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EvenBob
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May 25th, 2021 at 5:25:03 PM permalink
Quote: rxwine

Didn’t someone say Bitcoin is speculation not investment several times already, or is it just me?



I read a long time ago you should never invest in something you can't hold in your hand. Like gold or silver or a microchip. Invest in things that actually exist, not in ideas. A Ponzi is a good example of investing in something that does not exist.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
darkoz
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May 25th, 2021 at 6:30:01 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

I read a long time ago you should never invest in something you can't hold in your hand. Like gold or silver or a microchip. Invest in things that actually exist, not in ideas. A Ponzi is a good example of investing in something that does not exist.



I read recently that -EV games like Roulette can't be beaten using systems.

I think the Wizard says that.

How do you feel about what the Wizard says?
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billryan
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May 25th, 2021 at 7:08:08 PM permalink
EB doesn't use a system. He has a method.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
ChumpChange
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May 25th, 2021 at 7:52:14 PM permalink
It's kind of hard to win 20 times ahead on even money bets on a double zero wheel in 400 spins because you'll lose 21 times to a green number first.

If you can win big in 10-20 spins, maybe that's all you can expect for the day.
darkoz
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May 25th, 2021 at 8:23:29 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

EB doesn't use a system. He has a method.



He throws the chips, wherever they land and as the ball spins round and round yells out "BITCOIN SUCKS".
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AxelWolf
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May 25th, 2021 at 10:51:56 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

I read a long time ago you should never invest in something you can't hold in your hand. Like gold or silver or a microchip. Invest in things that actually exist, not in ideas. A Ponzi is a good example of investing in something that does not exist.

We were told a long time ago, even by doctors, that smoking was good for you.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
EvenBob
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May 26th, 2021 at 12:16:27 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz

I read recently that -EV games like Roulette can't be beaten using systems.



I wouldn't know, I've never used the system on roulette. As I've said about a thousand times. I make educated guesses, no system involved.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
EvenBob
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May 26th, 2021 at 12:18:24 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

We were told a long time ago, even by doctors, that smoking was good for you.



Actually, no real doctor who wasn't being paid by big tobacco ever said that. The medical profession has been against smoking since the late 19th century.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
darkoz
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May 26th, 2021 at 4:20:57 AM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

I wouldn't know, I've never used the system on roulette. As I've said about a thousand times. I make educated guesses, no system involved.



When I was four years old my pre-kindergarten teacher EDUCATED me quarters have a head and a tail.

I now make educated guesses when I flip a coin.
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vegas
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May 26th, 2021 at 5:51:31 AM permalink
I still think Ethereum will do better than Bitcoin in the long run. Usually whenever there is a dip in prices Bitcoin loses more the Ethereum and when price increases Ethereum gains more than Bitcoin. I am talking percentages on the price. Ethereum is closing the gap between the two. Transactions are much faster on the Ethereum network than on Bitcoin's.
50-50-90 Rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there is a 90% probability you'll get it wrong
DRich
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May 26th, 2021 at 6:53:25 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

I've never said bitcoin is worthless. I don't think it's a good investment at anywhere near the current prices. At 63,000, it needed to go to $125,000 in order for me to double my money. I don't see that happening anytime soon. Someone who bought at $60,000 now has to see bitcoin triple in value to make it a decent investment.



Not for me. If I get north of 5% a year on my investments I consider it a decent investment.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
billryan
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May 26th, 2021 at 8:00:47 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Not for me. If I get north of 5% a year on my investments I consider it a decent investment.




If you lower your expectations enough, you'll be happy.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
darkoz
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May 26th, 2021 at 8:26:44 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

If you lower your expectations enough, you'll be happy.



I'm sure Mark Cuban looks down at your only doubling your money in the same way.

When I was homeless I lived off practically nothing. Perhaps $2 a day (although there were things I didn't pay for like free food and I didn't pay for subway rides)

While I wasn't happy, I also wasn't exactly unhappy. It was simply my situation and I found things to keep me happy (in my case reading at the library and not drugs and alcohol)

There have been stories of millionaires living pauper lives. The money just didn't do anything for them.

Everyone has different attitude about it.
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EvenBob
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May 26th, 2021 at 9:31:58 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz


I now make educated guesses when I flip a coin.



Yeah, that doesn't work in roulette. You need to be a little better educated than that to win.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
darkoz
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May 26th, 2021 at 9:42:07 AM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Yeah, that doesn't work in roulette. You need to be a little better educated than that to win.



I consider the Wizard to be one of the most educated in regards to gambling.

And he says you can't beat roulette without some advantage which you haven't described.

You sound like you are doing an MDawg! "I win at -EV games like roulette, just believe me, I make educated guesses".
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EvenBob
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May 26th, 2021 at 10:29:08 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz


And he says you can't beat roulette



If I were you I would listen to him. If I were you...
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
SOOPOO
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May 26th, 2021 at 1:18:45 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

We were told a long time ago, even by doctors, that smoking was good for you.



Reference please. (You are better at finding them than I am...)
darkoz
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May 26th, 2021 at 1:38:59 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Reference please. (You are better at finding them than I am...)









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SOOPOO
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May 26th, 2021 at 2:03:31 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz









Those are advertisements with actors I would assume?

And saying one is ‘less irritating’ than others is not the same as saying ‘you should smoke them’!

So can you show me evidence of a real doctor organization ever supporting cigarette use? Still waiting...
AxelWolf
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May 26th, 2021 at 2:42:01 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: darkoz









Those are advertisements with actors I would assume?

And saying one is ‘less irritating’ than others is not the same as saying ‘you should smoke them’!

So can you show me evidence of a real doctor organization ever supporting cigarette use? Still waiting...

Oh Gawd!! Are you missing the point? The point is...We had been told lots of things a long time ago that was flat out wrong or that doesn't apply anymore. Some people are stuck in the past with the same old school mentality that doesn't apply anymore, some people can/won't adapt to the present.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
darkoz
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May 26th, 2021 at 3:44:17 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: darkoz









Those are advertisements with actors I would assume?

And saying one is ‘less irritating’ than others is not the same as saying ‘you should smoke them’!

So can you show me evidence of a real doctor organization ever supporting cigarette use? Still waiting...



Those are actual physicians giving their opinions on cigarettes.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1470496/

The gist of the government link above is that physicians themselves were huge cigarette smokers and apparently many gave their seal of approval on cigarettes not being harmful in return for free cigarette cartons.

Physicians are human and just like anyone else are subject to graft and corruption.

Regardless, the American public saw actual physicians giving their blessings to cigarettes and we're seriously misled
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rxwine
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May 28th, 2021 at 9:43:26 AM permalink
Law enforcement thought they were raiding a cannabis farm with the amount of electricity being stolen. Little did they know...

There's no secret. Just know what you're talking about before you open your mouth.
OnceDear
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May 28th, 2021 at 9:49:38 AM permalink
Quote: rxwine

Law enforcement thought they were raiding a cannabis farm with the amount of electricity being stolen. Little did they know...



https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-birmingham-57280115
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
rxwine
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May 28th, 2021 at 9:54:44 AM permalink
Some people might want to start checking police auctions if they'd like to assemble a bank of computers.
There's no secret. Just know what you're talking about before you open your mouth.
billryan
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May 28th, 2021 at 11:08:49 AM permalink
Down another 10%.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
darkoz
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May 28th, 2021 at 11:22:06 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Down another 10%.



It's down from yesterday but up from May 23rd.

I can probably point to just about anything that has a fluctuating price, compare it to a given time frame and make a statement about losses.
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billryan
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May 28th, 2021 at 11:30:48 AM permalink
Find me an asset that dropped from a market value of over a billion dollars to under 600 million in three weeks.
I'm sure there are some, but they will be few and far between.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
EvenBob
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May 28th, 2021 at 11:33:44 AM permalink
Just saw a report that said Bitcoin will never be a widespread legitimate currency because every bit of it can be manipulated almost on a daily basis by the super rich. As happened with Elon Musk.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
darkoz
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May 28th, 2021 at 11:43:08 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Find me an asset that dropped from a market value of over a billion dollars to under 600 million in three weeks.
I'm sure there are some, but they will be few and far between.



Find me an asset that appreciated from a market value of $1 a decade ago to $64,000 a decade later.

I'm sure there are some, but they will be few and far between.

EDIT: Or even from $1 to $35,000 in a decade
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billryan
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May 28th, 2021 at 11:47:51 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Find me an asset that appreciated in value from $1 a decade ago to $64,000.

I'm sure there are some, but the will be few and far between.



Imitation is a sincere sign of flattery,
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
EvenBob
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May 28th, 2021 at 12:23:48 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Find me an asset that appreciated from a market value of $1 a decade ago to $64,000 a decade later.



Either scenario is not good, in fact it's very bad. Ever hear the slogan 'easy come easy go'. What goes up quickly out of all proportion to reason usually comes down just as quickly. No matter how much you want to avoid it Bitcoin always has been and always will be a scheme.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
mcallister3200
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May 28th, 2021 at 12:28:51 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

No matter how much you want to avoid it Bitcoin always has been and always will be a scheme.



We are living in a scheme no matter how much we want to avoid it. Unfortunately the only way of opting out comes with no future.
darkoz
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May 28th, 2021 at 1:26:00 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Either scenario is not good, in fact it's very bad. Ever hear the slogan 'easy come easy go'. What goes up quickly out of all proportion to reason usually comes down just as quickly. No matter how much you want to avoid it Bitcoin always has been and always will be a scheme.



Pretty much like the stock market.

And yes the stock market has crashed in the past
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EvenBob
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May 28th, 2021 at 4:09:11 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Pretty much like the stock market.



Not at all like the stock market, I can't believe you said that. The stock market is based on the value of real brick and mortar for the most part companies that have actual value. Bitcoin is based on a collectible that, like Beanie Babies, only has value because a few people agree that it does.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
AxelWolf
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May 28th, 2021 at 4:37:38 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Just saw a report that said Bitcoin will never be a widespread legitimate currency because every bit of it can be manipulated almost on a daily basis by the super rich. As happened with Elon Musk.

Just read something that said BTC was going to 500k, that's Sounds absurd...I know, but I'm sure you thought it sounded absurd when people were predicting 50k, I certainly didn't think it would ever get that high. while you were claiming it was the next Beanie Baby, contrary to your beliefs and knowledge people were loading up and getting rich.
whatever you read about BTC's future is probably meaningless since everyone is just guessing.


Bitcoin doesn't need to become a legit currency used for daily widespread transactions to succeed.



I'm not sure what the offshore online casino market is worth per year, and it's meaningless to the success of BTC, but it seems to be booming, and most of them accept BTC.

keep sitting there and armchair quarterbacking, eventually you will be correct about something.


Instead of sitting around telling everyone how bad BTC is... here you go...(Bill you can short it as well)
5 Ways to Short Bitcoin
https://www.investopedia.com/news/short-bitcoin/

P.S. had you been using bitcoin on Bovada with your "winning roulette method" like I advised you would be rolling in it by now.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
billryan
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May 28th, 2021 at 4:51:01 PM permalink
I don't short things. I stay in my lane and invest in things I know and that are known commodities.
How do you think bitcoin can succeed without becoming a legit entity used for daily widespread transactions?

At a point in the very near future, bitcoin will be fully harvested with no more being made. If it isn't able to capture a large portion of paypals business and other pay services, how will it succeed? You've been invested for a good while. What makes you confident it will recoup the losses of the last month or so?
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
darkoz
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May 28th, 2021 at 5:05:03 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Not at all like the stock market, I can't believe you said that. The stock market is based on the value of real brick and mortar for the most part companies that have actual value. Bitcoin is based on a collectible that, like Beanie Babies, only has value because a few people agree that it does.



Lol, if you gave me a dollar for every brick and mortar company that ever went belly up throughout history I would have more than the current price of a Bitcoin.

Apparently EB you would prefer to own 100 shares of Blockbuster video than a single Bitcoin.

It's obvious how well you would fare
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AxelWolf
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May 28th, 2021 at 7:00:52 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

I don't short things. I stay in my lane and invest in things I know and that are known commodities.
How do you think bitcoin can succeed without becoming a legit entity used for daily widespread transactions?

At a point in the very near future, bitcoin will be fully harvested with no more being made. If it isn't able to capture a large portion of paypals business and other pay services, how will it succeed? You've been invested for a good while. What makes you confident it will recoup the losses of the last month or so?

I am not confident either way, I have no clue what the future of BTC is. I ask people to tell me why they think it's going to go up given the recent backpedaling from Musk and the china regulations, and why people think it's going to down.

Last I heard eBay(who owns Paypal) is pushing to accept bitcoin and the NFT'S. If they find a way to integrate it with Paypal then perhaps that will change your mind?

Years ago, this was when there was only a hand full of places that would take BTC, I meet a guy at the Tropicana. He was asking for VP advice on hands. It turns out he worked for Paypal in management for the fraud and security department, or whatever you call it. I asked him about Bitcoin being accepted on eBay. He said BTC will never be accepted there because it would be a fraud nightmare for them. I can't say for sure, but that comment may have delayed me from buying BTC. I can almost guarantee you, had he been optimistic about eBay taking BTC, I would have been eager to buy some.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
AxelWolf
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May 28th, 2021 at 7:14:32 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Lol, if you gave me a dollar for every brick and mortar company that ever went belly up throughout history I would have more than the current price of a Bitcoin.

Apparently EB you would prefer to own 100 shares of Blockbuster video than a single Bitcoin.

It's obvious how well you would fare

Back in 1997 had you told me AOL(The king of online) would be all but dead now, and that Amazon(a company selling books online) would be a behemoth today, I would have thought you were a nutjob. I did buy AOL and I avoided buying Amazon.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
darkoz
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May 28th, 2021 at 7:20:14 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

I am not confident either way, I have no clue what the future of BTC is. I ask people to tell me why they think it's going to go up given the recent backpedaling from Musk and the china regulations, and why people think it's going to down.

Last I heard eBay(who owns Paypal) is pushing to accept bitcoin and the NFT'S. If they find a way to integrate it with Paypal then perhaps that will change your mind?

Years ago, this was when there was only a hand full of places that would take BTC, I meet a guy at the Tropicana. He was asking for VP advice on hands. It turns out he worked for Paypal in management for the fraud and security department, or whatever you call it. I asked him about Bitcoin being accepted on eBay. He said BTC will never be accepted there because it would be a fraud nightmare for them. I can't say for sure, but that comment may have delayed me from buying BTC. I can almost guarantee you, had he been optimistic about eBay taking BTC, I would have been eager to buy some.



You can already use crypto to purchase anywhere visa is accepted

https://www.investopedia.com/best-bitcoin-debit-cards-5114761

As for brick and mortar companies, Visa isn't a brick and mortar service aside from they have offices somewhere. It's guess what? A service to help people make purchases

It has as much physicality you can hold in your hand status as Bitcoin especially now they have Crypto currency Debit cards.
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EvenBob
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May 28th, 2021 at 9:58:54 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz



As for brick and mortar companies, Visa isn't a brick and mortar service aside from they have offices somewhere.



Do you invent this crap as you go along? Visa Inc is a financial corporation headquartered in California. It processes electronic funds transfers and is very much a brick and mortar company that employs over 20,000 people. How do you process fund transfers if you don't have brick and mortar buildings for the computer equipment. They process over 100 billion transactions a year.

Comparing Bitcoin to Visa is ridiculous. Bitcoin has no organization, it has no headquarters, it has no board of directors, it's a nothing burger known as a 'speculative bubble'. It has no organization controlling it therefore it can be controlled by anybody with enough money to do so.

(an economic bubble or asset bubble (sometimes also referred to as a speculative bubble, a market bubble, a price bubble, a financial bubble, a speculative mania, or a balloon) is a situation in which asset prices appear to be based on implausible or inconsistent views about the future.)
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
darkoz
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May 28th, 2021 at 10:19:57 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

How do you process fund transfers if you don't have brick and mortar buildings for the computer equipment.



You actually don't understand that Bitcoin uses computer equipment located in brick and mortar facilities called Mining Farms to process fund transfers?

And since you are so hung up on Visa, they now accept Crypto currency.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2021/03/29/visa-moves-to-allow-payment-settlements-using-cryptocurrency.html
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billryan
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May 29th, 2021 at 1:14:46 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

I am not confident either way, I have no clue what the future of BTC is. I ask people to tell me why they think it's going to go up given the recent backpedaling from Musk and the china regulations, and why people think it's going to down.

Last I heard eBay(who owns Paypal) is pushing to accept bitcoin and the NFT'S. If they find a way to integrate it with Paypal then perhaps that will change your mind?

Years ago, this was when there was only a hand full of places that would take BTC, I meet a guy at the Tropicana. He was asking for VP advice on hands. It turns out he worked for Paypal in management for the fraud and security department, or whatever you call it. I asked him about Bitcoin being accepted on eBay. He said BTC will never be accepted there because it would be a fraud nightmare for them. I can't say for sure, but that comment may have delayed me from buying BTC. I can almost guarantee you, had he been optimistic about eBay taking BTC, I would have been eager to buy some.



eBay no long owns Paypal. They spun it off a separate business years ago and recently made a change so paypal is not the main payment agent.
As I said, I'm not anti- bitcoin. I just don't see it as a good investment. I also think a lot of Americans will sour on it when the IRS and states start demanding their share. People who bought for a few dollars and get out at $30,000 are going to start getting some hefty tax bills
Sadly, the main supporters of bitcoin keep misrepresenting it, but it apparently is more out of ignorance than intentional misleading.
Last edited by: OnceDear on May 29, 2021
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
darkoz
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May 29th, 2021 at 2:07:47 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

People who bought for a few dollars and get out at $30,000 are going to start getting some hefty tax bills
.



I don't understand why this is an issue? Wouldn't anything that made someone profit be taxable?

I would prefer to make $30,000 sitting on my arse for a few years and then owe proper taxes than sitting on my arse making nothing because I didn't invest.
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lilredrooster
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May 29th, 2021 at 4:26:00 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf



keep sitting there and armchair quarterbacking, eventually you will be correct about something.





EB and people like him either don't see or refuse to acknowledge that the internet has changed things forever



the usual stuff doesn't apply anymore




with no internet the Crypto thing would have collapsed quickly




with the internet Crypto has become gigantic - and I doubt that will change anytime soon






*
Please don't feed the trolls
EvenBob
EvenBob
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Joined: Jul 18, 2010
May 29th, 2021 at 8:46:53 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz

You actually don't understand that Bitcoin uses computer equipment located in brick and mortar



What is Bitcoins brick-and-mortar address again, I seem to have forgotten. That's right, they don't have one. I do have the address for the US Treasury however..
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
EvenBob
EvenBob
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May 29th, 2021 at 8:50:28 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster


with the internet Crypto has become gigantic -



You have no idea how big Beanie Babies were at one time, people thought they would be here forever.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
darkoz
darkoz 
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May 29th, 2021 at 9:11:15 AM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

What is Bitcoins brick-and-mortar address again, I seem to have forgotten. That's right, they don't have one. I do have the address for the US Treasury however..



Okay you win.

Here is the main address to Fries Electronics with several Brick and Mortar stores open you can invest in

550 East Brokaw Road San Jose, CA 95112 USA

Good luck!
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
billryan
billryan
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Calder
May 29th, 2021 at 10:00:40 AM permalink
The whole discussion jumped the shark when DO sought to compare bitcoin to Visa.
If it wasn't obvious that DO had little to no understanding of the situation before, this comparison alone ended the need for future exchanges.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
darkoz
darkoz 
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May 29th, 2021 at 10:22:30 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

The whole discussion jumped the shark when DO sought to compare bitcoin to Visa.
If it wasn't obvious that DO had little to no understanding of the situation before, this comparison alone ended the need for future exchanges.



Then goodbye!

EDIT:. Discussion really should have ended when EB compared Bitcoin to Beanie Babies ten years ago and the price of these so-called beanie babies went up from $1 to $34,000
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
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