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Izzybets
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September 10th, 2026 at 11:50:00 PM permalink
I'm with Vegasbrent on fading the Commanders hype a bit, but for me it's the NFC South that looks like a goldmine of bad lines this year. My Week 1 sheet is mostly home favorites - historically they cover around 57% in openers. What's everyone's philosophy on confidence picks in round one - burn your best spot early or save it?
Izzybets
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IndyJeffrey
September 11th, 2026 at 1:59:13 AM permalink
Since its NFL week 1 I wanted to say thanks to ThatDonGuy for running this again - the rules doc gets cleaner every year. My answer to my own question: I burn the top confidence spot on the opener I like most, because week 1 lines are the softest all season with so little current data. Curious if anyone else is leaning home favorites across the board or hunting specific divisional spots?
gordonm888
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September 11th, 2026 at 4:57:40 AM permalink
DeShaun Watson is not regarded favorably by many people, including most Browns fans. His enormous contract has crippled the Browns and his on-field performance for the Browns has been miserable. Many analysts are surprised that the Browns have selected Watson over Shadeur Sanders as the starting QB because Watson has looked terrible in the preseason. I expect that Watson will start the first two games (which are on the road) and if he continues to be the worst QB in the NFL they will switch to Sanders in time for the home opener on Week 3.

I guess reasonable people can disagree on the prospects for Watson and the Browns. Fortunately, we'll get to see what actually happens.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
Izzybets
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September 11th, 2026 at 8:28:53 AM permalink
Ha, that Watson contract is the gift that keeps on taking. I actually have Browns team total UNDER in my Week 1 pool - even if Sanders takes over Week 3, that line moves too slowly to save the first two road games. Do you think the books have already priced Sanders in, or is there still value fading Watson's start?
ThatDonGuy
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September 11th, 2026 at 9:45:02 AM permalink
Quote: PlayYourCardsRight

Rules question:

If I submit "Default Picks," am I required to use my Skips first? Or do my "default" picks supersede?

Thanks,
PYCR
link to original post


You use your skips first.
Vegasbrent
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September 11th, 2026 at 11:26:59 AM permalink
I'm in the contest.
It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try. Be happy and have fun!
Izzybets
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September 11th, 2026 at 1:34:05 PM permalink
Welcome aboard Vegasbrent. First year in the picks game myself - the honor-system format is my favorite part of this place. Any early lean for Week 1 you're willing to share before entries lock, or keeping it close to the vest like ThatDonGuy suggests?
Vegasbrent
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September 11th, 2026 at 2:20:03 PM permalink
I think this is my fourth year. I liked Seattle and San Francisco, but we weren't able to pick them. Push and win, respectively.

Still working on my picks for this contest, but I generally don't tip my hand about my picks.

May throw out some prop bets, but I only won about 33% of them last season, so they'd be more for fading than tailing.

Welcome and good luck!
It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try. Be happy and have fun!
Izzybets
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September 11th, 2026 at 4:04:30 PM permalink
Four years in - respect. Seattle push into SF win sounds about right, those were the consensus leans I couldn't take either with my sheet already locked. Agreed on the format - half the fun is arguing the confidence tier afterward. I burned my top spot on the Thursday opener, we'll see if that was brave or dumb by Sunday.
ThatDonGuy
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Vegasbrent
September 13th, 2026 at 9:32:33 AM permalink
Here are the Week 1 picks:

IndyJeffrey:
Falcons-Steelers Under 42.5 * Confidence
Ravens -3.5
Steelers -3.5
Cardinals-Chargers Under 47.5
Raiders -3

Wizard:
Colts +3.5 * Confidence
Steelers -3.5
Jets +1.5
Cardinals +9.5
Eagles -4.5

PlayYourCardsRight:
Bears -3 * Confidence
Lions -7
Steelers -3.5
Chargers -9.5
Broncos -2.5

nunbeater:
Steelers -3.5 * Confidence
Chargers -9.5
Lions -7
Saints-Lions Over 49.5
Vikings -1.5

gordonm888:
Dolphins-Raiders Under 40.5
Texans +1.5
Bills-Texans Under 44.5
Jaguars -8.5
Bears-Panthers Under 46.5

SOOPOO:
Browns +8.5 * Confidence
Buccaneers +3.5
Cardinals +9.5
Commanders +4.5
Packers +1.5

Vegasbrent
Eagles -4.5 * Confidence
Jaguars -8.5
Titans -1.5
Ravens -3.5
Cowboys -3

JimRockford:
Chiefs +2.5 * Confidence
Buccaneers-Bengals Under 50.5
Saints-Lions Under 49.5
Steelers -3.5
Commanders +4.5

Johnzimbo:
Steelers -3.5 * Confidence
Colts +3.5
Saints +7
Falcons-Steelers Under 42.5
Bills-Texans Under 44.5

miplet:
Chiefs +2.5 * Confidence
Steelers -3.5
Bears/Panthers Over 46.5
Vikings -1.5
Eagles -4.5

I did not get any picks from Izzybets, so this counts as the five allowed skips
nunbeater
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September 13th, 2026 at 9:56:46 AM permalink
lol

gl everyone and FOOTBALL IS BACK! lets go!
Vegasbrent
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nunbeater
September 13th, 2026 at 10:00:56 AM permalink
Izzybets seemed ready to pick a week ago! Huh.

Let's go and good luck to everyone!
It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try. Be happy and have fun!
gordonm888
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September 13th, 2026 at 2:13:45 PM permalink
Yikes! Apparently my best decision was to not designate any of my picks as a Confidence pick.

Bears beat Panthers 59-37 and I picked that game as an Under. Hoo Boy.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
JimRockford
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September 13th, 2026 at 2:34:54 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Yikes! Apparently my best decision was to not designate any of my picks as a Confidence pick.

Bears beat Panthers 59-37 and I picked that game as an Under. Hoo Boy.
link to original post

I had New Orleans Tampa Bay under 49.5. It was 7-0 at the half. Final score, 30-31. Oh well it’s a long season.
"Truth is ever to be found in the simplicity, and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things." -- Isaac Newton
SOOPOO
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nunbeater
September 14th, 2026 at 6:13:32 AM permalink
2-4 for SOOPOO. Gets what he deserves for picking Browns!
billryan
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September 14th, 2026 at 6:23:25 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

2-4 for SOOPOO. Gets what he deserves for picking Browns!
link to original post



The good news is you'll still be in the Top Ten.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
gordonm888
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September 14th, 2026 at 10:30:33 AM permalink
Matt Hasselback says "The first week is a liar."

New offensive and defensive coordinators, Inability to game plan because no film on your opponents; starting offensive lines never play during preseason and have to learn to play together;
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
ThatDonGuy
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Vegasbrentgordonm888nunbeatermipletJohnzimbo
September 15th, 2026 at 7:00:37 AM permalink
Here are the results after Week 1 - let me know if you think your score is incorrect:

Player W L % Wins
IndyJeffrey 6 0 100
miplet 5 1 83.33
JimRockford 4 2 66.67
Johnzimbo 4 2 66.67
nunbeater 4 2 66.67
Wizard 3 3 50
gordonm888 2 3 40
SOOPOO 2 4 33.33
Vegasbrent 2 4 33.33
PlayYourCardsRight 1 5 16.67
Izzybets 0 0

If Izzybets does not enter Week 2, I will assume that they are not playing.
gordonm888
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IndyJeffrey
September 15th, 2026 at 7:20:10 AM permalink
Congrats to IndyJeffrey on his perfect week!
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
Johnzimbo
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September 15th, 2026 at 11:08:15 AM permalink
I almost always suck in week 1. Not sure what happened this time :)
PlayYourCardsRight
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September 16th, 2026 at 1:57:34 AM permalink
I am 3-3
My confidence pick won.
ThatDonGuy
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September 16th, 2026 at 7:55:54 AM permalink
Corrected results - I had PlayYourCardsRight's confidence pick marked as a loss instead of a win

Player W L % Wins
IndyJeffrey 6 0 100
miplet 5 1 83.33
JimRockford 4 2 66.67
Johnzimbo 4 2 66.67
nunbeater 4 2 66.67
PlayYourCardsRight 3 3 50
Wizard 3 3 50
gordonm888 2 3 40
SOOPOO 2 4 33.33
Vegasbrent 2 4 33.33
Izzybets 0 0

If Izzybets does not enter Week 2, I will assume that they are not playing.
link to original post

ThatDonGuy
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September 17th, 2026 at 7:58:28 AM permalink
Week 2 Odds

Sunday Early Games
Saints +8.5 @ Ravens -8.5 / Saints-Ravens Over/Under 46.5
Bengals +2.5 @ Texans -2.5 / Bengals-Texans Over/Under 45.5
Steelers +5.5 @ Patriots -5.5 / Steelers-Patriots Over/Under 41.5
Browns +8.5 @ Buccaneers -8.5 / Browns-Buccaneers Over/Under 41.5
Panthers -2.5 @ Falcons +2.5 / Panthers-Falcons Over/Under 43.5
Vikings +4.5 @ Bears -4.5 / Vikings-Bears Over/Under 48
Packers -3.5 @ Jets +3.5 / Packers-Jets Over/Under 44.5
Eagles -7 @ Titans +7 / Eagles-Titans Over/Under 39.5
Sunday Late Games
Jaguars +2.5 @ Broncos -2.5 / Jaguars-Broncos Over/Under 45.5
Raiders +6.5 @ Chargers -6.5 / Raiders-Chargers Over/Under 43.5
Seahawks -4 @ Cardinals +4 / Seahawks-Cardinals Over/Under 41
Commanders +4 @ Cowboys -4 / Commanders-Cowboys Over/Under 50.5
Dolphins +13.5 @ 49ers -13.5 / Dolphins-49ers Over/Under 45
Sunday Night
Colts +6.5 @ Chiefs -6.5 / Colts-Chiefs Over/Under 46.5
Monday Night
Giants +7 @ Rams -7 / Giants-Rams Over/Under 48
billryan
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September 17th, 2026 at 8:26:06 AM permalink
Back-to-back national games for Big Blue. Do the schedule makers know something we don't?
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
ThatDonGuy
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VegasbrentIndyJeffreynunbeater
September 20th, 2026 at 10:24:15 AM permalink
Here are the Week 2 picks:

It appears that Izzybets has left the forum entirely, so they are not part of the contest

gordonm888:
Panthers -2.5 * Confidence
Jets +3.5
Seahawks -4
Patriots -5.5
Rams -7

IndyJeffrey:
Chiefs -6.5 * Confidence
Bengals-Texans Over 45.5
Vikings +4.5
Packers -3.5
Seahawks -4

JimRockford:
Giants +7 * Confidence
Saints-Ravens Over 46.5
Falcons +2.5
Raiders +6.5
Cardinals +4

Johnzimbo:
Broncos -2.5 * Confidence
Jets +3.5
Panthers -2.5
Texans -2.5
49ers -13.5

miplet:
Commanders +4 * Confidence
Browns +8.5
Broncos -2.5
Chargers -6.5
Colts +6.5

nunbeater:
Raiders +6.5 * Confidence
49ers -13.5
Jets +3.5
Ravens-Saints Over 46.5
Jaguars-Broncos Over 45.5

PlayYourCardsRight:
Seahawks -4 * Confidence
Bengals +2.5
Packers -3.5
Broncos -2.5
Chiefs -6.5

SOOPOO:
Saints +8.5 * Confidence
Steelers +5.5
Jets +3.5
Raiders +6.5
Chiefs -6.5

Vegasbrent:
Ravens -8.5 * Confidence
Panthers -2.5
Bears -4.5
Broncos -2.5
Giants +7

Wizard:
Jets +3.5 * Confidence
Steelers +5.5
Browns +8.5
Colts +6.5
Giants +7
gordonm888
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September 21st, 2026 at 8:23:26 PM permalink
I think I made a perfecto; 6-0. Jets +3.5 was the close call.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
ThatDonGuy
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VegasbrentJohnzimbomipletnunbeatergordonm888
September 22nd, 2026 at 6:41:51 AM permalink
Week 2 Results
PlayerW2
Wins
W2
Losses
Total
Wins
Total
Losses
% Wins
Johnzimbo
5
1
9
3
75
gordonm888
6
0
8
3
72.73
IndyJeffrey
2
4
8
4
66.67
miplet
3
3
8
4
66.67
nunbeater
4
2
8
5
61.54
PlayYourCardsRight
4
2
7
5
58.33
Wizard
4
2
7
5
58.33
SOOPOO
4
2
6
6
50
JimRockford
1
5
5
7
41.67
Vegasbrent
2
4
4
8
33.33
ThatDonGuy
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September 24th, 2026 at 8:39:05 AM permalink
Week 3 Odds

Sunday Early Games
Chargers +7 @ Bills -7 / Chargers-Bills Over/Under 50
Panthers -2.5 @ Browns +2.5 / Panthers-Browns Over/Under 42.5
Jets +6.5 @ Lions -6.5 / Jets-Lions Over/Under 47.5
Texans -2.5 @ Colts +2.5 / Texans-Colts Over/Under 42.5
Patriots +3 @ Jaguars -3 / Patriots-Jaguars Over/Under 45.5
Chiefs -11.5 @ Dolphins +11.5 / Chiefs-Dolphins Over/Under 46
Titans +2.5 @ Giants -2.5 / Titans-Giants Over/Under 38.5
Bengals -3.5 @ Steelers +3.5 / Bengals-Steelers Over/Under 42.5
Seahawks -7 @ Commanders +7 / Seahawks-Commanders Over/Under 40
Sunday Late Games
Cardinals +8 @ 49ers -8 / Cardinals-49ers Over/Under 47.5
Vikings -1.5 @ Buccaneers +1.5 / Vikings-Buccaneers Over/Under 42.5
Raiders +3 @ Saints -3 / Raiders-Saints Over/Under 43.5
Ravens -3.5 vs Cowboys +3.5 (in Rio) / Ravens-Cowboys Over/Under 52.5
Sunday Night
Rams -2.5 @ Broncos +2.5 / Rams-Broncos Over/Under 44.5
Monday Night
Eagles -4.5 @ Bears +4.5 / Eagles-Bears Over/Under 41
JimRockford
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September 24th, 2026 at 7:22:15 PM permalink
Where TF were the Falcons last week??
"Truth is ever to be found in the simplicity, and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things." -- Isaac Newton
gordonm888
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September 25th, 2026 at 5:49:17 AM permalink
Quote: JimRockford

Where TF were the Falcons last week??
link to original post



Which brings up the question: What is the value of a starting QB in the points spread?
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
SOOPOO
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September 25th, 2026 at 5:58:48 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Quote: JimRockford

Where TF were the Falcons last week??
link to original post



Which brings up the question: What is the value of a starting QB in the points spread?
link to original post



Josh Allen is worth the most. Estimate 7-8 points. Michael Penix estimated at 2 points. Of course it will vary based on who the backup is. A pretty good QB like Dak Prescott is worth 5.
gordonm888
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September 26th, 2026 at 4:21:33 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: gordonm888

Quote: JimRockford

Where TF were the Falcons last week??
link to original post



Which brings up the question: What is the value of a starting QB in the points spread?
link to original post



Josh Allen is worth the most. Estimate 7-8 points. Michael Penix estimated at 2 points. Of course it will vary based on who the backup is. A pretty good QB like Dak Prescott is worth 5.
link to original post



Yet if this conventional analysis is correct and if Penix is only worth 2 points, then why did the Falcons so greatly overperform their expected performance when he started at QB this week?
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
SOOPOO
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September 26th, 2026 at 8:37:24 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: gordonm888

Quote: JimRockford

Where TF were the Falcons last week??
link to original post



Which brings up the question: What is the value of a starting QB in the points spread?
link to original post



Josh Allen is worth the most. Estimate 7-8 points. Michael Penix estimated at 2 points. Of course it will vary based on who the backup is. A pretty good QB like Dak Prescott is worth 5.
link to original post



Yet if this conventional analysis is correct and if Penix is only worth 2 points, then why did the Falcons so greatly overperform their expected performance when he started at QB this week?
link to original post



You are joking, right? You are using the result of ONE football game to question the value of one player?
The Falcons overperfomed because Bijan Robinson vastly overperformed his expectations.

By the way, I did agree with you that Penix was worth more, hence my multiple bets on the Falcons plus the points!

Free money (maybe!) today on Presidents cup. I think it was +180/-160 or so. Too bad I don’t have that much money in these accounts…. If match ends up in a tie all bets are void. So I just need either team to win.
gordonm888
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September 26th, 2026 at 8:49:45 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: gordonm888

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: gordonm888

Quote: JimRockford

Where TF were the Falcons last week??
link to original post



Which brings up the question: What is the value of a starting QB in the points spread?
link to original post



Josh Allen is worth the most. Estimate 7-8 points. Michael Penix estimated at 2 points. Of course it will vary based on who the backup is. A pretty good QB like Dak Prescott is worth 5.
link to original post



Yet if this conventional analysis is correct and if Penix is only worth 2 points, then why did the Falcons so greatly overperform their expected performance when he started at QB this week?
link to original post



You are joking, right? You are using the result of ONE football game to question the value of one player?
The Falcons overperfomed because Bijan Robinson vastly overperformed his expectations.

By the way, I did agree with you that Penix was worth more, hence my multiple bets on the Falcons plus the points!

Free money (maybe!) today on Presidents cup. I think it was +180/-160 or so. Too bad I don’t have that much money in these accounts…. If match ends up in a tie all bets are void. So I just need either team to win.
link to original post



You have it backwards and upside down. JimRockford asked the question: Why were the Falcons so much better in Week 3 than in Week 1 and 2? That was the question -which you haven't yet answered Soopoo. I asked 'How much is the QB worth?', because I believe in this instance that the team had lost confidence in Cooper Rush and were inspired by the return of Michael Penix. And that in this instance Penix was worth far, far more than 2 points.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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September 26th, 2026 at 11:52:35 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: gordonm888

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: gordonm888

Quote: JimRockford

Where TF were the Falcons last week??
link to original post



Which brings up the question: What is the value of a starting QB in the points spread?
link to original post



Josh Allen is worth the most. Estimate 7-8 points. Michael Penix estimated at 2 points. Of course it will vary based on who the backup is. A pretty good QB like Dak Prescott is worth 5.
link to original post



Yet if this conventional analysis is correct and if Penix is only worth 2 points, then why did the Falcons so greatly overperform their expected performance when he started at QB this week?
link to original post



You are joking, right? You are using the result of ONE football game to question the value of one player?
The Falcons overperfomed because Bijan Robinson vastly overperformed his expectations.

By the way, I did agree with you that Penix was worth more, hence my multiple bets on the Falcons plus the points!

Free money (maybe!) today on Presidents cup. I think it was +180/-160 or so. Too bad I don’t have that much money in these accounts…. If match ends up in a tie all bets are void. So I just need either team to win.
link to original post



You have it backwards and upside down. JimRockford asked the question: Why were the Falcons so much better in Week 3 than in Week 1 and 2? That was the question -which you haven't yet answered Soopoo. I asked 'How much is the QB worth?', because I believe in this instance that the team had lost confidence in Cooper Rush and were inspired by the return of Michael Penix. And that in this instance Penix was worth far, far more than 2 points.
link to original post



You are having reading comprehension issues. They WERE better in week 3 than week 2. But to try and assign an exact amount of that ‘better’ to Penix is a fool’s errand. As I clearly wrote, I believed Penix was worth more than the two points, and bet (successfully) accordingly. And I DID answer the question…. Bijan Robinson had a game for the ages. Even better than his usual good games. Penix was ok, and clearly better than Rush was.
And most obviously, trying to use 1 game to prove a point is silly. I’m not even sure the Falcons would be favored over the Packers if they played on a neutral field next week even though the Falcons boat raced them last game.
PlayYourCardsRight
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September 28th, 2026 at 10:19:53 AM permalink
No picks posted?
gordonm888
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nunbeater
September 28th, 2026 at 10:58:57 AM permalink
Quote: PlayYourCardsRight

No picks posted?
link to original post



Very unfortunate. Really destroys the enjoyability of the game.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
JimRockford
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September 28th, 2026 at 11:21:40 AM permalink
Running it is a thankless job. I’m sure ThatDonGuy has a reason for going silent for a while.
"Truth is ever to be found in the simplicity, and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things." -- Isaac Newton
Johnzimbo
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IndyJeffrey
September 28th, 2026 at 12:09:53 PM permalink
My picks sucked. so I am glad they are not yet public :)
ThatDonGuy
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September 29th, 2026 at 6:59:16 AM permalink
Quote: PlayYourCardsRight

No picks posted?
link to original post


I knew I forgot something...

Week 3 Picks

gordonm888
Bengals -3.5 * Confidence
Seahawks -7
Vikings -1.5
Panthers-2.5
Eagles -4.5

IndyJeffrey
Texans -2.5 * Confidence
Jets/Lions Under 47.5
Titans/Giants Under 38.5
Bengals -3.5
Raiders +3

JimRockford
Broncos +2.5 * Conference
Bills -7
Jets +6.5
Titans +2.5
Cardinals +8

Johnzimbo
Saints -3 * Confidence
Cowboys +3.5
Panthers -2.5
Texans -2.5
Texans/Colts Over 42.5

miplet
Seahawks -7 * Confidence
Browns +2.5
Colts +2.5
Dolphins +11.5
Bears +4.5

nunbeater
Bills -7 * Confidence
Vikings -1.5
Raiders +3
Jets +6.5
Cardinals +8

PlayYourCardsRight
Ravens -3.5 * Confidence
Browns +2.5
Patriots +3
Chiefs -11.5
Giants -2.5

SOOPOO
Eagles -3.5 * Confidence
Panthers -2.5
Texans -2.5
Rams -2.5
Chiefs -11.5

Vegasbrent
Chiefs -11.5 * Confidence
Lions -6.5
Bengals -3.5
49ers -8
Eagles -4.5

Wizard
Colts +2.5 * Confidence
Patriots +3
Dolphins +11.5
Seahawks -7
Buccaneers +1.5
ThatDonGuy
ThatDonGuy
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Joined: Jun 22, 2011
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VegasbrentIndyJeffreynunbeater
September 29th, 2026 at 7:06:10 AM permalink
Results after Week 3

PlayerW3
Wins
W3
Losses
Total
Wins
Total
Losses
% Wins
nunbeater
5
1
13
6
68.42
miplet
3
3
11
7
61.11
IndyJeffrey
2
4
10
8
55.56
Johnzimbo
1
5
10
8
55.56
PlayYourCardsRight
3
3
10
8
55.56
gordonm888
1
5
9
8
52.94
JimRockford
4
2
9
9
50
Wizard
2
4
9
9
50
SOOPOO
1
5
7
11
38.89
Vegasbrent
3
3
7
11
38.89
gordonm888
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gordonm888
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nunbeater
September 29th, 2026 at 8:47:03 AM permalink
Lots of upsets and surprises last week. My hats off to those of you (nunbeater, JimRockford) that scored > 50% wins.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
nunbeater
nunbeater
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Joined: Aug 23, 2023
September 29th, 2026 at 10:59:11 AM permalink
gordonm888
Administrator
gordonm888
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Joined: Feb 18, 2015
Thanked by
nunbeaterJimRockford
September 29th, 2026 at 12:03:44 PM permalink
Lots of upsets and surprises last week. My hats off to those of you (nunbeater, JimRockford) that scored > 50% wins.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
JimRockford
JimRockford
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Joined: Apr 17, 2012
September 29th, 2026 at 9:04:26 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Lots of upsets and surprises last week. My hats off to those of you (nunbeater, JimRockford) that scored > 50% wins.
link to original post


Thanks, it was clearly superior handicapping skill. Now last week, that was jut bad luck.
"Truth is ever to be found in the simplicity, and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things." -- Isaac Newton
ThatDonGuy
ThatDonGuy
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Joined: Jun 22, 2011
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VegasbrentnunbeaterJimRockfordmipletgordonm888IndyJeffreyWizard
October 1st, 2026 at 8:26:24 AM permalink
Week 4 Odds
Reminder: if any of your picks are for the Colts-Commanders game, they must be in by 8:30 AM Eastern on Sunday.
If you include the game but submit your picks between 8:30 AM and Noon on Sunday, any Colts-Commanders pick(s) will be treated as Skips.


Sunday Early Games
Colts -3.5 (London) Commanders +3.5 / Colts-Commanders Over/Under 47.5
Titans +11.5 @ Ravens -11.5 / Titans-Ravens Over/Under 42.5
Patriots +6.5 @ Bills -6.5 / Patriots-Bills Over/Under 48.5
Jets +3.5 @ Bears -3.5 / Jets-Bears Over/Under 42.5
Jaguars +2.5 @ Bengals -2.5 / Jaguars-Bengals Over/Under 51.5
Cowboys +3 @ Texans -3 / Cowboys-Texans Over/Under 48.5
Cardinals -2.5 @ Giants +2.5 / Cardinals-Giants Over/Under 44.5
Rams -3 @ Eagles +3 / Rams-Eagles Over/Under 43.5
Packers -3.5 @ Buccaneers +3.5 / Packers-Buccaneers Over/Under 38.5
Sunday Late Games
Dolphins +10.5 @ Vikings -10.5 / Dolphins-Vikings Over/Under 38.5
Chiefs -4.5 @ Raiders +4.5 / Chiefs-Raiders Over/Under 47.5
Chargers +7 @ Seahawks -7 / Chargers-Seahawks Over/Under 42.5
Broncos +2.5 @ 49ers -2.5 / Broncos-49ers Over/Under 48.5
Sunday Night
Lions -3.5 @ Panthers +3.5 / Lions-Panthers Over/Under 50.5
Monday Night
Falcons +2.5 @ Saints -2.5 / Falcons-Saints Over/Under 47.5
ThatDonGuy
ThatDonGuy
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Joined: Jun 22, 2011
October 4th, 2026 at 8:23:54 AM permalink
Week 4 Picks

gordonm888
Jaguars +2.5 * Confidence
Bills -6.5
Cowboys +3
49ers -2.5
Panthers +3.5

IndyJeffrey
49ers -2.5 * Confidence
Colts-Commanders Under 47.5
Bills -6.5
Texans -3
Buccaneers +3.5

JimRockford
Raiders +4.5 * Confidence
Bears -3.5
Giants +2.5
Buccaneers +3.5
49ers -2.5

Johnzimbo
Cardinals-Giants Under 44.5 * Confidence
Dolphins-Vikings Under 38.5
Lions-Panthers Over 50.5
Cowboys-Texans Over 48.5
49ers -2.5

miplet
Buccaneers +3.5 * Confidence
Colts -3.5
Rams -3
Dolphins +10.5
Falcons +2.5

nunbeater
Jets-Bears Over 42.5 * Confidence
Raiders +4.5
Rams -3
Buccaneers +3.5
Panthers +3.5

PlayYourCardsRight
Bengals -2.5 * Confidence
Bills -6.5
Giants +2.5
Buccaneers +3.5
Raiders +4.5

SOOPOO
Bills -6.5 * Confidence
Colts -3.5
Packets -3.5
Lions -3.5
Saints -2.5

Vegasbrent
49ers -2.5 * Confidence
Ravens -11.5
Vikings -10.5
Seahawks -7
Saints -2.5

Wizard
Rams -3 * Confidence
Cowboys +3
Buccaneers +3.5
Dolphins +10.5
Falcons +2.5
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