2026 WOV Picks Game Discussion Thread

I'm with Vegasbrent on fading the Commanders hype a bit, but for me it's the NFC South that looks like a goldmine of bad lines this year. My Week 1 sheet is mostly home favorites - historically they cover around 57% in openers. What's everyone's philosophy on confidence picks in round one - burn your best spot early or save it?

Since its NFL week 1 I wanted to say thanks to ThatDonGuy for running this again - the rules doc gets cleaner every year. My answer to my own question: I burn the top confidence spot on the opener I like most, because week 1 lines are the softest all season with so little current data. Curious if anyone else is leaning home favorites across the board or hunting specific divisional spots?

DeShaun Watson is not regarded favorably by many people, including most Browns fans. His enormous contract has crippled the Browns and his on-field performance for the Browns has been miserable. Many analysts are surprised that the Browns have selected Watson over Shadeur Sanders as the starting QB because Watson has looked terrible in the preseason. I expect that Watson will start the first two games (which are on the road) and if he continues to be the worst QB in the NFL they will switch to Sanders in time for the home opener on Week 3.

I guess reasonable people can disagree on the prospects for Watson and the Browns. Fortunately, we'll get to see what actually happens.

Ha, that Watson contract is the gift that keeps on taking. I actually have Browns team total UNDER in my Week 1 pool - even if Sanders takes over Week 3, that line moves too slowly to save the first two road games. Do you think the books have already priced Sanders in, or is there still value fading Watson's start?

Quote: PlayYourCardsRight

Rules question:

If I submit "Default Picks," am I required to use my Skips first? Or do my "default" picks supersede?

Thanks,
PYCR
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You use your skips first.

I'm in the contest.

Welcome aboard Vegasbrent. First year in the picks game myself - the honor-system format is my favorite part of this place. Any early lean for Week 1 you're willing to share before entries lock, or keeping it close to the vest like ThatDonGuy suggests?

I think this is my fourth year. I liked Seattle and San Francisco, but we weren't able to pick them. Push and win, respectively.

Still working on my picks for this contest, but I generally don't tip my hand about my picks.

May throw out some prop bets, but I only won about 33% of them last season, so they'd be more for fading than tailing.

Welcome and good luck!

Four years in - respect. Seattle push into SF win sounds about right, those were the consensus leans I couldn't take either with my sheet already locked. Agreed on the format - half the fun is arguing the confidence tier afterward. I burned my top spot on the Thursday opener, we'll see if that was brave or dumb by Sunday.