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speedycrap
speedycrap
Joined: Oct 13, 2013
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September 15th, 2018 at 3:19:04 PM permalink
I put in $7 to win $5. And I think it is a smart move.
Aussie
Aussie
Joined: Dec 29, 2009
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ZenKinG
September 15th, 2018 at 3:48:44 PM permalink
Quote: ZenKinG

Can you please share where you found that line?




www.pointsbet.com


It is unchanged at the time of this post.

Note: the odds are expressed decimally here like all Australian books.
Over 28.5 is 1.88 which means bet $100 win $88 or approx -113.5
ZenKinG
ZenKinG
Joined: May 3, 2016
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September 16th, 2018 at 12:58:43 AM permalink
Quote: Aussie

www.pointsbet.com


It is unchanged at the time of this post.

Note: the odds are expressed decimally here like all Australian books.
Over 28.5 is 1.88 which means bet $100 win $88 or approx -113.5



28.5 at -113 is still very good value. 27.5 was a lock in my OP, but no one should pass up 28.5 especially if you can get it for -113. In all honesty, i'd bet this prop until it reaches 34.5 or so, as long as you're not getting anything worse than -130.

Good luck everyone. I might put some action on it as well. As good a pick as this is, I just dislike betting sports very much so instead I try to help everyone who does indeed bet. For the ones saying someone should bet close to their whole bankroll on this or most of their bankroll if one thinks something is a huge lock, simply doesn't understand anything about risk and bankroll management. Even if I had a 90% edge on any one time prop or event, you would be foolish to bet close to your whole bankroll or any sizeable piece of your bankroll on any single one event.
Last edited by: ZenKinG on Sep 16, 2018
Any private business open to the PUBLIC (ie. droned out casinos) cannot have a criminal trespass enforced against an individual without GOOD CAUSE (Disruptive or Disorderly conduct). You will never go to prison for being thrown out of a casino for legal advantage play and then returning because it's simply unconstitutional 'as applied' to the individual. 'As applied' constitutional issues must FIRST be raised in DISTRICT COURT (trial court) to have it thrown out. You CANNOT raise it on APPEAL This is the best kept secret in the world of casinos not just in Vegas but everywhere in the country. Thank me later.
ZenKinG
ZenKinG
Joined: May 3, 2016
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September 27th, 2018 at 4:24:18 PM permalink
If anyone finds a line better than 28.5 -140 for the over, please let me know. Im willing to put a bet this year on the over as Im really confident about this bet. But as it keeps going up and now at -140, im not too thrilled. If only I found out about this bet when it was 27.5 at -110 on Aug 6th. Sigh.. Hope the bulls lose every single game in the pre season to get the public betting the other way in time for a nice value bet on the over for the season.
Last edited by: ZenKinG on Sep 27, 2018
Any private business open to the PUBLIC (ie. droned out casinos) cannot have a criminal trespass enforced against an individual without GOOD CAUSE (Disruptive or Disorderly conduct). You will never go to prison for being thrown out of a casino for legal advantage play and then returning because it's simply unconstitutional 'as applied' to the individual. 'As applied' constitutional issues must FIRST be raised in DISTRICT COURT (trial court) to have it thrown out. You CANNOT raise it on APPEAL This is the best kept secret in the world of casinos not just in Vegas but everywhere in the country. Thank me later.
FinsRule
FinsRule
Joined: Dec 23, 2009
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September 27th, 2018 at 5:31:30 PM permalink
You from Chicago zk?
ZenKinG
ZenKinG
Joined: May 3, 2016
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September 28th, 2018 at 8:27:35 PM permalink
Quote: FinsRule

You from Chicago zk?



No I'm not, but I grew up a big bulls fan and I know the team inside out better than most people.

With that being said, looks like Markannen, one of the bulls best players has just sprained his elbow and will miss the next 6-8 weeks and should miss at least the first month of the season. Looks like the fix is in. Vegas knew they messed up on the line and now they have to control the narrative with fake injuries.

Unbelievable. Injuries before the season starts just like last year. What a coincidence cause both lines were off each time. Hmm.

Hopefully this drops the line back down though.
Any private business open to the PUBLIC (ie. droned out casinos) cannot have a criminal trespass enforced against an individual without GOOD CAUSE (Disruptive or Disorderly conduct). You will never go to prison for being thrown out of a casino for legal advantage play and then returning because it's simply unconstitutional 'as applied' to the individual. 'As applied' constitutional issues must FIRST be raised in DISTRICT COURT (trial court) to have it thrown out. You CANNOT raise it on APPEAL This is the best kept secret in the world of casinos not just in Vegas but everywhere in the country. Thank me later.
Rigondeaux
Rigondeaux
Joined: Aug 18, 2014
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Thanks for this post from:
MaxPentroopscottbeachbumbabs
September 28th, 2018 at 8:41:38 PM permalink
So billion dollar corporations that run sports books generating tens of millions somehow have a little conference and agree to call up another billion dollar business to persuade a bevy of very, very highly paid professionals to stage an injury. They do this because they have perhaps $50,000 in liability between them, where they might be at a 25% disadvantage.

Dozens of very wealthy people commit a string of felonies in a conspiracy with people they've never met.

Players, management, doctors and perhaps media members commit these crimes because they don't want CET, MGM and Wh to have like 12 or 15K in -ev.

Or perhaps they are each paid off with like $700.

Hopefully, you realize that you often lose touch with reality before you waste your abundant youth and opportunity.
MaxPen
MaxPen
Joined: Feb 4, 2015
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September 28th, 2018 at 8:45:30 PM permalink
I think Zen is just trying to have fun.
#FREENATHAN
TomG
TomG
Joined: Sep 26, 2010
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September 28th, 2018 at 10:09:21 PM permalink
Quote: ZenKinG

Looks like the fix is in.



I love it, ZenKing admits he was wrong about it being a “lock” before the season even starts
ZenKinG
ZenKinG
Joined: May 3, 2016
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September 28th, 2018 at 10:15:21 PM permalink
Quote: TomG

I love it, ZenKing admits he was wrong about it being a “lock” before the season even starts



When did I say I was wrong? Of course if a team gets injured throughout the year to their main players then it's not my fault, I even said this in the OP, that the only way this pick can lose is if players get injured, which is out of my control. You can't handicap forecasting injuries. If injuries happen, that has nothing to do with my analysis.

Nice try to troll the king.
Any private business open to the PUBLIC (ie. droned out casinos) cannot have a criminal trespass enforced against an individual without GOOD CAUSE (Disruptive or Disorderly conduct). You will never go to prison for being thrown out of a casino for legal advantage play and then returning because it's simply unconstitutional 'as applied' to the individual. 'As applied' constitutional issues must FIRST be raised in DISTRICT COURT (trial court) to have it thrown out. You CANNOT raise it on APPEAL This is the best kept secret in the world of casinos not just in Vegas but everywhere in the country. Thank me later.

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