For the last year, I've been playing at an online casino that has a built in player advantage of ~0.4%. This is not a live dealer game. It is a RNG game with rules that favor the player based on a discrepancy in the stated gameplay rules, and the actual rules programmed in the game.
I've been tracking my results for almost a year and am sharing them here. I'd like to know from the experts on this forum, is this game rigged or not?
I am currently 4.5 SD's away from expected results based on my calcs.
I cannot post link to google spreadsheet yet because I don't have 20 posts - will try to get to 20 and post it after..
Quote: WizardMeanwhile, feel free to post a summary of your results. It will be nice to see an accusation of casino cheating with numbers as opposed to insults, starting with the letter N, for a change.
Understood.
Here's the summary.
155,865 hands played
2,848,140 total wagered
Win/Loss = -$25,690
Expected player advantage 0.4%
Std Deviation per hand = 1.12 (I used 1.2544 in my calcs because I normally play two hands at a time)
Avg bet size - $18.27
Anything else you need?
Edit: I used cardcounting.com/calcrisk.htm to get this odds of this result.
Quote: Johnboy85Understood.
Here's the summary.
155,865 hands played
2,848,140 total wagered
Win/Loss = -$25,690
Expected player advantage 0.4%
Std Deviation per hand = 1.12 (I used 1.2544 in my calcs because I normally play two hands at a time)
Avg bet size - $18.27
Anything else you need?
Thanks. I'll need to know the amount bet for every hand to get the standard deviation of your play as a whole.
155,865 hands -- that is quite a few!
I do not have individual hand histories as that data cannot be downloaded from this shop. I only have data for each "day" as a whole.
Correct me if I'm wrong, is the 4.5 SD I cited via the website calculator above not enough?
Edit to ask: furthermore, if you had individual hand histories, how much could this theoretically change the SD of my play as a whole. I say this because I will admit that most sessions were in the $5 flat betting range, while very few sessions had avg bet sizes of $50-$75 when my bankroll grew quickly.
Quote: Johnboy85Hi All,
For the last year, I've been playing at an online casino that has a built in player advantage of ~0.4%. This is not a live dealer game. It is a RNG game with rules that favor the player based on a discrepancy in the stated gameplay rules, and the actual rules programmed in the game.
I've been tracking my results for almost a year and am sharing them here. I'd like to know from the experts on this forum, is this game rigged or not?
I am currently 4.5 SD's away from expected results based on my calcs.
I cannot post link to google spreadsheet yet because I don't have 20 posts - will try to get to 20 and post it after..
What are the rules of the game?
Are you sure this discrepancy is worth as much as you think?
Quote: HunterhillWhat are the rules of the game?
Are you sure this discrepancy is worth as much as you think?
I knew this question would come up and respectfully I will keep that a secret for now as I think if I divulged this, it would be a giveaway and could alert the operator of their mistake.
Quote: Johnboy85I knew this question would come up and respectfully I will keep that a secret for now as I think if I divulged this, it would be a giveaway and could alert the operator of their mistake.
Understandable.