2024 WOV Picks Game Discussion Thread
October 1st, 2024 at 8:50:43 AM
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The last 2 years, I've been keeping track of how the group's picks have done depending on the number of players making the pick.
The data the last 2 years have shown some predictive value:
1. Fade picks made by greater than 50% of the players. 9 - 6 (60%) over the last 2 years.
2. Tail picks made by greater than 33% of the players up to and including 50% of the players. 36 - 28 - 3 (56.3%) over the last 2 years.
3. Fade picks made by greater than 25% of the players up to and including 33% of the players. 43 - 58 - 4 (57.4%) over the last 2 years.
That's a total of 103 - 77 - 6 (57.2%) over the last 2 years. About 5 picks a week on average.
For this year, the number of players would be as follows for the groups above:
Note: these numbers will change next week as we have 16 players now.
I kept these numbers for Weeks 1 - 4 because of skip weeks and I'm lazy.
1. 8 or more players on a pick: FADE
2. 4 - 5 players on a pick: FADE
3. 6 - 7 players on a pick: TAIL
For Week 4, here are the numbers:
1. 0 - 0
2. 4 - 2
3. 0 - 1
Week 4 Total: 4 - 3
For Week 3, here are the numbers:
1. 1 - 0
2. 3 - 3
3. 0 - 0
Week 3 Total: 4 - 3
For Week 2, here are the numbers:
1, 0 - 1
2. 4 - 1
3. 1 - 1
Week 2 Total: 5 - 3
For Week 1, here are the numbers:
1. 0 - 1 (lost by 1/2 point)
2. 1 - 5 (1 loss by 1/2 point)
3. 0 - 1
Week 1 Total: 1 - 7.
Season Totals:
1. 1 - 2
2. 12 - 11
3. 1 - 3
Season Total: 14 - 16
Vegasbrent
The data the last 2 years have shown some predictive value:
1. Fade picks made by greater than 50% of the players. 9 - 6 (60%) over the last 2 years.
2. Tail picks made by greater than 33% of the players up to and including 50% of the players. 36 - 28 - 3 (56.3%) over the last 2 years.
3. Fade picks made by greater than 25% of the players up to and including 33% of the players. 43 - 58 - 4 (57.4%) over the last 2 years.
That's a total of 103 - 77 - 6 (57.2%) over the last 2 years. About 5 picks a week on average.
For this year, the number of players would be as follows for the groups above:
Note: these numbers will change next week as we have 16 players now.
I kept these numbers for Weeks 1 - 4 because of skip weeks and I'm lazy.
1. 8 or more players on a pick: FADE
2. 4 - 5 players on a pick: FADE
3. 6 - 7 players on a pick: TAIL
For Week 4, here are the numbers:
1. 0 - 0
2. 4 - 2
3. 0 - 1
Week 4 Total: 4 - 3
For Week 3, here are the numbers:
1. 1 - 0
2. 3 - 3
3. 0 - 0
Week 3 Total: 4 - 3
For Week 2, here are the numbers:
1, 0 - 1
2. 4 - 1
3. 1 - 1
Week 2 Total: 5 - 3
For Week 1, here are the numbers:
1. 0 - 1 (lost by 1/2 point)
2. 1 - 5 (1 loss by 1/2 point)
3. 0 - 1
Week 1 Total: 1 - 7.
Season Totals:
1. 1 - 2
2. 12 - 11
3. 1 - 3
Season Total: 14 - 16
Vegasbrent
It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try.
Be happy and have fun!
October 3rd, 2024 at 1:08:02 PM
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WEEK 4 RESULTS
Will be posted tonight after I get home from work.
WEEK 5 LINES
DEADLINE: 10 AM EDT Sunday morning. NOTE!!!! If you pick the Jets-Vikings (London game), your picks must have been submitted before 6 AM EDT on Sunday. No changes will be permitted once submitted if your picks include the London game.
Jets 2.5 @ Vikings -2.5 O/U 40
Ravens -2 @ Bengals 2 O/U 49
Bills -1 @ Texans 1 O/U 47.5
Panthers 3.5 @ Bears -3.5 O/U 41
Browns 3.5 @ Commanders -3.5 O/U 43.5
Colts 2.5 @ Jaguars -2.5 O/U 46
Dolphins 1 @ Patriots -1 O/U 36.5
Cardinals 7 @ 49ers -7 O/U 50
Raiders 2.5 @ Broncos -2.5 O/U 35.5
Packers -3 @ Rams 3 O/U 49
Giants 6.5 @ Seahawks -6.5 O/U 43.5
Cowboys 2.5 @ Steelers -2.5 O/U 44
Saints 5.5 @ Chiefs -5.5 O/U 43
Will be posted tonight after I get home from work.
WEEK 5 LINES
DEADLINE: 10 AM EDT Sunday morning. NOTE!!!! If you pick the Jets-Vikings (London game), your picks must have been submitted before 6 AM EDT on Sunday. No changes will be permitted once submitted if your picks include the London game.
Jets 2.5 @ Vikings -2.5 O/U 40
Ravens -2 @ Bengals 2 O/U 49
Bills -1 @ Texans 1 O/U 47.5
Panthers 3.5 @ Bears -3.5 O/U 41
Browns 3.5 @ Commanders -3.5 O/U 43.5
Colts 2.5 @ Jaguars -2.5 O/U 46
Dolphins 1 @ Patriots -1 O/U 36.5
Cardinals 7 @ 49ers -7 O/U 50
Raiders 2.5 @ Broncos -2.5 O/U 35.5
Packers -3 @ Rams 3 O/U 49
Giants 6.5 @ Seahawks -6.5 O/U 43.5
Cowboys 2.5 @ Steelers -2.5 O/U 44
Saints 5.5 @ Chiefs -5.5 O/U 43
October 3rd, 2024 at 2:38:30 PM
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Line change link https://miplet.net/newnfl/diff.php?week=5&day=3&month=10&year=2024&hour=12
“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous
October 3rd, 2024 at 6:00:24 PM
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I can do week 4 results tonight.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
October 3rd, 2024 at 6:26:17 PM
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Here are the delayed week 4 results. Go me . . .
And here are the aggregate results.
| Player | Week 4 Record | Win% |
|---|---|---|
| avianrandy: | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| fourfiveface: | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| genwyzgy: | 0-5 | 0% |
| gordonm888: | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| indyjeffrey: | 4-1 | 80% |
| jml24: | 0-0 | 0% |
| johnzimbo: | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| miplet: | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| playyourcardsright: | 3-1 | 75% |
| ridetheedge: | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| qfortwayne: | 0-5 | 0% |
| soopoo: | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| sparty10k: | 3-3 | 50% |
| unjon: | 0-6 | 0% |
| vegasbrent: | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| wizard: | 4-1 | 80% |
And here are the aggregate results.
| Player | Record | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| soopoo: | 18-6 | 75% |
| playyourcardsright: | 14-6 | 70% |
| wizard: | 16-7 | 69.6% |
| fourfiveface: | 15-8 | 65.2% |
| indyjeffrey: | 11-6 | 64.7% |
| vegasbrent: | 15-9 | 62.5% |
| avianrandy: | 14-9 | 60.9% |
| gordonm888: | 14-10 | 58.3% |
| miplet: | 14-10 | 58.3% |
| sparty10k: | 12-12 | 50% |
| genwyzgy: | 11-12 | 47.8% |
| unjon: | 11-12 | 47.8% |
| ridetheedge: | 11-13 | 45.8% |
| johnzimbo: | 10-14 | 41.7% |
| jml24: | 4-14 | 22.2% |
| qfortwayne: | 1-15 | 6.3% |
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
October 4th, 2024 at 10:10:36 AM
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Unjon,
Thank you very much.
Matt
Thank you very much.
Matt
October 4th, 2024 at 2:40:09 PM
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Cheeto the Wonderchimp is not happy with y'all:Quote: unJon
...<SNIP>...
And here are the aggregate results.
Player Record Win % soopoo: 18-6 75% playyourcardsright: 14-6 70% wizard: 16-7 69.6% fourfiveface: 15-8 65.2% indyjeffrey: 11-6 64.7% vegasbrent: 15-9 62.5% avianrandy: 14-9 60.9% gordonm888: 14-10 58.3% miplet: 14-10 58.3% sparty10k: 12-12 50% genwyzgy: 11-12 47.8% unjon: 11-12 47.8% ridetheedge: 11-13 45.8% johnzimbo: 10-14 41.7% jml24: 4-14 22.2% qfortwayne: 1-15 6.3%
link to original post
Won: 191
Lost: 162
= 54%
Try to suck more.
Suck dope, watch TV, make up stuff, be somebody on the internet.
October 5th, 2024 at 8:36:15 AM
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Quote: DrawingDeadCheeto the Wonderchimp is not happy with y'all:Quote: unJon
...<SNIP>...
And here are the aggregate results.
Player Record Win % soopoo: 18-6 75% playyourcardsright: 14-6 70% wizard: 16-7 69.6% fourfiveface: 15-8 65.2% indyjeffrey: 11-6 64.7% vegasbrent: 15-9 62.5% avianrandy: 14-9 60.9% gordonm888: 14-10 58.3% miplet: 14-10 58.3% sparty10k: 12-12 50% genwyzgy: 11-12 47.8% unjon: 11-12 47.8% ridetheedge: 11-13 45.8% johnzimbo: 10-14 41.7% jml24: 4-14 22.2% qfortwayne: 1-15 6.3%
link to original post
Won: 191
Lost: 162
= 54%
Try to suck more.
link to original post
I did my part last week!
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
October 6th, 2024 at 9:51:18 AM
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WEEK 5 PICKS
All submitted before this morning's early deadline
PlayYourCardsRight:
Vikings -2.5 CONFIDENCE
Bears -3.5
Commanders -3.5
Broncos -2.5
Packers -3
FourFiveFace:
Jets 2.5
Panthers 3.5
Browns 3.5
Seahawks -6.5
Saints 5.5 – Confidence
Genwyzgy:
Panthers 3.5
Commanders -3.5
49ers -7 Confidence
Packers -3
Seahawks -6.5
RideTheEdge:
Browns 3.5
Jaguars -2.5 -- Confidence
Dolphins UNDER
Broncos -2.5
Seahawks -6.5
Sparty10k:
Broncos -2.5
Packers -3 confidence
Seahawks-6.5
Steelers-2.5
Saints +5.5
Avianrandy:
Steelers -2.5
49ers -7
Jets +2.5
Dolphins +1 Confidence
Packers -3
Johnzimbo:
Steelers under 44
Ravens -2
Bills -1
Rams under 49 confidence
Broncos over 35.5
unJon:
Patriots UNDER 36.5 - confidence
Cardinals UNDER 50
Broncos -2.5
Saints OVER 43
Ravens -2
jml24:
Bengals 2
Texans 1
Browns 3.5
Rams 3
Seahawks -6.5-Confidence
Gordonm888
Vikings -2.5
Vikings Under 40
Ravens -2
Bills -1
Steelers -2.5
Vegasbrent:
Jets 2.5-confidence
Bengals 2
Texans 1
Browns 3.5
Raiders 2.5
IndyJeffrey:
Vikings -2.5
Commanders UNDER 43.5
Commanders -3.5 -CONFIDENCE
Raiders 2.5
Seahawks -6.5
Wizard:
Jets 2.5
Browns 3.5 -- confidence
Jaguars -2.5
Giants 6.5
Saints 5.5
SOOPOO:
Vikings +2.5
Jaguars -2.5
Broncos -2.5
Cowboys +2.5
Giants +6.5 Confidence
No Picks Received:
Miplet
QFortWayne *appears to have quit*
All submitted before this morning's early deadline
PlayYourCardsRight:
Vikings -2.5 CONFIDENCE
Bears -3.5
Commanders -3.5
Broncos -2.5
Packers -3
FourFiveFace:
Jets 2.5
Panthers 3.5
Browns 3.5
Seahawks -6.5
Saints 5.5 – Confidence
Genwyzgy:
Panthers 3.5
Commanders -3.5
49ers -7 Confidence
Packers -3
Seahawks -6.5
RideTheEdge:
Browns 3.5
Jaguars -2.5 -- Confidence
Dolphins UNDER
Broncos -2.5
Seahawks -6.5
Sparty10k:
Broncos -2.5
Packers -3 confidence
Seahawks-6.5
Steelers-2.5
Saints +5.5
Avianrandy:
Steelers -2.5
49ers -7
Jets +2.5
Dolphins +1 Confidence
Packers -3
Johnzimbo:
Steelers under 44
Ravens -2
Bills -1
Rams under 49 confidence
Broncos over 35.5
unJon:
Patriots UNDER 36.5 - confidence
Cardinals UNDER 50
Broncos -2.5
Saints OVER 43
Ravens -2
jml24:
Bengals 2
Texans 1
Browns 3.5
Rams 3
Seahawks -6.5-Confidence
Gordonm888
Vikings -2.5
Vikings Under 40
Ravens -2
Bills -1
Steelers -2.5
Vegasbrent:
Jets 2.5-confidence
Bengals 2
Texans 1
Browns 3.5
Raiders 2.5
IndyJeffrey:
Vikings -2.5
Commanders UNDER 43.5
Commanders -3.5 -CONFIDENCE
Raiders 2.5
Seahawks -6.5
Wizard:
Jets 2.5
Browns 3.5 -- confidence
Jaguars -2.5
Giants 6.5
Saints 5.5
SOOPOO:
Vikings +2.5
Jaguars -2.5
Broncos -2.5
Cowboys +2.5
Giants +6.5 Confidence
No Picks Received:
Miplet
QFortWayne *appears to have quit*
October 6th, 2024 at 10:56:24 AM
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Here is the pick summary:
| Game | Away | Home | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets 2.5 @ Vikings -2.5 O/U 40 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Ravens -2 @ Bengals 2 O/U 49 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Bills -1 @ Texans 1 O/U 47.5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Panthers 3.5 @ Bears -3.5 O/U 41 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Browns 3.5 @ Commanders -3.5 O/U 43.5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Colts 2.5 @ Jaguars -2.5 O/U 46 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Dolphins 1 @ Patriots -1 O/U 36.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Cardinals 7 @ 49Ers -7 O/U 50 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Raiders 2.5 @ Broncos -2.5 O/U 35.5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Packers -3 @ Rams 3 O/U 49 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Giants 6.5 @ Seahawks -6.5 O/U 43.5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Cowboys 2.5 @ Steelers -2.5 O/U 44 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Saints 5.5 @ Chiefs -5.5 O/U 43 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
October 6th, 2024 at 5:49:05 PM
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If Cowboys cover +2.5 I think I have another perfect week. I’m beginning to think maybe I’m actually good at this and not randomly lucky?
I’m going with randomly lucky…..
I’m going with randomly lucky…..
October 6th, 2024 at 6:01:30 PM
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I'm just as randomly lucky! At least this week, for the first time, I bet all of my picks individually. Nice little profit, because I don't make large bets!
October 9th, 2024 at 8:39:00 AM
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The last 2 years, I've been keeping track of how the group's picks have done depending on the number of players making the pick.
The data the last 2 years have shown some predictive value:
1. Fade picks made by greater than 50% of the players. 9 - 6 (60%) over the last 2 years.
2. Tail picks made by greater than 33% of the players up to and including 50% of the players. 36 - 28 - 3 (56.3%) over the last 2 years.
3. Fade picks made by greater than 25% of the players up to and including 33% of the players. 43 - 58 - 4 (57.4%) over the last 2 years.
That's a total of 103 - 77 - 6 (57.2%) over the last 2 years. About 5 picks a week on average.
For this year, the number of players would be as follows for the groups above:
1. 8 or more players on a pick: FADE
2. 4 - 5 players on a pick: FADE
3. 6 - 7 players on a pick: TAIL
For Week 5, here are the numbers:
1. 0 - 0
2. 1 - 3 (1 loss by 1/2 point)
3. 0 - 1
Week 5 Total: 1 - 4
For Week 4, here are the numbers:
1. 0 - 0
2. 4 - 2
3. 0 - 1
Week 4 Total: 4 - 3
For Week 3, here are the numbers:
1. 1 - 0
2. 3 - 3
3. 0 - 0
Week 3 Total: 4 - 3
For Week 2, here are the numbers:
1, 0 - 1
2. 4 - 1
3. 1 - 1
Week 2 Total: 5 - 3
For Week 1, here are the numbers:
1. 0 - 1 (lost by 1/2 point)
2. 1 - 5 (1 loss by 1/2 point)
3. 0 - 1
Week 1 Total: 1 - 7.
Season Totals:
1. 1 - 2
2. 13 - 14
3. 1 - 4
Season Total: 15 - 20
Vegasbrent
The data the last 2 years have shown some predictive value:
1. Fade picks made by greater than 50% of the players. 9 - 6 (60%) over the last 2 years.
2. Tail picks made by greater than 33% of the players up to and including 50% of the players. 36 - 28 - 3 (56.3%) over the last 2 years.
3. Fade picks made by greater than 25% of the players up to and including 33% of the players. 43 - 58 - 4 (57.4%) over the last 2 years.
That's a total of 103 - 77 - 6 (57.2%) over the last 2 years. About 5 picks a week on average.
For this year, the number of players would be as follows for the groups above:
1. 8 or more players on a pick: FADE
2. 4 - 5 players on a pick: FADE
3. 6 - 7 players on a pick: TAIL
For Week 5, here are the numbers:
1. 0 - 0
2. 1 - 3 (1 loss by 1/2 point)
3. 0 - 1
Week 5 Total: 1 - 4
For Week 4, here are the numbers:
1. 0 - 0
2. 4 - 2
3. 0 - 1
Week 4 Total: 4 - 3
For Week 3, here are the numbers:
1. 1 - 0
2. 3 - 3
3. 0 - 0
Week 3 Total: 4 - 3
For Week 2, here are the numbers:
1, 0 - 1
2. 4 - 1
3. 1 - 1
Week 2 Total: 5 - 3
For Week 1, here are the numbers:
1. 0 - 1 (lost by 1/2 point)
2. 1 - 5 (1 loss by 1/2 point)
3. 0 - 1
Week 1 Total: 1 - 7.
Season Totals:
1. 1 - 2
2. 13 - 14
3. 1 - 4
Season Total: 15 - 20
Vegasbrent
It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try.
Be happy and have fun!
October 9th, 2024 at 9:06:02 AM
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I’m waiting for the standings….. and for WoV historians to see if anyone has ever had 24-6 after 5 weeks…..
October 9th, 2024 at 9:24:34 AM
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Quote: SOOPOOI’m waiting for the standings….. and for WoV historians to see if anyone has ever had 24-6 after 5 weeks…..
link to original post
Will try to post tonight but might not be able to.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
October 9th, 2024 at 11:19:25 AM
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Quote: SOOPOOI’m waiting for the standings….. and for WoV historians to see if anyone has ever had 24-6 after 5 weeks…..
link to original post
Wasn't 24-6 after five a big hit for Chicago? 😀
October 9th, 2024 at 11:47:23 AM
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Quote: JohnzimboQuote: SOOPOOI’m waiting for the standings….. and for WoV historians to see if anyone has ever had 24-6 after 5 weeks…..
link to original post
Wasn't 24-6 after five a big hit for Chicago? 😀
link to original post
Nice! I enjoy playing on words, and you played on numbers! Whenever I hear the Chicago song, 25 or 6 to 4, I think, “I’m going to look up the meaning later…”, and I never have until now. Thanks for the reminder!
According to Quora:
The title refers to the time of day, specifically 25 or 26 minutes until 4 a.m., which translates to 3:35 or 3:36 a.m. The song describes the experience of trying to write a song in the early morning hours, while struggling with fatigue and waiting for inspiration to strike.
It’s a dog eat dog world.
…Or maybe it’s the other way around!
October 10th, 2024 at 11:08:59 PM
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Week 6 odds:
Jaguars 1.5 @ Bears -1.5 O/U 44.5
Cardinals 5.5 @ Packers -5.5 O/U 47
Commanders 7 @ Ravens -7 O/U 51.5
Browns 9.5 @ Eagles -9.5 O/U 42.5
Texans -6.5 @ Patriots 6.5 O/U 38
Colts 3 @ Titans -3 O/U 43
Buccaneers -3 @ Saints 3 O/U 41
Chargers -3 @ Broncos 3 O/U 35.5
Steelers -3 @ Raiders 3 O/U 36.5
Falcons -6 @ Panthers 6 O/U 47
Lions -3 @ Cowboys 3 O/U 52
Bengals -3.5 @ Giants 3.5 O/U 47.5
Bills -2.5 @ Jets 2.5 O/U 41
Jags-Bears is London game.
If including that game, picks must be submitted by 7 am EDT. NO edits of picks including that game permitted.
Otherwise, deadline is 10 am EDT
Standings from last week will be done Friday night when I return from Las Vegas.
Jaguars 1.5 @ Bears -1.5 O/U 44.5
Cardinals 5.5 @ Packers -5.5 O/U 47
Commanders 7 @ Ravens -7 O/U 51.5
Browns 9.5 @ Eagles -9.5 O/U 42.5
Texans -6.5 @ Patriots 6.5 O/U 38
Colts 3 @ Titans -3 O/U 43
Buccaneers -3 @ Saints 3 O/U 41
Chargers -3 @ Broncos 3 O/U 35.5
Steelers -3 @ Raiders 3 O/U 36.5
Falcons -6 @ Panthers 6 O/U 47
Lions -3 @ Cowboys 3 O/U 52
Bengals -3.5 @ Giants 3.5 O/U 47.5
Bills -2.5 @ Jets 2.5 O/U 41
Jags-Bears is London game.
If including that game, picks must be submitted by 7 am EDT. NO edits of picks including that game permitted.
Otherwise, deadline is 10 am EDT
Standings from last week will be done Friday night when I return from Las Vegas.
Last edited by: PlayYourCardsRight on Oct 10, 2024
October 11th, 2024 at 6:10:29 AM
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Finally getting around to this. Hope to be much quicker next week. Two 6-0s this week, and SOOPOO continues to crush!
| Player | Week 5 Record | Win% |
|---|---|---|
| avianrandy: | 3-3 | 50% |
| fourfiveface: | 0-6 | 0% |
| genwyzgy: | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| gordonm888: | 2-2 | 50% |
| indyjeffrey: | 3-3 | 50% |
| jml24: | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| johnzimbo: | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| miplet: | 0-0 | 0% |
| playyourcardsright: | 6-0 | 100% |
| ridetheedge: | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| qfortwayne: | 0-5 | 0% |
| soopoo: | 6-0 | 100% |
| sparty10k: | 3-3 | 50% |
| unjon: | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| vegasbrent: | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| wizard: | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| Player | Record | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| soopoo: | 24-6 | 80% |
| playyourcardsright: | 20-6 | 76.9% |
| wizard: | 18-11 | 62.1% |
| indyjeffrey: | 14-9 | 60.9% |
| avianrandy: | 17-12 | 58.6% |
| miplet: | 14-10 | 58.3% |
| gordonm888: | 16-12 | 57.1% |
| unjon: | 16-13 | 55.2% |
| vegasbrent: | 16-14 | 53.3% |
| fourfiveface: | 15-14 | 51.7% |
| johnzimbo: | 15-15 | 50% |
| ridetheedge: | 15-15 | 50% |
| sparty10k: | 15-15 | 50% |
| genwyzgy: | 13-16 | 44.8% |
| jml24: | 5-19 | 20.8% |
| qfortwayne: | 1-20 | 6.3% |
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
October 11th, 2024 at 6:56:54 PM
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Not sure why but my PM to playyourcardsright is not going through.
These are my picks for Week 6
SOOPOO:
Cardinals +5.5 Confidence
Bengals -3.5
Commanders +7
Jaguars +1.5
Browns +9.5
These are my picks for Week 6
SOOPOO:
Cardinals +5.5 Confidence
Bengals -3.5
Commanders +7
Jaguars +1.5
Browns +9.5
October 13th, 2024 at 12:08:43 AM
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Slightly delayed line change link: https://miplet.net/newnfl/diff.php?week=6&day=10&month=10&year=2024&hour=21
“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous
October 13th, 2024 at 6:17:45 AM
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Quote: SOOPOONot sure why but my PM to playyourcardsright is not going through.
These are my picks for Week 6
SOOPOO:
Cardinals +5.5 Confidence
Bengals -3.5
Commanders +7
Jaguars +1.5
Browns +9.5
link to original post
Fade you in this contest but call my bookie and place a 5 team parlay tailing you?????
October 13th, 2024 at 6:31:54 AM
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Quote: JohnzimboQuote: SOOPOONot sure why but my PM to playyourcardsright is not going through.
These are my picks for Week 6
SOOPOO:
Cardinals +5.5 Confidence
Bengals -3.5
Commanders +7
Jaguars +1.5
Browns +9.5
link to original post
Fade you in this contest but call my bookie and place a 5 team parlay tailing you?????
link to original post
Whenever I think I know something on which team to bet on I get brought down to earth quickly.
Expert SOOPOO thinks Commanders are still underrated. And Ravens are good, but weren’t good enough to beat lowly Raiders. And were collapsing again against the undermanned Bills until McDermott actually tried to think.
So getting a full 7 points seems ‘too good to be true’.
It’s early enough in the season that I’m not worrying about exposing my picks. I wouldn’t do so in weeks 17 and 18.
October 13th, 2024 at 8:20:17 AM
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SOOPOO:
Cardinals +5.5 Confidence
Bengals -3.5
Commanders +7
Jaguars +1.5
Browns +9.5
PlayYourCardsRight:
Bears -1.5 CONFIDENCE
Commanders 7
Texans -6.5
Bengals -3.5
Bills -2.5
FourFiveFace:
Commanders 7
Patriots 6.5
Raiders 3
Panthers 6
Lions -3-Confidence
miplet:
Jaguars 1.5-confidence
Browns 9.5
Buccaneers -3
Lions -3
Jets 2.5
unJon:
Jaguars 1.5
Colts 3
Colts UNDER 43
Saints OVER 41 - confidence
Bengals -3.5
Sparty10k:
Jaguars +1.5
Patriots +6.5
Colts +3
Panthers +6
Lions over 52 – confidence
Avianrandy:
Packers -5.5
Texans -6.5
Bucs -3
Steelers -3 Confidence
Bills -2.5
Gordonm888:
Raiders 3
Panthers 6
Lions -3
Bengals -3.5
Jets 2.5 Confidence
Johnzimbo:
Bucs -3
Bucs under 41
Broncos +3
Falcons -6 confidence
Falcons under 47
genwyzgy:
Cowboys 3 - Confidence
Cowboys OVER 52
Saints OVER 41
Steelers -3
Panthers OVER 47
Vegasbrent:
Ravens -7
Browns 9.5
Titans -3-confidence
Raiders 3
Panthers 6
IndyJeffrey:
Ravens Over 51.5
Titans -3
Chargers -3 - Confidence
Cowboys 3
Bills -2.5
RideTheEdge:
Commanders 7
Colts 3
Buccaneers -3 -- Confidence
Steelers OVER 36.5
Lions -3
Wizard:
Jaguars 1.5
Commanders 7 -- confidence
Colts 3
Buccaneers -3
Jets 2.5
No picks received:
Jml24
Cardinals +5.5 Confidence
Bengals -3.5
Commanders +7
Jaguars +1.5
Browns +9.5
PlayYourCardsRight:
Bears -1.5 CONFIDENCE
Commanders 7
Texans -6.5
Bengals -3.5
Bills -2.5
FourFiveFace:
Commanders 7
Patriots 6.5
Raiders 3
Panthers 6
Lions -3-Confidence
miplet:
Jaguars 1.5-confidence
Browns 9.5
Buccaneers -3
Lions -3
Jets 2.5
unJon:
Jaguars 1.5
Colts 3
Colts UNDER 43
Saints OVER 41 - confidence
Bengals -3.5
Sparty10k:
Jaguars +1.5
Patriots +6.5
Colts +3
Panthers +6
Lions over 52 – confidence
Avianrandy:
Packers -5.5
Texans -6.5
Bucs -3
Steelers -3 Confidence
Bills -2.5
Gordonm888:
Raiders 3
Panthers 6
Lions -3
Bengals -3.5
Jets 2.5 Confidence
Johnzimbo:
Bucs -3
Bucs under 41
Broncos +3
Falcons -6 confidence
Falcons under 47
genwyzgy:
Cowboys 3 - Confidence
Cowboys OVER 52
Saints OVER 41
Steelers -3
Panthers OVER 47
Vegasbrent:
Ravens -7
Browns 9.5
Titans -3-confidence
Raiders 3
Panthers 6
IndyJeffrey:
Ravens Over 51.5
Titans -3
Chargers -3 - Confidence
Cowboys 3
Bills -2.5
RideTheEdge:
Commanders 7
Colts 3
Buccaneers -3 -- Confidence
Steelers OVER 36.5
Lions -3
Wizard:
Jaguars 1.5
Commanders 7 -- confidence
Colts 3
Buccaneers -3
Jets 2.5
No picks received:
Jml24
October 13th, 2024 at 10:03:15 AM
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Here is the summary.
| Game | Away | Home | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars 1.5 @ Bears -1.5 O/U 44.5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Cardinals 5.5 @ Packers -5.5 O/U 47 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Commanders 7 @ Ravens -7 O/U 51.5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Browns 9.5 @ Eagles -9.5 O/U 42.5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Texans -6.5 @ Patriots 6.5 O/U 38 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Colts 3 @ Titans -3 O/U 43 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Buccaneers -3 @ Saints 3 O/U 41 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Chargers -3 @ Broncos 3 O/U 35.5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Steelers -3 @ Raiders 3 O/U 36.5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Falcons -6 @ Panthers 6 O/U 47 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Lions -3 @ Cowboys 3 O/U 52 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Bengals -3.5 @ Giants 3.5 O/U 47.5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bills -2.5 @ Jets 2.5 O/U 41 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
October 13th, 2024 at 4:55:07 PM
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Updated with Cinci game and fixing Vegasbrent result
Check me please, scoring includes all but last game
SOOPOO (2-3)
X-Cardinals +5.5 Confidence
W-Bengals -3.5
Push-Commanders +7
X-Jaguars +1.5
W-Browns +9.5
PlayYourCardsRight (4-0, 1 left)
W-Bears -1.5 CONFIDENCE
Push-Commanders 7
W-Texans -6.5
W-Bengals -3.5
Bills -2.5
FourFiveFace (2-3)
Push-Commanders 7
X-Patriots 6.5
X-Raiders 3
X-Panthers 6
W-Lions -3-Confidence
miplet (3-2, 1 left)
X-Jaguars 1.5-confidence
W-Browns 9.5
W-Buccaneers -3
W-Lions -3
Jets 2.5
unJon (5-1)
X-Jaguars 1.5
W-Colts 3
W-Colts UNDER 43
W-Saints OVER 41 - confidence
W-Bengals -3.5
Sparty10k (3-3)
X-Jaguars +1.5
X-Patriots +6.5
W-Colts +3
X-Panthers +6
W-Lions over 52 – confidence
Avianrandy (5-0, 1 left)
W-Packers -5.5
W-Texans -6.5
W-Bucs -3
W-Steelers -3 Confidence
Bills -2.5
Gordonm888 (2-2, 2 left)
X-Raiders 3
X-Panthers 6
W-Lions -3
W-Bengals -3.5
Jets 2.5 Confidence
Johnzimbo (3-3)
W-Bucs -3
X-Bucs under 41
X-Broncos +3
W-Falcons -6 confidence
X-Falcons under 47
genwyzgy (4-2)
X-Cowboys 3 - Confidence
W-Cowboys OVER 52
W-Saints OVER 41
W-Steelers -3
W-Panthers OVER 47
Vegasbrent (1-4)
Push-Ravens -7
W-Browns 9.5
X-Titans -3-confidence
X-Raiders 3
X-Panthers 6
IndyJeffrey (3-2, 1 left)
W-Ravens Over 51.5
X-Titans -3
W-Chargers -3 - Confidence
X-Cowboys 3
Bills -2.5
RideTheEdge (5-0)
Push-Commanders 7
W-Colts 3
W-Buccaneers -3 -- Confidence
W-Steelers OVER 36.5
W-Lions -3
Wizard (1-2, 1 left)
X-Jaguars 1.5
Push-Commanders 7 -- confidence
W-Colts 3
W-Buccaneers -3
Jets 2.5
Check me please, scoring includes all but last game
SOOPOO (2-3)
X-Cardinals +5.5 Confidence
W-Bengals -3.5
Push-Commanders +7
X-Jaguars +1.5
W-Browns +9.5
PlayYourCardsRight (4-0, 1 left)
W-Bears -1.5 CONFIDENCE
Push-Commanders 7
W-Texans -6.5
W-Bengals -3.5
Bills -2.5
FourFiveFace (2-3)
Push-Commanders 7
X-Patriots 6.5
X-Raiders 3
X-Panthers 6
W-Lions -3-Confidence
miplet (3-2, 1 left)
X-Jaguars 1.5-confidence
W-Browns 9.5
W-Buccaneers -3
W-Lions -3
Jets 2.5
unJon (5-1)
X-Jaguars 1.5
W-Colts 3
W-Colts UNDER 43
W-Saints OVER 41 - confidence
W-Bengals -3.5
Sparty10k (3-3)
X-Jaguars +1.5
X-Patriots +6.5
W-Colts +3
X-Panthers +6
W-Lions over 52 – confidence
Avianrandy (5-0, 1 left)
W-Packers -5.5
W-Texans -6.5
W-Bucs -3
W-Steelers -3 Confidence
Bills -2.5
Gordonm888 (2-2, 2 left)
X-Raiders 3
X-Panthers 6
W-Lions -3
W-Bengals -3.5
Jets 2.5 Confidence
Johnzimbo (3-3)
W-Bucs -3
X-Bucs under 41
X-Broncos +3
W-Falcons -6 confidence
X-Falcons under 47
genwyzgy (4-2)
X-Cowboys 3 - Confidence
W-Cowboys OVER 52
W-Saints OVER 41
W-Steelers -3
W-Panthers OVER 47
Vegasbrent (1-4)
Push-Ravens -7
W-Browns 9.5
X-Titans -3-confidence
X-Raiders 3
X-Panthers 6
IndyJeffrey (3-2, 1 left)
W-Ravens Over 51.5
X-Titans -3
W-Chargers -3 - Confidence
X-Cowboys 3
Bills -2.5
RideTheEdge (5-0)
Push-Commanders 7
W-Colts 3
W-Buccaneers -3 -- Confidence
W-Steelers OVER 36.5
W-Lions -3
Wizard (1-2, 1 left)
X-Jaguars 1.5
Push-Commanders 7 -- confidence
W-Colts 3
W-Buccaneers -3
Jets 2.5
Last edited by: PlayYourCardsRight on Oct 13, 2024
October 13th, 2024 at 4:58:27 PM
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Quote: PlayYourCardsRightCheck me please, scoring includes all but last two games.
SOOPOO (1-3, 1 left)
X-Cardinals +5.5 Confidence
Bengals -3.5
Push-Commanders +7
X-Jaguars +1.5
W-Browns +9.5
PlayYourCardsRight (2-0, 2 left)
W-Bears -1.5 CONFIDENCE
Push-Commanders 7
W-Texans -6.5
Bengals -3.5
Bills -2.5
FourFiveFace (2-3)
Push-Commanders 7
X-Patriots 6.5
X-Raiders 3
X-Panthers 6
W-Lions -3-Confidence
miplet (3-2, 1 left)
X-Jaguars 1.5-confidence
W-Browns 9.5
W-Buccaneers -3
W-Lions -3
Jets 2.5
unJon (5-0, 1 left)
X-Jaguars 1.5
W-Colts 3
W-Colts UNDER 43
W-Saints OVER 41 - confidence
Bengals -3.5
Sparty10k (3-3)
X-Jaguars +1.5
X-Patriots +6.5
W-Colts +3
X-Panthers +6
W-Lions over 52 – confidence
Avianrandy (5-0, 1 left)
W-Packers -5.5
W-Texans -6.5
W-Bucs -3
W-Steelers -3 Confidence
Bills -2.5
Gordonm888 (2-1, 3 left)
X-Raiders 3
X-Panthers 6
W-Lions -3
Bengals -3.5
Jets 2.5 Confidence
Johnzimbo (3-3)
W-Bucs -3
X-Bucs under 41
X-Broncos +3
W-Falcons -6 confidence
X-Falcons under 47
genwyzgy (4-2)
X-Cowboys 3 - Confidence
W-Cowboys OVER 52
W-Saints OVER 41
W-Steelers -3
W-Panthers OVER 47
Vegasbrent (2-4)
W-Ravens -7
W-Browns 9.5
X-Titans -3-confidence
X-Raiders 3
X-Panthers 6
IndyJeffrey (3-2, 1 left)
W-Ravens Over 51.5
X-Titans -3
W-Chargers -3 - Confidence
X-Cowboys 3
Bills -2.5
RideTheEdge:
Push-Commanders 7
W-Colts 3
W-Buccaneers -3 -- Confidence
W-Steelers OVER 36.5
W-Lions -3
Wizard (1-2, 1 left)
X-Jaguars 1.5
Push-Commanders 7 -- confidence
W-Colts 3
W-Buccaneers -3
Jets 2.5
link to original post
Vegasbrent Ravens -7 should be a push, not a win.
It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try.
Be happy and have fun!
October 15th, 2024 at 7:55:23 AM
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Here is the final results from the week. I will get to updated standings and updated perfect weeks later this week. Congrats to AvianRandy on the perfecto:
SOOPOO (2-3)
X-Cardinals +5.5 Confidence
W-Bengals -3.5
Push-Commanders +7
X-Jaguars +1.5
W-Browns +9.5
PlayYourCardsRight (5-0)
W-Bears -1.5 CONFIDENCE
Push-Commanders 7
W-Texans -6.5
W-Bengals -3.5
W-Bills -2.5
FourFiveFace (2-3)
Push-Commanders 7
X-Patriots 6.5
X-Raiders 3
X-Panthers 6
W-Lions -3-Confidence
miplet (3-3)
X-Jaguars 1.5-confidence
W-Browns 9.5
W-Buccaneers -3
W-Lions -3
X-Jets 2.5
unJon (5-1)
X-Jaguars 1.5
W-Colts 3
W-Colts UNDER 43
W-Saints OVER 41 - confidence
W-Bengals -3.5
Sparty10k (3-3)
X-Jaguars +1.5
X-Patriots +6.5
W-Colts +3
X-Panthers +6
W-Lions over 52 – confidence
Avianrandy (6-0)
W-Packers -5.5
W-Texans -6.5
W-Bucs -3
W-Steelers -3 Confidence
W-Bills -2.5
Gordonm888 (2-4)
X-Raiders 3
X-Panthers 6
W-Lions -3
W-Bengals -3.5
X-Jets 2.5 Confidence
Johnzimbo (3-3)
W-Bucs -3
X-Bucs under 41
X-Broncos +3
W-Falcons -6 confidence
X-Falcons under 47
genwyzgy (4-2)
X-Cowboys 3 - Confidence
W-Cowboys OVER 52
W-Saints OVER 41
W-Steelers -3
W-Panthers OVER 47
Vegasbrent (1-4)
Push-Ravens -7
W-Browns 9.5
X-Titans -3-confidence
X-Raiders 3
X-Panthers 6
IndyJeffrey (4-2)
W-Ravens Over 51.5
X-Titans -3
W-Chargers -3 - Confidence
X-Cowboys 3
W-Bills -2.5
RideTheEdge (5-0)
Push-Commanders 7
W-Colts 3
W-Buccaneers -3 -- Confidence
W-Steelers OVER 36.5
W-Lions -3
Wizard (1-3)
X-Jaguars 1.5
Push-Commanders 7 -- confidence
W-Colts 3
W-Buccaneers -3
X-Jets 2.5
SOOPOO (2-3)
X-Cardinals +5.5 Confidence
W-Bengals -3.5
Push-Commanders +7
X-Jaguars +1.5
W-Browns +9.5
PlayYourCardsRight (5-0)
W-Bears -1.5 CONFIDENCE
Push-Commanders 7
W-Texans -6.5
W-Bengals -3.5
W-Bills -2.5
FourFiveFace (2-3)
Push-Commanders 7
X-Patriots 6.5
X-Raiders 3
X-Panthers 6
W-Lions -3-Confidence
miplet (3-3)
X-Jaguars 1.5-confidence
W-Browns 9.5
W-Buccaneers -3
W-Lions -3
X-Jets 2.5
unJon (5-1)
X-Jaguars 1.5
W-Colts 3
W-Colts UNDER 43
W-Saints OVER 41 - confidence
W-Bengals -3.5
Sparty10k (3-3)
X-Jaguars +1.5
X-Patriots +6.5
W-Colts +3
X-Panthers +6
W-Lions over 52 – confidence
Avianrandy (6-0)
W-Packers -5.5
W-Texans -6.5
W-Bucs -3
W-Steelers -3 Confidence
W-Bills -2.5
Gordonm888 (2-4)
X-Raiders 3
X-Panthers 6
W-Lions -3
W-Bengals -3.5
X-Jets 2.5 Confidence
Johnzimbo (3-3)
W-Bucs -3
X-Bucs under 41
X-Broncos +3
W-Falcons -6 confidence
X-Falcons under 47
genwyzgy (4-2)
X-Cowboys 3 - Confidence
W-Cowboys OVER 52
W-Saints OVER 41
W-Steelers -3
W-Panthers OVER 47
Vegasbrent (1-4)
Push-Ravens -7
W-Browns 9.5
X-Titans -3-confidence
X-Raiders 3
X-Panthers 6
IndyJeffrey (4-2)
W-Ravens Over 51.5
X-Titans -3
W-Chargers -3 - Confidence
X-Cowboys 3
W-Bills -2.5
RideTheEdge (5-0)
Push-Commanders 7
W-Colts 3
W-Buccaneers -3 -- Confidence
W-Steelers OVER 36.5
W-Lions -3
Wizard (1-3)
X-Jaguars 1.5
Push-Commanders 7 -- confidence
W-Colts 3
W-Buccaneers -3
X-Jets 2.5
October 17th, 2024 at 8:42:04 AM
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Time to fall on my sword. Please ignore my previous posts about these. I have done a deeper dive and found a few errors in this year's picks.
I have updated my numbers and they are below. They still are not in line with the previous years, but that may be due to the fewer number of players this year than the previous 2. Plus, we're not even halfway through the season.
The last 2 years, I've been keeping track of how the group's picks have done depending on the number of players making the pick.
The data the last 2 years have shown some predictive value:
1. Fade picks made by greater than 50% of the players. 9 - 6 (60%) over the last 2 years.
2. Tail picks made by greater than 33% of the players up to and including 50% of the players. 36 - 28 - 3 (56.3%) over the last 2 years.
3. Fade picks made by greater than 25% of the players up to and including 33% of the players. 43 - 58 - 4 (57.4%) over the last 2 years.
That's a total of 103 - 77 - 6 (57.2%) over the last 2 years. About 5 picks a week on average.
For 2024 to date:
1. 1 - 2
2. 3 - 5
3. 11 - 13
Total: 15 - 20
I'd also like to point out that 4 of the losses were by 1 or a half point! Having many outs would mitigate this if you're using this in the real world.
Vegasbrent
I have updated my numbers and they are below. They still are not in line with the previous years, but that may be due to the fewer number of players this year than the previous 2. Plus, we're not even halfway through the season.
The last 2 years, I've been keeping track of how the group's picks have done depending on the number of players making the pick.
The data the last 2 years have shown some predictive value:
1. Fade picks made by greater than 50% of the players. 9 - 6 (60%) over the last 2 years.
2. Tail picks made by greater than 33% of the players up to and including 50% of the players. 36 - 28 - 3 (56.3%) over the last 2 years.
3. Fade picks made by greater than 25% of the players up to and including 33% of the players. 43 - 58 - 4 (57.4%) over the last 2 years.
That's a total of 103 - 77 - 6 (57.2%) over the last 2 years. About 5 picks a week on average.
For 2024 to date:
1. 1 - 2
2. 3 - 5
3. 11 - 13
Total: 15 - 20
I'd also like to point out that 4 of the losses were by 1 or a half point! Having many outs would mitigate this if you're using this in the real world.
Vegasbrent
It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try.
Be happy and have fun!
October 17th, 2024 at 9:54:58 AM
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This week's lines
Deadlines and rules for the UK game apply.
Patriots 5.5 @ Jaguars -5.5 O/U 41
Seahawks 3 @ Falcons -3 O/U 51
Titans 9.5 @ Bills -9.5 O/U 41
Bengals -5.5 @ Browns 5.5 O/U 41.5
Lions 1.5 @ Vikings -1.5 O/U 50.5
Texans 3 @ Packers -3 O/U 47.5
Dolphins 3 @ Colts -3 O/U 43.5
Eagles -3 @ Giants 3 O/U 42.5
Panthers 8 @ Commanders -8 O/U 51.5
Raiders 6.5 @ Rams -6.5 O/U 43.5
Chiefs 1.5 @ 49ers -1.5 O/U 47
Jets -2.5 @ Steelers 2.5 O/U 38.5
Ravens -3.5 @ Buccaneers 3.5 O/U 49.5
Chargers -2.5 @ Cardinals 2.5 O/U 43.5
Deadlines and rules for the UK game apply.
Patriots 5.5 @ Jaguars -5.5 O/U 41
Seahawks 3 @ Falcons -3 O/U 51
Titans 9.5 @ Bills -9.5 O/U 41
Bengals -5.5 @ Browns 5.5 O/U 41.5
Lions 1.5 @ Vikings -1.5 O/U 50.5
Texans 3 @ Packers -3 O/U 47.5
Dolphins 3 @ Colts -3 O/U 43.5
Eagles -3 @ Giants 3 O/U 42.5
Panthers 8 @ Commanders -8 O/U 51.5
Raiders 6.5 @ Rams -6.5 O/U 43.5
Chiefs 1.5 @ 49ers -1.5 O/U 47
Jets -2.5 @ Steelers 2.5 O/U 38.5
Ravens -3.5 @ Buccaneers 3.5 O/U 49.5
Chargers -2.5 @ Cardinals 2.5 O/U 43.5
October 20th, 2024 at 1:33:53 AM
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The really late link https://miplet.net/newnfl/diff.php?week=7&day=17&month=10&year=2024&hour=9
“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous
October 20th, 2024 at 6:42:29 AM
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Hand-Calculated Standings:
| Player | Record | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| playyourcardsright: | 25-6 | .806 |
| soopoo: | 26-9 | .743 |
| avianrandy: | 23-12 | .657 |
| indyjeffrey: | 18-11 | .621 |
| unjon: | 21-14 | .600 |
| wizard: | 19-14 | .576 |
| ridetheedge: | 20-15 | .571 |
| miplet: | 17-13 | .567 |
| gordonm888: | 18-16 | .529 |
| fourfiveface: | 17-17 | .500 |
| johnzimbo: | 18-18 | .500 |
| sparty10k: | 18-18 | .500 |
| vegasbrent: | 17-18 | .486 |
| genwyzgy: | 17-18 | .486 |
| jml24: | 5-19 | .208 |
| qfortwayne: | 1-25 | .038 |
October 20th, 2024 at 6:50:11 AM
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Week 7 Picks (Everyone submitted):
PlayYourCardsRight:
Falcons -3
Bengals -5.5
Colts -3
Eagles -3 Confidence
Commanders -8
Soopoo:
Titans +9.5. Confidence
Browns +5.5
Chiefs +1.5
Jets -2.5
Raiders +6.5
Avianrandy:
Chiefs +1.5
Falcons -3
Packers -3 Confidence
Rams -6.5
Steelers +2.5
IndyJeffrey:
Browns OVER 41.5
Vikings -1.5
Dolphins UNDER 43.5
Chiefs UNDER 47 - CONFIDENCE
Steelers 2.5
Unjon:
Texans OVER 47.5 - confidence
Commanders -8
Rams -6.5
Steelers +2.5
Chargers OVER 43.5
Wizard:
Seahawks 3
Titans 9.5
Texans 3 -- confidence
Steelers 2.5
Cardinals 2.5
RidetheEdge:
Jaguars OVER 41
Jaguars -5.5
Falcons OVER 51
Texans OVER 47.5 -- Confidence
Rams -6.5
Miplet:
Jaguars -5.5
Titans 9.5
Commanders -8-confidence
Steelers 2.5
Cardinals 2.5
GordonM888:
Seahawks 3
Browns 5.5
Dolphins 3
Jets -2.5
Buccaneers 3.5 - Confidence
FourFiveFace:
Patriots 5.5
Titans 9.5
Browns 5.5
Lions 1.5
Raiders 6.5-Confidence
JohnZimbo:
Jaguars -5.5 confidence
49ers -1.5
Dolphins +3
Jets -2.5
Falcons -3
Sparty10K:
Bengals -5.5
Lions over 50.5
Vikings -1.5
Packers -3
Rams -6.5 confidence
VegasBrent:
Giants 3
Browns 5.5
Titans 9.5
Seahawks 3-confidence
49ers -1.5
Genwyzgy:
Colts -3 Confidence
Ravens OVER 49.5
Eagles UNDER 42.5
Rams -6.5
Chargers -2.5
Jml24:
Seahawks 3-Confidence
Giants 3
Chiefs 1.5
Steelers 2.5
Buccaneers 3.5
PlayYourCardsRight:
Falcons -3
Bengals -5.5
Colts -3
Eagles -3 Confidence
Commanders -8
Soopoo:
Titans +9.5. Confidence
Browns +5.5
Chiefs +1.5
Jets -2.5
Raiders +6.5
Avianrandy:
Chiefs +1.5
Falcons -3
Packers -3 Confidence
Rams -6.5
Steelers +2.5
IndyJeffrey:
Browns OVER 41.5
Vikings -1.5
Dolphins UNDER 43.5
Chiefs UNDER 47 - CONFIDENCE
Steelers 2.5
Unjon:
Texans OVER 47.5 - confidence
Commanders -8
Rams -6.5
Steelers +2.5
Chargers OVER 43.5
Wizard:
Seahawks 3
Titans 9.5
Texans 3 -- confidence
Steelers 2.5
Cardinals 2.5
RidetheEdge:
Jaguars OVER 41
Jaguars -5.5
Falcons OVER 51
Texans OVER 47.5 -- Confidence
Rams -6.5
Miplet:
Jaguars -5.5
Titans 9.5
Commanders -8-confidence
Steelers 2.5
Cardinals 2.5
GordonM888:
Seahawks 3
Browns 5.5
Dolphins 3
Jets -2.5
Buccaneers 3.5 - Confidence
FourFiveFace:
Patriots 5.5
Titans 9.5
Browns 5.5
Lions 1.5
Raiders 6.5-Confidence
JohnZimbo:
Jaguars -5.5 confidence
49ers -1.5
Dolphins +3
Jets -2.5
Falcons -3
Sparty10K:
Bengals -5.5
Lions over 50.5
Vikings -1.5
Packers -3
Rams -6.5 confidence
VegasBrent:
Giants 3
Browns 5.5
Titans 9.5
Seahawks 3-confidence
49ers -1.5
Genwyzgy:
Colts -3 Confidence
Ravens OVER 49.5
Eagles UNDER 42.5
Rams -6.5
Chargers -2.5
Jml24:
Seahawks 3-Confidence
Giants 3
Chiefs 1.5
Steelers 2.5
Buccaneers 3.5
October 20th, 2024 at 8:52:01 AM
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Sorry to be so late again! Here are the week 6 results. Some 5-0 but only one perfect 6-0. Watch out for those pushes!
And we have a new leader!
| Player | Week 6 Record | Win% |
|---|---|---|
| avianrandy: | 6-0 | 100% |
| fourfiveface: | 2-3 | 40% |
| genwyzgy: | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| gordonm888: | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| indyjeffrey: | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| jml24: | 0-0 | 0% |
| johnzimbo: | 3-3 | 50% |
| miplet: | 3-3 | 50% |
| playyourcardsright: | 5-0 | 100% |
| ridetheedge: | 5-0 | 100% |
| qfortwayne: | 0-0 | 0% |
| soopoo: | 2-3 | 40% |
| sparty10k: | 3-3 | 50% |
| unjon: | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| vegasbrent: | 1-4 | 20% |
| wizard: | 2-2 | 50% |
And we have a new leader!
| Player | Record | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| playyourcardsright: | 25-6 | 80.6% |
| soopoo: | 26-9 | 74.3% |
| avianrandy: | 23-12 | 65.7% |
| indyjeffrey: | 18-11 | 62.1% |
| wizard: | 20-13 | 60.6% |
| unjon: | 21-14 | 60% |
| ridetheedge: | 20-15 | 57.1% |
| miplet: | 17-13 | 56.7% |
| gordonm888: | 18-16 | 52.9% |
| johnzimbo: | 18-18 | 50% |
| sparty10k: | 18-18 | 50% |
| fourfiveface: | 17-17 | 50% |
| genwyzgy: | 17-18 | 48.6% |
| vegasbrent: | 17-18 | 48.6% |
| jml24: | 5-19 | 20.8% |
| qfortwayne: | 1-25 | 3.8% |
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
October 20th, 2024 at 9:00:16 AM
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Here is the summary for week 7.
| Game | Away | Home | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots 5.5 @ Jaguars -5.5 O/U 41 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Seahawks 3 @ Falcons -3 O/U 51 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Titans 9.5 @ Bills -9.5 O/U 41 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bengals -5.5 @ Browns 5.5 O/U 41.5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Lions 1.5 @ Vikings -1.5 O/U 50.5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Texans 3 @ Packers -3 O/U 47.5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Dolphins 3 @ Colts -3 O/U 43.5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Eagles -3 @ Giants 3 O/U 42.5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Panthers 8 @ Commanders -8 O/U 51.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Raiders 6.5 @ Rams -6.5 O/U 43.5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Chiefs 1.5 @ 49Ers -1.5 O/U 47 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Jets -2.5 @ Steelers 2.5 O/U 38.5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Ravens -3.5 @ Buccaneers 3.5 O/U 49.5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Chargers -2.5 @ Cardinals 2.5 O/U 43.5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
October 20th, 2024 at 5:26:50 PM
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Week 7 results (3 games to go)
PlayYourCardsRight (5-1, done)
X-Falcons -3
Bengals -5.5
Colts -3
Eagles -3 Confidence
Commanders -8
Soopoo (2-3, 1to go)
X-Titans +9.5. Confidence
X-Browns +5.5
Chiefs +1.5
?-Jets -2.5
Raiders +6.5
Avianrandy (1-4, 1 to go)
Chiefs +1.5
X-Falcons -3
X-Packers -3 Confidence
X-Rams -6.5
Steelers +2.5
IndyJeffrey (3-2, 1 to go)
X-Browns OVER 41.5
X-Vikings -1.5
Dolphins UNDER 43.5
Chiefs UNDER 47 - CONFIDENCE
?-Steelers 2.5
Unjon (1-4, 1 to go)
X-Texans OVER 47.5 - confidence
Commanders -8
X-Rams -6.5
Steelers +2.5
X-Chargers OVER 43.5
Wizard (3-1, 2 to go)
Seahawks 3
X-Titans 9.5
Texans 3 -- confidence
?-Steelers 2.5
?-Cardinals 2.5
RidetheEdge (2-4)
Jaguars OVER 41
Jaguars -5.5
X-Falcons OVER 51
X-Texans OVER 47.5 -- Confidence
X-Rams -6.5
Miplet (3-1, 2 to go)
Jaguars -5.5
X-Titans 9.5
Commanders -8-confidence
?-Steelers 2.5
?-Cardinals 2.5
GordonM888 (1-2, 3 to go)
Seahawks 3
X-Browns 5.5
X-Dolphins 3
?-Jets -2.5
?-Buccaneers 3.5 - Confidence
FourFiveFace (3-3, done)
X-Patriots 5.5
X-Titans 9.5
X-Browns 5.5
Lions 1.5
Raiders 6.5-Confidence
JohnZimbo (2-3, 1 to go)
Jaguars -5.5 confidence
X-49ers -1.5
X-Dolphins +3
?-Jets -2.5
X-Falcons -3
Sparty10K (2-4, done)
Bengals -5.5
Lions over 50.5
X-Vikings -1.5
X-Packers -3
X-Rams -6.5 confidence
VegasBrent (2-4)
X-Giants 3
X-Browns 5.5
X-Titans 9.5
Seahawks 3-confidence
X-49ers -1.5
Genwyzgy (3-1, 2 to go)
Colts -3 Confidence
?-Ravens OVER 49.5
Eagles UNDER 42.5
X-Rams -6.5
?-Chargers -2.5
Jml24 (3-1, 2 to go)
Seahawks 3-Confidence
X-Giants 3
Chiefs 1.5
?-Steelers 2.5
?-Buccaneers 3.5
PlayYourCardsRight (5-1, done)
X-Falcons -3
Bengals -5.5
Colts -3
Eagles -3 Confidence
Commanders -8
Soopoo (2-3, 1to go)
X-Titans +9.5. Confidence
X-Browns +5.5
Chiefs +1.5
?-Jets -2.5
Raiders +6.5
Avianrandy (1-4, 1 to go)
Chiefs +1.5
X-Falcons -3
X-Packers -3 Confidence
X-Rams -6.5
Steelers +2.5
IndyJeffrey (3-2, 1 to go)
X-Browns OVER 41.5
X-Vikings -1.5
Dolphins UNDER 43.5
Chiefs UNDER 47 - CONFIDENCE
?-Steelers 2.5
Unjon (1-4, 1 to go)
X-Texans OVER 47.5 - confidence
Commanders -8
X-Rams -6.5
Steelers +2.5
X-Chargers OVER 43.5
Wizard (3-1, 2 to go)
Seahawks 3
X-Titans 9.5
Texans 3 -- confidence
?-Steelers 2.5
?-Cardinals 2.5
RidetheEdge (2-4)
Jaguars OVER 41
Jaguars -5.5
X-Falcons OVER 51
X-Texans OVER 47.5 -- Confidence
X-Rams -6.5
Miplet (3-1, 2 to go)
Jaguars -5.5
X-Titans 9.5
Commanders -8-confidence
?-Steelers 2.5
?-Cardinals 2.5
GordonM888 (1-2, 3 to go)
Seahawks 3
X-Browns 5.5
X-Dolphins 3
?-Jets -2.5
?-Buccaneers 3.5 - Confidence
FourFiveFace (3-3, done)
X-Patriots 5.5
X-Titans 9.5
X-Browns 5.5
Lions 1.5
Raiders 6.5-Confidence
JohnZimbo (2-3, 1 to go)
Jaguars -5.5 confidence
X-49ers -1.5
X-Dolphins +3
?-Jets -2.5
X-Falcons -3
Sparty10K (2-4, done)
Bengals -5.5
Lions over 50.5
X-Vikings -1.5
X-Packers -3
X-Rams -6.5 confidence
VegasBrent (2-4)
X-Giants 3
X-Browns 5.5
X-Titans 9.5
Seahawks 3-confidence
X-49ers -1.5
Genwyzgy (3-1, 2 to go)
Colts -3 Confidence
?-Ravens OVER 49.5
Eagles UNDER 42.5
X-Rams -6.5
?-Chargers -2.5
Jml24 (3-1, 2 to go)
Seahawks 3-Confidence
X-Giants 3
Chiefs 1.5
?-Steelers 2.5
?-Buccaneers 3.5
Last edited by: PlayYourCardsRight on Oct 20, 2024
October 20th, 2024 at 7:12:50 PM
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Dolphins +3 is a loss not a win
October 20th, 2024 at 8:10:28 PM
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October 21st, 2024 at 3:33:44 AM
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Looks like I went 2-4. Steelers and Chiefs won. Looks like it was a rough week for most :-(
October 22nd, 2024 at 9:11:25 AM
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Week 7 results
PlayYourCardsRight (5-1)
X-Falcons -3
Bengals -5.5
Colts -3
Eagles -3 Confidence
Commanders -8
Soopoo (2-4)
X-Titans +9.5. Confidence
X-Browns +5.5
Chiefs +1.5
X-Jets -2.5
Raiders +6.5
Avianrandy (2-4)
Chiefs +1.5
X-Falcons -3
X-Packers -3 Confidence
X-Rams -6.5
Steelers +2.5
IndyJeffrey (4-2)
X-Browns OVER 41.5
X-Vikings -1.5
Dolphins UNDER 43.5
Chiefs UNDER 47 - CONFIDENCE
Steelers 2.5
Unjon (2-4)
X-Texans OVER 47.5 - confidence
Commanders -8
X-Rams -6.5
Steelers +2.5
X-Chargers OVER 43.5
Wizard (5-1)
Seahawks 3
X-Titans 9.5
Texans 3 -- confidence
Steelers 2.5
Cardinals 2.5
RidetheEdge (2-4)
Jaguars OVER 41
Jaguars -5.5
X-Falcons OVER 51
X-Texans OVER 47.5 -- Confidence
X-Rams -6.5
Miplet (5-1)
Jaguars -5.5
X-Titans 9.5
Commanders -8-confidence
Steelers 2.5
Cardinals 2.5
GordonM888 (1-5)
Seahawks 3
X-Browns 5.5
X-Dolphins 3
X-Jets -2.5
X-Buccaneers 3.5 - Confidence
FourFiveFace (3-3)
X-Patriots 5.5
X-Titans 9.5
X-Browns 5.5
Lions 1.5
Raiders 6.5-Confidence
JohnZimbo (2-4)
Jaguars -5.5 confidence
X-49ers -1.5
X-Dolphins +3
X-Jets -2.5
X-Falcons -3
Sparty10K (2-4)
Bengals -5.5
Lions over 50.5
X-Vikings -1.5
X-Packers -3
X-Rams -6.5 confidence
VegasBrent (2-4)
X-Giants 3
X-Browns 5.5
X-Titans 9.5
Seahawks 3-confidence
X-49ers -1.5
Genwyzgy (4-2)
Colts -3 Confidence
Ravens OVER 49.5
Eagles UNDER 42.5
X-Rams -6.5
X-Chargers -2.5
Jml24 (4-2)
Seahawks 3-Confidence
X-Giants 3
Chiefs 1.5
Steelers 2.5
X-Buccaneers 3.5
PlayYourCardsRight (5-1)
X-Falcons -3
Bengals -5.5
Colts -3
Eagles -3 Confidence
Commanders -8
Soopoo (2-4)
X-Titans +9.5. Confidence
X-Browns +5.5
Chiefs +1.5
X-Jets -2.5
Raiders +6.5
Avianrandy (2-4)
Chiefs +1.5
X-Falcons -3
X-Packers -3 Confidence
X-Rams -6.5
Steelers +2.5
IndyJeffrey (4-2)
X-Browns OVER 41.5
X-Vikings -1.5
Dolphins UNDER 43.5
Chiefs UNDER 47 - CONFIDENCE
Steelers 2.5
Unjon (2-4)
X-Texans OVER 47.5 - confidence
Commanders -8
X-Rams -6.5
Steelers +2.5
X-Chargers OVER 43.5
Wizard (5-1)
Seahawks 3
X-Titans 9.5
Texans 3 -- confidence
Steelers 2.5
Cardinals 2.5
RidetheEdge (2-4)
Jaguars OVER 41
Jaguars -5.5
X-Falcons OVER 51
X-Texans OVER 47.5 -- Confidence
X-Rams -6.5
Miplet (5-1)
Jaguars -5.5
X-Titans 9.5
Commanders -8-confidence
Steelers 2.5
Cardinals 2.5
GordonM888 (1-5)
Seahawks 3
X-Browns 5.5
X-Dolphins 3
X-Jets -2.5
X-Buccaneers 3.5 - Confidence
FourFiveFace (3-3)
X-Patriots 5.5
X-Titans 9.5
X-Browns 5.5
Lions 1.5
Raiders 6.5-Confidence
JohnZimbo (2-4)
Jaguars -5.5 confidence
X-49ers -1.5
X-Dolphins +3
X-Jets -2.5
X-Falcons -3
Sparty10K (2-4)
Bengals -5.5
Lions over 50.5
X-Vikings -1.5
X-Packers -3
X-Rams -6.5 confidence
VegasBrent (2-4)
X-Giants 3
X-Browns 5.5
X-Titans 9.5
Seahawks 3-confidence
X-49ers -1.5
Genwyzgy (4-2)
Colts -3 Confidence
Ravens OVER 49.5
Eagles UNDER 42.5
X-Rams -6.5
X-Chargers -2.5
Jml24 (4-2)
Seahawks 3-Confidence
X-Giants 3
Chiefs 1.5
Steelers 2.5
X-Buccaneers 3.5
October 22nd, 2024 at 9:54:31 AM
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The last 2 years, I've been keeping track of how the group's picks have done depending on the number of players making the pick.
The data the last 2 years have shown some predictive value: (this year, not so much!)
1. Fade picks made by greater than 50% of the players. 9 - 6 (60%) over the last 2 years.
2. Tail picks made by greater than 33% of the players up to and including 50% of the players. 36 - 28 - 3 (56.3%) over the last 2 years.
3. Fade picks made by greater than 25% of the players up to and including 33% of the players. 43 - 58 - 4 (57.4%) over the last 2 years.
That's a total of 103 - 77 - 6 (57.2%) over the last 2 years. About 5 picks a week on average.
For 2024 to date:
1. 1 - 2
2. 5 - 7
3. 12 - 16
Total: 18 - 25
I'd also like to point out that 4 of the losses were by 1 or a half point! Having many outs would mitigate this if you're using this in the real world.
Vegasbrent
The data the last 2 years have shown some predictive value: (this year, not so much!)
1. Fade picks made by greater than 50% of the players. 9 - 6 (60%) over the last 2 years.
2. Tail picks made by greater than 33% of the players up to and including 50% of the players. 36 - 28 - 3 (56.3%) over the last 2 years.
3. Fade picks made by greater than 25% of the players up to and including 33% of the players. 43 - 58 - 4 (57.4%) over the last 2 years.
That's a total of 103 - 77 - 6 (57.2%) over the last 2 years. About 5 picks a week on average.
For 2024 to date:
1. 1 - 2
2. 5 - 7
3. 12 - 16
Total: 18 - 25
I'd also like to point out that 4 of the losses were by 1 or a half point! Having many outs would mitigate this if you're using this in the real world.
Vegasbrent
It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try.
Be happy and have fun!
October 22nd, 2024 at 6:23:44 PM
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Quote: PlayYourCardsRightWeek 7 results
IndyJeffrey (4-2)
X-Browns OVER 41.5
X-Vikings -1.5
Dolphins UNDER 43.5
Chiefs UNDER 47 - CONFIDENCE
Steelers 2.5
link to original post
Every week I tell myself, just pick underdogs and unders. I just cannot seem to do that...and looks where it gets me.
