Kj4646
Kj4646
Joined: Jan 23, 2022
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January 24th, 2022 at 8:03:01 PM permalink
Hey guys, on baccarat over 100,000 shoe simulations 55% of the time after 5 players in a row the 6th will be player, and about 55.5% of the time after 5 bankers 6th will be banker. Can anyone simulate 1 million shoes to see if these results are correct? I donít care what you think about the fact that itís always 50/50 and strategies donít work. For the most part i agree, but there are mathematical ways to best baccarat and I donít care if you think otherwise.
Ace2
Ace2
Joined: Oct 2, 2017
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January 24th, 2022 at 8:21:35 PM permalink
I just ran a billion shoe simulation. Your percentages are dead accurate
Itís all about making that GTA
ChumpChange
ChumpChange
Joined: Jun 15, 2018
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January 24th, 2022 at 8:35:05 PM permalink
I can't drive 55.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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January 24th, 2022 at 8:40:46 PM permalink
Quote: Kj4646

but there are mathematical ways to best baccarat and I donít care if you think otherwise.
link to original post



If you donít care if we think otherwise, why do you ask when you KNOW we think otherwise.

But if I actually believed what you believe, Iíd be sitting at a Baccarat table with thousands of dollars waiting for that sixth hand that occurs around 1 out of 16 hands, bet whatever my bankroll could afford (use Kelly Criterion), and reap the rewards.
ChallengedMilly
ChallengedMilly
Joined: Jul 25, 2021
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Thanks for this post from:
odiousgambit
January 24th, 2022 at 8:49:29 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: Kj4646

but there are mathematical ways to best baccarat and I donít care if you think otherwise.
link to original post



If you donít care if we think otherwise, why do you ask when you KNOW we think otherwise.

But if I actually believed what you believe, Iíd be sitting at a Baccarat table with thousands of dollars waiting for that sixth hand that occurs around 1 out of 16 hands, bet whatever my bankroll could afford (use Kelly Criterion), and reap the rewards.
link to original post

That's what I was doing until I became the first player to ever get 86'd from casino for playing the super secret 55% 5 player in a row strategy. It's a bug in God's coding script for lucky coin flips.

OP why did you release this amazing trick that casinos HATE for us to know?
Dieter
Administrator
Dieter
Joined: Jul 23, 2014
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January 24th, 2022 at 9:11:04 PM permalink
Quote: Kj4646

Hey guys, on baccarat over 100,000 shoe simulations 55% of the time after 5 players in a row the 6th will be player, and about 55.5% of the time after 5 bankers 6th will be banker.
link to original post



Past performance does not assure future results.
All investments carry a degree of risk.

Best of luck in your endeavours.
May the cards fall in your favor.
ChumpChange
ChumpChange
Joined: Jun 15, 2018
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January 24th, 2022 at 9:34:18 PM permalink
Netflix stock is down 50% in the last 2 months. It could have been 55%, maybe tomorrow.
Kj4646
Kj4646
Joined: Jan 23, 2022
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January 24th, 2022 at 9:49:48 PM permalink
Quote: Ace2

I just ran a billion shoe simulation. Your percentages are dead accurate
link to original post



Canít tell if your being sarcastic or not, although Iím assuming you are because the computing power required for a 1 billion shoe simulation would have to be a lot.
Kj4646
Kj4646
Joined: Jan 23, 2022
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January 24th, 2022 at 9:51:36 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: Kj4646

but there are mathematical ways to best baccarat and I donít care if you think otherwise.
link to original post



If you donít care if we think otherwise, why do you ask when you KNOW we think otherwise.

But if I actually believed what you believe, Iíd be sitting at a Baccarat table with thousands of dollars waiting for that sixth hand that occurs around 1 out of 16 hands, bet whatever my bankroll could afford (use Kelly Criterion), and reap the rewards.
link to original post



Because I know there are ways to beat house in baccarat, Iím just not 100% sure about this particular strategy. I donít want a whole bunch of trolls and losers spamming me and telling me that itís impossible to beat house in baccarat. I simply want an answer to my questions backed by a simulation
charliepatrick
charliepatrick
Joined: Jun 17, 2011
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Thanks for this post from:
OnceDearDeMango
January 25th, 2022 at 1:03:09 AM permalink
After a million shoes...
Overall Result: Exp: -0.010963695209855403 Hands: 70263753 FiveP: 906158 FivePP: 404261 FivePB: 414865 FiveB: 1017500 FiveBP: 453954 FiveBB: 466808
I assumed you bet after five in a row, looked at the result and then reset the counters.
After five Players
Betting on Player had a HouseEdge of 1.17% (lose 10604 from 906158 bets).
Betting on Banker had a HouseEdge of 1.12% (lose 10139.25)
After five Bankers
Betting on Banker had a HouseEdge of 1.03% (lose 10486.40 from 1017500 bets)
Betting on Player had a HouseEdge of 1.26% (lose 12854)
[edit - added}
2nd run confirms the same pattern
Overall Result: Exp: -0.010931386471002547 Hands: 70266469 FiveP: 905199 FivePP: 404460 FivePB: 414547 FiveB: 1017279 FiveBP: 454148 FiveBB: 466547

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