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SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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Thanks for this post from:
ksdjdj
November 13th, 2022 at 7:01:58 PM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

2.6 units on the Chargers' +8.0 @ $1.96

Note: My estimate is Chargers' +6.5.
link to original post



I have BetMGM Lion Boost. Chargers + 6.5 parlayed with over 45.5. I have queasy feeling. If Herbert isnít allowed to go 2nd half Chase Daniel looked totally unprepared.

Itís +400 with their offer.
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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November 13th, 2022 at 7:08:21 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: ksdjdj

2.6 units on the Chargers' +8.0 @ $1.96

Note: My estimate is Chargers' +6.5.
link to original post



I have BetMGM Lion Boost. Chargers + 6.5 parlayed with over 45.5. I have queasy feeling. If Herbert isnít allowed to go 2nd half Chase Daniel looked totally unprepared.

Itís +400 with their offer.
link to original post


"Live Update" (end of first half):

If J Herbert is out for the rest of the game, then I have the "50/50" line as Chargers' @ +6.75 for the 2nd half, as my estimate for C Daniel as "the whole game QB" is @ +13.5 for this match-up (in other words, when compared to Herbert he is about 7 pts worse, when playing the entire game, IMO).

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Update (likely won't write anymore until after the game):

~ 5 minutes into the 2nd half, and it looks like Herbert is warming up with his helmet on, so we can probably disregard what I wrote above, at least for a while?
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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November 13th, 2022 at 10:32:01 PM permalink
Eagles' Game:
I like the Under 43.5 as an "x x x", and the Eagles' -10.5 @ odds of -110 as a "solid x x " .

Note: If you can get at least -10.5 @ odds of -105 (then that is good enough to make it an "x x x", IMO).

My bet(s):
I had 1.5 units on the "Eagles -9.5 x under 44.5 " @ $3.60 (+260)

Also, an early bet on the Chiefs/Chargers game next week, 3 units on the Chiefs -6 @ $1.90 (-111).

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Extra Info:

Working most days this week, and then going away for the weekend, so probably won't be as many bets (especially College Football).
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Nov 13, 2022
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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November 15th, 2022 at 3:05:04 PM permalink
Only found one College Football game that I liked this week (so far):

2.7 units on BALL STATE CARDINALS+3.5 @ $1.90

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Other:
I will post my results from last week, within 24 hours.
DRich
DRich
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
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November 15th, 2022 at 3:17:18 PM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

Only found one College Football game that I liked this week (so far):

2.7 units on BALL STATE CARDINALS+3.5 @ $1.90

----
Other:
I will post my results from last week, within 24 hours.
link to original post



Tonight I will be flipping between Ball St game and Bowling Green game. Go Cardinals.
Order from chaos
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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November 16th, 2022 at 3:18:37 PM permalink
Results Summary:

NCAAF:
GameBet / OptionUnit Won / Lost
Eastern Michigan Eagles @ Akron Zips Under 57.0 @ $1.90 -2.700
Eastern Michigan Eagles @ Akron Zips Akron Zips +3.5 @ $1.92 (1st half) -2.700
Ohio Bobcats @ Miami RedHawks Miami RedHawks ML @ $2.20 -2.400
--------@ USC: Under 66.5 ($1.90) -2.700
-------@ UNLV: Under 61.5 ($1.92) -2.700
Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee: 2.8 units on the Under 67.5 @ $1.86 2.408
-------2.8 units on San Jose State -2.5 @ $1.87 -2.800
-------2.8 units on Coastal Carolina -4.5 @ $1.88 -2.800
-------2.4 units on TCU +5.5 @ $2.28 3.072
-------Total For Week-13.320

NFL:
Bet / OptionUnit Won / Lost
2.6 units on the Panthers' @ +2.5 (odds +106) 2.756
2.0 units on the Packers @ $2.75 ML 3.500
2.4 units on the Vikings +2.5 @ $2.20 2.880
2.6 units on the Chargers' +8.0 @ $1.96 2.496
1.5 units on the "Eagles -9.5 x under 44.5 " @ $3.60-1.500
Total For Week10.132


Current Results:

NCAAF:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 214.655
Profit: 14.286
"Profit on Turnover": 6.65...%

NFL:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 72.96
Profit: 2.398
"Profit on Turnover": 3.28...%

Combined:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 287.615
Profit: 16.684
"Profit on Turnover": 5.80...%

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Comments:
. Glad I found a "stale same game double (line x total) " for the Eagles' game, otherwise I would have lost almost 4 units more, this week (if I bet my standard amount on each single option).
. I had a losing week (obviously) but I missed out betting on 2/3(or more?) winning "x x x" bets, mostly because I am forgetful (I was mainly "waiting to see" if the lines / odds would get better, but ended up missing out).
. First bet this week lost as well.
. Reminder that I probably won't be having as many bets this week.
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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November 21st, 2022 at 4:37:37 PM permalink
Back from break:
Got 2.7*** units on the Cardinals +10 @ $1.90.

***: Had the equivalent of 2.7 units on the Cards', but the best result for me personally would be if the 49ers' win^^^, and the Cards' cover.
^^^: Had $1500 in bonus bets on the Cards' @ +360, but $5000 on the 49ers' earlier in the week @ $1.38 (about -263).

Reminder: This thread is mostly about my "graded bets", so only the "Cards' +10 bet" will be counted in the results summary.

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Comments:
Not having a good week, so far.
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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November 21st, 2022 at 4:50:33 PM permalink
For the Cards' game, If you can find under 43.5 @ -110 (or better^^^) then that is a "x x x grade", too.

^^^: I can only get -117, atm.
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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November 24th, 2022 at 1:01:15 PM permalink
Both for 2.5 units:
Giants +10.5 @ $1.93
Vikings -2.5 @ $1.90

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Comments:
According to ESPN, a lot of starters' are out for the Giants, but I still think 10 pts is too much.
I will post the previous weeks' results later.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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November 24th, 2022 at 6:04:44 PM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

Both for 2.5 units:
Giants +10.5 @ $1.93
Vikings -2.5 @ $1.90

----
Comments:
According to ESPN, a lot of starters' are out for the Giants, but I still think 10 pts is too much.
I will post the previous weeks' results later.
link to original post



I never saw it at +10.5. Just once at +10 and I pounced on it. And got very luckyÖ
Iím in on the Vikes with youÖ.

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