alacran
alacran
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May 17th, 2013 at 8:25:24 PM permalink
Free Bet Blackjack is an interesting game. the Wizard has given us a good strategy to play, but it is still a neg expectation game. Can card counting be used to make it a positive expectation game? and if so, what might be the expectations?
tringlomane
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May 17th, 2013 at 8:45:50 PM permalink
Unlikely. The house edge is too high on the base game to make a huge dent in it. Also at least when I played at Mirage, they were using a Continuous Shuffling Machine, making counting much, much less valuable. Any form of hi-lo counting should help shave down the house edge though.

The game is designed for more casual players who are a bit on the risk-adverse side. Serious card counters can find better blackjack games in many places.
Wizard
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August 7th, 2014 at 3:04:52 PM permalink
Sorry to wake up an old thread, but I like to avoid starting new threads wherever I can, when an old one is available.

I am just announcing that I updated my Free Bet Blackjack page with the new standard rules. The rules changes since the Golden Nugget opening, that my old page was based on, are:

1. No more double or free doubles with three or more cards.
2. No more surrender.
3. Free splits of fours is allowed.

Under the new rules, the house edge is 1.02%. This comes from the math report by Stephen How of Discount Gambling. Speaking of that site, it still reflects the old Golden Nugget rules.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
tringlomane
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August 7th, 2014 at 4:30:18 PM permalink
Looks good, thanks for the update!
Paradigm
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August 7th, 2014 at 8:47:55 PM permalink
Agree, update looks good and can now be relied on for +/- on HE. Previous version wasn't easy to decipher and I wasn't sure some of it was correct. Good job on the update, Wiz!
ShineyShine
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August 7th, 2014 at 9:58:57 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Sorry to wake up an old thread, but I like to avoid starting new threads wherever I can, when an old one is available.

I am just announcing that I updated my Free Bet Blackjack page with the new standard rules. The rules changes since the Golden Nugget opening, that my old page was based on, are:

1. No more double or free doubles with three or more cards.
2. No more surrender.
3. Free splits of fours is allowed.

Under the new rules, the house edge is 1.02%. This comes from the math report by Stephen How of Discount Gambling. Speaking of that site, it still reflects the old Golden Nugget rules.



What exactly does 'No more double or free doubles with three or more cards' mean? Apologies if this seems like a really dumb question, and it's something obvious i'm missing, but i cant get my head around this. Does it mean three or more cards on the same hand, and that the player could previously hit and then double? I've only ever known doubling on on the first two cards. Or is it related to splitting?
Switch
Switch
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August 8th, 2014 at 9:05:50 AM permalink
Nice update Mike. This reflects the main version out there now in the US casinos.

ShineyShine, the original version allowed you to have free doubles on any number of cards that totalled 9,10 or 11. This version is no longer available as it reduced the house edge too much, especially if 'Surrender' was included.
Wizard
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August 8th, 2014 at 9:41:18 AM permalink
Quote: Switch

Nice update Mike. This reflects the main version out there now in the US casinos.



Thanks Geoff!
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Ahigh
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August 8th, 2014 at 9:47:22 AM permalink
Quote: Switch

Nice update Mike. This reflects the main version out there now in the US casinos.

ShineyShine, the original version allowed you to have free doubles on any number of cards that totalled 9,10 or 11. This version is no longer available as it reduced the house edge too much, especially if 'Surrender' was included.



It's too bad the version with the lower house edge is not more popular with casinos. Another way to go might be to increase the minimum bet to $50 for the lower edge version.

I think people focus too much on percentages and not enough on the potential to attract higher stakes gamblers.

Essentially, most casinos are too fearful.
aahigh.com
1BB
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August 8th, 2014 at 10:02:04 AM permalink
Quote: Ahigh

It's too bad the version with the lower house edge is not more popular with casinos. Another way to go might be to increase the minimum bet to $50 for the lower edge version.

I think people focus too much on percentages and not enough on the potential to attract higher stakes gamblers.

Essentially, most casinos are too fearful.



As you may know, the game was installed at Mohegan Sun with probably the best rules anywhere, including S17 and surrender. It was yanked after 90 days and I really think they dropped the ball on this one.
Many people, especially ignorant people, want to punish you for speaking the truth. - Mahatma Ghandi
Paradigm
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August 8th, 2014 at 10:24:54 AM permalink
Was it MS that dropped the ball or Bally for not getting in there and telling MS how they could adjust the game rules to increase a low hold, if that was the problem. From what I heard, the players liked the game. You don't pull a game your players like if you can fix the reason you want to pull it in a way that will keep them playing. I am of course completely speculating on why it got pulled......if the players aren't playing a game to begin with.....well I get pulling it.

What will be great is in 2 years when MS re-installs FBBJ as everyone else around them has the game on the floor. The game works.....and they will figure that out soon enough.
AxiomOfChoice
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August 8th, 2014 at 11:49:46 AM permalink
Quote: Ahigh

It's too bad the version with the lower house edge is not more popular with casinos. Another way to go might be to increase the minimum bet to $50 for the lower edge version.

I think people focus too much on percentages and not enough on the potential to attract higher stakes gamblers.

Essentially, most casinos are too fearful.



It's very rare to get high stakes action at carnie games, no matter what. I'm not sure that it has anything to do with house edge, because roulette is one of the biggest sucker games out there and it gets plenty of high limit action.
mrsuit31
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August 8th, 2014 at 11:56:21 AM permalink
Quote: AxiomOfChoice

It's very rare to get high stakes action at carnie games, no matter what. I'm not sure that it has anything to do with house edge, because roulette is one of the biggest sucker games out there and it gets plenty of high limit action.



You will see plenty of people playing black chips at games like let it ride, three card etc...

Not trying to take shots but i dont think that is valid, unless you mean multi thousand bets then... Maybe...
.
1BB
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August 8th, 2014 at 12:01:12 PM permalink
Quote: Paradigm

Was it MS that dropped the ball or Bally for not getting in there and telling MS how they could adjust the game rules to increase a low hold, if that was the problem. From what I heard, the players liked the game. You don't pull a game your players like if you can fix the reason you want to pull it in a way that will keep them playing. I am of course completely speculating on why it got pulled......if the players aren't playing a game to begin with.....well I get pulling it.

What will be great is in 2 years when MS re-installs FBBJ as everyone else around them has the game on the floor. The game works.....and they will figure that out soon enough.



I suppose there's plenty of blame to go around. I watched those four tables week in and week out for the duration and I can tell you that the players really enjoyed it. I can also say that these tables had action comparable to the blackjack and Spanish 21 games most of the time. Even with the good rules, Freebet had a higher house edge that the 0.35% blackjack offered at Mohegan Sun. How in the world can they lose money, if that's indeed what happened?

No one get's an A for effort here with dealers and even floors talking disparagingly about the game, the lack of rack cards, apparent lack of support and an overall lack of employee enthusiasm.

Switch still has a couple of Blackjack Switch tables at Foxwoods. Unfortunately they are in the Rainmaker Casino which is now closed during the week.
Many people, especially ignorant people, want to punish you for speaking the truth. - Mahatma Ghandi
AxiomOfChoice
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August 8th, 2014 at 12:26:22 PM permalink
Quote: mrsuit31

You will see plenty of people playing black chips at games like let it ride, three card etc...

Not trying to take shots but i dont think that is valid, unless you mean multi thousand bets then... Maybe...



I very rarely see that, even at large casinos that get lots of black chip action. I'm not saying never, but it is certainly rare. Most of the black-chip action I see is at blackjack, roulette, craps, baccarat, and pai gow (poker & tiles).

There is a reason that they don't put any carnie games in the high limit rooms
Ibeatyouraces
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August 8th, 2014 at 12:38:33 PM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
AxiomOfChoice
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August 8th, 2014 at 12:42:55 PM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

Agreed. We stand out playing black at games like TCP, MStud, or any other carnival game.



If I was hole-carding MS Stud I probably would not have the balls to bet black. I'd just hope that green was under the radar enough.
Ibeatyouraces
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August 8th, 2014 at 12:53:04 PM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
Rambam
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August 8th, 2014 at 3:56:49 PM permalink
Casinos make most of their BJ money from player mistakes and/or deviations from basic strategy (i.e., not hitting stiff cards, playing "hunches," etc). A 0.40% BJ game, after player mistakes, probably is closer to a 1% edge game for the casino. Free Bet has many fewer strategic calls, and thus fewer opportunities for player mistakes. So it's possible that, even with a higher base house edge, the casino's effective house edge is lower.
JimRockford
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August 8th, 2014 at 5:54:10 PM permalink
Thank you, I have been waiting for this update. I thought about sending a request, but I figured it was somewhere on your radar. One question; on the basic strategy, should there be a few double-or-stand cells e.g. real money hand with soft 18?
"Truth is ever to be found in the simplicity, and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things." -- Isaac Newton
Paigowdan
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August 8th, 2014 at 6:13:35 PM permalink
Quote: Rambam

Casinos make most of their BJ money from player mistakes and/or deviations from basic strategy (i.e., not hitting stiff cards, playing "hunches," etc). A 0.40% BJ game, after player mistakes, probably is closer to a 1% edge game for the casino. Free Bet has many fewer strategic calls, and thus fewer opportunities for player mistakes. So it's possible that, even with a higher base house edge, the casino's effective house edge is lower.



Players don't make that many mistakes at BJ, especially if playing for serious money - more than nickels, - and especially in mature gaming markets....furthermore, all BJ games (except for one round per shuffle games like online games) are vulnerable to AP.

BJ games, especially variants, need a 1% HE, all-in-all (and no matter how we feel about it and gripe here at the board, UNLESS we actually want to bank these games to see for ourselves. I, too, wish it were a perfect world....).

Casinos and Gambling halls need to pay their light bills and dealers' salaries [see the "Tipping Casino Dealers" thread....]

Also, Geoff rightfully deserves compensation for giving the world his stuff.
Beware of all enterprises that require new clothes - Henry David Thoreau. Like Dealers' uniforms - Dan.
ShineyShine
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August 8th, 2014 at 9:49:15 PM permalink
Quote: Switch

Nice update Mike. This reflects the main version out there now in the US casinos.

ShineyShine, the original version allowed you to have free doubles on any number of cards that totalled 9,10 or 11. This version is no longer available as it reduced the house edge too much, especially if 'Surrender' was included.



Ok, that clears it up. Cheers Switch.
Buzzard
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August 8th, 2014 at 10:16:49 PM permalink
Quote: Paigowdan

Players don't make that many mistakes at BJ, especially if playing for serious money - more than nickels, - and especially in mature gaming markets....furthermore, all BJ games (except for one round per shuffle games like online games) are vulnerable to AP.

BJ games, especially variants, need a 1% HE, all-in-all (and no matter how we feel about it and gripe here at the board, UNLESS we actually want to bank these games to see for ourselves. I, too, wish it were a perfect world....).

Casinos and Gambling halls need to pay their light bills and dealers' salaries [see the "Tipping Casino Dealers" thread....]

Also, Geoff rightfully deserves compensation for giving the world his stuff.




As though my year has not been bad enough, now I have to agree 100% with Dan.
Shed not for her the bitter tear Nor give the heart to vain regret Tis but the casket that lies here, The gem that filled it Sparkles yet
Switch
Switch
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August 9th, 2014 at 8:20:02 AM permalink
Quote: Buzzard

Quote: Paigowdan

Players don't make that many mistakes at BJ, especially if playing for serious money - more than nickels, - and especially in mature gaming markets....furthermore, all BJ games (except for one round per shuffle games like online games) are vulnerable to AP.

BJ games, especially variants, need a 1% HE, all-in-all (and no matter how we feel about it and gripe here at the board, UNLESS we actually want to bank these games to see for ourselves. I, too, wish it were a perfect world....).

Casinos and Gambling halls need to pay their light bills and dealers' salaries [see the "Tipping Casino Dealers" thread....]

Also, Geoff rightfully deserves compensation for giving the world his stuff.




As though my year has not been bad enough, now I have to agree 100% with Dan.



+1 :-)
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