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Geppi
Geppi
Joined: Aug 21, 2019
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Thanks for this post from:
JoelDeze
August 22nd, 2019 at 6:29:06 PM permalink
Joel hope you have the sense to ignore the negatives. A block may be in order. G/L
GWAE
GWAE
Joined: Sep 20, 2013
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August 22nd, 2019 at 6:35:37 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

I see Florida at -7 -115 right now. Think you ill timed your bet. Will he interested to see how you do as the season progresses. Good luck and thanks for this thread!



In PA I have it at -7 for -121
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
JoelDeze
JoelDeze
Joined: Apr 20, 2016
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August 22nd, 2019 at 9:42:31 PM permalink
Quote: SM777

Hahahaha. This is incredible. Buying 1/2 points in college football?

We gotta book this dude's action.



Who is "we"? You actually think anyone remotely intelligent is in your corner? You suddenly feel like you have an entourage around you? Are you having flights of fancy and seeing alien spaceships? Do you honestly believe that no one ever buys a 1/2 point in college football? Anything else you want to tell us that you believe in? Tooth Fairy? Santa Claus?

You will always be "all talk" and "no action". Want action? Put your money where your mouth is. Post your wagers alongside mine and post the images too. Here, I'll help you with your response to this statement: ** crickets **
Its a dog eat dog world out there and Im wearing milkbone underwear . Norm Peterson
Geppi
Geppi
Joined: Aug 21, 2019
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August 22nd, 2019 at 9:50:50 PM permalink
Quote: JoelDeze

Who is "we"? You actually think anyone remotely intelligent is in your corner? You suddenly feel like you have an entourage around you? Are you having flights of fancy and seeing alien spaceships? Do you honestly believe that no one ever buys a 1/2 point in college football? Anything else you want to tell us that you believe in? Tooth Fairy? Santa Claus?

You will always be "all talk" and "no action". Want action? Put your money where your mouth is. Post your wagers alongside mine and post the images too. Here, I'll help you with your response to this statement: ** crickets **



Nice response Joel, but why waste the energy. Ignore the dopes and block them. If they want to follow you they can't,
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
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August 22nd, 2019 at 10:29:45 PM permalink
Quote: Geppi

Nice response Joel, but why waste the energy. Ignore the dopes and block them. If they want to follow you they can't,

That sounds like a personal insult to me.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
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August 22nd, 2019 at 10:34:56 PM permalink
Quote: JoelDeze

Who is "we"? You actually think anyone remotely intelligent is in your corner? You suddenly feel like you have an entourage around you? Are you having flights of fancy and seeing alien spaceships? Do you honestly believe that no one ever buys a 1/2 point in college football? Anything else you want to tell us that you believe in? Tooth Fairy? Santa Claus?

You will always be "all talk" and "no action". Want action? Put your money where your mouth is. Post your wagers alongside mine and post the images too. Here, I'll help you with your response to this statement: ** crickets **

SM777 wasn't implying he was good at college football, he was just implying you were bad.

Let me ask you a question, will your unit size remain the same the whole season?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
JoelDeze
JoelDeze
Joined: Apr 20, 2016
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August 23rd, 2019 at 3:22:44 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf



Let me ask you a question, will your unit size remain the same the whole season?



Ive already answered that in a few posts including my wagers post. And, I went ahead and blocked him.
Its a dog eat dog world out there and Im wearing milkbone underwear . Norm Peterson
DRich
DRich
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
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August 23rd, 2019 at 7:23:49 AM permalink
Quote: SM777

Hahahaha. This is incredible. Buying 1/2 points in college football?

We gotta book this dude's action.



I do think it is a very poor decision that the math would never back up.


Some people would rather get the worst of the EV just to say they won the game. They would rather brag of their record because that is all most people will look at. The smart people will be looking at the amount wagered vs the amount won. BTW, I am not accusing Joel of being this person, that is just how some touts do it.
Living longer does not always infer +EV
JoelDeze
JoelDeze
Joined: Apr 20, 2016
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Thanks for this post from:
Geppi
August 23rd, 2019 at 10:49:03 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

I do think it is a very poor decision that the math would never back up.


Some people would rather get the worst of the EV just to say they won the game. They would rather brag of their record because that is all most people will look at. The smart people will be looking at the amount wagered vs the amount won. BTW, I am not accusing Joel of being this person, that is just how some touts do it.



What I have not done, and I'll admit I may be a bit weak in this aspect, is calculate the ROI on buying points in various scenarios over a 10-year period for college football. I would want to dive deeper into this type of scenario though, and have added it to my todo:

Scenario:

P5 conf vs. P5 conf. opponent (10-year span) -7.5 (no buys) | ROI Data and then have the buy examples placed. I don't just want it for all of college football. I'd want to see G5 vs P5, G5 vs G5, P5 vs P5 - home/neutral/away etc. I've started the calculations of ATS in all scenarios but I don't have the ROI tracking in place yet.
Its a dog eat dog world out there and Im wearing milkbone underwear . Norm Peterson
DRich
DRich
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
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August 23rd, 2019 at 2:43:45 PM permalink
I can not find any Miami +7.5 right now but I will look again tomorrow. I also really like the game under but if I bet it now my friends will disown me because the total has already moved down from 52.5 to 46.
Living longer does not always infer +EV

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