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Dieter
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September 17th, 2022 at 4:06:45 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Okay so here's something else. TRUCKS. The interstates are overrun with them, especially the southbound I-15 out of Vegas. It's at once ridiculous and impressive. You're often going to see anywhere from 50-100% of the vehicles passing you in the opposite direction over a period of a 1-2-3-4-5 count being 18-wheelers.

If the economy is so bad, who is buying all these goods?
link to original post



The timing feels right for the "Black Friday" sale preparations.
May the cards fall in your favor.
AlanMendelson
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September 17th, 2022 at 5:08:10 PM permalink
Quote: Dieter

Quote: MDawg

Okay so here's something else. TRUCKS. The interstates are overrun with them, especially the southbound I-15 out of Vegas. It's at once ridiculous and impressive. You're often going to see anywhere from 50-100% of the vehicles passing you in the opposite direction over a period of a 1-2-3-4-5 count being 18-wheelers.

If the economy is so bad, who is buying all these goods?
link to original post



The timing feels right for the "Black Friday" sale preparations.
link to original post



How do you know they're full?
Dieter
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September 17th, 2022 at 7:54:49 PM permalink
Quote: AlanMendelson

Quote: Dieter

Quote: MDawg

Okay so here's something else. TRUCKS. The interstates are overrun with them, especially the southbound I-15 out of Vegas. It's at once ridiculous and impressive. You're often going to see anywhere from 50-100% of the vehicles passing you in the opposite direction over a period of a 1-2-3-4-5 count being 18-wheelers.

If the economy is so bad, who is buying all these goods?
link to original post



The timing feels right for the "Black Friday" sale preparations.
link to original post



How do you know they're full?
link to original post



Hmm... full trucks taking materials to warehouses, or empty trucks going to crossdocks or ports to load materials to take to warehouses?

I don't see how it matters. Seasonal demand is seasonal demand. I guess I'm assuming there wouldn't be much question about why flatbeds are carrying army trucks between places, or why carhaulers are hauling cars to dealerships, or why fuel trucks would be on the roads, so it's likely anonymous looking enclosed trailers where the casual observer can't see the cargo, and without distinctive retailer branding (Amazon? Walmart? Target? Smith's? McDonald's? Domino's?), seasonal demand suggests... holiday shopping, carried by non-dedicated carriers, to retailer warehouses.

I could be wrong.
May the cards fall in your favor.
AlanMendelson
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September 17th, 2022 at 8:12:06 PM permalink
Quote: Dieter

Quote: AlanMendelson

Quote: Dieter

Quote: MDawg

Okay so here's something else. TRUCKS. The interstates are overrun with them, especially the southbound I-15 out of Vegas. It's at once ridiculous and impressive. You're often going to see anywhere from 50-100% of the vehicles passing you in the opposite direction over a period of a 1-2-3-4-5 count being 18-wheelers.

If the economy is so bad, who is buying all these goods?
link to original post



The timing feels right for the "Black Friday" sale preparations.
link to original post



How do you know they're full?
link to original post



Hmm... full trucks taking materials to warehouses, or empty trucks going to crossdocks or ports to load materials to take to warehouses?

I don't see how it matters. Seasonal demand is seasonal demand. I guess I'm assuming there wouldn't be much question about why flatbeds are carrying army trucks between places, or why carhaulers are hauling cars to dealerships, or why fuel trucks would be on the roads, so it's likely anonymous looking enclosed trailers where the casual observer can't see the cargo, and without distinctive retailer branding (Amazon? Walmart? Target? Smith's? McDonald's? Domino's?), seasonal demand suggests... holiday shopping, carried by non-dedicated carriers, to retailer warehouses.

I could be wrong.
link to original post



How about truckers driving 10% loads or going home?

I may not be an Advantage Player but I have an advantage with information about business.

Are you aware of what the CEO of FedEx reported Thursday night? Are you aware of how the stocks of the other big trucking companies fell on Friday?

I've been criticized for selling mattresses... thanks Axel... but what I sell on TV is transported by trucks after it arrives at the ports.
Dieter
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September 17th, 2022 at 8:32:09 PM permalink
Quote: AlanMendelson

How about truckers driving 10% loads or going home?

I may not be an Advantage Player but I have an advantage with information about business.

Are you aware of what the CEO of FedEx reported Thursday night? Are you aware of how the stocks of the other big trucking companies fell on Friday?

I've been criticized for selling mattresses... thanks Axel... but what I sell on TV is transported by trucks after it arrives at the ports.
link to original post



10% loads? Like... the proposed brokerage commission cap?
CEO made a big doom prediction to properly set shareholder expectations in case of a slump, or look like a leadership hero in case it's not as bad as it could have been?

That's all this week.
The cargoes likely being moved right now were booked 8 months ago, manufactured to order, took a ride on a boat, and are now clogging the highways, delaying travel by the motoring public at large.
It would seem that the retailers still have a better chance of converting stock into cash by selling it at retail, as planned, rather than paying to have it all disposed as waste.

If this turns to hijacking, we'll have to move it.
May the cards fall in your favor.
AlanMendelson
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September 17th, 2022 at 8:38:49 PM permalink
I guess you think the economy is in great shape? It's not. And the casino stocks are hurting too.

The Dow transportation average is at a low point last seen during the Covid shutdowns.

Sorry but I didn't bring up truck traffic on the 15.

From CNBC:

Shares of FedEx plunged 21.4%, their worst daily drop ever, after the shipments company withdrew its full-year guidance and said it will implement cost-cutting initiatives to contend with soft global shipment volumes as the global economy “significantly worsened.”

Transport stocks are typically seen as a leading indicator for the stock market as well as the economy, and FedEx pointed to weakness in Asia as one of the main reasons for its negative outlook. Shares of shipping rivals UPS and XPO Logistics dropped about 4.5% and 4.7%, respectively, and Amazon’s stock fell 2.1%.
GenoDRPh
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September 17th, 2022 at 9:28:39 PM permalink
Backlog at commercial ports, big rig driver shortage and demand for essential goods like food and medical supplies, LV's proximity to the West Coast ports and the farms in CA all driving the current market for big rig commerce. Plus, the pandemic knocked every facet of the supply chain total off their axes.

Gene
AxelWolf
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September 17th, 2022 at 10:30:06 PM permalink
Quote: AlanMendelson

Quote: Dieter

Quote: AlanMendelson

Quote: Dieter

Quote: MDawg

Okay so here's something else. TRUCKS. The interstates are overrun with them, especially the southbound I-15 out of Vegas. It's at once ridiculous and impressive. You're often going to see anywhere from 50-100% of the vehicles passing you in the opposite direction over a period of a 1-2-3-4-5 count being 18-wheelers.

If the economy is so bad, who is buying all these goods?
link to original post



The timing feels right for the "Black Friday" sale preparations.
link to original post



How do you know they're full?
link to original post



Hmm... full trucks taking materials to warehouses, or empty trucks going to crossdocks or ports to load materials to take to warehouses?

I don't see how it matters. Seasonal demand is seasonal demand. I guess I'm assuming there wouldn't be much question about why flatbeds are carrying army trucks between places, or why carhaulers are hauling cars to dealerships, or why fuel trucks would be on the roads, so it's likely anonymous looking enclosed trailers where the casual observer can't see the cargo, and without distinctive retailer branding (Amazon? Walmart? Target? Smith's? McDonald's? Domino's?), seasonal demand suggests... holiday shopping, carried by non-dedicated carriers, to retailer warehouses.

I could be wrong.
link to original post



How about truckers driving 10% loads or going home?

I may not be an Advantage Player but I have an advantage with information about business.

Are you aware of what the CEO of FedEx reported Thursday night? Are you aware of how the stocks of the other big trucking companies fell on Friday?

I've been criticized for selling mattresses... thanks Axel... but what I sell on TV is transported by trucks after it arrives at the ports.
link to original post

Meh, I admit it was meant as a little dig, but to be honest, I think your gig was quite cool. My hat goes off to you in that regard. I quickly put my hat back on when you start talking about gambling and AP stuff.
Serious question, how did you get into that line of work? Perhaps "your very own" thread about that stuff would be cool.

p.s. let's stop junking up this thread with real stuff.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
MDawg
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September 18th, 2022 at 1:01:11 AM permalink
Let's get right to it!


Day 1 play.

Baccarat.

Wasn’t playing too hard but a hand came up where I knew the first card coming out to Player. However it wasn’t a card that would necessarily give Player an advantage. It was a card that would help Player only if the other card dealt to it was a high card and a lot of those had been eaten up recently.

I put a massive bet on Bank but the dealer talked me out of it. Lol. “Come on ____ this shoe isn’t that great. It’s all over the place.”

Of course the dealer didn’t know what I knew but anyway I reduced the bet to $10,000. Dealer asked, “Are you sure?” No you’re never sure!

So I pulled the bet and free handed it. Sure enough Bank won with a natural 8 via two relatively smaller cards and Player got the card I already knew it would get plus a crappy little card. Can’t be letting dealers talk me out of what I already know.

Still - in Baccarat knowing just one card isn’t the be all or end all. Any two cards may add up to a Natural. But - give any Bacc player the opportunity to know the first card out the gate and if they’ve been tracking every single card dealt (assuming they are capable of doing that in the first place) - that piece of info might add up to something.

Anyway that was pretty much the only time I knew exactly what was coming during a short session. Still won. Just won a lot less than I might’ve.

+7600

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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September 18th, 2022 at 1:04:42 AM permalink
Day 2 play.

Baccarat.

Got more than a little ahead of myself, lost some keys hands, practically to the felt with what I had pulled, rallied, still ended behind and called it a day.

-18000

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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September 18th, 2022 at 1:09:47 AM permalink
I will tell you Right Now that one of the casinos has taken measures to prevent anyone from viewing any bit of any card before it is dealt. But - they didn't think to prohibit betting after Cards Are Out.

What's funny is that the casinos that are strict about no betting after cards are out, allow full view of the cards before they come out. And then one casino allows the cards to just sit on the table, fully exposed, and then have bets placed.

None of it really makes any sense, as there is no consistency, but I don't think they believe any of it matters. Which it doesn't, does it. Or does it?
Last edited by: MDawg on Sep 18, 2022
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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September 18th, 2022 at 1:11:03 AM permalink
Day 3 play.

Baccarat.

A Lot. Of. Action.

Three separate sessions. Won all three, on the second one I really could have cleaned up but I was started to get tired.

Tired or not I still played a third session, and added a bit more to the coffers.

+41000

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.
Last edited by: MDawg on Sep 18, 2022
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
JackSpade
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September 18th, 2022 at 2:52:31 AM permalink
So your method combines hole carding, counting, and placing late bets?
AlanMendelson
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September 18th, 2022 at 3:50:21 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

I will tell you Right Now that one of the casinos has taken measures to prevent anyone from viewing any bit of any card before it is dealt. But - they didn't think to prohibit betting after Cards Are Out.

What's funny is that the casinos that are strict about no betting after cards are out, allow full view of the cards before they come out. And then one casino allows the cards to just sit on the table, fully exposed, and then have bets placed.

None of it really makes any sense, as there is no consistency, but I don't think they believe any of it matters. Which is doesn't, does it. Or does it?
link to original post



Isn't that illegal past posting?
MDawg
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September 18th, 2022 at 7:48:19 AM permalink
"Fully exposed" means for my purposes. Obviously the cards are not turned over before bets may be placed.

Whatever I am describing works for both table games I play, although...it depends and of course it doesn't work for every card. The situation comes up rarely, but it does come up.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
darkoz
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September 18th, 2022 at 8:24:22 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

"Fully exposed" means for my purposes. Obviously the cards are not turned over before bets may be placed.

Whatever I am describing works for both table games I play, although...it depends and of course it doesn't work for every card. The situation comes up rarely, but it does come up.
link to original post



Knowledge of the next card without card marking (or psychic powers) is most likely some form of shuffle or pre-shuffle tracking.

Who suggested MDawg is doing this in the past?
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
Dieter
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September 18th, 2022 at 9:24:01 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

"Fully exposed" means for my purposes. Obviously the cards are not turned over before bets may be placed.

Whatever I am describing works for both table games I play, although...it depends and of course it doesn't work for every card. The situation comes up rarely, but it does come up.
link to original post



retracted.
Last edited by: Dieter on Sep 18, 2022
May the cards fall in your favor.
MDawg
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September 18th, 2022 at 9:41:46 AM permalink
iOS 16 has a “Follow Up suggestions” setting for mail where it prompts you to follow up to an email you sent out where the recipient hasn’t yet gotten back to you. Don’t need it. I don’t forget to follow up on emails that need follow up and I’m organized enough to not require such prompts. Plus it sends an email that it deems requiring follow up to the top of the stack even if it doesn’t belong there chronologically. No thank you.

Now the unsend emails that you just sent out, such as if you just revised a document and need to send the revised version, that might be something, but it only works for up to 30 seconds.

ios16 does allow you to unsend iMessages for up to 2 minutes, and edit them for up to 15. That's useful.



I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
AxelWolf
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September 18th, 2022 at 9:54:03 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Quote: MDawg

"Fully exposed" means for my purposes. Obviously the cards are not turned over before bets may be placed.

Whatever I am describing works for both table games I play, although...it depends and of course it doesn't work for every card. The situation comes up rarely, but it does come up.
link to original post



Knowledge of the next card without card marking (or psychic powers) is most likely some form of shuffle or pre-shuffle tracking.

Who suggested MDawg is doing this in the past?
link to original post

It comes up rarely he says, if true, that wouldn't account for all the winning sessions/trips he is claiming.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
MDawg
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September 18th, 2022 at 10:06:53 AM permalink
I play to special limits.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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September 18th, 2022 at 10:19:42 AM permalink
In an episode of Hawaii Five-O (original), McGarrett tears apart the room where an art thief is supposed to have hidden a stolen painting, and finds nothing. The art thief throws a painting off the wall at McGarrett and taunts him to search further. McGarrett walks off in defeat.

At the tables sometimes I'll tell a pit boss exactly what the next card coming is, and then we'll all laugh as I get it right. They're none the wiser for my taunting, if anything it just throws them off.

In the Five-O episode though, McGarrett suddenly realized that the art thief had thrown it right in his face, went back, cut away the backing of the painting and found the stolen artwork concealed behind. No pit boss I have dealt with has ever been that clever though. In your face flying at an extremely high profile sometimes is the best camouflage. After all, they all want their money back and I sometimes lose no one ever wins every session.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
ChumpChange
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September 18th, 2022 at 11:10:20 AM permalink
You're describing marked cards, and that's not really shoe material unless you're playing poker or Go Fish.
MDawg
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September 18th, 2022 at 3:46:39 PM permalink
Let's set aside advantage or no advantage play for a moment, and consider only variance.

If the variance of a gaming session is viewed as a sine wave,


and the upper part of the wave times when variance supports the player and the bottom parts of the wave times when variance support the house, then if a player leaves a session at say, this point in the variance,


that is not to say that when the player resumes play at some point in the future that he will resume play at exactly that same point in the variance - so to say that all of one's gaming sessions combined equal just one long session, is simplistic, when variance is considered. Rather, each session has its own independent ups and downs and unless the player resumes play at exactly where he left off for purposes of variance, resumption of play is not exactly a mere continuation of the same play.

Getting back to the sine wave of variance, if a player always tends to quit when he is losing, at the bottom of the variance curves, such as here


he's going to tend to have a lot of sessions strung together where variance was against him at the moment that he left.

On the other hand if a player tends to get up and leave after variance was in his favor,


and the chips were stacking his way, he'd tend to put together a lot of sessions where he was winning.

Add to the equation a player who varies his bet a lot, and variance might swing even more widely up and down, making the difference between leaving while ahead, or behind, even more pronounced over numerous sessions.

It adds up to the difference between constantly leaving a session after a good run, or constantly leaving after all the chips from a run are eaten up.

(Ninety some percent of Vegas visitors are ahead at some point during their trips, but the vast majority keep playing until they are behind.)
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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September 18th, 2022 at 4:05:20 PM permalink
Mexican Independence Day weekend celebrations on the Strip.



and pictures of the Strip in general, same night.


I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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September 18th, 2022 at 4:07:27 PM permalink
Take out steak ordered rare, becomes medium rare or close by time the container is opened.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
ChallengedMilly
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September 19th, 2022 at 9:09:17 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Take out steak ordered rare, becomes medium rare or close by time the container is opened.


link to original post

All do respect but that does appear to be rare, just a bit different cut than you're normally used to. You can tell by both how the center looks and how little of it is cooked on the edges.
TigerWu
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September 19th, 2022 at 9:21:10 AM permalink
That is absolutely a rare steak... very reddish-pink all the way through.
MDawg
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September 19th, 2022 at 9:21:45 AM permalink
Let's get Ace2's input.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
ChumpChange
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September 19th, 2022 at 12:43:43 PM permalink
The variance I see is losing 100 units over time and the upswing might be 20-50 units, but you'll still be greater than 50 units behind. Then comes the next leg down of -100 units, and will there be a dead cat bounce where winning 20-50 units back is possible. It just goes on & on with -100 units and winning back a lackluster portion of that, until suddenly you're down 1000 units. How do you recover from that? 20-50 units at a time, lol.
DRich
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September 19th, 2022 at 3:51:40 PM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

That is absolutely a rare steak... very reddish-pink all the way through.
link to original post



I would call that medium rare. Rare is generally red and not pink.

At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
MDawg
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September 20th, 2022 at 9:17:42 AM permalink
I wouldn't eat a rare steak, so I'd tend to agree that the steak was closer to medium rare than rare.

When I am barbecuing a steak, take it out, cut into it and get it wrong (the steak is uncooked), I don't think that's even rare though, that's simply uncooked.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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September 20th, 2022 at 9:21:12 AM permalink
Day 4 play.

Baccarat.

Three separate sessions in different casinos. First two I won about what I should have based on how things were going third shoe I really should have cleaned up but I wasn’t taking advantage as much as I should have been. Still, it amounted to using all three casinos as my personal ATM on yet another day.

+14200

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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September 20th, 2022 at 9:22:36 AM permalink
Here are the net winnings from a couple of those sessions, does fit in the cash bag I brought with me this trip. Was trying to hide it a bit in my coat while transporting.


Move to the side a little bit so you can get a CLEAR picture - Can you see it?


One of the casinos let me cash out without temp closing my line, one of them never closes my line no matter how much I cash out and at the others the cashouts were relatively small (just under 5K per) each time so no effect on my line.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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September 20th, 2022 at 9:38:07 AM permalink
In between hitting up casinos for smash, I took a little Victory Stroll downtown, before driving off to the next one.

Main Street Station (not to be confused with "Station" Casinos properties). This is a Boyd property.


Golden Gate, oldest casino in Vegas, and the official address of Las Vegas.


California Club. (Well, not exactly, this is the California Casino - the "Club" no longer exists and was combined into the Golden Nugget in 1973). Another Boyd property.


Fremont Street.



Circa's parking is located across the street from the casino itself.



Hotel Apache inside Binion's (no more no limit BlackJack, not for many years now - the tables I noticed were $10 - $500.) I always imagine that craps table near the entrance in the background of this picture to be the one where William Lee Bergstrom took his three shots at winning a million, and took his own life after losing the third. The Phantom Gambler of the Horseshoe, Who Bet $1 Million on Nov. 16, 1984.


Tables games inside the "Shark Pool" area of the Golden Nugget. Female dealers definitely picked for their posterior assets and ability to fit into their tight outfits.


Pioneer Club - can't race by it anymore in a red Ford Mustang Mach 1. It's just a souvenir store now but Vegas Vick remains (although his arm no longer moves).


Vegas Vickie is inside Circa.


Last edited by: MDawg on Sep 20, 2022
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
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September 20th, 2022 at 10:47:07 AM permalink
This is the game that people were wondering, Can MDawg beat it?


I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
darkoz
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September 20th, 2022 at 11:16:52 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

This is the game that people were wondering, Can MDawg beat it?



link to original post



My daughter probably could.

She is some type of expert on claw machines. I doubt she profits but she gets all the cool stuff out or can declare up front something is not going to work.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
TigerWu
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September 20th, 2022 at 11:30:02 AM permalink
I don't know about that machine specifically but claw machines are literally programmed to not work most of the time. Something like only every five or 10 tries will the claw have enough "power" to actually grab the item, no matter how spot on you are with your targeting.
MDawg
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September 20th, 2022 at 11:39:09 AM permalink
My understanding was that the GoGo's claw was all for show and it's just randomly determined what prize you'll get, if any.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
darkoz
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September 20th, 2022 at 11:49:09 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

My understanding was that the GoGo's claw was all for show and it's just randomly determined what prize you'll get, if any.
link to original post



Well that would change my daughter's ability to win obviously.

She does a few "test" games measuring the claws strength, the size of the gifts (she often will strategize to go for smaller gifts because they weigh less).

She has told me at different times to ignore a certain machine because she feels the game isn't fair.

As for programming, it might be different rules in different states? I have seen her clean out a machine before.

Also, there are some claw machines that you try until you win. Although satisfying that you always get a gift, the prizes are pretty abysmal. But she has targeted those as well.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
MDawg
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September 20th, 2022 at 11:52:20 AM permalink
I think skill based or at least partially skill based machines will be coming to casinos, if they have not already. I don't play machines so I don't know much about this.

First Skill-Based Slot Machines in Las Vegas Debut, Here’s the Low-Down (2017)
Last edited by: MDawg on Sep 20, 2022
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
darkoz
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September 20th, 2022 at 12:31:34 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

I think skill based or at least partially skill based machines will be coming to casinos, if they have not already. I don't play machines so I don't know much about this.

First Skill-Based Slot Machines in Las Vegas Debut, Here’s the Low-Down (2017)
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They came and went at least on the East Coast.

Complicated instructions but worse, the skill was random. The Casinos didn't really want player's with skill.

One game was a shooter POV and you had to shoot a certain number of targets to win. It was something like five targets gets even money, six a small profit all the way up to nine which was a really decent win.

But the moment you pushed the button, the game randomly determined how many targets were even going to show up so often you would get four targets to shoot. In other words you already had a losing spin (it wouldn't tell you how many targets would show but as you played that's all that would show)

Then if you did get a good number of targets you still had to shoot them (the skill component) to win.

So unlucky AND unskilled turned into almost always losing and those games went mostly unplayed. People who did try them left after maybe four spins.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
AxelWolf
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September 20th, 2022 at 12:39:49 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

I think skill based or at least partially skill based machines will be coming to casinos, if they have not already. I don't play machines so I don't know much about this.
link to original post

The skill-based ship has sailed. It was all the rage a few years ago (5 or so, I don't remember the exact timeframe ).

Everyone was scrabbling to get in on it. It's been a big flop so far. Perhaps someday.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
JackSpade
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September 20th, 2022 at 1:05:14 PM permalink
A couple years ago there was a golf game at mgm grand. I found that it was pretty easy to master - just hit the button at the right time for the optimal golf swing. I played it for a few minutes and won a small amount. I think it boasted of a payback of up to 99%.

The game has since been removed. The problem seems to have been that it was too easy and therefore the average player could do much better on it than on a regular slot machine. To justify keeping it on the floor, the casino would have to make the game more difficult or set the payback percentage lower. But that would increase the frustration level among players with poor reaction times (mainly older players) which is probably bad for business overall.
AxelWolf
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September 20th, 2022 at 1:14:35 PM permalink
Quote: JackSpade

A couple years ago there was a golf game at mgm grand. I found that it was pretty easy to master - just hit the button at the right time for the optimal golf swing. I played it for a few minutes and won a small amount. I think it boasted of a payback of up to 99%.

Very nice.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
DRich
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September 20th, 2022 at 3:34:40 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

\




Just curious, why do you mark out the serial numbers on the bills?
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
MDawg
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September 20th, 2022 at 4:08:57 PM permalink
The slips that hold the stacks together sometimes have dates and names of casinos on them, and sometimes the initials of the cashier who just handed me the bills, or at least of a cashier who works at that casino, and as long as I am redacting those, might as well be thorough. To keep the jerk offs who are still trying to track me down for nefarious purposes at bay.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
DRich
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September 20th, 2022 at 4:55:18 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

The slips that hold the stacks together sometimes have dates and names of casinos on them, and sometimes the initials of the cashier who just handed me the bills, or at least of a cashier who works at that casino, and as long as I am redacting those, might as well be thorough. To keep the jerk offs who are still trying to track me down for nefarious purposes at bay.
link to original post



I understood blacking out the money band, just couldn't figure out the serial numbers.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
darkoz
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September 20th, 2022 at 6:00:45 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: MDawg

The slips that hold the stacks together sometimes have dates and names of casinos on them, and sometimes the initials of the cashier who just handed me the bills, or at least of a cashier who works at that casino, and as long as I am redacting those, might as well be thorough. To keep the jerk offs who are still trying to track me down for nefarious purposes at bay.
link to original post



I understood blacking out the money band, just couldn't figure out the serial numbers.
link to original post



Avoids six degrees of separation.

Let's say two months from now that money winds up on the East Coast and I check his pics against my money and catch a match.

Then I can brag I touched MDawg's money!!!

He wants to avoid that!
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
UP84
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September 20th, 2022 at 6:37:01 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: MDawg

The slips that hold the stacks together sometimes have dates and names of casinos on them, and sometimes the initials of the cashier who just handed me the bills, or at least of a cashier who works at that casino, and as long as I am redacting those, might as well be thorough. To keep the jerk offs who are still trying to track me down for nefarious purposes at bay.
link to original post



I understood blacking out the money band, just couldn't figure out the serial numbers.
link to original post

I've always been intrigued by the mysterious tiny markings that sometimes appear on $100 bills. Here's a few from my latest stack:

Dieter
Administrator
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September 20th, 2022 at 7:26:27 PM permalink
Quote: UP84

I've always been intrigued by the mysterious tiny markings that sometimes appear on $100 bills. Here's a few from my latest stack:
link to original post



I'm guessing (but not certain) that the WU chopmarks are from Western Union.
May the cards fall in your favor.
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