lilredrooster
lilredrooster
  • Threads: 232
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Joined: May 8, 2015
October 18th, 2021 at 8:46:06 AM permalink
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Mr. Wizard documented that road teams in the NBA - while not profitable - cut into the house edge and were unprofitable by only about 2.7% - he tabulated 6,443 games

I wondered about road dogs who got 4 or fewer points as in the NFL

I used covers.com and tracked all of last season - (no playoff games)

the results__________road dogs won to the tune of 120-100-4_________a win % of 54.5% not considering pushes________an R.O.I. of 4.05%_____________not considering pushes

not nearly as high as in the NFL but many more games in a season to bet

I have a very strong feeling that the win % and R.O.I. would improve quite a bit if only divisional games were considered - since they are highly competitive

don't have the energy for that now - maybe another day - I need a break





https://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/nba/



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