TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
  • Threads: 37
  • Posts: 3616
Joined: May 22, 2013
May 22nd, 2013 at 7:20:57 AM permalink
Wow, had to enter a 40 digit code to join the site and I got it right on the 1st try!
Generally accepted strategy says to double a hard 10 (7-3, 6-4, 5-5) against dealer hands up to a 9, also says to never split two 10 cards. I cannot reconcile those statements. I've been splitting 10's against dealer showing 5 or 6 and seems to be working out. What am I missing? Please don't slam me just cause I'm a novice... 2F
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
FleaStiff
FleaStiff
  • Threads: 265
  • Posts: 14484
Joined: Oct 19, 2009
May 22nd, 2013 at 7:28:52 AM permalink
I think there have actually been a few threads that focused on the math of splitting 10s and in certain circumstances its either the right thing to do or if its in second place its by such a narrow margin as virtually makes no difference. In actual play one tip or one error can eat up a great many perfect plays. Often the difference between optimal play and second-best is a very narrow margin.

Indeed, for certain purposes such as easy remembering of the rules... many "lesser strategies" are presented on this site and often used by players simply because some people have mathematical difficulties with "optimal" but can do okay with an abbreviated rule set that although less than optimal is easy to remember and easy to apply without delaying the game or making errors.
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
  • Threads: 37
  • Posts: 3616
Joined: May 22, 2013
May 22nd, 2013 at 7:39:47 AM permalink
Thanks for the response. How do I locate those old threads about splitting 10s ? I'd like to read them. And thanks for the advice. In actual play, I watch whether the gnats are flying clockwise circles or counterclockwise ;-) 2F
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
tringlomane
tringlomane
  • Threads: 8
  • Posts: 6281
Joined: Aug 25, 2012
May 22nd, 2013 at 5:37:29 PM permalink
In a neutral count scenario, splitting tens vs. 5 or 6 is less profitable than standing. It's actually still a winning play, it just wins less than standing. And optimal strategy is about maximizing your winnings, therefore, optimal strategy says to stand.

20 is a very strong hand vs. 5 or 6. Hell, it's very strong vs. any up card. When you split and your hands end up becoming 15 and 18, for example, then you're not as strong.
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
  • Threads: 37
  • Posts: 3616
Joined: May 22, 2013
May 22nd, 2013 at 7:18:13 PM permalink
<deleted, I embarrassed myself>
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
aceofspades
aceofspades
  • Threads: 366
  • Posts: 6506
Joined: Apr 4, 2012
May 22nd, 2013 at 8:11:13 PM permalink
Quote: TwoFeathersATL

BS.. Not true... I don't count, period. The strategy as stated by almost everyone, they are wrong. Either you double a hard 10 vs a dealer 9 or below, and you split 10s on some combinations, or you don't. You cannot have it work out both ways. Again, I'm calling BS. Big time BS, super BS. I got the math.. And the balls... 2F -ATL








Hunterhill
Hunterhill
  • Threads: 53
  • Posts: 2151
Joined: Aug 1, 2011
May 22nd, 2013 at 8:21:07 PM permalink
Quote: TwoFeathersATL

BS.. Not true... I don't count, period. The strategy as stated by almost everyone, they are wrong. Either you double a hard 10 vs a dealer 9 or below, and you split 10s on some combinations, or you don't. You cannot have it work out both ways. Again, I'm calling BS. Big time BS, super BS. I got the math.. And the balls... 2F -ATL

Yup everyone is wrong,you are right,but don`t tell anyone about splitting the tens,we were keeping it a secret.
The mountain is tall but grass grows on top of the mountain.
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
  • Threads: 37
  • Posts: 3616
Joined: May 22, 2013
May 23rd, 2013 at 4:51:32 AM permalink
I can keep a secret, am keeping several at the moment. I almost think I could like you Hunterhill. I don't suppose you are fairly young, and fairly cute, and actually born as female? (ps- you don't have to be all that cute, or that young, but you got to be born and remain female). 2F ATL
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
tringlomane
tringlomane
  • Threads: 8
  • Posts: 6281
Joined: Aug 25, 2012
May 23rd, 2013 at 9:02:25 PM permalink
Quote: TwoFeathersATL

The strategy as stated by almost everyone, they are wrong. Either you double a hard 10 vs a dealer 9 or below, and you split 10s on some combinations, or you don't.



This makes no sense. If you want to play optimally as a non-counter, you always double hard 10 vs 9 or less, and never split 10s. Are you talking about splitting 5s? You never split 5s either; you either double or hit them depending on the upcard just like you would with hard 10.

But you can play however you would like, and special players get dealers telling their bosses how great they play!
sodawater
sodawater
  • Threads: 64
  • Posts: 3321
Joined: May 14, 2012
May 23rd, 2013 at 11:54:26 PM permalink
what a great new contributor to the forum.
djatc
djatc
  • Threads: 83
  • Posts: 4477
Joined: Jan 15, 2013
May 24th, 2013 at 12:23:15 AM permalink
If you can influence the cards to come out tens, then you should always split tens. Aces would be good too, but let's not get too greedy here.
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
mycran
mycran
  • Threads: 11
  • Posts: 63
Joined: Jun 28, 2012
May 25th, 2013 at 8:04:58 PM permalink
Splitting tens can be a good way to get rid of certain players,so what ever boats your float.
There are three types of people in this world,those who can count and those who can not.
Yo11
Yo11
  • Threads: 5
  • Posts: 45
Joined: May 15, 2013
May 25th, 2013 at 9:28:36 PM permalink
Quote: aceofspades



Exactly this.
Yo field, yo come, both gunna get you some!
Jufo81
Jufo81
  • Threads: 6
  • Posts: 344
Joined: May 23, 2010
May 26th, 2013 at 3:55:48 AM permalink
Interestingly splitting 10's vs. 6 would be the correct move whenever dealer's hole card is any of 7-8-9-10, that is 7 out of 13 times. So splitting 10's ends up being the correct play more than of 50% time. But the average gain in these 7 out of 13 times is less than the average loss in the other 6 out of 13 times (when hole card is A-2-3-4-5-6) making splitting tens suboptimal overall.
1BB
1BB
  • Threads: 18
  • Posts: 5339
Joined: Oct 10, 2011
May 26th, 2013 at 6:44:13 AM permalink
Quote: Jufo81

Interestingly splitting 10's vs. 6 would be the correct move whenever dealer's hole card is any of 7-8-9-10, that is 7 out of 13 times. So splitting 10's ends up being the correct play more than of 50% time. But the average gain in these 7 out of 13 times is less than the average loss in the other 6 out of 13 times (when hole card is A-2-3-4-5-6) making splitting tens suboptimal overall.



You lost me there, Jufo. Do you count?
Many people, especially ignorant people, want to punish you for speaking the truth. - Mahatma Ghandi
Jufo81
Jufo81
  • Threads: 6
  • Posts: 344
Joined: May 23, 2010
May 26th, 2013 at 10:55:48 AM permalink
Quote: 1BB

You lost me there, Jufo. Do you count?



No, I meant without counting.

You should split 10s whenever dealer two-card total is any of Hard 13,14,15,16 (see: https://wizardofodds.com/games/blackjack/appendix/16/ ). With dealer Six upcard and without knowing the hole card it means that splitting 10s will be the correct move 7/13 of time and wrong move 6/13 of time. So interestingly splitting tens is the correct move more often than wrong move, despite having lower EV than standing.
boymimbo
boymimbo
  • Threads: 17
  • Posts: 5994
Joined: Nov 12, 2009
May 26th, 2013 at 11:32:55 AM permalink
Splitting 10s against a bust card means that you are going to get a 12-16 5/13 of the time. The dealer meanwhile only busts at most 42.1% of the time on a 6. So the dealer makes a hand 57.9% of the time. That means that you are going to lose by splitting 10s at least 22% of the time.
----- You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
AceTwo
AceTwo
  • Threads: 5
  • Posts: 359
Joined: Mar 13, 2012
June 4th, 2013 at 9:45:41 AM permalink
Comparing apples with oranges.
Having a 20 (10,10) v 6 is a very good hand which wins most of the time, pushes rarely and loses infrequently with an EV of around +70%. Ignoring pushes this translates to wining 85% of the time.

Hiting a 10 a single time (spliting 10,10 v 6 means exactly that as any result you get you will not hit again) has an EV of around +30%. Ignoring pushes this translates to wining around 65% of the time.
The Ev of spliting 10,10 v 6 (spliting only once) is 2 X 30% = 60% which is lower than the correct decision of standing with a higher EV at 70%.
And you see the reason for that is that it reduces the possibility of winning from 85% to 65% and even though you get two hands its still does not compensate as the EV is reduced by more than 50% for each hand.

Comparing the Doubling of 10 with Splitting 10,10 is like comparing apples with oranges.
With a 10,10 you already have a very Strong Hand and by spliting it you reduce its power by more than 50% on each of the two hands.
10 v 6 is a weaker hand but still a +EV hand and if you were to hit youonly hit once (any total from 12 you get you do not hit again in BS).
Any time you have a +EV hand (and you would only hit once if you were to hit) you Double as you double the positive Ev.
BigJer
BigJer
  • Threads: 46
  • Posts: 306
Joined: Sep 16, 2012
June 5th, 2013 at 1:00:29 PM permalink
Quote: Yo11

Quote: aceofspades



Exactly this.



I brought some popcorn! Ya want any?
The Terror of Casinos.
1BB
1BB
  • Threads: 18
  • Posts: 5339
Joined: Oct 10, 2011
August 7th, 2015 at 9:32:37 AM permalink
Quote: TwoFeathersATL

BS.. Not true... I don't count, period. The strategy as stated by almost everyone, they are wrong. Either you double a hard 10 vs a dealer 9 or below, and you split 10s on some combinations, or you don't. You cannot have it work out both ways. Again, I'm calling BS. Big time BS, super BS. I got the math.. And the balls... 2F -ATL



Here's a little gem from a couple of years ago. Enjoy!
Many people, especially ignorant people, want to punish you for speaking the truth. - Mahatma Ghandi
teddys
teddys
  • Threads: 150
  • Posts: 5527
Joined: Nov 14, 2009
August 7th, 2015 at 10:15:01 AM permalink
I did not enjoy. Who can I ask for a refund?
"Dice, verily, are armed with goads and driving-hooks, deceiving and tormenting, causing grievous woe." -Rig Veda 10.34.4
rainman
rainman
  • Threads: 18
  • Posts: 1863
Joined: Mar 28, 2012
August 7th, 2015 at 10:23:05 AM permalink
Quote: teddys

I did not enjoy. Who can I ask for a refund?



I am disappointed in you teddy, you know it's in the fine print ("NO REFUNDS EVER").
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
  • Threads: 37
  • Posts: 3616
Joined: May 22, 2013
August 7th, 2015 at 12:56:56 PM permalink
Quote: 1BB

Here's a little gem from a couple of years ago. Enjoy!


Dear 1BB
So cute of you to drag up one of my posts from the 'long' past.
But I wonder, maybe others wonder, what the hell you were doing digging around in my underwear drawer?
Were you trying to embarrass me? Pls no, that's way too easy.
Were you trying to make yourself look good, look superior perhaps? 50/50 there.
Do you want the BanHammer yourself? Some friend of yours already posted, repeatedly, how you could get that hammer.
Are you chasing EB in number of posts?
Got no one to stand up for on the suspension list lately?
Having a hard time complaining about the moderator's actions?
Or do you just really think you don't like me?
That thought makes me sad, for a moment, for a moment only.
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
Greasyjohn
Greasyjohn
  • Threads: 135
  • Posts: 2178
Joined: Dec 8, 2013
August 7th, 2015 at 1:20:11 PM permalink
Quote: TwoFeathersATL

Wow, had to enter a 40 digit code to join the site and I got it right on the 1st try!
Generally accepted strategy says to double a hard 10 (7-3, 6-4, 5-5) against dealer hands up to a 9, also says to never split two 10 cards. I cannot reconcile those statements. I've been splitting 10's against dealer showing 5 or 6 and seems to be working out. What am I missing? Please don't slam me just cause I'm a novice... 2F



Hey 2F,

In a 6-deck game you'd need about 27 or more 3-6 out of the shoe than 10s to make this a desirable play. This statistic is proven by simulation. If you've had success in the short run that's only variance.
1BB
1BB
  • Threads: 18
  • Posts: 5339
Joined: Oct 10, 2011
August 7th, 2015 at 1:31:21 PM permalink
Quote: TwoFeathersATL

Dear 1BB
So cute of you to drag up one of my posts from the 'long' past.
But I wonder, maybe others wonder, what the hell you were doing digging around in my underwear drawer?
Were you trying to embarrass me? Pls no, that's way too easy.
Were you trying to make yourself look good, look superior perhaps? 50/50 there.
Do you want the BanHammer yourself? Some friend of yours already posted, repeatedly, how you could get that hammer.
Are you chasing EB in number of posts?
Got no one to stand up for on the suspension list lately?
Having a hard time complaining about the moderator's actions?
Or do you just really think you don't like me?
That thought makes me sad, for a moment, for a moment only.



I was reading old posts about blackjack. This is still a gambling forum.

No to all seven of your questions. Don't be sad.
Many people, especially ignorant people, want to punish you for speaking the truth. - Mahatma Ghandi
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
  • Threads: 37
  • Posts: 3616
Joined: May 22, 2013
August 7th, 2015 at 1:36:19 PM permalink
Quote: 1BB

I was reading old posts about blackjack. This is still a gambling forum.

No to all seven of your questions. Don't be sad.


I call BS on 1BB.
BS
2F
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
1BB
1BB
  • Threads: 18
  • Posts: 5339
Joined: Oct 10, 2011
August 7th, 2015 at 2:14:02 PM permalink
Quote: TwoFeathersATL

I call BS on 1BB.
BS
2F



Yet another post by you where you call BS. Now that's sad.
Many people, especially ignorant people, want to punish you for speaking the truth. - Mahatma Ghandi
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
  • Threads: 37
  • Posts: 3616
Joined: May 22, 2013
August 7th, 2015 at 2:28:44 PM permalink
Quote: 1BB

Yet another post by you where you call BS. Now that's sad.


But you made no attempt to defend yourself?
You can do better than telling some story about reading old Blackjack threads, can't you?
I got faith in you, don't let me down ;-)
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
  • Jump to: