JW17
JW17
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July 10th, 2013 at 8:10:30 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Yesterday's Results
Arlington Park for 07/07/13
Race # Alternate
1 Arrested by Duffy -$10.00 5th
2 Double Silver -$10.00 2nd
3 0
4 I Turned Outlaw $210.00 1st
5 Brim -$10.00 3rd
6 Ballyjamesduff -$10.00 4th
7 Kids Game -$10.00 7th
8 Boss Alley -$10.00 5th
9 0
10
11
Net $150.00


Arlington Park for 07/07/13
Race # Alternate Trifecta Box Cost
1 Arrested by Duffy $20.00
2 Double Silver $42.00
3 0
4 I Turned Outlaw $42.00
5 Brim $56.00
6 Ballyjamesduff $20.00
7 Kids Game $56.00
8 Boss Alley $56.00
9 0
10
11
Total $292.00


Arlington Park for 07/07/13
Race # Alternate Winnings
1 Arrested by Duffy $0.00
2 Double Silver $97.50
3 0
4 I Turned Outlaw $444.70
5 Brim $165.40
6 Ballyjamesduff $0.00
7 Kids Game $0.00
8 Boss Alley $0.00
9 0
10
11
Total $707.60

Net Trifecta Win $415.60



Now how are you playing this trifecta box???

Your horse + All box??

Im sorry if I missed it before and this has been answered I missed it.
steeldco
steeldco
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July 11th, 2013 at 2:51:08 AM permalink
Yes. My horse pick plus all. It's a winning ticket if my horse pick comes in to either win, place, or show.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:39:27 AM permalink
YTD Results:
Alternate -$152.10
Alternate-stop at 1st. Win -$57.10
$1 Trifecta Box +$3031
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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July 11th, 2013 at 4:34:24 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Arlington Park for 07/11/13
Race # Alternate
1 Lemondropspritzer
2 Xbalanque
3 Somali Byrd
4 0
5 Bella Serenade
6 0
7 Hungry Wildcat
8 0
9 Devils Tower
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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July 11th, 2013 at 2:35:07 PM permalink
OK. 1 race to go and it looks like another winning day. It's amazing to me that I have gone from feeling that nobody can make money on the horses, to feeling that nobody should lose money. I think I need to back to drinking............
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
JW17
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:01:57 PM permalink
Im not sure how this day is a winner, the tickets would have cost more than the wins with a (your horse + All + All box)

Race 2 paid $19 the ticket was $36 for a $1, and that was the cheapest ticket of the day. there were some big fields in there making the boxes huge to play. not knocking your style just saying the tickets cost a lot for the meager wins the tri's have paid
steeldco
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:08:31 PM permalink
JW17, did you check the 7th.? That cost was $72 and returned $278.20
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JW17
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:15:07 PM permalink
that is not right. 1x9x8 = 72 x 3(box) = 216

Still a winner, but not as big as you thought
FinsRule
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:27:28 PM permalink
Quote: JW17

that is not right. 1x9x8 = 72 x 3(box) = 216

Still a winner, but not as big as you thought



Nah JW, you got it wrong (I think). I was under the impression his horse has to win which means $72 is the bet.
steeldco
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:30:32 PM permalink
FinsRule, no that's not correct. I was boxing the horse with any other. The pick in either 1st. 2nd. or 3rd. So JW17 may be right in the way I was calculating the cost?
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
JW17
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:31:43 PM permalink
Quote: JW17

Now how are you playing this trifecta box???

Your horse + All box??

Im sorry if I missed it before and this has been answered I missed it.



I just saw the post after this one but the question I asked here I though the answer was "yes"

If it is a winner + all all then I am wrong
FinsRule
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:35:43 PM permalink
So I counted the one winner, what were the totals of the bets?
FinsRule
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:37:49 PM permalink
He said before it's X / All / All.
JW17
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:37:50 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

YTD Results:
Alternate -$152.10
Alternate-stop at 1st. Win -$57.10
$1 Trifecta Box +$3031



Not sure but I was reading this where box is mentioned. Total bets were over $300 just eyeballing it with 1x all x all
steeldco
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:38:46 PM permalink
JW17 & FinsRule, thanks for the help. It looks like the reason that it was looking so good was that I was calculating the cost incorrectly. I'll need to go back and re-calculate the costs, and therefore the net wins, or now, maybe losses. Knew it had to be too good to be true.

Thanks again.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
JW17
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:39:30 PM permalink
Again I'm not knocking the bets just the math. If what I assume is correct. And I'm not a math guru. Just a horse math guru lol
JW17
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:40:03 PM permalink
I'm playing the 9 at Hollywood 6
FinsRule
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:40:15 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Yes. My horse pick plus all. It's a winning ticket if my horse pick comes in to either win, place, or show.



That's different than what I asked and what you answered. You've been calculating it wrong all along.
FinsRule
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:43:07 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Yes. The horse boxed with everyone else in the field.



So this is the initial statement. Could definitely be interpreted two ways. But this is in response to my post which was X / All / All
steeldco
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:43:59 PM permalink
So here's the correct cost, yes?

◾Three-Horse Box ($1) – $6
◾Four-Horse Box ($1) – $24
◾Five-Horse Box ($1) – $60
◾Six-Horse Box ($1) – $120
◾Seven-Horse Box ($1) – $210
◾Eight-Horse Box ($1) – $336
◾Nine-Horse Box ($1) – $504
◾Ten-Horse Box ($1) – $720
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
JW17
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:44:25 PM permalink
9 second to bafferts 1 chalk is out of there will be a nice ex

And all good steel just wanted to make sure I read correctly
FinsRule
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:45:11 PM permalink
Quote: JW17

I'm playing the 9 at Hollywood 6



Good luck - I'm doing the graded stakes Showvivor Saturday. Trying to change around a recent bad streak.
JW17
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:47:57 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

So here's the correct cost, yes?

◾Three-Horse Box ($1) – $6
◾Four-Horse Box ($1) – $24
◾Five-Horse Box ($1) – $60
◾Six-Horse Box ($1) – $120
◾Seven-Horse Box ($1) – $210
◾Eight-Horse Box ($1) – $336
◾Nine-Horse Box ($1) – $504
◾Ten-Horse Box ($1) – $720



Yes but if you go your horse + all + all box it is different

Ex 10 horse field is 1 x 9x 8 x 3
JW17
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:52:58 PM permalink
Race 7 at pollywood is tough but I am going to key the 4. Goes off in 20 mins
steeldco
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July 11th, 2013 at 3:53:36 PM permalink
JW17, so just so I have the terminology correct, the following would be a wheel?
horse + all + all

Ex 10 horse field is 1 x 9x 8 x 3

And the following would be a box of a 10 horse field at a cost of $720?
Horse/all/all
all/horse/all
all/all/horse
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
JW17
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July 11th, 2013 at 4:00:23 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

JW17, so just so I have the terminology correct, the following would be a wheel?
horse + all + all

Ex 10 horse field is 1 x 9x 8 x 3

And the following would be a box of a 10 horse field at a cost of $720?
Horse/all/all
all/horse/all
all/all/horse



No it would be 1 x 9 x 8 x 3 for 216 term would be " I'll take a 1 all all to box or 1 to hit the board will work too
JW17
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July 11th, 2013 at 4:17:18 PM permalink
Quote: JW17

Race 7 at pollywood is tough but I am going to key the 4. Goes off in 20 mins



2nd again lol
steeldco
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July 11th, 2013 at 4:17:25 PM permalink
JW17, first, I appreciate the help and I don't mean to be a pain the ass.....but can you tell me whether the costs that I show below are correct?
Thanks again!

12 horse ----------- $330
11 horse ----------- $270
10 horse ----------- $216
9 horse ----------- $168
8 horse ----------- $126
7 horse ----------- $90
6 horse ----------- $60
5 horse ----------- $36
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
JW17
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July 11th, 2013 at 4:25:21 PM permalink
Quote: JW17

2nd again lol



wit inquiry = win for me, YES!!!

a little one it looks like
JW17
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July 11th, 2013 at 4:29:50 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

JW17, first, I appreciate the help and I don't mean to be a pain the ass.....but can you tell me whether the costs that I show below are correct?
Thanks again!

12 horse ----------- $330
11 horse ----------- $270
10 horse ----------- $216
9 horse ----------- $168
8 horse ----------- $126
7 horse ----------- $90
6 horse ----------- $60
5 horse ----------- $36



not sure what you are asking.

this is how you do it, take the numer of horses in a race, say 10, you like the 1 horse, that leaves 9 horses. your combinations can be,

1 with 9 possible horses for second times 8 possible horses for third. 1 times 9 times 8 times 3. 3(for the box three different places the horse can come). the math is different for each race depending on how many horses are in each race. do you understand that? let me know, you are not a pain in the ass.
JW17
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July 11th, 2013 at 4:32:20 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

JW17, first, I appreciate the help and I don't mean to be a pain the ass.....but can you tell me whether the costs that I show below are correct?
Thanks again!

12 horse ----------- $330
11 horse ----------- $270
10 horse ----------- $216
9 horse ----------- $168
8 horse ----------- $126
7 horse ----------- $90
6 horse ----------- $60
5 horse ----------- $36



but it looks like the math is good
FinsRule
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July 11th, 2013 at 4:33:17 PM permalink
Yes - those are all right.
FinsRule
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July 11th, 2013 at 4:35:13 PM permalink
What you are essentially doing is making a $330 show bet in a 12 horse race - there's just a higher takeout. Betting it blindly is a bad idea. If you thought there was an exteremely vulnerable favorite - not as bad of an idea. Of course, that makes any bet better...
steeldco
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July 11th, 2013 at 4:38:34 PM permalink
JW17, appreciate it! So a 9 horse field would be 1*8*7*3, or $168. Correct?
An 8 horse field would be 1*7*6*3, or $126.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
JW17
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July 11th, 2013 at 4:40:36 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

JW17, appreciate it! So a 9 horse field would be 1*8*7*3, or $168. Correct?
An 8 horse field would be 1*7*6*3, or $126.



yes now you have got it!
steeldco
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July 11th, 2013 at 4:42:39 PM permalink
Thank you!
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steeldco
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July 11th, 2013 at 4:59:33 PM permalink
OK. So here's today's results and the revised YTD numbers. The trifecta profit is all because of one big hit on the 6th. of July. Otherwise it has lost on 4 of the last 5 days.

Arlington Park for 07/11/13
Race # Alternate
1 Lemondropspritzer -$10.00 7th
2 Xbalanque -$10.00 3rd
3 Somali Byrd -$10.00 3rd
4 0
5 Bella Serenade -$10.00 5th
6 0
7 Hungry Wildcat $22.00 1st
8 0
9 Devils Tower -$10.00 3rd
10
11
Net -$28.00


YTD Results:
Alternate -$180.10
Alternate-stop at 1st. Win +$114.9
$1 Trifecta Box +$1507.5

Thanks to JW17 and FinsRule for help in trying to better understand this stuff!
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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July 12th, 2013 at 8:41:37 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Arlington Park for 07/12/13
Race # Alternate
1 Razzo Succo
2 Sir Kipling
3 Chas the Man
4 John Galt
5 Mirka
6 Buttercups Baby
7 Mavericking
8 0
9 Captain Jack
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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July 12th, 2013 at 5:45:02 PM permalink
Today's Results:
Arlington Park for 07/12/13
Race # Alternate
1 Razzo Succo -$10.00 2nd
2 Sir Kipling -$10.00 3rd
3 Chas the Man $1.00 1st
4 John Galt -$10.00 4th
5 Mirka -$10.00 2nd
6 Buttercups Baby -$10.00 2nd
7 Mavericking -$10.00 2nd
8 0
9 Captain Jack -$10.00 6th
10
11
Net -$69.00


YTD Results:
Alternate -$249.10
Alternate-stop at 1st. Win +$95.9
$1 Trifecta Box +$1508.7
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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July 13th, 2013 at 9:07:46 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Arlington Park for 07/13/13
Race # Alternate
1 0
2 Beware the Tiger
3 Cameo Appearance
4 Iver With an E
5 Mourette
6 U Step Aside
7 The Pizza Man
8 Ausus
9 General Election
10 Rahystrada
11 Ruler of Love
12 0
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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July 14th, 2013 at 5:56:56 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Arlington Park for 07/13/13
Race # Alternate
1 0
2 Beware the Tiger -$10.00 4th
3 Cameo Appearance $5.00 1st
4 Iver With an E -$10.00 4th
5 Mourette -$10.00 5th
6 U Step Aside -$10.00 3rd
7 The Pizza Man -$10.00 3rd
8 Ausus $80.00 1st
9 General Election -$10.00 7th
10 Rahystrada $34.00 1st
11 Ruler of Love -$10.00 3rd
12 0
Net $49.00

Trifecta Net -$259.20


YTD Results:
Alternate -$200.10
Alternate-stop at 1st. Win +$90.9
$1 Trifecta Box +$1249.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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July 14th, 2013 at 6:33:53 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Arlington Park for 07/14/13
Race # Alternate
1 News Bulletin
2 Call Me Classy
3 0
4 Go Go Fritzy
5 J Jett
6 0
7 Stig's Deputy
8 0
9 0
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steeldco
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July 18th, 2013 at 10:31:59 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Arlington Park for 07/18/13
Race # Alternate
1 0
2 Turbalo
3 0
4 Awesome Attack
5 Twist of Silver
6 Abby's Slew
7 0
8 0
9 Beauty of Scarlet
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
FinsRule
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July 18th, 2013 at 11:44:10 AM permalink
Since with the trifecta boxes you are doing you are essentially picking a horse to show, it'd be very interesting to see which you would make more at - betting your horse in a tri box, or putting it all on that horse to show. You might be surprised at the results....
steeldco
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July 18th, 2013 at 11:57:59 AM permalink
FinsRule, thanks. I'll add those results starting today. If I get a chance, I'll try to back test it.
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steeldco
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July 18th, 2013 at 3:56:07 PM permalink
Arlington Park for 07/18/13
Race # Alternate To Win
1 0
2 Turbalo -$10.00 4th
3 0
4 Awesome Attack $17.00 1st
5 Twist of Silver -$10.00 7th
6 Abby's Slew -$10.00 4th
7 0
8 0
9 Beauty of Scarlet -$10.00 3rd
10
11
12
Net -$23.00


YTD Results:
Alternate -$139.10
Alternate-stop at 1st. Win +$140.9
$1 Trifecta Box +$673.8
Show Bets -$20.00
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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July 19th, 2013 at 1:03:20 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Arlington Park for 07/19/13
Race # Alternate
1 0
2 Mykukubird
3 Que Posse
4 Costly King
5 0
6 Esoteric
7 Sir Bluegrass
8 Just Waiting
9 Dontbetellinme
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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July 20th, 2013 at 7:09:49 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Arlington Park for 07/19/13
Race # Alternate To Win
1 0
2 Mykukubird $44.00 1st
3 Que Posse -$10.00 5th
4 Costly King -$10.00 3rd
5 0
6 Esoteric -$10.00 4th
7 Sir Bluegrass -$10.00 10th
8 Just Waiting -$10.00 7th
9 Dontbetellinme $29.00 1st
10
11
12
Total $23.00

Trifecta Net -$1,126.10


Show Bets -$27.00


YTD Results:
Alternate -$116.10
Alternate-stop at 1st. Win +$184.9
$1 Trifecta Box $-452.3
Show Bets -$47.00
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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July 20th, 2013 at 9:18:19 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Arlington Park for 07/20/13
Race # Alternate
1 Cecileabration
2 Miss Livingston
3 Ambitious Dancer
4 Richysthunderingal
5 0
6 0
7 Bold Kitten
8 Tonzie
9 Ice Climber
10 0
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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July 20th, 2013 at 12:12:19 PM permalink
So in the 2nd. race, a 9 entry, 10 horse field, the trifecta only pays $35??? Really??
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
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