Poll

1 vote (5.55%)
2 votes (11.11%)
6 votes (33.33%)
3 votes (16.66%)
6 votes (33.33%)
3 votes (16.66%)
No votes (0%)
1 vote (5.55%)
2 votes (11.11%)
5 votes (27.77%)

18 members have voted

SOOPOO
SOOPOO
  • Threads: 123
  • Posts: 11476
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
February 12th, 2024 at 8:30:30 PM permalink
Quote: FinsRule

I’m not worried about the 3rd possession in overtime. I want to stop Mahomes (giving him only 3 downs per possession), or I want to know exactly what I need. And I don’t want them to know what they need.

It’s just the easiest decision.
link to original post



It’s not just 3rd possession if they both score the same amount. It’s 3rd possession if neither team scores. I’ve watched a lot of NFL football. Neither team scoring first time they get the ball is not uncommon.

I don’t know the exact number of drives they had, but until OT Chiefs had ZERO drives of over 40 yards for a TD, let alone 75 yards. It’s not a clear cut decision. I think I’d take the ball.
PenguinsOfPit
PenguinsOfPit
  • Threads: 11
  • Posts: 106
Joined: Feb 18, 2023
February 12th, 2024 at 9:20:33 PM permalink
Quote: smoothgrh

A CBS announcer made a blackjack reference, saying "most of the time in Las Vegas, 19 wins" — was he correct???
link to original post



No
miplet
miplet
  • Threads: 5
  • Posts: 2143
Joined: Dec 1, 2009
Thanked by
Dieter
February 13th, 2024 at 1:28:27 AM permalink
The Greg Special!
“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
  • Threads: 1519
  • Posts: 27065
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
Thanked by
odiousgambit
February 13th, 2024 at 8:33:58 AM permalink
Quote: miplet

The Greg Special!
link to original post



Hi Miplet. Nice to see you come back!
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
  • Threads: 1519
  • Posts: 27065
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
Thanked by
smoothgrh
February 13th, 2024 at 5:14:31 PM permalink
Here is the full report of my $20 Super Bowl bets. As a reminder, I bet every bet that had the word "under" or "no" in the description. This was a total of 175 bets for $3500.

Number Description Odds W/L Win ($)
3030 Total points under 35.5 475 L -20.00
3032 Total points under 40.5 240 L -20.00
3034 Total points under 56.5 -320 W 6.25
3036 Total points under 63.5 -550 W 3.65
3038 Total points by 49'ers in game un 24.5 -120 W 16.65
3040 Total points by Chiefs un 24 -120 L -20.00
3042 Total points in first half by 49'ers un 11.5 105 W 21.00
3044 Total points by Chiefs in first half un 10.5 -105 W 19.05
3048 Safety -- NO -1200 W 1.65
3050 Overtime -- No -1200 L -20.00
3052 Successful two point converion -- NO -320 W 6.25
3066 Three unanswered scores -- NO 145 L -20.00
3068 Points scored in last two minutes of first half -- NO 280 L -20.00
3072 Shortest TD of game under 1.5 -145 L -20.00
3074 Longest TD of game under 39.5 -110 W 18.20
3084 Game decided by 3 points? -- NO -475 L -20.00
3086 Will team to score first win -- NO 150 W 30.00
3090 Will roughing the passer be called in game? -- NO -240 W 8.35
3092 Defensive of special teams TD -- NO -300 W 6.65
3100 Will last play of game be QB rush? -- NO 155 W 31.00
3102 Will both teams have lead in the first half -- NO -155 W 12.90
3106 Team to score last wins -- NO 200 L -20.00
3112 Total interceptions under 1.5 -125 W 16.00
3114 Total fumbles lost in game un 1.5 -240 L -20.00
3116 Scoreless quarter -- No -360 L -20.00
3124 Missed extra point in game -- NO -400 L -20.00
3128 Total players to have pass completion un 2.5 -270 L -20.00
3130 Total punts un 7.5 -155 L -20.00
3132 Largest lead under 14.5 points -150 W 13.35
3134 Total net yards by both teams un 715.5 -110 L -20.00
3136 Total combined TD's in game un 5.5 -110 W 18.20
3138 Distance of first TD scored un 7.5 -110 L -20.00
3140 Distance of last TD scored un 7.5 -110 W 18.20
3144 Score in first 5:30 of game -- No -140 W 14.30
3146 Game tied after 0-0 -- NO -105 L -20.00
3148 Longest FG under 47.5 -105 L -20.00
3150 Shortest FG under 27.5 yards -110 W 18.20
3152 Both teams make 33+ yard FG -- NO 120 L -20.00
3154 Under 3.5 field goals -140 L -20.00
3158 Distance of first FG made under 36.5 100 L -20.00
3160 Under 118.5 total FG yards -110 L -20.00
3162 Distance of last FG made under 37.5 -110 W 18.20
3164 FG is first quarter -- No 100 W 20.00
3166 FG by either team in second quarter -- NO 240 L -20.00
3168 FG by either team in third quarter -- NO -110 L -20.00
3170 FG by either team in fourth quarter -- NO 140 L -20.00
3198 SF TD in first quarter -- NO -120 W 16.65
3200 SF TD in second quarter -- NO 145 L -20.00
3202 SF TD in third quarter -- NO -120 W 16.65
3204 SF TD in fourth quarter -- NO 145 L -20.00
3206 KC TD in first quarter -- NO -140 W 14.30
3208 KC TD in second quarter -- NO 130 W 26.00
3210 KC TD in third quarter -- NO -120 L -20.00
3212 KC TD in fourth quarter -- NO 130 W 26.00
3214 SF scores in every quarter -- NO -230 W 8.70
3216 KC scores in every quarter -- NO -280 W 7.15
3218 SF score a rushing TD -- NO 245 W 49.00
3220 Will KC score a rushing TD in game -- NO 110 W 22.00
3222 Will 49'ers score a rushing TD in first half -- NO 115 W 23.00
3224 KC score rushing TD in first half -- NO -220 W 9.10
3226 Total first downs by SF un 21.5 -115 L -20.00
3228 Total first downs by KC un 21 -120 L -20.00
3230 Total TD's by SF un 2.5 120 W 24.00
3232 Total TD's by KC un 2.5 100 W 20.00
3234 Net yards in game by SF un 366.5 -110 L -20.00
3236 Net yards in game by KC un 361.5 -110 L -20.00
3238 Rushing yards by SF un 129.5 -110 W 18.20
3240 Rushing yards by KC un 106.5 -110 L -20.00
3242 Total sacks by SF defense un 2.5 -220 L -20.00
3244 Total sacks by KC defense un 2.5 -130 W 15.40
3246 Num of 49'ers to have a rushing attempt under 4 110 L -20.00
3248 Number of different Chiefs to have a rushing attempt un 4 -115 P 0.00
3250 Will 49'ers convert a 4th down (excludes penalties) -- NO -105 L -20.00
3252 Will KC convert a fourth down (excludes penalties) -- NO 125 L -20.00
3254 Total 49'ers to have a reception under 6 100 L -20.00
3256 Total 49'ers to have a reception under 7.5 100 L -20.00
3262 Will Purdy throw an interception -- NO 120 W 24.00
3264 Will Mahomes throw an interception -- NO -115 L -20.00
3266 Total completions by Purdy un 20.5 100 L -20.00
3268 Total completions by Mahomes un 25.5 -110 L -20.00
3270 Total passing yards by Purdy un 244.5 -110 L -20.00
3272 Gross passing yards by Mahomes un 263.5 -110 L -20.00
3274 Total pass attempts by Purdy un 29.5 -105 L -20.00
3276 Total pass attempts by Mahomes un 36.5 100 L -20.00
3278 Longest completion by Purdy un 36.5 -110 W 18.20
3280 Longest completion by Mahomes un 36.5 -105 L -20.00
3282 Total TD passes by Purdy un 1.5 100 W 20.00
3284 Total TD passes by Mahomes un 1.5 130 L -20.00
3290 Will Purdy (SF) throw a 1st qtr TD pass -- NO -270 W 7.40
3292 Will Purdy (SF) throw a 2nd qtr TD pass -- NO -150 W 13.35
3294 Will Purdy (SF) throw a 3rd qtr TD pass -- NO -240 W 8.35
3296 Will Purdy (SF) throw a 3rd qtr TD pass -- NO -165 L -20.00
3298 Will Mahomes (KC) throw a 1st qtr TD pass -- NO -240 W 8.35
3300 Will Mahomes (KC) throw a 2nd qtr TD pass -- NO -130 W 15.40
3302 Will Mahomes (KC) throw a 3rd qtr TD pass -- NO -190 L -20.00
3304 Will Mahomes (KC) throw a 4th qtr TD pass -- NO -135 W 14.80
3306 Distance of first TD pass by Purdy un 9.5 130 L -20.00
3308 Distance of first TD pass by P. Mahomes un 9.5 -125 L -20.00
3310 Total rushing yards by B. Purdy (SF) un 11.5 -110 L -20.00
3312 Total rushing yards by P. Mahommes (KC) un 25.5 -110 L -20.00
3314 First rushing attempt by C. McCaffrey (SF) un 3.5 110 L -20.00
3316 Longest rush by C. McCaffrey (SF) un 18.5 -110 W 18.20
3318 Total rushing attempts by C. McCaffrey (SF) un 19.5 -115 L -20.00
3320 Total rushing yards by C McCaffrey (SF) un 94.5 -110 W 18.20
3322 Total receiving yards by C. McCaffrey (SF) un 35.5 -110 L -20.00
3324 Total receptions by C McCaffrey (SF) un 4.5 110 L -20.00
3326 Will C. McCaffrey (SF) score a TD in game -- NO 200 L -20.00
3328 First rushing attempt by E. Mitchell (SF) un 2.5 -105 L -20.00
3330 Longest rush by E. Mitchell (SF) un 3.5 -110 L -20.00
3332 Total rushing attempts by E. Mitchell (SF) un 1.5 -115 L -20.00
3334 Total rushing yards by E. Mitchell (SF) un 4.5 -120 L -20.00
3338 Will E. Mitchell (SF) score a TD in game -- NO -900 W 2.20
3340 First rushing attempt by I. Pachero (KC) un 3.5 -110 W 18.20
3342 Longest rush by I. Pacheco (KC) un 15.5 -110 W 18.20
3344 Total rushing attempts by I. Pacheco (KC) un 15.5 -110 L -20.00
3346 Total rushing yards by I. Pacheco (KC) un 69.5 -110 W 18.20
3348 Total receptions by I Pacheco (KC) un 2.5 120 L -20.00
3350 Total receiving yards by I. Pacheco (KC) un 16.5 -110 L -20.00
3352 Will I. Pacheco (KC) score a TD in game -- NO -105 W 19.05
3354 First rushing attempt by C. Edwards-Helaire un 13.5 -135 W 14.80
3356 Total receptions by C. Edwards-Helaire (KC) un 1.5 -240 W 8.35
3358 Total receiving yards by C. Edwards-Helarie un 4.5 -110 W 18.20
3360 Total rushing yards by C. Edwards-Helaire (KC) un 5.5 -110 W 18.20
3362 Will C. Edwards-Helaire (KC) score a TD in game -- NO -800 W 2.50
3402 First reception by G. Kittle (SF) un 10.5 -120 W 16.65
3404 Total receptions by G. Kittle (SF) un 3.5 135 W 27.00
3406 Total receiving yards by G. Kittle (SF) un 51.5 -110 W 18.20
3408 Longest reception by G. Kittle (SF) un 21.5 -110 W 18.20
3410 Will G. Kittle (SF) score a TD in game -- NO -190 W 10.55
3412 First reception by D. Samuel (SF) un 9.5 -110 L -20.00
3414 Total receptions by D. Samuel (SF) un 4.5 125 W 25.00
3416 Total receiving yards by D. Samuel (SF) un 61.5 -110 W 18.20
3418 Longest reception by D. Samuel (SF) un 21.5 -110 W 18.20
3420 Will D. Samuel (SF) score a TD in game -- NO -150 W 13.35
3422 First reception by B. Aiyuk (SF) un 12.5 -105 L -20.00
3424 Total receptions by B. Aiyuk (SF) un 4.5 -150 W 13.35
3426 Total receiving yards by B. Aiyuk (SF) un 61.5 -110 W 18.20
3428 Longest reception by B. Aiyuk (SF) un 23.5 -110 W 18.20
3430 Will B. Aiyuk (SF) score a TD in game -- NO -185 W 10.80
3444 Total receptions by J. Jennings (SF) un 1.5 -145 L -20.00
3446 Total receiving yards by J. Jennings (SF) un 14.5 -110 L -20.00
3448 Longest reception by J. Jennings (SF) un 12.5 -110 L -20.00
3450 Will J. Jennings (SF) score a TD in game -- NO -750 L -20.00
3452 First reception by T. Kelce (KC) un 8.5 -110 W 18.20
3454 Total receptions by T. Kelce (KC) un 7.5 -160 L -20.00
3456 Total receiving yards by T. Kelce (KC) un 71.5 -110 L -20.00
3458 Longest reception by T. Kelce (KC) un 21.5 -110 L -20.00
3460 Will T. Kelce score a TD in game -- NO 105 W 21.00
3462 First reception by R. Rice (KC) un 8.5 -110 W 18.20
3464 Total receptions by R. Rice (KC) un 6.5 -115 W 17.40
3466 Total receiving yards by R. Rice (KC) un 68.5 -110 W 18.20
3468 Longest reception by R. Rice (KC) un 20.5 -110 W 18.20
3470 Will R. Rice (KC) score a TD -- NO -165 W 12.10
3472 Total receiving yards by J. Watson (KC) un 16.5 -110 L -20.00
3474 Will J. Watson (KC) score a TD -- NO -700 W 2.85
3476 Total receiving yards by N. Gray (KC) un 13.5 -110 L -20.00
3478 Will N. Gray (KC) score a TD -- NO -1000 W 2.00
3502 FG's by J. Moody (SF) un 1.5 -110 L -20.00
3504 Total kicking points by J. Moody (SF) un 7.5 -135 L -20.00
3506 Total FG's by Butker (KC) un 1.5 105 L -20.00
3508 Total kicking points by H Butker (KC) un 7.5 -120 L -20.00
3510 Total punts by M. Wishnowsky (SF) un 3.5 -120 L -20.00
3512 Total punts by T. Townsend (KC) un 3.5 100 L -20.00
3514 Longest punt by Wishnowsky (SF) under 57.5 -115 W 17.40
3516 Longest punt by T. Townsend (KC) under 56.5 100 L -20.00
3522 Total solo & assisted tackels by D. Greenlaw (SF) un 7.5 100 W 20.00
3524 Total solo & assisted tackels by N. Bolton (KC) un 8.5 105 L -20.00
3528 Total solo & assisted tackels by F. Warner (SF) un 8.5 -140 L -20.00
3530 Total solo & assisted tackets by J. Reid (KC) un 5.5 125 L -20.00
3532 Total tackles (solo + assisted) by J. Brown (SF) un 5.5 115 L -20.00
3534 Total solo & assisted tackets by t. McDuffie(KC) un 4.5 -115 W 17.40
3536 Will T. McDuffie (KC) have an interception -- NO -1000 W 2.00
3538 Will C. Ward (SF) have an intercetion in game? -- NO -800 W 2.50
3540 Will M. Edwards have an interception in game? -- NO -800 W 2.50
3542 Will L. Sneed have an intercetion in game? -- NO -750 W 2.65


Total bet = $3,500
Total loss = $423.15
Percent loss = 12.09%

I absolutely blame overtime for my terrible results. Most of my bets were on things to not happen. During the main game there were 132 plays and 26 in overtime (source: Yahoo Sports). So, overtime extended the game by 19.7% more plays. That I lost only 12.09% is comforting. When I was watching the game and it went into overtime, I was expecting much worse of these bets.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
  • Threads: 1519
  • Posts: 27065
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
February 13th, 2024 at 7:03:39 PM permalink
Here are props from the Wynn.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
  • Threads: 1519
  • Posts: 27065
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
February 13th, 2024 at 7:06:25 PM permalink
Here are graded props from the South Point/Rampart.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
  • Threads: 1519
  • Posts: 27065
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
February 13th, 2024 at 7:12:05 PM permalink
Here are some best longshot winning bets, from the South Point/Rampart:

Overtime +650
Three-point margin of victory +500
Scoreless quarter +400
Exactly 7 field goals +3000
Player to score last touchdown -- field +1000
Player to score first KC touchdown -- Valdes +1200
SF total points = 22 +3500
KC total points = 25 + 4500
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
  • Threads: 123
  • Posts: 11476
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
February 14th, 2024 at 2:56:03 PM permalink
Not wanting to start a new thread, but isn’t it disingenuous for the media to be acting like a shooting at a parade in Kansas City resulted in a gunshot murder? The city averages over a half a murder per day.
If by some chance the Bills or Sabres win one of these during my lifetime NO WAY I go to any large scale celebratory parade.

In football news, the 49ers fired their DC. He had better stats in all major categories than his predecessor, DeMeco Ryans, who got a head coaching job as a direct result of his results in SF. I think had the ball not hit the SF guy in the foot resulting in basically giving KC the chance to win, Steve Wilkes would be the next ‘hot’ candidate for a HC job.
PenguinsOfPit
PenguinsOfPit
  • Threads: 11
  • Posts: 106
Joined: Feb 18, 2023
February 14th, 2024 at 4:26:14 PM permalink
Quote: miplet

The Greg Special!
link to original post



It’s time forrrrr…
ChumpChange
ChumpChange
  • Threads: 131
  • Posts: 5112
Joined: Jun 15, 2018
February 15th, 2024 at 1:27:40 AM permalink
It was a mass shooting in Kansas City, Missouri with 22 shot and at least one killed, a radio DJ. Half of those shot were children. There were a million people there, what could go wrong with 800+ police officers out there?
Some movie I watched last night had a line that said there are more guns in America than automobiles, and that was over 10 years ago. Of course the mafia guy who said that murdered everybody he chased down over a drug deal gone bad.
There's been 49 mass shootings this year and it's only been one month and 2 weeks.
Dieter
Administrator
Dieter
  • Threads: 16
  • Posts: 6028
Joined: Jul 23, 2014
February 15th, 2024 at 2:09:10 AM permalink
Please, let's not devolve into political controversy.

As far as I know, DT still exists, and there's about a 0.0% chance I'll suspend anyone over there.
May the cards fall in your favor.
  • Jump to: