September 9th, 2024 at 7:55:54 AM
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I've sunk to 3rd from the bottom - so that list looks about right to me.

So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.

September 9th, 2024 at 10:30:18 AM
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It would have been nice to get a few weeks around 50/50 before plummeting to the bottom :-)

September 10th, 2024 at 6:44:49 AM
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Here are the week 1 results. 55-31 overall.

Player | Week 1 Record | Win% |
---|---|---|

avianrandy: | 4-1 | 80% |

fourfiveface: | 3-2 | 60% |

genwyzgy: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

gordonm888: | 2-4 | 33.3% |

indyjeffrey: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

jml24: | 1-5 | 16.7% |

johnzimbo: | 1-5 | 16.7% |

miplet: | 5-1 | 83.3% |

playyourcardsright: | 3-1 | 75% |

ridetheedge: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

soopoo: | 6-0 | 100% |

sparty10k: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

unjon: | 6-0 | 100% |

vegasbrent: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

wizard: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.

September 11th, 2024 at 8:55:30 AM
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Bumping this to the top!

Anyone who wasn't in last week is still invited in. The first week can count as your skip week.

Odds for this weekend's games will be put on this thread tomorrow.

Come one, come all!

Send questions my way, either in the thread or through PM.

Matt

Anyone who wasn't in last week is still invited in. The first week can count as your skip week.

Odds for this weekend's games will be put on this thread tomorrow.

Come one, come all!

Send questions my way, either in the thread or through PM.

Matt

September 12th, 2024 at 12:20:16 PM
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The last 2 years, I've been keeping track of how the group's picks have done depending on the number of players making the pick.

The data the last 2 years have shown some predictive value:

1. Fade picks made by greater than 50% of the players. 9 - 6 (60%) over the last 2 years.

2. Tail picks made by greater than 33% of the players up to and including 50% of the players. 36 - 28 - 3 (56.3%) over the last 2 years.

3. Fade picks made by greater than 25% of the players up to and including 33% of the players. 43 - 58 - 4 (57.4%) over the last 2 years.

That's a total of 103 - 77 - 6 (57.2%) over the last 2 years. About 5 picks a week on average.

For this year, the number of players would be as follows for the groups above:

1. 8 or more players on a pick: FADE

2. 4 - 5 players on a pick: TAIL

3. 6 - 7 players on a pick: FADE

For Week 1, this didn't fare well, but here are the numbers:

1. 0 - 1 (lost by 1/2 point)

2. 1 - 5 (1 loss by 1.2 point)

3. 0 - 1

Total: 1 - 7. Yuck.

It's early and the number of players this year is the lowest of the 3 years of my data.

I'll try to update when I have time, but you can use the numbers above at least as a starting point for picks outside this contest.

Brent

The data the last 2 years have shown some predictive value:

1. Fade picks made by greater than 50% of the players. 9 - 6 (60%) over the last 2 years.

2. Tail picks made by greater than 33% of the players up to and including 50% of the players. 36 - 28 - 3 (56.3%) over the last 2 years.

3. Fade picks made by greater than 25% of the players up to and including 33% of the players. 43 - 58 - 4 (57.4%) over the last 2 years.

That's a total of 103 - 77 - 6 (57.2%) over the last 2 years. About 5 picks a week on average.

For this year, the number of players would be as follows for the groups above:

1. 8 or more players on a pick: FADE

2. 4 - 5 players on a pick: TAIL

3. 6 - 7 players on a pick: FADE

For Week 1, this didn't fare well, but here are the numbers:

1. 0 - 1 (lost by 1/2 point)

2. 1 - 5 (1 loss by 1.2 point)

3. 0 - 1

Total: 1 - 7. Yuck.

It's early and the number of players this year is the lowest of the 3 years of my data.

I'll try to update when I have time, but you can use the numbers above at least as a starting point for picks outside this contest.

Brent

It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try.
Be happy and have fun!

September 12th, 2024 at 4:23:01 PM
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Week 2 lines:

Deadline, 10 am EDT (NO exceptions)

Please follow the requested format for picks (see page 1)

Raiders 8 @ Ravens -8 O/U 41.5

Chargers -5 @ Panthers 5 O/U 39

Browns 3 @ Jaguars -3 O/U 41.5

Saints 6 @ Cowboys -6 O/U 47

Buccaneers 7.5 @ Lions -7.5 O/U 51.5

Colts -3 @ Packers 3 O/U 40.5

49ers -5 @ Vikings 5 O/U 46.5

Seahawks -3.5 @ Patriots 3.5 O/U 38.5

Giants 2 @ Commanders -2 O/U 43

Jets -4 @ Titans 4 O/U 41

Rams 1 @ Cardinals -1 O/U 48

Bengals 5.5 @ Chiefs -5.5 O/U 48

Steelers -2.5 @ Broncos 2.5 O/U 36.5

Bears 6.5 @ Texans -6.5 O/U 45.5

Falcons 6.5 @ Eagles -6.5 O/U 47

Deadline, 10 am EDT (NO exceptions)

Please follow the requested format for picks (see page 1)

Raiders 8 @ Ravens -8 O/U 41.5

Chargers -5 @ Panthers 5 O/U 39

Browns 3 @ Jaguars -3 O/U 41.5

Saints 6 @ Cowboys -6 O/U 47

Buccaneers 7.5 @ Lions -7.5 O/U 51.5

Colts -3 @ Packers 3 O/U 40.5

49ers -5 @ Vikings 5 O/U 46.5

Seahawks -3.5 @ Patriots 3.5 O/U 38.5

Giants 2 @ Commanders -2 O/U 43

Jets -4 @ Titans 4 O/U 41

Rams 1 @ Cardinals -1 O/U 48

Bengals 5.5 @ Chiefs -5.5 O/U 48

Steelers -2.5 @ Broncos 2.5 O/U 36.5

Bears 6.5 @ Texans -6.5 O/U 45.5

Falcons 6.5 @ Eagles -6.5 O/U 47

September 12th, 2024 at 7:06:43 PM
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Line change link https://miplet.net/newnfl/diff.php?week=2&day=12&month=9&year=2024&hour=15

“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous

September 15th, 2024 at 7:49:02 AM
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WEEK 2 PICKS

We have one new entrant, so we are closed out... 16 total entries. New entry used skip week for week 1.

Better job on the formatting... Those grading, if you see errors, let me know and I will try to fix what I can before I post. Following the formatting is very important everyone. Makes our jobs easier when compiling and scoring the picks.

Since there are no consolation prizes this year, skipping a second week results in an 0-5 week. You are not eliminated from contention.

Thanks,

Matt

PlayYourCardsRight:

Ravens -8

Lions -7.5

Commanders -2 CONFIDENCE

Titans 4

Eagles -6.5

unJon:

Commanders -2

Chiefs -5.5

Steelers -2.5

Bears 6.5

Eagles -6.5 – confidence

FourFiveFace:

Raiders +8

Buccaneers +7.5

Vikings +5

Rams +1-Confidence

Steelers -2.5

miplet:

Packers 3

Vikings 5

Giants 2

Chiefs -5.5

Falcons 6.5-confidence

Genwyzguy:

Jaguars -3

Cowboys -6

Buccaneers 7.5 Confidence

Patriots 3.5

Rams OVER 48

Sparty10k:

Ravens -8 confidence

Chargers -5

Buccaneers +7.5

Chiefs-5.5

Eagles-6.5

RideTheEdge:

Cowboys UNDER 47

Packers +3

Patriots +3.5 - Confidence

Chiefs -5.5

Steelers -2.5

Avianrandy:

Cowboys -6 Confidence

Steelers -2.5

Eagles -6.5

Jets -4

Ravens -8

Johnzimbo:

Cowboys -6

Panthers under 39

Giants under 43 confidence

Patriots under 38.5

Bengals +5.5

jml24:

Panthers 5

Buccaneers 7.5

Patriots 3.5

Titans 4

Broncos 2.5-Confidence

Qfortwayne:

Jaguars -3

Texans -6.5

Jets -4

Cowboys -6

Ravens -8 confidence

Gordonm888:

Raiders 8

Chargers Under 39

Packers 3

Titans 4 Confidence

Steelers -2.5

Vegasbrent:

Ravens -8

Chargers -5-confidence

Cowboys -6

Rams +1

Broncos 2.5

SOOPOO:

Buccaneers +7.5 Confidence

Seahawks -3.5

Steelers -2.5

Falcons + 6.5

Commanders -2

Wizard:

Raiders 8 CONFIDENCE

Browns 3

Saints 6

Buccaneers 7.5

Giants 2

SKIP WEEK:

Week 1: Qfortwayne

Week 2: IndyJeffrey

We have one new entrant, so we are closed out... 16 total entries. New entry used skip week for week 1.

Better job on the formatting... Those grading, if you see errors, let me know and I will try to fix what I can before I post. Following the formatting is very important everyone. Makes our jobs easier when compiling and scoring the picks.

Since there are no consolation prizes this year, skipping a second week results in an 0-5 week. You are not eliminated from contention.

Thanks,

Matt

PlayYourCardsRight:

Ravens -8

Lions -7.5

Commanders -2 CONFIDENCE

Titans 4

Eagles -6.5

unJon:

Commanders -2

Chiefs -5.5

Steelers -2.5

Bears 6.5

Eagles -6.5 – confidence

FourFiveFace:

Raiders +8

Buccaneers +7.5

Vikings +5

Rams +1-Confidence

Steelers -2.5

miplet:

Packers 3

Vikings 5

Giants 2

Chiefs -5.5

Falcons 6.5-confidence

Genwyzguy:

Jaguars -3

Cowboys -6

Buccaneers 7.5 Confidence

Patriots 3.5

Rams OVER 48

Sparty10k:

Ravens -8 confidence

Chargers -5

Buccaneers +7.5

Chiefs-5.5

Eagles-6.5

RideTheEdge:

Cowboys UNDER 47

Packers +3

Patriots +3.5 - Confidence

Chiefs -5.5

Steelers -2.5

Avianrandy:

Cowboys -6 Confidence

Steelers -2.5

Eagles -6.5

Jets -4

Ravens -8

Johnzimbo:

Cowboys -6

Panthers under 39

Giants under 43 confidence

Patriots under 38.5

Bengals +5.5

jml24:

Panthers 5

Buccaneers 7.5

Patriots 3.5

Titans 4

Broncos 2.5-Confidence

Qfortwayne:

Jaguars -3

Texans -6.5

Jets -4

Cowboys -6

Ravens -8 confidence

Gordonm888:

Raiders 8

Chargers Under 39

Packers 3

Titans 4 Confidence

Steelers -2.5

Vegasbrent:

Ravens -8

Chargers -5-confidence

Cowboys -6

Rams +1

Broncos 2.5

SOOPOO:

Buccaneers +7.5 Confidence

Seahawks -3.5

Steelers -2.5

Falcons + 6.5

Commanders -2

Wizard:

Raiders 8 CONFIDENCE

Browns 3

Saints 6

Buccaneers 7.5

Giants 2

SKIP WEEK:

Week 1: Qfortwayne

Week 2: IndyJeffrey

September 15th, 2024 at 10:10:23 AM
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Ok here is the pick summary. Formatting much better this week. Only thing I say was genwyzgy spelled name wrong. Easy to catch.

Game | Away | Home | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|

Raiders 8 @ Ravens -8 O/U 41.5 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 |

Chargers -5 @ Panthers 5 O/U 39 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |

Browns 3 @ Jaguars -3 O/U 41.5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |

Saints 6 @ Cowboys -6 O/U 47 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 |

Buccaneers 7.5 @ Lions -7.5 O/U 51.5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 |

Colts -3 @ Packers 3 O/U 40.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |

49Ers -5 @ Vikings 5 O/U 46.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |

Seahawks -3.5 @ Patriots 3.5 O/U 38.5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 |

Giants 2 @ Commanders -2 O/U 43 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 |

Jets -4 @ Titans 4 O/U 41 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |

Rams 1 @ Cardinals -1 O/U 48 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |

Bengals 5.5 @ Chiefs -5.5 O/U 48 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |

Steelers -2.5 @ Broncos 2.5 O/U 36.5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |

Bears 6.5 @ Texans -6.5 O/U 45.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |

Falcons 6.5 @ Eagles -6.5 O/U 47 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 |

The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.

September 15th, 2024 at 12:19:03 PM
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I sucked last week and am sucking this week

September 15th, 2024 at 1:31:37 PM
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And no prize for sucking!

September 16th, 2024 at 3:00:53 PM
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UNOFFICIAL RESULTS BEFORE MONDAY NIGHT GAME (I made one pass through, so there could be mistakes)... The official results will be posted after MNF.

Thanks,

Matt

PlayYourCardsRight:

x-Ravens -8

x-Lions -7.5

Commanders -2 CONFIDENCE

x-Titans 4

Eagles -6.5

unJon:

Commanders -2

x-Chiefs -5.5

Steelers -2.5

Bears 6.5

Eagles -6.5 – confidence

FourFiveFace:

Raiders +8

Buccaneers +7.5

Vikings +5

x-Rams +1-Confidence

Steelers -2.5

miplet:

x-Packers 3

Vikings 5

x-Giants 2

x-Chiefs -5.5

Falcons 6.5-confidence

Genwyzguy:

x-Jaguars -3

x-Cowboys -6

Buccaneers 7.5 Confidence

Patriots 3.5

Rams OVER 48

Sparty10k:

x-Ravens -8 confidence

Chargers -5

Buccaneers +7.5

x-Chiefs-5.5

Eagles-6.5

RideTheEdge:

x-Cowboys UNDER 47

Packers +3

Patriots +3.5 - Confidence

x-Chiefs -5.5

Steelers -2.5

Avianrandy:

x-Cowboys -6 Confidence

Steelers -2.5

Eagles -6.5

Jets -4

x-Ravens -8

Johnzimbo:

x-Cowboys -6

Panthers under 39

Giants under 43 confidence

x-Patriots under 38.5

Bengals +5.5

jml24:

x-Panthers 5

Buccaneers 7.5

Patriots 3.5

x-Titans 4

x-Broncos 2.5-Confidence

Qfortwayne:

x-Jaguars -3

x-Texans -6.5

Jets -4

x-Cowboys -6

x-Ravens -8 confidence

Gordonm888:

Raiders 8

Chargers Under 39

Packers 3

x-Titans 4 Confidence

Steelers -2.5

Vegasbrent:

x-Ravens -8

Chargers -5-confidence

x-Cowboys -6

x-Rams +1

x-Broncos 2.5

SOOPOO:

Buccaneers +7.5 Confidence

x-Seahawks -3.5

Steelers -2.5

Falcons + 6.5

Commanders -2

Wizard:

Raiders 8 CONFIDENCE

Browns 3

Saints 6

Buccaneers 7.5

x-Giants 2

Thanks,

Matt

PlayYourCardsRight:

x-Ravens -8

x-Lions -7.5

Commanders -2 CONFIDENCE

x-Titans 4

Eagles -6.5

unJon:

Commanders -2

x-Chiefs -5.5

Steelers -2.5

Bears 6.5

Eagles -6.5 – confidence

FourFiveFace:

Raiders +8

Buccaneers +7.5

Vikings +5

x-Rams +1-Confidence

Steelers -2.5

miplet:

x-Packers 3

Vikings 5

x-Giants 2

x-Chiefs -5.5

Falcons 6.5-confidence

Genwyzguy:

x-Jaguars -3

x-Cowboys -6

Buccaneers 7.5 Confidence

Patriots 3.5

Rams OVER 48

Sparty10k:

x-Ravens -8 confidence

Chargers -5

Buccaneers +7.5

x-Chiefs-5.5

Eagles-6.5

RideTheEdge:

x-Cowboys UNDER 47

Packers +3

Patriots +3.5 - Confidence

x-Chiefs -5.5

Steelers -2.5

Avianrandy:

x-Cowboys -6 Confidence

Steelers -2.5

Eagles -6.5

Jets -4

x-Ravens -8

Johnzimbo:

x-Cowboys -6

Panthers under 39

Giants under 43 confidence

x-Patriots under 38.5

Bengals +5.5

jml24:

x-Panthers 5

Buccaneers 7.5

Patriots 3.5

x-Titans 4

x-Broncos 2.5-Confidence

Qfortwayne:

x-Jaguars -3

x-Texans -6.5

Jets -4

x-Cowboys -6

x-Ravens -8 confidence

Gordonm888:

Raiders 8

Chargers Under 39

Packers 3

x-Titans 4 Confidence

Steelers -2.5

Vegasbrent:

x-Ravens -8

Chargers -5-confidence

x-Cowboys -6

x-Rams +1

x-Broncos 2.5

SOOPOO:

Buccaneers +7.5 Confidence

x-Seahawks -3.5

Steelers -2.5

Falcons + 6.5

Commanders -2

Wizard:

Raiders 8 CONFIDENCE

Browns 3

Saints 6

Buccaneers 7.5

x-Giants 2

Last edited by: unnamed administrator on Sep 17, 2024

September 16th, 2024 at 4:39:51 PM
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Here is what the spreadsheet is spitting out going into last game. Gordon, did you ever get a chance to set up as wouldn’t mind another set of eyes.

Player | Week 2 Record | Win% |
---|---|---|

avianrandy: | 2-3 | 40% |

fourfiveface: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

genwyzgy: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

gordonm888: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

indyjeffrey: | 0-0 | 0% |

jml24: | 2-4 | 33.3% |

johnzimbo: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

miplet: | 2-2 | 50% |

playyourcardsright: | 2-3 | 40% |

ridetheedge: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

qfortwayne: | 1-5 | 16.7% |

soopoo: | 4-1 | 80% |

sparty10k: | 2-3 | 40% |

unjon: | 3-1 | 75% |

vegasbrent: | 2-4 | 33.3% |

wizard: | 5-1 | 83.3% |

The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.

September 16th, 2024 at 9:03:03 PM
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Here are the results in week 2. No one perfect.

And cumulative through week 2, SOOPOO starting strong.

Player | Week 2 Record | Win% |
---|---|---|

avianrandy: | 2-4 | 33.3% |

fourfiveface: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

genwyzgy: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

gordonm888: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

indyjeffrey: | 0-0 | 0% |

jml24: | 2-4 | 33.3% |

johnzimbo: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

miplet: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

playyourcardsright: | 2-4 | 33.3% |

ridetheedge: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

qfortwayne: | 1-5 | 16.7% |

soopoo: | 5-1 | 83.3% |

sparty10k: | 2-4 | 33.3% |

unjon: | 3-3 | 50% |

vegasbrent: | 2-4 | 33.3% |

wizard: | 5-1 | 83.3% |

And cumulative through week 2, SOOPOO starting strong.

Player | Record | Win % |
---|---|---|

soopoo: | 11-1 | 91.7% |

wizard: | 9-3 | 75% |

miplet: | 9-3 | 75% |

unjon: | 9-3 | 75% |

genwyzgy: | 8-4 | 66.7% |

ridetheedge: | 8-4 | 66.7% |

indyjeffrey: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

fourfiveface: | 7-4 | 63.6% |

avianrandy: | 6-5 | 54.5% |

gordonm888: | 6-6 | 50% |

playyourcardsright: | 5-5 | 50% |

sparty10k: | 6-6 | 50% |

vegasbrent: | 6-6 | 50% |

johnzimbo: | 5-7 | 41.7% |

jml24: | 3-9 | 25% |

qfortwayne: | 1-5 | 16.7% |

The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.

September 17th, 2024 at 8:15:58 AM
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The last 2 years, I've been keeping track of how the group's picks have done depending on the number of players making the pick.

The data the last 2 years have shown some predictive value:

1. Fade picks made by greater than 50% of the players. 9 - 6 (60%) over the last 2 years.

2. Tail picks made by greater than 33% of the players up to and including 50% of the players. 36 - 28 - 3 (56.3%) over the last 2 years.

3. Fade picks made by greater than 25% of the players up to and including 33% of the players. 43 - 58 - 4 (57.4%) over the last 2 years.

That's a total of 103 - 77 - 6 (57.2%) over the last 2 years. About 5 picks a week on average.

For this year, the number of players would be as follows for the groups above:

Note: these numbers will change next week as we have 16 players now.

I kept these numbers for Weeks 1 and 2 because of skip weeks and I'm lazy.

1. 8 or more players on a pick: FADE

2. 4 - 5 players on a pick: FADE

3. 6 - 7 players on a pick: TAIL

For Week 2, here are the numbers:

1, 0 - 1

2. 4 - 1

3. 1 - 1

Week 2 Total: 5 - 3

For Week 1, here are the numbers:

1. 0 - 1 (lost by 1/2 point)

2. 1 - 5 (1 loss by 1/2 point)

3. 0 - 1

Week 1 Total: 1 - 7.

Season Totals:

1. 0 - 2

2. 5 - 6

3. 1 - 2

Season Total: 6 - 10

Brent

The data the last 2 years have shown some predictive value:

1. Fade picks made by greater than 50% of the players. 9 - 6 (60%) over the last 2 years.

2. Tail picks made by greater than 33% of the players up to and including 50% of the players. 36 - 28 - 3 (56.3%) over the last 2 years.

3. Fade picks made by greater than 25% of the players up to and including 33% of the players. 43 - 58 - 4 (57.4%) over the last 2 years.

That's a total of 103 - 77 - 6 (57.2%) over the last 2 years. About 5 picks a week on average.

For this year, the number of players would be as follows for the groups above:

Note: these numbers will change next week as we have 16 players now.

I kept these numbers for Weeks 1 and 2 because of skip weeks and I'm lazy.

1. 8 or more players on a pick: FADE

2. 4 - 5 players on a pick: FADE

3. 6 - 7 players on a pick: TAIL

For Week 2, here are the numbers:

1, 0 - 1

2. 4 - 1

3. 1 - 1

Week 2 Total: 5 - 3

For Week 1, here are the numbers:

1. 0 - 1 (lost by 1/2 point)

2. 1 - 5 (1 loss by 1/2 point)

3. 0 - 1

Week 1 Total: 1 - 7.

Season Totals:

1. 0 - 2

2. 5 - 6

3. 1 - 2

Season Total: 6 - 10

Brent

It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try.
Be happy and have fun!

September 19th, 2024 at 9:32:46 AM
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WEEK 3 LINES

PLEASE match the formatting shown in the example on Page 1 ....

Deadline 10 AM EDT on Sunday morning

Bears 1.5 @ Colts -1.5 O/U 43.5

Giants 6.5 @ Browns -6.5 O/U 38.5

Broncos 6.5 @ Buccaneers -6.5 O/U 40.5

Packers 2 @ Titans -2 O/U 38

Texans -2 @ Vikings 2 O/U 46

Chargers 1.5 @ Steelers -1.5 O/U 36

Eagles 2.5 @ Saints -2.5 O/U 49.5

Panthers 5 @ Raiders -5 O/U 40

Dolphins 4.5 @ Seahawks -4.5 O/U 41.5

Lions -3 @ Cardinals 3 O/U 51.5

Ravens -1 @ Cowboys 1 O/U 48

49ers -7 @ Rams 7 O/U 44

Chiefs -3.5 @ Falcons 3.5 O/U 46.5

Jaguars 5 @ Bills -5 O/U 45.5

Commanders 7.5 @ Bengals -7.5 O/U 47

PLEASE match the formatting shown in the example on Page 1 ....

Deadline 10 AM EDT on Sunday morning

Bears 1.5 @ Colts -1.5 O/U 43.5

Giants 6.5 @ Browns -6.5 O/U 38.5

Broncos 6.5 @ Buccaneers -6.5 O/U 40.5

Packers 2 @ Titans -2 O/U 38

Texans -2 @ Vikings 2 O/U 46

Chargers 1.5 @ Steelers -1.5 O/U 36

Eagles 2.5 @ Saints -2.5 O/U 49.5

Panthers 5 @ Raiders -5 O/U 40

Dolphins 4.5 @ Seahawks -4.5 O/U 41.5

Lions -3 @ Cardinals 3 O/U 51.5

Ravens -1 @ Cowboys 1 O/U 48

49ers -7 @ Rams 7 O/U 44

Chiefs -3.5 @ Falcons 3.5 O/U 46.5

Jaguars 5 @ Bills -5 O/U 45.5

Commanders 7.5 @ Bengals -7.5 O/U 47

September 19th, 2024 at 11:15:15 AM
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And here's the line change link:

https://miplet.net/newnfl/diff.php?week=3&day=19&month=9&year=2024&hour=9

https://miplet.net/newnfl/diff.php?week=3&day=19&month=9&year=2024&hour=9

“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous

September 22nd, 2024 at 8:22:25 AM
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WEEK 4 SELECTIONS

No picks received for QFortWayne, his second skip week. 0-5 record for this week.

Wizard:

Bears 1.5 CONFIDENCE

Giants 6.5

Broncos 6.5

Packers 2

Chargers 1.5

PlayYourCardsRight:

Colts -1.5

Vikings 2 CONFIDENCE

Lions -3

Ravens -1

Bills -5

Vegasbrent:

Eagles +2.5

Steelers -1.5

Panthers +5 -confidence

Ravens -1

Falcons +3.5

IndyJeffrey:

Colts -1.5

Vikings 2

Chargers 1.5

Raiders -5-Confidence

Chiefs -3.5

SOOPOO:

Commanders +7.5 confidence

Falcons +3.5

Eagles +2.5

Steelers-1.5

Giants +6.5

Sparty10k:

Colts -1.5

Saints -2.5

Raiders -5

49ers -7

Bills -5 confidence

Avianrandy:

Texans -2

Eagles +2.5

Bucs -6.5

Packers +2

Chiefs -3.5 CONFIDENCE

jml24:

Vikings 2

Saints -2.5

Cardinals 3

Cowboys 1

Falcons 3.5-Confidence

Johnzimbo:

Broncos +6.5

Broncos Under 40.5 CONFIDENCE

Raiders -5

Raiders Under 40

Seahawks Under 41.5

Bears 1.5

Buccaneers -6.5

Packers 2

Cardinals 3

Bills -5 Confidence

RideTheEdge:

Titans -2

Steelers UNDER 36

Rams +7

Rams UNDER 44

Falcons +3.5 – Confidence

Gordonm888

Titans -2 Confidence

Steelers -1.5

Steelers Under 36

Dolphins 4.5

Lions -3

miplet:

Bears 1.5

Broncos 6.5

Rams 7

Falcons 3.5-confidence

Commanders 7.5

FourFiveFace:

Giants +6.5

Eagles +2.5

Panthers +5

Dolphins +4.5

Jaguars +5-Confidence

unJon:

Titans -2

Steelers UNDER 36

Raiders -5

Rams 7

Falcons 3.5

GenWyzgy:

Bears 1.5

Buccaneers -6.5

Packers 2

Cardinals 3

Bills -5 Confidence

No picks received for QFortWayne, his second skip week. 0-5 record for this week.

Wizard:

Bears 1.5 CONFIDENCE

Giants 6.5

Broncos 6.5

Packers 2

Chargers 1.5

PlayYourCardsRight:

Colts -1.5

Vikings 2 CONFIDENCE

Lions -3

Ravens -1

Bills -5

Vegasbrent:

Eagles +2.5

Steelers -1.5

Panthers +5 -confidence

Ravens -1

Falcons +3.5

IndyJeffrey:

Colts -1.5

Vikings 2

Chargers 1.5

Raiders -5-Confidence

Chiefs -3.5

SOOPOO:

Commanders +7.5 confidence

Falcons +3.5

Eagles +2.5

Steelers-1.5

Giants +6.5

Sparty10k:

Colts -1.5

Saints -2.5

Raiders -5

49ers -7

Bills -5 confidence

Avianrandy:

Texans -2

Eagles +2.5

Bucs -6.5

Packers +2

Chiefs -3.5 CONFIDENCE

jml24:

Vikings 2

Saints -2.5

Cardinals 3

Cowboys 1

Falcons 3.5-Confidence

Johnzimbo:

Broncos +6.5

Broncos Under 40.5 CONFIDENCE

Raiders -5

Raiders Under 40

Seahawks Under 41.5

Bears 1.5

Buccaneers -6.5

Packers 2

Cardinals 3

Bills -5 Confidence

RideTheEdge:

Titans -2

Steelers UNDER 36

Rams +7

Rams UNDER 44

Falcons +3.5 – Confidence

Gordonm888

Titans -2 Confidence

Steelers -1.5

Steelers Under 36

Dolphins 4.5

Lions -3

miplet:

Bears 1.5

Broncos 6.5

Rams 7

Falcons 3.5-confidence

Commanders 7.5

FourFiveFace:

Giants +6.5

Eagles +2.5

Panthers +5

Dolphins +4.5

Jaguars +5-Confidence

unJon:

Titans -2

Steelers UNDER 36

Raiders -5

Rams 7

Falcons 3.5

GenWyzgy:

Bears 1.5

Buccaneers -6.5

Packers 2

Cardinals 3

Bills -5 Confidence

Last edited by: PlayYourCardsRight on Sep 22, 2024

September 22nd, 2024 at 8:44:44 AM
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Did genwyzgy submit picks?

The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.

September 22nd, 2024 at 8:54:15 AM
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Yes, in plenty of time. I copied earlier, but didn't paste.

Added them to the file above.

Bad Matt.

Added them to the file above.

Bad Matt.

September 22nd, 2024 at 9:00:01 AM
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It happens. I forgot to make a confidence pick.

The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.

September 22nd, 2024 at 9:02:27 AM
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Picks summary:

Game | Away | Home | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|

Bears 1.5 @ Colts -1.5 O/U 43.5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |

Giants 6.5 @ Browns -6.5 O/U 38.5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |

Broncos 6.5 @ Buccaneers -6.5 O/U 40.5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |

Packers 2 @ Titans -2 O/U 38 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |

Texans -2 @ Vikings 2 O/U 46 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |

Chargers 1.5 @ Steelers -1.5 O/U 36 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |

Eagles 2.5 @ Saints -2.5 O/U 49.5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |

Panthers 5 @ Raiders -5 O/U 40 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 |

Dolphins 4.5 @ Seahawks -4.5 O/U 41.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |

Lions -3 @ Cardinals 3 O/U 51.5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |

Ravens -1 @ Cowboys 1 O/U 48 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |

49Ers -7 @ Rams 7 O/U 44 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |

Chiefs -3.5 @ Falcons 3.5 O/U 46.5 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 |

Jaguars 5 @ Bills -5 O/U 45.5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |

Commanders 7.5 @ Bengals -7.5 O/U 47 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |

The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.

September 22nd, 2024 at 1:21:59 PM
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SOOPOO now 14-1 after 1pm games, 3-0 today. (Still wouldn’t take me to win year long thing).

My real bets….. BAD!

My real bets….. BAD!

September 22nd, 2024 at 3:09:51 PM
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Whose picks are between jonzimbo and ride the edge?

September 22nd, 2024 at 3:22:20 PM
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I believe they're genwyzygby's picks.

It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try.
Be happy and have fun!

September 22nd, 2024 at 3:27:58 PM
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Quote:VegasbrentI believe they're genwyzygby's picks.

link to original post

Ah that explains why I didn’t pick them up at first. Should have reviewed more closely.

The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.

September 22nd, 2024 at 3:31:21 PM
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Ok gens picks are at the bottom but they are identical. I noticed a lot took the bears. I considered taking the under,but never play the colts or bears. Someone said on radio colts have beat bears last 13 games

September 22nd, 2024 at 3:43:44 PM
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we all make mistakes. Today's selection were listed as week 4 selections.ayne their was a full moon lolQuote:unJonQuote:VegasbrentI believe they're genwyzygby's picks.

link to original post

Ah that explains why I didn’t pick them up at first. Should have reviewed more closely.

link to original post

September 22nd, 2024 at 4:04:05 PM
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Quote:SOOPOOSOOPOO now 14-1 after 1pm games, 3-0 today. (Still wouldn’t take me to win year long thing).

My real bets….. BAD!

link to original post

Why are your real bets so different?

September 22nd, 2024 at 5:54:51 PM
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Quote:JohnzimboQuote:SOOPOOSOOPOO now 14-1 after 1pm games, 3-0 today. (Still wouldn’t take me to win year long thing).

My real bets….. BAD!

link to original post

Why are your real bets so different?

link to original post

I pick my WoV bets according to how I ‘feel’. My real bets are often based on certain factors that let me maximize an offer. Like ‘need a longshot’. Or ‘need a heavy favorite’. And most tend to be parlays. I think I used Raiders in a few of those!

As I’ve said before, I would surmise my lifetime pointspread picks are probably below 50%.

September 22nd, 2024 at 11:23:53 PM
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For each of the three weeks so far my Confidence Pick has been the Titans ATS - and I have gone 0-6 on those three picks.

No mas.

No mas.

So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.

September 24th, 2024 at 11:40:42 AM
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WEEK 3 RESULTS

HAND SCORED (PLEASE CHECK FOR ERRORS)

Standings will get posted tonight by me unless the automated folks get on it before me.

Wizard (3-3):

x-Bears 1.5 CONFIDENCE

Giants 6.5

Broncos 6.5

Packers 2

x-Chargers 1.5

PlayYourCardsRight (6-0)

Colts -1.5

Vikings 2 CONFIDENCE

Lions -3

Ravens -1

Bills -5

Vegasbrent (5-1):

Eagles +2.5

Steelers -1.5

Panthers +5 -confidence

Ravens -1

x-Falcons +3.5

IndyJeffrey (3-3):

Colts -1.5

Vikings 2

x-Chargers 1.5

x-Raiders -5-Confidence

Chiefs -3.5

SOOPOO (5-1):

Commanders +7.5 confidence

x-Falcons +3.5

Eagles +2.5

Steelers-1.5

Giants +6.5

Sparty10k (3-3):

Colts -1.5

x-Saints -2.5

x-Raiders -5

x-49ers -7

Bills -5 confidence

Avianrandy (4-2):

x-Texans -2

Eagles +2.5

x-Bucs -6.5

Packers +2

Chiefs -3.5 CONFIDENCE

jml24 (1-5):

Vikings 2

x-Saints -2.5

x-Cardinals 3

x-Cowboys 1

x-Falcons 3.5-Confidence

Johnzimbo (4-2):

Broncos +6.5

Broncos Under 40.5 CONFIDENCE

x-Raiders -5

x-Raiders Under 40

Seahawks Under 41.5

RideTheEdge (2-4):

x-Titans -2

Steelers UNDER 36

Rams +7

x-Rams UNDER 44

x-Falcons +3.5 – Confidence

Gordonm888 (3-3):

x-Titans -2 Confidence

Steelers -1.5

Steelers Under 36

x-Dolphins 4.5

Lions -3

miplet (3-3):

x-Bears 1.5

Broncos 6.5

Rams 7

x-Falcons 3.5-confidence

Commanders 7.5

FourFiveFace (3-3):

Giants +6.5

Eagles +2.5

Panthers +5

x-Dolphins +4.5

x-Jaguars +5-Confidence

unJon (3-3):

x-Titans -2

Steelers UNDER 36

x-Raiders -5

Rams 7

x-Falcons 3.5

GenWyzgy (3-3):

x-Bears 1.5

x-Buccaneers -6.5

Packers 2

x-Cardinals 3

Bills -5 Confidence

HAND SCORED (PLEASE CHECK FOR ERRORS)

Standings will get posted tonight by me unless the automated folks get on it before me.

Wizard (3-3):

x-Bears 1.5 CONFIDENCE

Giants 6.5

Broncos 6.5

Packers 2

x-Chargers 1.5

PlayYourCardsRight (6-0)

Colts -1.5

Vikings 2 CONFIDENCE

Lions -3

Ravens -1

Bills -5

Vegasbrent (5-1):

Eagles +2.5

Steelers -1.5

Panthers +5 -confidence

Ravens -1

x-Falcons +3.5

IndyJeffrey (3-3):

Colts -1.5

Vikings 2

x-Chargers 1.5

x-Raiders -5-Confidence

Chiefs -3.5

SOOPOO (5-1):

Commanders +7.5 confidence

x-Falcons +3.5

Eagles +2.5

Steelers-1.5

Giants +6.5

Sparty10k (3-3):

Colts -1.5

x-Saints -2.5

x-Raiders -5

x-49ers -7

Bills -5 confidence

Avianrandy (4-2):

x-Texans -2

Eagles +2.5

x-Bucs -6.5

Packers +2

Chiefs -3.5 CONFIDENCE

jml24 (1-5):

Vikings 2

x-Saints -2.5

x-Cardinals 3

x-Cowboys 1

x-Falcons 3.5-Confidence

Johnzimbo (4-2):

Broncos +6.5

Broncos Under 40.5 CONFIDENCE

x-Raiders -5

x-Raiders Under 40

Seahawks Under 41.5

RideTheEdge (2-4):

x-Titans -2

Steelers UNDER 36

Rams +7

x-Rams UNDER 44

x-Falcons +3.5 – Confidence

Gordonm888 (3-3):

x-Titans -2 Confidence

Steelers -1.5

Steelers Under 36

x-Dolphins 4.5

Lions -3

miplet (3-3):

x-Bears 1.5

Broncos 6.5

Rams 7

x-Falcons 3.5-confidence

Commanders 7.5

FourFiveFace (3-3):

Giants +6.5

Eagles +2.5

Panthers +5

x-Dolphins +4.5

x-Jaguars +5-Confidence

unJon (3-3):

x-Titans -2

Steelers UNDER 36

x-Raiders -5

Rams 7

x-Falcons 3.5

GenWyzgy (3-3):

x-Bears 1.5

x-Buccaneers -6.5

Packers 2

x-Cardinals 3

Bills -5 Confidence

September 24th, 2024 at 11:50:04 AM
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Might I point out that SOOPOO goes 6-0 if not for the egregious no call for pass interference on the Chiefs. It was a tackle before the ball got there. Stunning level of incompetence, or worse? Anyway, 16-2 is around 7 more wins than I was expecting…..

September 24th, 2024 at 12:24:31 PM
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Vegasbrent would have been 6 - 0 were it not for that call as well.

Of course, I'm much more use to losing so far this year, so it may hurt me a little less than SOOPOO.

Of course, I'm much more use to losing so far this year, so it may hurt me a little less than SOOPOO.

It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try.
Be happy and have fun!

September 25th, 2024 at 8:52:33 AM
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Here are the results in week 3. PYCR (Your host with the most) with the only perfect week. Thanks in part to the back judge in KC!

These are HAND CALCULATED. Please check behind me! I hope the folks who have it automated will help out going forward!

Thanks,

Matt

And cumulative through week 3, SOOPOO still strong.

These are HAND CALCULATED. Please check behind me! I hope the folks who have it automated will help out going forward!

Thanks,

Matt

Player | Week 2 Record | Win% |
---|---|---|

avianrandy: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

fourfiveface: | 3-3 | 50.0% |

genwyzgy: | 3-3 | 50.0% |

gordonm888: | 3-3 | 50.0% |

indyjeffrey: | 3-3 | 50.0% |

jml24: | 1-5 | 16.7% |

johnzimbo: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

miplet: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

playyourcardsright: | 6-0 | 100% |

ridetheedge: | 2-4 | 33.3% |

qfortwayne: | 0-5 | 0.0% |

soopoo: | 5-1 | 83.3% |

sparty10k: | 3-3 | 50.0% |

unjon: | 3-3 | 50% |

vegasbrent: | 5-1 | 83.3% |

wizard: | 3-3 | 50.0% |

And cumulative through week 3, SOOPOO still strong.

Player | Record | Win % |
---|---|---|

soopoo: | 16-2 | 88.9% |

miplet: | 13-5 | 72.2% |

playyourcardsright: | 11-5 | 68.8% |

wizard: | 12-6 | 66.7% |

unjon: | 12-6 | 66.7% |

genwyzgy: | 11-7 | 61.1% |

vegasbrent: | 11-7 | 61.1% |

indyjeffrey: | 7-5 | 58.3% |

fourfiveface: | 10-7 | 58.8% |

avianrandy: | 10-7 | 58.8% |

ridetheedge: | 10-8 | 55.6% |

gordonm888: | 9-9 | 50% |

sparty10k: | 9-9 | 50% |

johnzimbo: | 9-9 | 50.0% |

jml24: | 4-14 | 22.2% |

qfortwayne: | 1-10 | 9.1% |

September 25th, 2024 at 9:14:07 AM
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Hi, sorry have been too busy to get to this but will do so before weekend and post my automated results to see if they match.

The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.

September 25th, 2024 at 9:42:33 AM
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I went 3-3, 12-6 overall

“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous

September 25th, 2024 at 12:22:45 PM
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September 25th, 2024 at 1:01:44 PM
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Here is what I have for week 3.

Here is what I have for aggregates. Miplit I have you at 12-6.

Player | Week 3 Record | Win% |
---|---|---|

avianrandy: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

fourfiveface: | 3-3 | 50% |

genwyzgy: | 3-3 | 50% |

gordonm888: | 3-3 | 50% |

indyjeffrey: | 3-3 | 50% |

jml24: | 1-5 | 16.7% |

johnzimbo: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

miplet: | 3-3 | 50% |

playyourcardsright: | 6-0 | 100% |

ridetheedge: | 2-4 | 33.3% |

qfortwayne: | 0-0 | 0% |

soopoo: | 5-1 | 83.3% |

sparty10k: | 3-3 | 50% |

unjon: | 2-3 | 40% |

vegasbrent: | 5-1 | 83.3% |

wizard: | 3-3 | 50% |

Here is what I have for aggregates. Miplit I have you at 12-6.

Player | Record | Win % |
---|---|---|

soopoo: | 16-2 | 88.9% |

playyourcardsright: | 11-5 | 68.8% |

miplet: | 12-6 | 66.7% |

wizard: | 12-6 | 66.7% |

unjon: | 11-6 | 64.7% |

vegasbrent: | 11-7 | 61.1% |

genwyzgy: | 11-7 | 61.1% |

avianrandy: | 10-7 | 58.8% |

fourfiveface: | 10-7 | 58.8% |

indyjeffrey: | 7-5 | 58.3% |

ridetheedge: | 10-8 | 55.6% |

johnzimbo: | 9-9 | 50% |

gordonm888: | 9-9 | 50% |

sparty10k: | 9-9 | 50% |

jml24: | 4-14 | 22.2% |

qfortwayne: | 1-5 | 16.7% |

The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.

September 25th, 2024 at 1:02:52 PM
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I apologize to unjon, PYCR and the contestants that I have been unable to assist unjon with the automated rankings. I have been acting in a theatrical production (5 days/week for 3 weeks) and still have one more week to go -and I did not realize how exhausted I would be from the experience. And then immediately after the show closes I am vacating with wife and family at the beach (the first week in October) .

Maybe by October 7 I'll finally be able to help unjon and PYCR. I have very much appreciated unjon stepping up and doing the work he has already done - as I'm sure everyone else does.

Maybe by October 7 I'll finally be able to help unjon and PYCR. I have very much appreciated unjon stepping up and doing the work he has already done - as I'm sure everyone else does.

So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.

September 25th, 2024 at 1:38:51 PM
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PYCR had it correct in his first summary of picks:

miplet (3-3):

x-Bears 1.5

Broncos 6.5

Rams 7

x-Falcons 3.5-confidence

Commanders 7.5

The chart PYCR made is where the error is.

miplet (3-3):

x-Bears 1.5

Broncos 6.5

Rams 7

x-Falcons 3.5-confidence

Commanders 7.5

The chart PYCR made is where the error is.

It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try.
Be happy and have fun!

September 25th, 2024 at 4:05:50 PM
permalink

Here are the corrected results for week 3.

These are HAND CALCULATED. Please check behind me! Miplet's standings for week 3 and overall are corrected in this post.

Gordon, I totally get life getting stupid busy! Help when you can!

Thanks,

Matt

And cumulative through week 3, SOOPOO still strong.

These are HAND CALCULATED. Please check behind me! Miplet's standings for week 3 and overall are corrected in this post.

Gordon, I totally get life getting stupid busy! Help when you can!

Thanks,

Matt

Player | Week 2 Record | Win% |
---|---|---|

avianrandy: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

fourfiveface: | 3-3 | 50.0% |

genwyzgy: | 3-3 | 50.0% |

gordonm888: | 3-3 | 50.0% |

indyjeffrey: | 3-3 | 50.0% |

jml24: | 1-5 | 16.7% |

johnzimbo: | 4-2 | 66.7% |

miplet: | 3-3 | 50.0% |

playyourcardsright: | 6-0 | 100% |

ridetheedge: | 2-4 | 33.3% |

qfortwayne: | 0-5 | 0.0% |

soopoo: | 5-1 | 83.3% |

sparty10k: | 3-3 | 50.0% |

unjon: | 3-3 | 50% |

vegasbrent: | 5-1 | 83.3% |

wizard: | 3-3 | 50.0% |

And cumulative through week 3, SOOPOO still strong.

Player | Record | Win % |
---|---|---|

soopoo: | 16-2 | 88.9% |

playyourcardsright: | 11-5 | 68.8% |

miplet: | 12-6 | 66.7% |

wizard: | 12-6 | 66.7% |

unjon: | 12-6 | 66.7% |

genwyzgy: | 11-7 | 61.1% |

vegasbrent: | 11-7 | 61.1% |

indyjeffrey: | 7-5 | 58.3% |

fourfiveface: | 10-7 | 58.8% |

avianrandy: | 10-7 | 58.8% |

ridetheedge: | 10-8 | 55.6% |

gordonm888: | 9-9 | 50% |

sparty10k: | 9-9 | 50% |

johnzimbo: | 9-9 | 50.0% |

jml24: | 4-14 | 22.2% |

qfortwayne: | 1-10 | 9.1% |

September 26th, 2024 at 9:30:14 AM
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The last 2 years, I've been keeping track of how the group's picks have done depending on the number of players making the pick.

The data the last 2 years have shown some predictive value:

1. Fade picks made by greater than 50% of the players. 9 - 6 (60%) over the last 2 years.

2. Tail picks made by greater than 33% of the players up to and including 50% of the players. 36 - 28 - 3 (56.3%) over the last 2 years.

3. Fade picks made by greater than 25% of the players up to and including 33% of the players. 43 - 58 - 4 (57.4%) over the last 2 years.

That's a total of 103 - 77 - 6 (57.2%) over the last 2 years. About 5 picks a week on average.

For this year, the number of players would be as follows for the groups above:

Note: these numbers will change next week as we have 16 players now.

I kept these numbers for Weeks 1 - 3 because of skip weeks and I'm lazy.

1. 8 or more players on a pick: FADE

2. 4 - 5 players on a pick: FADE

3. 6 - 7 players on a pick: TAIL

For Week 3, here are the numbers:

1. 1 - 0

2. 3 - 3

3. 0 - 0

Week 3 Total: 4 - 3

For Week 2, here are the numbers:

1, 0 - 1

2. 4 - 1

3. 1 - 1

Week 2 Total: 5 - 3

For Week 1, here are the numbers:

1. 0 - 1 (lost by 1/2 point)

2. 1 - 5 (1 loss by 1/2 point)

3. 0 - 1

Week 1 Total: 1 - 7.

Season Totals:

1. 1 - 2

2. 8 - 9

3. 1 - 2

Season Total: 10 - 13

Vegasbrent

The data the last 2 years have shown some predictive value:

1. Fade picks made by greater than 50% of the players. 9 - 6 (60%) over the last 2 years.

2. Tail picks made by greater than 33% of the players up to and including 50% of the players. 36 - 28 - 3 (56.3%) over the last 2 years.

3. Fade picks made by greater than 25% of the players up to and including 33% of the players. 43 - 58 - 4 (57.4%) over the last 2 years.

That's a total of 103 - 77 - 6 (57.2%) over the last 2 years. About 5 picks a week on average.

For this year, the number of players would be as follows for the groups above:

Note: these numbers will change next week as we have 16 players now.

I kept these numbers for Weeks 1 - 3 because of skip weeks and I'm lazy.

1. 8 or more players on a pick: FADE

2. 4 - 5 players on a pick: FADE

3. 6 - 7 players on a pick: TAIL

For Week 3, here are the numbers:

1. 1 - 0

2. 3 - 3

3. 0 - 0

Week 3 Total: 4 - 3

For Week 2, here are the numbers:

1, 0 - 1

2. 4 - 1

3. 1 - 1

Week 2 Total: 5 - 3

For Week 1, here are the numbers:

1. 0 - 1 (lost by 1/2 point)

2. 1 - 5 (1 loss by 1/2 point)

3. 0 - 1

Week 1 Total: 1 - 7.

Season Totals:

1. 1 - 2

2. 8 - 9

3. 1 - 2

Season Total: 10 - 13

Vegasbrent

It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try.
Be happy and have fun!

September 26th, 2024 at 11:31:36 AM
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WEEK 4 LINES (This time actually in Week 4)!

Deadline: 10 AM EDT Sunday morning

Please format your entry correctly:

Name: (your name and a colon after)

Tigers -3.5

Tigers 3.5 (no plus sign needed)

Tigers Over 32 (either team can be listed)

Tigers Under 32 (either team can be listed)

Tigers -3.5 -- CONFIDENCE (a dash and then the word confidence, case doesn't matter)

Thank you...

WEEK 4 LINES

Saints 2.5 @ Falcons -2.5 O/U 42.5

Bengals -4.5 @ Panthers 4.5 O/U 47

Rams 3 @ Bears -3 O/U 41

Broncos 7.5 @ Jets -7.5 O/U 39.5

Vikings 3 @ Packers -3 O/U 43.5

Jaguars 6.5 @ Texans -6.5 O/U 45.5

Steelers -1.5 @ Colts 1.5 O/U 40

Eagles -1.5 @ Buccaneers 1.5 O/U 43

Commanders 3.5 @ Cardinals -3.5 O/U 50

Patriots 10.5 @ 49ers -10.5 O/U 41

Browns 2 @ Raiders -2 O/U 37

Chiefs -7 @ Chargers 7 O/U 40

Bills 2.5 @ Ravens -2.5 O/U 46.5

Titans 1 @ Dolphins -1 O/U 36.5

Seahawks 3.5 @ Lions -3.5 O/U 46.5

Deadline: 10 AM EDT Sunday morning

Please format your entry correctly:

Name: (your name and a colon after)

Tigers -3.5

Tigers 3.5 (no plus sign needed)

Tigers Over 32 (either team can be listed)

Tigers Under 32 (either team can be listed)

Tigers -3.5 -- CONFIDENCE (a dash and then the word confidence, case doesn't matter)

Thank you...

WEEK 4 LINES

Saints 2.5 @ Falcons -2.5 O/U 42.5

Bengals -4.5 @ Panthers 4.5 O/U 47

Rams 3 @ Bears -3 O/U 41

Broncos 7.5 @ Jets -7.5 O/U 39.5

Vikings 3 @ Packers -3 O/U 43.5

Jaguars 6.5 @ Texans -6.5 O/U 45.5

Steelers -1.5 @ Colts 1.5 O/U 40

Eagles -1.5 @ Buccaneers 1.5 O/U 43

Commanders 3.5 @ Cardinals -3.5 O/U 50

Patriots 10.5 @ 49ers -10.5 O/U 41

Browns 2 @ Raiders -2 O/U 37

Chiefs -7 @ Chargers 7 O/U 40

Bills 2.5 @ Ravens -2.5 O/U 46.5

Titans 1 @ Dolphins -1 O/U 36.5

Seahawks 3.5 @ Lions -3.5 O/U 46.5

September 26th, 2024 at 4:13:13 PM
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Line change link https://miplet.net/newnfl/diff.php?week=4&day=26&month=9&year=2024&hour=9

“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous

September 26th, 2024 at 4:25:09 PM
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Quote:PlayYourCardsRightHere are the corrected results for week 3.

These are HAND CALCULATED. Please check behind me! Miplet's standings for week 3 and overall are corrected in this post.

Gordon, I totally get life getting stupid busy! Help when you can!

Thanks,

Matt

Player Week 2 Record Win% avianrandy: 4-2 66.7% fourfiveface: 3-3 50.0% genwyzgy: 3-3 50.0% gordonm888: 3-3 50.0% indyjeffrey: 3-3 50.0% jml24: 1-5 16.7% johnzimbo: 4-2 66.7% miplet: 3-3 50.0% playyourcardsright: 6-0 100% ridetheedge: 2-4 33.3% qfortwayne: 0-5 0.0% soopoo: 5-1 83.3% sparty10k: 3-3 50.0% unjon: 3-3 50% vegasbrent: 5-1 83.3% wizard: 3-3 50.0%

And cumulative through week 3, SOOPOO still strong.

Player Record Win % soopoo: 16-2 88.9% playyourcardsright: 11-5 68.8% miplet: 12-6 66.7% wizard: 12-6 66.7% unjon: 12-6 66.7% genwyzgy: 11-7 61.1% vegasbrent: 11-7 61.1% indyjeffrey: 7-5 58.3% fourfiveface: 10-7 58.8% avianrandy: 10-7 58.8% ridetheedge: 10-8 55.6% gordonm888: 9-9 50% sparty10k: 9-9 50% johnzimbo: 9-9 50.0% jml24: 4-14 22.2% qfortwayne: 1-10 9.1%

link to original post

You have me 12-6 I have me 11-6.

And I need to resscore qfortwayne to take 0-5 for second skip week.

The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.

September 26th, 2024 at 7:35:36 PM
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You are right. I scored the losses and missed that you didn't have a confidence pick. So 2-3 and 11-6 would be right.

Thanks for the check.

PYCR (Matt)

Thanks for the check.

PYCR (Matt)

September 29th, 2024 at 8:22:55 AM
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WEEK 4 PICKS

PlayYourCardsRight:

Bengals -4.5

Texans -6.5

Commanders 3.5

Chargers 7 -- CONFIDENCE

Lions -3.5

Johnzimbo:

Falcons 2.5

Falcons under 42.5

Bengals 4.5

Browns 2 confidence

Colts under 40

miplet:

Falcons -2.5

Jaguars 6.5

Buccaneers 1.5

Browns 2-confidence

Dolphins -1

Genwyzgy:

Panthers 4.5 Confidence

Steelers -1.5

Raiders Over 37

Chiefs -7

Seahawks 3.5

Sparty10k:

Saints over 42.5

Texans -6.5

Steelers -1.5

Ravens -2.5 confidence

Seahawks +3.5

Avianrandy:

Seahawks +3.5

Broncos +7.5

Eagles -1.5

Bengals-4.5 Confidence

Commanders+3.5

unJon:

Falcons -3

Falcons UNDER 42.5 - confidence

Steelers -1.5

Commanders UNDER 50

Browns +2

RideTheEdge:

Falcons -2.5

Falcons UNDER 42.5

Vikings 3

Cardinals UNDER 50

Browns 2 – CONFIDENCE

FourFiveFace:

Falcons -2.5

Bengals -4.5

Broncos 7.5 - Confidence

Raiders -2

Titans 1

SOOPOO:

Patriots 10.5- Confidence

Jaguars 6.5

Panthers 4.5

Eagles -1.5

Commanders 3.5

IndyJeffrey:

Bengals -4.5

Steelers -1.5

Chargers 7

Chargers Under 40 - Confidence

Ravens -2.5

Wizard:

Rams 3

Vikings 3 -- confidence

Jaguars 6.5

Commanders 3.5

Chiefs -7

Vegasbrent:

Panthers 4.5

Bears -3

Colts 1.5-confidence

Buccaneers 1.5

Seahawks 3.5

Gordonm888

Bengals -4.5

Broncos 7.5

Texans -6.5

Raiders -2

Titans 1 -Confidence

NO PICKS SUBMITTED

Qfortwayne (confirmed participation last week)

Jml24 (skip week)

PlayYourCardsRight:

Bengals -4.5

Texans -6.5

Commanders 3.5

Chargers 7 -- CONFIDENCE

Lions -3.5

Johnzimbo:

Falcons 2.5

Falcons under 42.5

Bengals 4.5

Browns 2 confidence

Colts under 40

miplet:

Falcons -2.5

Jaguars 6.5

Buccaneers 1.5

Browns 2-confidence

Dolphins -1

Genwyzgy:

Panthers 4.5 Confidence

Steelers -1.5

Raiders Over 37

Chiefs -7

Seahawks 3.5

Sparty10k:

Saints over 42.5

Texans -6.5

Steelers -1.5

Ravens -2.5 confidence

Seahawks +3.5

Avianrandy:

Seahawks +3.5

Broncos +7.5

Eagles -1.5

Bengals-4.5 Confidence

Commanders+3.5

unJon:

Falcons -3

Falcons UNDER 42.5 - confidence

Steelers -1.5

Commanders UNDER 50

Browns +2

RideTheEdge:

Falcons -2.5

Falcons UNDER 42.5

Vikings 3

Cardinals UNDER 50

Browns 2 – CONFIDENCE

FourFiveFace:

Falcons -2.5

Bengals -4.5

Broncos 7.5 - Confidence

Raiders -2

Titans 1

SOOPOO:

Patriots 10.5- Confidence

Jaguars 6.5

Panthers 4.5

Eagles -1.5

Commanders 3.5

IndyJeffrey:

Bengals -4.5

Steelers -1.5

Chargers 7

Chargers Under 40 - Confidence

Ravens -2.5

Wizard:

Rams 3

Vikings 3 -- confidence

Jaguars 6.5

Commanders 3.5

Chiefs -7

Vegasbrent:

Panthers 4.5

Bears -3

Colts 1.5-confidence

Buccaneers 1.5

Seahawks 3.5

Gordonm888

Bengals -4.5

Broncos 7.5

Texans -6.5

Raiders -2

Titans 1 -Confidence

NO PICKS SUBMITTED

Qfortwayne (confirmed participation last week)

Jml24 (skip week)

September 29th, 2024 at 8:42:21 AM
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Somehow I missed that the cutoff time is 10AM Eastern time not the time the games start.

September 29th, 2024 at 9:13:42 AM
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Here is the pick summary.

Game | Away | Home | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|---|

Saints 2.5 @ Falcons -2.5 O/U 42.5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |

Bengals -4.5 @ Panthers 4.5 O/U 47 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 |

Rams 3 @ Bears -3 O/U 41 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |

Broncos 7.5 @ Jets -7.5 O/U 39.5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |

Vikings 3 @ Packers -3 O/U 43.5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |

Jaguars 6.5 @ Texans -6.5 O/U 45.5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |

Steelers -1.5 @ Colts 1.5 O/U 40 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |

Eagles -1.5 @ Buccaneers 1.5 O/U 43 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |

Commanders 3.5 @ Cardinals -3.5 O/U 50 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |

Patriots 10.5 @ 49Ers -10.5 O/U 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |

Browns 2 @ Raiders -2 O/U 37 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 |

Chiefs -7 @ Chargers 7 O/U 40 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 |

Bills 2.5 @ Ravens -2.5 O/U 46.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |

Titans 1 @ Dolphins -1 O/U 36.5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |

Seahawks 3.5 @ Lions -3.5 O/U 46.5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |

The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.