FinsRule
FinsRule
Joined: Dec 23, 2009
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June 12th, 2018 at 6:49:13 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

Part of it did, but only under certain conditions. They claim the pools favor someone else.

It seemed to me the most helpful in a parlay structure, figuring out who would advance to each level. But I haven't tried to match up the info to any particular bets available for futures or multi-team action, so it's up to you guys if there's value to it.

If I were there in Vegas, I saw a couple things I would try. But I have no expertise.



I trust 538 more.
billryan
billryan
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
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June 12th, 2018 at 7:02:03 PM permalink
I personally like the pool play better than the knock out rounds. It seems teams are more attacking in the early rounds. Get a lead in knockout play and teams stall.
beachbumbabs
Administrator
beachbumbabs
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June 12th, 2018 at 7:02:48 PM permalink
Quote: FinsRule

I trust 538 more.



I'm not vouching for them or their methodology in the slightest. They disclose their factors and method in the write-up, and include their conclusions, so I thought it interesting. Perhaps useful. Or not.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
ZenKinG
ZenKinG
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June 12th, 2018 at 7:17:54 PM permalink
Soccer and basketball are my 2 favorite sports with soccer being my favorite. Also for those who don't know, I'm Portuguese and so I'm hoping Portugal finally lifts their first World Cup trophy. Portugal won their first European Championship in 2016 and no one expected them to. We did get kind of lucky, I have to admit, with the new rule change that year which allowed 3rd place teams to advance to the knockout rounds and also we luckily got placed into the weaker side of the bracket and 2nd place ended up getting screwed and placed into the harder side of the bracket. Everything seemed to go our way that year, finally.

To Keeneone who wanted an underdog pick, of course I'm bias, but Portugal could very well win it, just like we surprised everyone in the Euro. Portugal has a lot of young talent as well as experience with the best player in the world up top in Ronaldo to lead the team with experience and of course his ability. The world cup this year should be good. Can't wait.
Any private business open to the PUBLIC (ie. droned out casinos) cannot have a criminal trespass enforced against an individual without GOOD CAUSE (Disruptive or Disorderly conduct). You will never go to prison for being thrown out of a casino for legal advantage play and then returning because it's simply unconstitutional 'as applied' to the individual. 'As applied' constitutional issues must FIRST be raised in DISTRICT COURT (trial court) to have it thrown out. You CANNOT raise it on APPEAL This is the best kept secret in the world of casinos not just in Vegas but everywhere in the country. Thank me later.
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
Joined: Jan 12, 2010
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Thanks for this post from:
RogerKint
June 12th, 2018 at 7:23:26 PM permalink
I'd rather jab red hot knives into my eyes than watch this boring crap.
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
FinsRule
FinsRule
Joined: Dec 23, 2009
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Thanks for this post from:
ZenKinG
June 12th, 2018 at 7:40:21 PM permalink
Isnít Portugal the type of team that can win the whole thing or get knocked out in group play?
ZenKinG
ZenKinG
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June 12th, 2018 at 8:11:49 PM permalink
Quote: FinsRule

Isnít Portugal the type of team that can win the whole thing or get knocked out in group play?



Yeah, similar to England.
Any private business open to the PUBLIC (ie. droned out casinos) cannot have a criminal trespass enforced against an individual without GOOD CAUSE (Disruptive or Disorderly conduct). You will never go to prison for being thrown out of a casino for legal advantage play and then returning because it's simply unconstitutional 'as applied' to the individual. 'As applied' constitutional issues must FIRST be raised in DISTRICT COURT (trial court) to have it thrown out. You CANNOT raise it on APPEAL This is the best kept secret in the world of casinos not just in Vegas but everywhere in the country. Thank me later.
ZenKinG
ZenKinG
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June 12th, 2018 at 8:13:50 PM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

I'd rather jab red hot knives into my eyes than watch this boring crap.



Typical indoctrinated american philosophy about the greatest sport in the world that is rooted into them by their parents. They find it boring, but park themselves on the couch watching baseball and players in the dugout spit tobacco and scratch their nuts all game.
Any private business open to the PUBLIC (ie. droned out casinos) cannot have a criminal trespass enforced against an individual without GOOD CAUSE (Disruptive or Disorderly conduct). You will never go to prison for being thrown out of a casino for legal advantage play and then returning because it's simply unconstitutional 'as applied' to the individual. 'As applied' constitutional issues must FIRST be raised in DISTRICT COURT (trial court) to have it thrown out. You CANNOT raise it on APPEAL This is the best kept secret in the world of casinos not just in Vegas but everywhere in the country. Thank me later.
Keeneone
Keeneone
Joined: Aug 16, 2014
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June 12th, 2018 at 8:13:53 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

I'm not vouching for them or their methodology in the slightest. They disclose their factors and method in the write-up, and include their conclusions, so I thought it interesting. Perhaps useful. Or not.

Thanks for posting. Germany/Spain, Spain/Germany, pretty obvious result. The group stage stuff may reveal some things. "Random Forests" was a new and interesting term for me. It also sounds like a great band name.

Quote: ZenKinG

Soccer and basketball are my 2 favorite sports with soccer being my favorite. Also for those who don't know, I'm Portuguese and so I'm hoping Portugal finally lifts their first World Cup trophy. Portugal won their first European Championship in 2016 and no one expected them to. We did get kind of lucky, I have to admit, with the new rule change that year which allowed 3rd place teams to advance to the knockout rounds and also we luckily got placed into the weaker side of the bracket and 2nd place ended up getting screwed and placed into the harder side of the bracket. Everything seemed to go our way that year, finally.

To Keeneone who wanted an underdog pick, of course I'm bias, but Portugal could very well win it, just like we surprised everyone in the Euro. Portugal has a lot of young talent as well as experience with the best player in the world up top in Ronaldo to lead the team with experience and of course his ability. The world cup this year should be good. Can't wait.

Nice to see you posting again. There is definitely some movement towards Portugal and Belgium lately. I think it is great to see Portugal and Spain play in the group stage. I look forward to the Friday match.

Quote: billryan

I personally like the pool play better than the knock out rounds. It seems teams are more attacking in the early rounds. Get a lead in knockout play and teams stall.

Nothing beats win or go home.
speedycrap
speedycrap
Joined: Oct 13, 2013
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June 12th, 2018 at 8:37:30 PM permalink
I am glad this thread is alive.
I will take Spain and Brazil.
I am going to watch and wager every single game.

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