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steeldco
steeldco
steeldco
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June 11th, 2014 at 4:25:58 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Houston Astros -100
Chicago Cubs +148
San Diego Padres -105
Minnesota Twins +156
Boston Red Sox +105
New York Mets +110
Los Angeles Dodgers +100
Miami Marlins +115
Washington Nationals 125

Yesterday's results: +654
+130dogs +204
Other dogs +555
Favorites -105
Focus Picks +100

YTD Total +2,146
+130dogs +3,820
Other dogs -428
Favorites -1,246
Focus Picks +322
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beerseason
beerseason
beerseason
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June 11th, 2014 at 5:46:09 AM permalink
Let's keep the streak going, yesterday was good for me.
steeldco
steeldco
steeldco
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June 11th, 2014 at 5:51:06 AM permalink
Hopefully we will. I think that this MLB betting system has to be the best around. Looking at 500%+ returns over a season.
......and I think there is a way to make a slight improvement to it. A bit of a twist on Friday.
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GWAE
GWAE
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June 11th, 2014 at 5:52:24 AM permalink
Quote: beerseason

Let's keep the streak going, yesterday was good for me.



I wish I would have gotten in on this at the start of the season.

First 2 days have been good for me.
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steeldco
steeldco
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June 11th, 2014 at 6:03:40 AM permalink
Updated stats on the +130dogs:

Wins 95
Losses 102
Total Plays 197

Wins 14,020
Losses -10,200
Net 3,820


Total Invested 761
Return 3,820
Return % 501.97%

Avg. Daily Invested 291.30
Avg. Daily Return 55.36
Avg. Daily Return % 19.00%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
steeldco
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June 11th, 2014 at 6:10:34 AM permalink
Just a reminder that there are a couple of early games today.

Today's Picks:
Minnesota Twins 153
Cleveland Indians 125
Chicago Cubs 116
San Diego Padres 124
Los Angeles Dodgers 115
Chicago White Sox 120
Colorado Rockies 132
Oakland Athletics 129
Washington Nationals 116


+130dogs:
Minnesota Twins 153
Colorado Rockies 132


Focus Picks:
Minnesota Twins 153
Los Angeles Dodgers 115
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
GWAE
GWAE
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June 11th, 2014 at 6:18:30 AM permalink
I am going to have to find another betting site. Bovada has the 130s at +140 and +120
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steeldco
steeldco
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June 11th, 2014 at 7:04:36 AM permalink
Is Bovada a ten cent line, or is it 20 cents?
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
GWAE
GWAE
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June 11th, 2014 at 7:25:28 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Is Bovada a ten cent line, or is it 20 cents?



When I read your post i read

bla bla bla bla bla bla bla
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steeldco
steeldco
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June 11th, 2014 at 7:26:27 AM permalink
Huh? I don't understand.
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beerseason
beerseason
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June 11th, 2014 at 7:31:22 AM permalink
Quote: GWAE

When I read your post i read

bla bla bla bla bla bla bla



I laughed our loud at this. I think it means he doesn't understand what your talking about. In which I don't either.
steeldco
steeldco
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June 11th, 2014 at 7:37:47 AM permalink
To re-phrase my question, at Bovada, is the spread between the favorite and the dog in any particular game .10, or is it .20?
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GWAE
GWAE
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June 11th, 2014 at 8:28:07 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

To re-phrase my question, at Bovada, is the spread between the favorite and the dog in any particular game .10, or is it .20?


Sorry for the bla bla bla, was not meant as a shot at you or anything. I am really bad at terminology when it comes to sports betting. I don't know the answer to your question but I will post a few lines and maybe that answers your question.
Min +140 tor -160
Cle +105 Kc -125
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steeldco
steeldco
steeldco
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June 11th, 2014 at 8:48:33 AM permalink
GWAE, OK. Thanks. Now I think that I see the issue. From what you have posted it looks like Bovada uses a 20 cent line. Note that the difference in the Minnesota vs. Toronto game is 20 (160-140), hence the term 20 cent. On the SBG site that I use for lines, they are 10 cent lines. In the same Minnesota vs. Toronto game, SBG has it as Toronto-163 and Minnesota is +153. Again, the difference there is only 10.

Generally speaking, you would want to find the site with the smallest spread, since you are then, in effect, paying less juice.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
beerseason
beerseason
beerseason
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June 11th, 2014 at 8:51:13 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

GWAE, OK. Thanks. Now I think that I see the issue. From what you have posted it looks like Bovada uses a 20 cent line. Note that the difference in the Minnesota vs. Toronto game is 20 (160-140), hence the term 20 cent. On the SBG site that I use for lines, they are 10 cent lines. In the same Minnesota vs. Toronto game, SBG has it as Toronto-163 and Minnesota is +153. Again, the difference there is only 10.

Generally speaking, you would want to find the site with the smallest spread, since you are then, in effect, paying less juice.



Mine uses multiple lines but mostly .10 cent lines but I have seen .15 .2 and more
GWAE
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June 11th, 2014 at 9:08:02 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

GWAE, OK. Thanks. Now I think that I see the issue. From what you have posted it looks like Bovada uses a 20 cent line. Note that the difference in the Minnesota vs. Toronto game is 20 (160-140), hence the term 20 cent. On the SBG site that I use for lines, they are 10 cent lines. In the same Minnesota vs. Toronto game, SBG has it as Toronto-163 and Minnesota is +153. Again, the difference there is only 10.

Generally speaking, you would want to find the site with the smallest spread, since you are then, in effect, paying less juice.



I used to bet a lot of college football. I would shop the lines around and would quite often use different sites on the same weekend. That is probably something I should do again. I just hate having money tied up on multiple sites with all of the shutdowns there have been.
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steeldco
steeldco
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June 11th, 2014 at 9:26:51 AM permalink
Yep. I understand. I really think it's just a matter of using a site with 10 cent lines since the vast majority of the picks are dogs, you will be realizing 10% more per win.
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GWAE
GWAE
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June 11th, 2014 at 9:37:23 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Yep. I understand. I really think it's just a matter of using a site with 10 cent lines since the vast majority of the picks are dogs, you will be realizing 10% more per win.



Yeah that is a huge difference. I will look into other sites tonight. Thanks for your info.
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steeldco
steeldco
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June 11th, 2014 at 9:51:04 AM permalink
Maybe you can talk to Mr. Wizard about trying to convince Bovada that their business in the sports book might get a huge hike if they would start using 10 cent lines?
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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June 11th, 2014 at 12:58:17 PM permalink
Minnesota is now in the books as a win today. It looks like we are now guaranteed a winning day. Colorado winning later may clinch another winning week.
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beerseason
beerseason
beerseason
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June 11th, 2014 at 6:45:27 PM permalink
Let's do it, Rockies are playing well so far, hopefully the wheels don't fall off.
steeldco
steeldco
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June 12th, 2014 at 3:33:55 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Minnesota Twins +153
Cleveland Indians -100
Chicago Cubs -100
San Diego Padres -100
Los Angeles Dodgers -100
Chicago White Sox +120
Colorado Rockies +132
Oakland Athletics +129
Washington Nationals +116

Yesterday's results: +250
+130dogs +285
Other dogs -35
Favorites 0
Focus Picks +53

YTD Total +2,396
+130dogs +4,105
Other dogs -463
Favorites -1,246
Focus Picks +375
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
steeldco
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June 12th, 2014 at 3:52:52 AM permalink
There's some afternoon games today.

Today's Picks:
Los Angeles Dodgers -137
Colorado Rockies 118
Chicago Cubs 105
Milwaukee Brewers -110
Cleveland Indians 142
Detroit Tigers 105
Houston Astros -101
New York Yankees 104


+130dogs:
Cleveland Indians 142


Focus Picks:
Los Angeles Dodgers -137
Milwaukee Brewers -110
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
beerseason
beerseason
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June 12th, 2014 at 5:38:16 AM permalink
Even with missing out on last Saturday I'm still up, $4.10. If I hadn't have missed Saturday I would be up close to $130.00.
steeldco
steeldco
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June 12th, 2014 at 5:44:01 AM permalink
Yep. Should be another winning week.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
steeldco
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June 13th, 2014 at 3:01:18 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Los Angeles Dodgers -137
Colorado Rockies +118
Chicago Cubs -100
Milwaukee Brewers +100
Cleveland Indians -100
Detroit Tigers +105
Houston Astros +100
New York Yankees +104

Yesterday's results: +190
+130dogs -100
Other dogs+ 227
Favorites +63
Focus Picks -37

YTD Total +2,586
+130dogs +4,005
Other dogs -236
Favorites -1,183
Focus Picks +338
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
steeldco
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June 13th, 2014 at 3:03:26 AM permalink
Another winning week is in the books for the +130dogs. Small sample size, but 80% of the weeks have been a net winner. By week stats are below:

Week 1 Fri-Thurs +757
Week 2 Fri-Thurs +21
Week 3 Fri-Thurs +1,027
Week 4 Fri-Thurs +676
Week 5 Fri-Thurs -14
Week 6 Fri-Thurs +36
Week 7 Fri-Thurs +805
Week 8 Fri-Thurs +354
Week 9 Fri-Thurs -159
Week 10 Fri-Thurs +502
Total +4,005
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steeldco
steeldco
steeldco
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June 13th, 2014 at 3:24:13 AM permalink
All night games today.

Today's Picks:
Chicago Cubs 107
Baltimore Orioles 102
Detroit Tigers -155
Cleveland Indians 132
LA Angels of Anaheim -110
Cincinnati Reds 122
Kansas City Royals 120
Houston Astros 110
New York Yankees 165
Colorado Rockies 120


Today's +130dogs:
Cleveland Indians 132 (I'm really tired of these guys)
New York Yankees 165

Todays' Focus Picks:
Chicago Cubs 107
LA Angels of Anaheim -110
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steeldco
steeldco
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June 13th, 2014 at 5:33:50 AM permalink
Below are updated stats for the +130dog picks. I don't know if everyone would agree, but these results are phenomenal.

Wins 97
Losses 103
Total Plays 200

Wins 14,305
Losses -10,300
Net 4,005


Total Invested 761
Return 4,005
Return % 526.28%

Avg. Daily Invested 287.32
Avg. Daily Return 56.41
Avg. Daily Return % 19.63%

Average Per Winning Pick 147.4742268
Average Win Per All Picks 20.025
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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June 14th, 2014 at 7:41:01 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Chicago Cubs +107
Baltimore Orioles -100
Detroit Tigers -155
Cleveland Indians -100
LA Angels of Anaheim -110
Cincinnati Reds +122
Kansas City Royals +110
Houston Astros -100
New York Yankees +165
Colorado Rockies +120

Yesterday's results: +59
+130dogs +65
Other dogs +255
Favorites -261
Focus Picks -3

YTD Total +2,645
+130dogs +4,070
Other dogs +19
Favorites -1,444
Focus Picks +435
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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June 14th, 2014 at 8:08:36 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Chicago White Sox 101
Colorado Rockies 155
Cleveland Indians 121
Baltimore Orioles -103
San Diego Padres 119
Houston Astros 120
Cincinnati Reds 111
Atlanta Braves 101
Oakland Athletics -153
Arizona DiamondBacks 128


+130dog Picks:
Colorado Rockies 155


Focus Picks:
Chicago White Sox 101
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GWAE
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June 14th, 2014 at 4:42:02 PM permalink
whew that was a close one. Took an inside the ballpark home http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/gameday/index.jsp?gid=2014_06_14_colmlb_sfnmlb_1#gid=2014_06_14_colmlb_sfnmlb_1&mode=videorun.

i was trying to link right to the video. You have to click video after you click the link.
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beerseason
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June 14th, 2014 at 5:16:43 PM permalink
Friday I didn't bet the Indians on purpose, and I upped my bet today by 10$. I usually follow your system to a T and flat bet.
steeldco
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June 14th, 2014 at 6:29:17 PM permalink
FANTASTIC! Nothing like that adrenaline rush......
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steeldco
steeldco
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June 14th, 2014 at 6:30:04 PM permalink
Great! I think that someone is going to need to pinch me at some point because this is turning out to be too good......
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steeldco
steeldco
steeldco
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June 15th, 2014 at 5:45:05 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Chicago White Sox -100
Colorado Rockies +155
Cleveland Indians +121
Baltimore Orioles +100
San Diego Padres +119
Houston Astros +120
Cincinnati Reds -100
Atlanta Braves -100
Oakland Athletics +100
Arizona DiamondBacks -100

Yesterday's results: +315
+130dogs +155
Other dogs +60
Favorites +100
Focus Picks -100

YTD Total +2,960
+130dogs +4,225
Other dogs +79
Favorites -1,344
Focus Picks +335
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
steeldco
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June 15th, 2014 at 5:46:44 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Kansas City Royals -111
Philadelphia Phillies -112
Boston Red Sox -131
Toronto Blue Jays -107
Pittsburgh Pirates -128
LA Angels of Anaheim -111
Seattle Mariners -118


It seems that the baseball gods are giving us a day off.

+130dogs Picks:
None

Focus Picks:
Kansas City Royals -111
Pittsburgh Pirates -128
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GWAE
GWAE
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June 15th, 2014 at 7:09:11 AM permalink
hmm taking the Pirates with a minor league starter making his debut, but only because of injuries and not because he deserves it. I hope you are right but I have my doubts. FYI, I live in Pittsburgh.
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steeldco
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June 15th, 2014 at 7:22:11 AM permalink
Good Luck! Baseball's dirty little secret is that it's not ALL about the pitching.
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GWAE
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June 15th, 2014 at 7:25:28 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Good Luck! Baseball's dirty little secret is that it's not ALL about the pitching.



yeah I know, I just have a bad feeling about today. Even though they have like 75 hits in the last 4 games. Maybe that is just the cynic in me.

I am not taking anything today, will be nice to not check my phone every hour.
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steeldco
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June 15th, 2014 at 7:29:27 AM permalink
Also, Worley is much better in the NL rather than the AL. He pitched fairly well as a Phillie.
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steeldco
steeldco
steeldco
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June 16th, 2014 at 5:00:04 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Kansas City Royals +100
Philadelphia Phillies -112
Boston Red Sox -131
Toronto Blue Jays +100
Pittsburgh Pirates -128
LA Angels of Anaheim -111
Seattle Mariners +100

Yesterday's results: -182
+130dogs 0
Other dogs 0
Favorites -182
Focus Picks -28

YTD Total 2,778
+130dogs 4,225
Other dogs 79
Favorites -1,526
Focus Picks 307
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
steeldco
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June 16th, 2014 at 6:02:40 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Cleveland Indians 105
Tampa Bay Rays -116
Atlanta Braves -138
St. Louis Cardinals -150
Arizona DiamondBacks -108
Texas Rangers 159
San Diego Padres -114


+130dog Picks:
Texas Rangers 159

Focus Picks:
Cleveland Indians 105
St. Louis Cardinals -150
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
mickeycrimm
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June 16th, 2014 at 7:16:53 AM permalink
Steeldco, you know what would be an interesting stat? Where would you be with the +130 dogs if you just blindly bet all of them.
"Quit trying your luck and start trying your skill." Mickey Crimm
steeldco
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June 16th, 2014 at 8:23:32 AM permalink
Quote: mickeycrimm

Steeldco, you know what would be an interesting stat? Where would you be with the +130 dogs if you just blindly bet all of them.



mickeycrimm, per a website called sportility.net (http://www.sportility.net/cgi-bin/league_page.cgi?league=mlb), out of a sampling of a total of 8,854 games, there were 4,200 games in which dogs were getting at least 130. In those 4,200 games, 1,622 were winners. A win rate of 38.62%.

I would say that my MLB betting system kicks the crap out of that %. Yes?
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mickeycrimm
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June 16th, 2014 at 8:25:23 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

mickeycrimm, per a website called sportility.net (http://www.sportility.net/cgi-bin/league_page.cgi?league=mlb), out of a sampling of a total of 8,854 games, there were 4,200 games in which dogs were getting at least 130. In those 4,200 games, 1,622 were winners. A win rate of 38.62%.

I would say that my MLB betting system kicks the crap out of that %. Yes?



Yes, you are doing much better than that.
"Quit trying your luck and start trying your skill." Mickey Crimm
steeldco
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June 16th, 2014 at 8:26:55 AM permalink
YTD, thru 203 picks, I am hitting on 48.77% of them and receiving an average win of 147.72.
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steeldco
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June 16th, 2014 at 8:31:14 AM permalink
As a matter of fact (if I did the math correctly) then my +130dog win rate would equate to hitting 72+% on a run line. How's that for performance?
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steeldco
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June 16th, 2014 at 2:10:32 PM permalink
Just as an FYI, tomorrow I will probably start increasing the size of the unit wagered, but on the +130dogs only.
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steeldco
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June 17th, 2014 at 3:01:59 AM permalink
Yet another new high water mark for winnings.

Cleveland Indians +105
Tampa Bay Rays +100
Atlanta Braves -138
St. Louis Cardinals +100
Arizona DiamondBacks -108
Texas Rangers +159
San Diego Padres -114

Yesterday's results: +104
+130dogs +159
Other dogs +105
Favorites -160
Focus Picks +205

YTD Total +2,882
+130dogs +4,384
Other dogs +184
Favorites -1,686
Focus Picks +512
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
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