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SkinnyTony
SkinnyTony
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Joined: Jul 22, 2025
October 10th, 2025 at 10:36:18 PM permalink
I'm off to an early 1-0 with USF money line over North Texas.

Tomorrow I'm going to be on Oklahoma for sure. Not sure what else.
unJon
unJon
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RogerKint
October 11th, 2025 at 6:21:10 AM permalink
UFC card is in Brazil tonight. I’m a believer in home town judge impact not being reflected properly in the lines.

Looking at he Brazilians on the card where the the round total shows a likely decision and the odds show it as not a terribly lopsided fight, I filter it to: Filho -125 over Carpenter
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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Joined: Nov 9, 2009
October 11th, 2025 at 6:36:16 AM permalink
Quote: unJon

UFC card is in Brazil tonight. I’m a believer in home town judge impact not being reflected properly in the lines.

Looking at he Brazilians on the card where the the round total shows a likely decision and the odds show it as not a terribly lopsided fight, I filter it to: Filho -125 over Carpenter
link to original post

OK, put some money on that

and ten cents on a tie at +8000 for a lark
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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Joined: Aug 8, 2010
October 11th, 2025 at 7:20:56 AM permalink
Not sure why MGM is ‘nice’ to me again. In the very beginning, I made some big bets as the other side of boosted or free bets from other sites. I became a VIP but that didn’t last long as I was killing them. Most good offers went away and I was probably given less than $10 in +EV opportunities. I killed then on their free game which gave parlay boosts. Now I am not eligible to play those free games and my $50 bet limit mostly has been throttled to $25. But I’m getting a lot of them, plus the recently mentioned deposit match. I think things just got better maybe because of the big bets I put on Sabres playoffs that between the two sites were free money. But each individual site must look at me like a stupid Buffalo fan, or stupid Sabres hater.

Bottom line is, who knows?

Lost a few parlays including Tigers over 5.5. But hit one juicy parlay that finished including a batter hit in extra innings. The Carpenter HR hit, but right after the starting pitcher was removed! That also hit Tigers winning race to 2! (Correlated!!!).

I’m considering 8 team parlay fading DRick’s picks….
DRich
DRich
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Joined: Jul 6, 2012
October 11th, 2025 at 3:24:48 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO



I’m considering 8 team parlay fading DRick’s picks….



I wouldn't blame you at all after last weeks picks.
You can't know everything, but you can know anything.
DRich
DRich
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Joined: Jul 6, 2012
October 11th, 2025 at 3:24:48 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO



I’m considering 8 team parlay fading DRick’s picks….



I wouldn't blame you at all after last weeks picks.
You can't know everything, but you can know anything.
DRich
DRich
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Joined: Jul 6, 2012
October 11th, 2025 at 4:08:34 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Here are my college bets this weekend. Hopefully, I do a little better than last week.

Rutgers +11.5
Missouri +3.5
Pittsburgh + 10.5
Iowa State -2.5
Indiana +7.5
Northwestern + 21.5
Louisiana Monroe -2.5
Wisconsin ML +135
link to original post



The Wisconsin line just jumped three points to Iowa -5.5 as apparently Gronowski is starting after being out a couple weeks. The money line is now Wisconsin +175.
You can't know everything, but you can know anything.
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