EDIT: disconsider it please... game is today LOL
Wow. It was riviting and so sad. I'm still a football fan but its sad what is happenning to these old players.
Due to what they did to their bodies playing football, they expect physical problems later in life but not brain damage that drives them to kill themselves.
Maybe the game has to change, maybe get rid of the helmets. Rugy Players dont lead with the head like football players do.
This should be must viewing for any parents that have children.
The Doctors on this show examined a high school football player and a college football players brains that committed suicide.
The Doctors expected to find normal brains due to the age. They found brain damage atributed to football. shocking and so so sad.
Did you ever see someone pay 70 dollars for a pay per view boxing match, see a boxer get hit in the head and go down in the first 30 seconds.......
assuming no bets are on either player///are the viewers yelling for tthe boxer to get up ( the boxer does have a concussion at this point)....are they screaming for a doctor to take him aside and do thorough concussion tests? Nope ..they want the guy to get up and get hit in the head a few more times for their entertainment.
And if you have a bet on the fighter that went down in the first 30 seconds.....are you really caring about brain function if the fight continues? you want your 70 dollars worth. You want to see the boxer on wobbly legs getting repeatedly hit in the head but not go down.....because "he can really take a punch" Most importantly you want to win your bet
Alot of boxing fans are also football fans. If people dont really care about concussions of people beung hit directly in the head without a helmet.....who really cares about helmet wearing football players.
the media makes a big deal out of it. But individuals couldnt care less.
( by the way...when I use the word "you"....I am using the general "you:....no one specfic.)
Quote: rdw4potusCarolina at Minnesota is tough this week. Sounds like Peterson is going to play. He's either going to be totally distracted, or he's going to need to be dragged down by 11 people on every down. His mental state totally swings that game...
They're my team, so I'm betting on them (picked before the news really hit "cuz they're my team", not because of it), but you're right; impossible to tell. However, my guess is that the whole team will attempt to use this awful situation to focus themselves and support AP with a ferocious win.
Quote: rdw4potusCarolina at Minnesota is tough this week. Sounds like Peterson is going to play. He's either going to be totally distracted, or he's going to need to be dragged down by 11 people on every down. His mental state totally swings that game...
It is going to tough for Peterson. But then again, he never really got a chance to bond with his child, in fact the 1st time he ever saw the child was in the hospital just before he died. The mother thought someone else was the father and Peterson wasn't aware he had a child till recently. Regardless, its a tough situation to deal with.
Been doing terrible in this competition. sucking big time.
So gonna change it up, instead of trying to pick winners as a gambler who makes picks without emotion, picking winners as a fan with emotion that's rooting for a team.
For instance I think the Eagles will beat the Bucs. I picked the Bucs since I'm in Tampa and want to root for my home team.
Lets see where this gets me.
The Week 6 Picks have been posted:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/3/#post278482
Skipping this week are FRGamble and NCFatCat.
Most Love
Eagles 16
Saints 15
Colts 13
Least Love
49ers 1
Bucs 2 Steelers 2 Broncos 2 Pats 2 Chargers 2
Most action
Jags/Broncos 25
Saints/Pats 24
Least action
Steelers/Jets 7
Cards/49ers 10
Most lopsided action
Eagles 16 Bucs 2
Saints 15 Pats 2
Closest to even action on team picks
Rams 6 Texans 4
Seahawks 5 Titans 3
Notable action
Broncos/jags over 10
The Wizard had a 5/6 week to get back on track.
WSH over 52 (confidence)
PHI 0
JAK +26.5
The program doesn't understand WSH. (Wash is okay.)
The program doesn't understand PHI. (Phil is okay.)
The program doesn't understand JAK. (Jack is okay.)
The program is "smart"... but not that smart. :)
Quote: beachbumbabswell done, cess!
Thank you.
I was so unsure, I only put money on a two team parlay this week...
Quote: EdCollinsFor those using my grading program, be advised that three of Vendman1's picks, as he entered them, need to be edited before grading.
WSH over 52 (confidence)
PHI 0
JAK +26.5
The program doesn't understand WSH. (Wash is okay.)
The program doesn't understand PHI. (Phil is okay.)
The program doesn't understand JAK. (Jack is okay.)
The program is "smart"... but not that smart. :)
Sorry to mess up your cool spreadsheet Ed....I will properly format my teams from now on. :)
The updated Results and Standings have been posted:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/3/#post279508
The standings are above.
1.) We had an excellent week, and by we, I mean everyone who is not me with our Regular Picks going 97-83 for .539. That wouldn't have qualified as an, "Excellent week," last year, but the times have changed! Confidence Picks we're slightly improved at 9-11 for .450. Overall, we performed at .530.
2.) This brings our overall record on Regular Picks to 473-566 for .455, and Confidence Picks to 55-70 for .440. The cumulative record is now 528-636 for .454, which is a huge improvement.
3.) We pick, on average, 194 games per week. If we managed a record of 151-43 for .778, we'd end up at 679-679 for .500 overall.
Let's do it!!!
(Probably because when I messaged you with my picks, and listed my name above my picks as I usually do, I probably entered it as Ed Collins instead of EdCollins.)
Quote: BuzzardI still think .600 will win it all.
.600 on 80 picks (no confidence) is a 2.8% chance of making (48-32).. 50 players, so one or two players will make it .600 -IF- it's a coin flip league.
Its not, there's a small element of skill, plus the variance of the confidence picks, so I suggest that the winning score will be about 0.625.
Wanna take an over under on the winning score at 0.612? :D
Quote: SOOPOOHello friends. Can someone tell me how many standard deviations I am south of a random guesser? I'm 5 up, 24 down. I am very consistent, by the way. I can be counted on to get one of my 5 picks correct each and every week. Fortunately for whomever I will end up paying, that pick is never my confidence pick.
As an aid to the forum members, i am pre-announcing my confidence pick this week as the Bengals.
You only lost 1 last week. Are you going to pre-announce your confidence pick this week? ;+)
Quote: BuzzardI will take this under even at this late date.
I'll take $10 with you then :)
Greetings!
The updated Standings are as follows:
EdCollins 12 15 44.44% $28.89
Ed Collins 1 5 16.67% $56.67
we dont mind taking $85 from him instead of just $57 though. :)
Quote: MalaruMission- You have Ed Collins listed twice
Greetings!
The updated Standings are as follows:
EdCollins 12 15 44.44% $28.89
Ed Collins 1 5 16.67% $56.67
we dont mind taking $85 from him instead of just $57 though. :)
Thanks! I have it fixed on my file, now. It'll be reflected in the Standings after this week.
Quote: mipletYou only lost 1 last week. Are you going to pre-announce your confidence pick this week? ;+)
Sure. My confidence picks are now perfect at 0 - 6! I'm going Cowboys this week. I wonder if my announcing this will move the Vegas line?
On another note, 1-4. pretty sad. I tried to change things up last week by picking teams as a fan instead of a gambler. What am I thinking? Picked Bucs over Eagles due to living in Tampa even though I know Bucs suck. I'm hopeless.
Quote: terapinedMission-also noticed another small error, I'm right above you on the list totally sucking at 34.48% down $38.85. You are at 33.33% but money wise just currently down $25.00. Getting the admin discount :-)
On another note, 1-4. pretty sad. I tried to change things up last week by picking teams as a fan instead of a gambler. What am I thinking? Picked Bucs over Eagles due to living in Tampa even though I know Bucs suck. I'm hopeless.
I'm getting the Commissioner discount, I throw a fixed $25 into the prize pool every year and I cannot possibly win. The winner gets $25 from me, and in the unlikely event that I did win, second place would simply get $25 from me. Thus far, it seems that the fixed loss may work to my benefit this year, but last year, I would have lost far less than $25.
I had a 1-4 week myself. I took the Saints over the Patriots because I thought it was the right play, so I didn't make the homer decision. If you'll believe me, I actually thought about picking two Over/Unders this week, and would have won on both, but I never pick those...so I didn't.
We'll see what next week holds, like I said, regression to the mean is a beautiful thing, when you're below the mean!
The Week 7 Lines have been posted:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/3/#post280013
Quote: MalaruAlso I got a control/consistancy question- why do you not get the lines from the same site every week? I noticed the source this time is diffrent then at least a couple of the weeks in the past- wouldnt it be more fair to keep the source controlled or are there large variables in when the lines are available?
The source of the Lines is neither fair or unfair provided that all Members are picking from the same Lines. This week's source, www.vegasinsider.com was also intended to be the source for ALL of the Lines, but I had significant difficulty accessing it the first few week and called an audible with Pinnacle.
In any event, as long as everyone is picking from the same Lines on a week-to-week basis, then all remains fair.
The Week 7 Reminders have now been sent.
The Week 7 Picks have been posted:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/3/#post280965
Boz, Miplet, BeachBumBabs and NCFatCat all appear to be skipping this week.
Just for the record, DEN -6.5 would have replaced CLE +10, but I went with CLE.
Quote: Mission146Greetings!
The Week 7 Picks have been posted:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/3/#post280965
Boz, Miplet, BeachBumBabs and NCFatCat all appear to be skipping this week.
Just for the record, DEN -6.5 would have replaced CLE +10, but I went with CLE.
Not by choice: you should see my keyboard-face this morning, Mission. I went from very busy to too busy the last couple of days and wiped out. So I'm 0-5.
The plan was to learn something about lines by using the available interval to compare them and make picks to my advantage last night. I know better than to wait to do something; it gets missed. C'est la guerre.
Quote: beachbumbabsNot by choice: you should see my keyboard-face this morning, Mission. I went from very busy to too busy the last couple of days and wiped out. So I'm 0-5.
The plan was to learn something about lines by using the available interval to compare them and make picks to my advantage last night. I know better than to wait to do something; it gets missed. C'est la guerre.
Remember you get one bye week. So if this is your first missed week, you go 0-0.
Cesspit , that red dot on you forehead is my laser picks today.
For the few of you using my grading program, I discovered a bug this morning when grading the week 7 picks. (You can grade the picks even before the games have started. Doing so will look for potential conflicts and errors in the picks.)
(1) The program wasn't smart enough to recognize three of JW17's picks. (DEN, NE, and Den.) It needs at least at least "Denv" for Denver and at least "New E" for New England.
I knew of this, of course, but the program really should know what those picks are. So I fixed it by adding a special check to look for those abbreviated team names. The program also now recognizes JAX for Jacksonville, Wsh for Washington, PHI for Philadelphia, and a few others.
(2) More importantly however, the program CRASHED when it came across a conflict involving CARdinals and CARolina. This is fixed.
The most recent version is now, 1.52. This copy is complete with everyone's picks thru Week 7, as well as the NFL game scores up until this moment. It can be found here:
http://www.edcollins.com/wov_nfl_football_contest_calculator_version_1.52.xlsm