richodude
richodude
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Joined: Jul 29, 2022
September 12th, 2022 at 3:53:47 PM permalink
I bought the software and ran a basic hilo simulation with ill 18 and fab 4, 6 decks, H17, and the standard rules. After 10 billion rounds I get back some results that show a 0.85% advantage at a true 1 which you might think looks very high for that count. It also gives an edge of -.5% at true 0, and a whopping 5% at a true 5. I did another simulation for 2 hands and it came back as a .95% advantage for a true 1. The included "HiLo Sweet 16 & Fab 4" simulation gives a 0.28% advantage at a true 1. What gives? If I apply the exact same 5-100 bet spread for each mine and the included sims, my EV per hour is $5 and $20 respectively. With my simulation, the ideal bet spread is $5 minimum, $25 at a true 1, and $100 at a true 2 and above. That just seems outrageous. Why would these sims be so different?
DogHand
DogHand
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Joined: Sep 24, 2011
September 12th, 2022 at 5:36:45 PM permalink
richodude,

These results do seem puzzling.

I suggest you take this question to Norm's website at blackjacktheforum.com, where I am sure Norm will be able to assist you.

Dog Hand
IWannaBeAP
IWannaBeAP
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Joined: Aug 22, 2022
September 23rd, 2022 at 12:58:32 AM permalink
I echo that CVData is super confusing and extremely user-unfriendly. The ugly sim assistant with a creepy voice doesn't help either. I'm still learning and struggling through how to get accurate sims.
IWannaBeAP
IWannaBeAP
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September 23rd, 2022 at 12:59:34 AM permalink
Wait a min, CVCX? Isn't CVData the simulator for what you're trying to do?
camapl
camapl
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September 23rd, 2022 at 1:18:37 AM permalink
Quote: IWannaBeAP

…The ugly sim assistant with a creepy voice doesn't help either…
link to original post



Does the assistant have RBF, too?
Expectation is the root of all heartache.
IWannaBeAP
IWannaBeAP
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September 23rd, 2022 at 1:50:18 AM permalink
Quote: camapl

Quote: IWannaBeAP

…The ugly sim assistant with a creepy voice doesn't help either…
link to original post



Does the assistant have RBF, too?
link to original post



She never smiles
richodude
richodude
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Joined: Jul 29, 2022
September 23rd, 2022 at 1:09:56 PM permalink
Solution: I had use half decks for the divisor selected. I thought this would round to the half deck when deciding how many decks were left. instead this divided the RC by the amount of half decks left effectively halving my TC aka my true 1 was actually a true 2
IWannaBeAP
IWannaBeAP
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Joined: Aug 22, 2022
September 23rd, 2022 at 2:19:35 PM permalink
Quote: richodude

Solution: I had use half decks for the divisor selected. I thought this would round to the half deck when deciding how many decks were left. instead this divided the RC by the amount of half decks left effectively halving my TC aka my true 1 was actually a true 2
link to original post



Try the "exact card" divisor, it worked for me in terms of getting an more accurate simulation
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