the Starbucks in the food court (as opposed to the one by the gift shop). I will have to return to look for these $73,000 jackpot games.
"The bottom line is if a reversible royal pays 10,000 coins, it adds 0.45% to 0.50% to the return, depending on the particular game and pay table. A fair average to assume is 0.466%."
It should be 50,000 coins. Or 10000 for 1.
Quote: WizardCan anyone else confirm or deny this $73,000 nickel game by the buffet?
I sent you a photo.
There are only three of this, not four.
Quote: AlanMendelsonI sent you a photo.
There are only three of this, not four.
Thanks Alan.
Strange there are two separate banks of games with enormous jackpots. Perhaps a rollover from some other jackpot that was removed?
Quote: tringlomaneFYI, on your WOO page you wrote this.
"The bottom line is if a reversible royal pays 10,000 coins, it adds 0.45% to 0.50% to the return, depending on the particular game and pay table. A fair average to assume is 0.466%."
It should be 50,000 coins. Or 10000 for 1.
Thanks, you're right.