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RisingDough
RisingDough
Joined: Oct 4, 2016
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March 6th, 2017 at 3:32:36 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

So the amount you will be betting will be diffrent each day?

Will we know in advance how much you will be betting on each game before you bet?

Will there be some bets made that you don't post about? Because we all love a good story of how someones posted up picks lost for the season, however they made a bunch of big non-posted bets and made up for losses and they even won for the season.




Nah everything I bet I post,everything I post I actually bet. Everything will be considered 1 unit unless otherwise specified. This is how I've generally seen sports picks listed. Anyone who follows along can just slip whatever bet size they choose in for their units. Whether their unit is $50, $100, $500 etc they decide.

Thus far if you followed along and were a $50 bettor you would be up $205, if your units were $500 you would be ahead $2050.


RD
What is life if not a gamble?
RisingDough
RisingDough
Joined: Oct 4, 2016
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March 6th, 2017 at 3:46:48 PM permalink
Monday:


Miami +10
Philadelphia +5.5
Por/Min OVER 213.5
Denver -12


Might come back and take UNDER in the Boston game later if it moves up some more..currently at 217



RD
What is life if not a gamble?
SM777
SM777
Joined: Apr 8, 2016
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March 6th, 2017 at 3:51:08 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

So the amount you will be betting will be diffrent each day?

Will we know in advance how much you will be betting on each game before you bet?

Will there be some bets made that you don't post about? Because we all love a good story of how someones posted up picks lost for the season, however they made a bunch of big non-posted bets and made up for losses and they even won for the season.



Of course. That's where the cleanup happens.

The classic, didn't have time to post these, but I bet them so I want my record to reflect it.
RisingDough
RisingDough
Joined: Oct 4, 2016
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March 6th, 2017 at 3:59:31 PM permalink
Quote: SM777

Of course. That's where the cleanup happens.

The classic, didn't have time to post these, but I bet them so I want my record to reflect it.




Man you guys are suspicious!! Win or lose I am legit I promise you I don't fudge numbers etc. But I have to earn your trust so I understand.


GL


RD
What is life if not a gamble?
RisingDough
RisingDough
Joined: Oct 4, 2016
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March 6th, 2017 at 7:29:19 PM permalink
Quote: RisingDough

Monday:


Miami +10
Philadelphia +5.5
Por/Min OVER 213.5
Denver -12


Might come back and take UNDER in the Boston game later if it moves up some more..currently at 217


RD



Adding:

Bos/Lac UNDER 218.5

The Por/Min game got postponed so no action on that one
What is life if not a gamble?
RisingDough
RisingDough
Joined: Oct 4, 2016
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March 7th, 2017 at 1:56:31 PM permalink
Quote: RisingDough

Adding:

Bos/Lac UNDER 218.5

The Por/Min game got postponed so no action on that one




Interesting night and points out why line shopping and timing are so important! First off the Portland/Minnesota game was postponed!

(The Timberwolves announced the game was postponed, and Jerry Zgoda of the Star Tribune noted it would be rescheduled. Jon Krawczynski of the Associated Press said there is ice underneath the floor in Minnesota's Target Center that was used for a Disney show and hockey tournament.

Jason Quick of added, "Condensation from high humidity is causing slick spots around edge of court. They've lowered arena temperature and cleared court to mop.")



I had Miami +10 points and they beat Cleveland outright 106-98

The Sixers I had +5.5 which did not cover as they lost 112-98

Now the other two games line shopping came into play....

I bet Denver -12 right before I posted my plays......had I waited until closer to game time I could have gotten them -10.5 as that is where the line closed. This would have gotten me a winner instead of a push as Denver won the game 108-96.

In my late game I had Boston/Clippers under 218.5....I stated in my post I was going to wait until the line moved up from the current # of 217 and it paid off. The game was pacing under for the first 3 quarters and they needed a 73 point 4th quarter to beat me and they almost did it scoring 72 and dribbling out the last 7 seconds! The game finishes up 116-102 and I win by half a point.


The moral of the story is line shopping is HUGE! When I used to do this full time I had money in 36 different offshore accounts plus used 6 local bookies. I always made sure I got the best line available. Every so often you will win instead of pushing or push instead of losing or even win instead of losing just by getting the best number!



RD
What is life if not a gamble?
RisingDough
RisingDough
Joined: Oct 4, 2016
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March 7th, 2017 at 2:03:37 PM permalink
So last night our record was

2 wins
1 loss
1 push


YTD totals

Sides 6-2-2 +4 units
Totals 5-4 +0.6 units

Overall 11-6-2 +4.6 units
What is life if not a gamble?
WatchMeWin
WatchMeWin
Joined: May 20, 2011
  • Threads: 45
  • Posts: 581
March 7th, 2017 at 2:10:52 PM permalink
Quote: RisingDough

So last night our record was

2 wins
1 loss
1 push


YTD totals

Sides 6-2-2 +4 units
Totals 5-4 +0.6 units

Overall 11-6-2 +4.6 units



Off to a pretty good start rd. Do you only follow NBA or College hoops too? March Madness is coming!
'Winners hit n run... Losers stick around'
RisingDough
RisingDough
Joined: Oct 4, 2016
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March 7th, 2017 at 2:30:36 PM permalink
Quote: WatchMeWin

Off to a pretty good start rd. Do you only follow NBA or College hoops too? March Madness is coming!



I don't bet much college during the regular season but will most likely make a few bets during the tournament. The more interest a sport gets the more attracted "joe public" gets which brings a lot of dead money into the game. Value can be found so I will be there. It's just like the stock market in a way. Public perception drives the numbers making the numbers inefficient creating value. The value is not always realized right away but just like many AP bets over the long haul you will win.


RD
What is life if not a gamble?
RisingDough
RisingDough
Joined: Oct 4, 2016
  • Threads: 3
  • Posts: 174
March 7th, 2017 at 4:59:40 PM permalink
Tuesday:

Portland +7
Por/Okc OVER 221.5
Dallas -9


Might play the late game as well later..


RD
What is life if not a gamble?

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