The Adventures of MDawg II

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MDawg's AvatarMDawg MDawg is offline
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Default How do you win at Baccarat?
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'If you think that people don't notice or act on such patterns in Baccarat, think again. I cut a shoe where neither the banker nor the player EVER went past two. On its surface, a lousy shoe - no runs, no streaks. But a Chinese guy came along, watched for a few minutes, and started putting anywhere from 5000 - 15000 on the opposite side every time a run of two had passed. He cleaned up! He prompted the rest of us to realize that there WAS in fact a winning pattern presented, and to take advantage of it.'

There are patterns everywhere you just have to recognize what they are and learn how to exploit them. Some people see patterns easily and some people don't see them at all. I do not doubt there are patterns in blackjack I just don't have the time to give to it because I'm too wrapped up in the other project.

'Where the skill comes, is in knowing whether one is playing into a good or bad shoe. This is not something that may be taught. It comes with years of experience.'

You have to know when it's playing your game. And it takes years of experience and observation and you're always learning.

It is a good thing that Baccarat is viewed as unbeatable. Gives me a practically unfettered hand to operate.

In the end whether you predict the next hand as Bank due to what has come before in terms of prior hands or because you know exactly what has been dealt what remains and what’s in that clump about to be played it all amounts to the same thing if you end up right.

Quote: MDawg

It is a good thing that Baccarat is viewed as unbeatable. Gives me a practically unfettered hand to operate.
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It's the same thing with roulette. Nobody thinks it can be beaten, especially the casino. So when you're winning they're more likely to think you're cheating rather than that you've beaten the game.

Day 12 play

Ironically (or not), most of the day's profit came down to one advantage $50K hand where I got exactly what I expected, and won.

+62500

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.

Day 13 play

Pretty consistent play. Was down some near the beginning but kept coming back to even then ahead.

+44000

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.

I qualified for and now holding $12,000 in promo chips (play until you lose). Most likely will use them at the next session.

Another tournament coming up too.

Quote: MDawg

Day 13 play

Pretty consistent play. Was down some near the beginning but kept coming back to even then ahead.

+44000

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.
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Not enough to buy a Greubel Forsey Hand Made 1 watch.

Make that your goal for the year.

I’m more into Breguet. I already have several including a couple tourbillons.

Day 14 play

Using that $12K free play and some chips I got up about +20K then commenced a series of bad spills culminating in -140K ! down. Soon afterwards I won a 50K hand and over the course of four shoes got back slightly ahead and stopped.

Quite a comeback.

+4000

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.

Quote: MDawg

I’m more into Breguet. I already have several including a couple tourbillons.
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I am happy to say that I have never spent more than $100 for a watch.

Zuckelberg is wearing a $895K MSRP Greubel Forsey Hand Made 1 in the video where he announces no more fact checking at FB. Of course Zuckelberg is a total jerk off.

I am sure he paid full retail. I could get one for about half through my wholesale connections. Buy enough watches eventually you’ll find the best gray market dealers.

Is this watch out of your price range?

And yes it's out of mine.

Quote: MDawg

Zuckelberg is wearing a $895K MSRP Greubel Forsey Hand Made 1 in the video where he announces no more fact checking at FB. Of course Zuckelberg is a total jerk off.

I am sure he paid full retail. I could get one for about half through my wholesale connections. Buy enough watches eventually you’ll find the best gray market dealers.
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Maybe they gave it to him for free as advertising? Why not shoot to own one? They seem to appreciate in value similar to other top end watches. They apparently only make 2-3 a year of the kind Zuck is wearing.

The old four digit model Rolex Daytonas I own have and do appreciate. There are various watches that appreciate but most take at least an initial big hit from MSRP in the resale market.

For example the Patek sky moon tourbillon. First release version MSRP was around a million but they were selling in the aftermarket as low as three or four hundred thousand dollars. Today selling six to eight million dollars each.

The last watch I brought was an Android. Makes phone calls as well as tell time. Even million dollar watches don't make phone calls

I feel I got the better value.