Quote: MDawgOkay so here's something else. TRUCKS. The interstates are overrun with them, especially the southbound I-15 out of Vegas. It's at once ridiculous and impressive. You're often going to see anywhere from 50-100% of the vehicles passing you in the opposite direction over a period of a 1-2-3-4-5 count being 18-wheelers.
If the economy is so bad, who is buying all these goods?
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The timing feels right for the "Black Friday" sale preparations.
Quote: DieterQuote: MDawgOkay so here's something else. TRUCKS. The interstates are overrun with them, especially the southbound I-15 out of Vegas. It's at once ridiculous and impressive. You're often going to see anywhere from 50-100% of the vehicles passing you in the opposite direction over a period of a 1-2-3-4-5 count being 18-wheelers.
If the economy is so bad, who is buying all these goods?
link to original post
The timing feels right for the "Black Friday" sale preparations.
link to original post
How do you know they're full?
Quote: AlanMendelsonQuote: DieterQuote: MDawgOkay so here's something else. TRUCKS. The interstates are overrun with them, especially the southbound I-15 out of Vegas. It's at once ridiculous and impressive. You're often going to see anywhere from 50-100% of the vehicles passing you in the opposite direction over a period of a 1-2-3-4-5 count being 18-wheelers.
If the economy is so bad, who is buying all these goods?
link to original post
The timing feels right for the "Black Friday" sale preparations.
link to original post
How do you know they're full?
link to original post
Hmm... full trucks taking materials to warehouses, or empty trucks going to crossdocks or ports to load materials to take to warehouses?
I don't see how it matters. Seasonal demand is seasonal demand. I guess I'm assuming there wouldn't be much question about why flatbeds are carrying army trucks between places, or why carhaulers are hauling cars to dealerships, or why fuel trucks would be on the roads, so it's likely anonymous looking enclosed trailers where the casual observer can't see the cargo, and without distinctive retailer branding (Amazon? Walmart? Target? Smith's? McDonald's? Domino's?), seasonal demand suggests... holiday shopping, carried by non-dedicated carriers, to retailer warehouses.
I could be wrong.
Quote: DieterQuote: AlanMendelsonQuote: DieterQuote: MDawgOkay so here's something else. TRUCKS. The interstates are overrun with them, especially the southbound I-15 out of Vegas. It's at once ridiculous and impressive. You're often going to see anywhere from 50-100% of the vehicles passing you in the opposite direction over a period of a 1-2-3-4-5 count being 18-wheelers.
If the economy is so bad, who is buying all these goods?
link to original post
The timing feels right for the "Black Friday" sale preparations.
link to original post
How do you know they're full?
link to original post
Hmm... full trucks taking materials to warehouses, or empty trucks going to crossdocks or ports to load materials to take to warehouses?
I don't see how it matters. Seasonal demand is seasonal demand. I guess I'm assuming there wouldn't be much question about why flatbeds are carrying army trucks between places, or why carhaulers are hauling cars to dealerships, or why fuel trucks would be on the roads, so it's likely anonymous looking enclosed trailers where the casual observer can't see the cargo, and without distinctive retailer branding (Amazon? Walmart? Target? Smith's? McDonald's? Domino's?), seasonal demand suggests... holiday shopping, carried by non-dedicated carriers, to retailer warehouses.
I could be wrong.
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How about truckers driving 10% loads or going home?
I may not be an Advantage Player but I have an advantage with information about business.
Are you aware of what the CEO of FedEx reported Thursday night? Are you aware of how the stocks of the other big trucking companies fell on Friday?
I've been criticized for selling mattresses... thanks Axel... but what I sell on TV is transported by trucks after it arrives at the ports.
Quote: AlanMendelsonHow about truckers driving 10% loads or going home?
I may not be an Advantage Player but I have an advantage with information about business.
Are you aware of what the CEO of FedEx reported Thursday night? Are you aware of how the stocks of the other big trucking companies fell on Friday?
I've been criticized for selling mattresses... thanks Axel... but what I sell on TV is transported by trucks after it arrives at the ports.
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10% loads? Like... the proposed brokerage commission cap?
CEO made a big doom prediction to properly set shareholder expectations in case of a slump, or look like a leadership hero in case it's not as bad as it could have been?
That's all this week.
The cargoes likely being moved right now were booked 8 months ago, manufactured to order, took a ride on a boat, and are now clogging the highways, delaying travel by the motoring public at large.
It would seem that the retailers still have a better chance of converting stock into cash by selling it at retail, as planned, rather than paying to have it all disposed as waste.
If this turns to hijacking, we'll have to move it.
The Dow transportation average is at a low point last seen during the Covid shutdowns.
Sorry but I didn't bring up truck traffic on the 15.
From CNBC:
Shares of FedEx plunged 21.4%, their worst daily drop ever, after the shipments company withdrew its full-year guidance and said it will implement cost-cutting initiatives to contend with soft global shipment volumes as the global economy “significantly worsened.”
Transport stocks are typically seen as a leading indicator for the stock market as well as the economy, and FedEx pointed to weakness in Asia as one of the main reasons for its negative outlook. Shares of shipping rivals UPS and XPO Logistics dropped about 4.5% and 4.7%, respectively, and Amazon’s stock fell 2.1%.
Gene
Meh, I admit it was meant as a little dig, but to be honest, I think your gig was quite cool. My hat goes off to you in that regard. I quickly put my hat back on when you start talking about gambling and AP stuff.Quote: AlanMendelsonQuote: DieterQuote: AlanMendelsonQuote: DieterQuote: MDawgOkay so here's something else. TRUCKS. The interstates are overrun with them, especially the southbound I-15 out of Vegas. It's at once ridiculous and impressive. You're often going to see anywhere from 50-100% of the vehicles passing you in the opposite direction over a period of a 1-2-3-4-5 count being 18-wheelers.
If the economy is so bad, who is buying all these goods?
link to original post
The timing feels right for the "Black Friday" sale preparations.
link to original post
How do you know they're full?
link to original post
Hmm... full trucks taking materials to warehouses, or empty trucks going to crossdocks or ports to load materials to take to warehouses?
I don't see how it matters. Seasonal demand is seasonal demand. I guess I'm assuming there wouldn't be much question about why flatbeds are carrying army trucks between places, or why carhaulers are hauling cars to dealerships, or why fuel trucks would be on the roads, so it's likely anonymous looking enclosed trailers where the casual observer can't see the cargo, and without distinctive retailer branding (Amazon? Walmart? Target? Smith's? McDonald's? Domino's?), seasonal demand suggests... holiday shopping, carried by non-dedicated carriers, to retailer warehouses.
I could be wrong.
link to original post
How about truckers driving 10% loads or going home?
I may not be an Advantage Player but I have an advantage with information about business.
Are you aware of what the CEO of FedEx reported Thursday night? Are you aware of how the stocks of the other big trucking companies fell on Friday?
I've been criticized for selling mattresses... thanks Axel... but what I sell on TV is transported by trucks after it arrives at the ports.
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Serious question, how did you get into that line of work? Perhaps "your very own" thread about that stuff would be cool.
p.s. let's stop junking up this thread with real stuff.
Day 1 play.
Baccarat.
Wasn’t playing too hard but a hand came up where I knew the first card coming out to Player. However it wasn’t a card that would necessarily give Player an advantage. It was a card that would help Player only if the other card dealt to it was a high card and a lot of those had been eaten up recently.
I put a massive bet on Bank but the dealer talked me out of it. Lol. “Come on ____ this shoe isn’t that great. It’s all over the place.”
Of course the dealer didn’t know what I knew but anyway I reduced the bet to $10,000. Dealer asked, “Are you sure?” No you’re never sure!
So I pulled the bet and free handed it. Sure enough Bank won with a natural 8 via two relatively smaller cards and Player got the card I already knew it would get plus a crappy little card. Can’t be letting dealers talk me out of what I already know.
Still - in Baccarat knowing just one card isn’t the be all or end all. Any two cards may add up to a Natural. But - give any Bacc player the opportunity to know the first card out the gate and if they’ve been tracking every single card dealt (assuming they are capable of doing that in the first place) - that piece of info might add up to something.
Anyway that was pretty much the only time I knew exactly what was coming during a short session. Still won. Just won a lot less than I might’ve.
+7600
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
Baccarat.
Got more than a little ahead of myself, lost some keys hands, practically to the felt with what I had pulled, rallied, still ended behind and called it a day.
-18000
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
What's funny is that the casinos that are strict about no betting after cards are out, allow full view of the cards before they come out. And then one casino allows the cards to just sit on the table, fully exposed, and then have bets placed.
None of it really makes any sense, as there is no consistency, but I don't think they believe any of it matters. Which it doesn't, does it. Or does it?
Baccarat.
A Lot. Of. Action.
Three separate sessions. Won all three, on the second one I really could have cleaned up but I was started to get tired.
Tired or not I still played a third session, and added a bit more to the coffers.
+41000
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
Quote: MDawgI will tell you Right Now that one of the casinos has taken measures to prevent anyone from viewing any bit of any card before it is dealt. But - they didn't think to prohibit betting after Cards Are Out.
What's funny is that the casinos that are strict about no betting after cards are out, allow full view of the cards before they come out. And then one casino allows the cards to just sit on the table, fully exposed, and then have bets placed.
None of it really makes any sense, as there is no consistency, but I don't think they believe any of it matters. Which is doesn't, does it. Or does it?
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Isn't that illegal past posting?
Whatever I am describing works for both table games I play, although...it depends and of course it doesn't work for every card. The situation comes up rarely, but it does come up.
Quote: MDawg"Fully exposed" means for my purposes. Obviously the cards are not turned over before bets may be placed.
Whatever I am describing works for both table games I play, although...it depends and of course it doesn't work for every card. The situation comes up rarely, but it does come up.
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Knowledge of the next card without card marking (or psychic powers) is most likely some form of shuffle or pre-shuffle tracking.
Who suggested MDawg is doing this in the past?
Quote: MDawg"Fully exposed" means for my purposes. Obviously the cards are not turned over before bets may be placed.
Whatever I am describing works for both table games I play, although...it depends and of course it doesn't work for every card. The situation comes up rarely, but it does come up.
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retracted.
Now the unsend emails that you just sent out, such as if you just revised a document and need to send the revised version, that might be something, but it only works for up to 30 seconds.
ios16 does allow you to unsend iMessages for up to 2 minutes, and edit them for up to 15. That's useful.
It comes up rarely he says, if true, that wouldn't account for all the winning sessions/trips he is claiming.Quote: darkozQuote: MDawg"Fully exposed" means for my purposes. Obviously the cards are not turned over before bets may be placed.
Whatever I am describing works for both table games I play, although...it depends and of course it doesn't work for every card. The situation comes up rarely, but it does come up.
link to original post
Knowledge of the next card without card marking (or psychic powers) is most likely some form of shuffle or pre-shuffle tracking.
Who suggested MDawg is doing this in the past?
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At the tables sometimes I'll tell a pit boss exactly what the next card coming is, and then we'll all laugh as I get it right. They're none the wiser for my taunting, if anything it just throws them off.
In the Five-O episode though, McGarrett suddenly realized that the art thief had thrown it right in his face, went back, cut away the backing of the painting and found the stolen artwork concealed behind. No pit boss I have dealt with has ever been that clever though. In your face flying at an extremely high profile sometimes is the best camouflage. After all, they all want their money back and I sometimes lose no one ever wins every session.
If the variance of a gaming session is viewed as a sine wave,
and the upper part of the wave times when variance supports the player and the bottom parts of the wave times when variance support the house, then if a player leaves a session at say, this point in the variance,
that is not to say that when the player resumes play at some point in the future that he will resume play at exactly that same point in the variance - so to say that all of one's gaming sessions combined equal just one long session, is simplistic, when variance is considered. Rather, each session has its own independent ups and downs and unless the player resumes play at exactly where he left off for purposes of variance, resumption of play is not exactly a mere continuation of the same play.
Getting back to the sine wave of variance, if a player always tends to quit when he is losing, at the bottom of the variance curves, such as here
he's going to tend to have a lot of sessions strung together where variance was against him at the moment that he left.
On the other hand if a player tends to get up and leave after variance was in his favor,
and the chips were stacking his way, he'd tend to put together a lot of sessions where he was winning.
Add to the equation a player who varies his bet a lot, and variance might swing even more widely up and down, making the difference between leaving while ahead, or behind, even more pronounced over numerous sessions.
It adds up to the difference between constantly leaving a session after a good run, or constantly leaving after all the chips from a run are eaten up.
(Ninety some percent of Vegas visitors are ahead at some point during their trips, but the vast majority keep playing until they are behind.)
and pictures of the Strip in general, same night.
All do respect but that does appear to be rare, just a bit different cut than you're normally used to. You can tell by both how the center looks and how little of it is cooked on the edges.Quote: MDawgTake out steak ordered rare, becomes medium rare or close by time the container is opened.
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Quote: TigerWuThat is absolutely a rare steak... very reddish-pink all the way through.
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I would call that medium rare. Rare is generally red and not pink.
When I am barbecuing a steak, take it out, cut into it and get it wrong (the steak is uncooked), I don't think that's even rare though, that's simply uncooked.
Baccarat.
Three separate sessions in different casinos. First two I won about what I should have based on how things were going third shoe I really should have cleaned up but I wasn’t taking advantage as much as I should have been. Still, it amounted to using all three casinos as my personal ATM on yet another day.
+14200
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
And this is the MDawg challenge.
Move to the side a little bit so you can get a CLEAR picture - Can you see it?
One of the casinos let me cash out without temp closing my line, one of them never closes my line no matter how much I cash out and at the others the cashouts were relatively small (just under 5K per) each time so no effect on my line.
Main Street Station (not to be confused with "Station" Casinos properties). This is a Boyd property.
Golden Gate, oldest casino in Vegas, and the official address of Las Vegas.
California Club. (Well, not exactly, this is the California Casino - the "Club" no longer exists and was combined into the Golden Nugget in 1973). Another Boyd property.
Fremont Street.
Circa's parking is located across the street from the casino itself.
Hotel Apache inside Binion's (no more no limit BlackJack, not for many years now - the tables I noticed were $10 - $500.) I always imagine that craps table near the entrance in the background of this picture to be the one where William Lee Bergstrom took his three shots at winning a million, and took his own life after losing the third. The Phantom Gambler of the Horseshoe, Who Bet $1 Million on Nov. 16, 1984.
Tables games inside the "Shark Pool" area of the Golden Nugget. Female dealers definitely picked for their posterior assets and ability to fit into their tight outfits.
Pioneer Club - can't race by it anymore in a red Ford Mustang Mach 1. It's just a souvenir store now but Vegas Vick remains (although his arm no longer moves).
Vegas Vickie is inside Circa.
Quote: MDawgThis is the game that people were wondering, Can MDawg beat it?
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My daughter probably could.
She is some type of expert on claw machines. I doubt she profits but she gets all the cool stuff out or can declare up front something is not going to work.
Quote: MDawgMy understanding was that the GoGo's claw was all for show and it's just randomly determined what prize you'll get, if any.
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Well that would change my daughter's ability to win obviously.
She does a few "test" games measuring the claws strength, the size of the gifts (she often will strategize to go for smaller gifts because they weigh less).
She has told me at different times to ignore a certain machine because she feels the game isn't fair.
As for programming, it might be different rules in different states? I have seen her clean out a machine before.
Also, there are some claw machines that you try until you win. Although satisfying that you always get a gift, the prizes are pretty abysmal. But she has targeted those as well.
First Skill-Based Slot Machines in Las Vegas Debut, Here’s the Low-Down (2017)
Quote: MDawgI think skill based or at least partially skill based machines will be coming to casinos, if they have not already. I don't play machines so I don't know much about this.
First Skill-Based Slot Machines in Las Vegas Debut, Here’s the Low-Down (2017)
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They came and went at least on the East Coast.
Complicated instructions but worse, the skill was random. The Casinos didn't really want player's with skill.
One game was a shooter POV and you had to shoot a certain number of targets to win. It was something like five targets gets even money, six a small profit all the way up to nine which was a really decent win.
But the moment you pushed the button, the game randomly determined how many targets were even going to show up so often you would get four targets to shoot. In other words you already had a losing spin (it wouldn't tell you how many targets would show but as you played that's all that would show)
Then if you did get a good number of targets you still had to shoot them (the skill component) to win.
So unlucky AND unskilled turned into almost always losing and those games went mostly unplayed. People who did try them left after maybe four spins.
The skill-based ship has sailed. It was all the rage a few years ago (5 or so, I don't remember the exact timeframe ).Quote: MDawgI think skill based or at least partially skill based machines will be coming to casinos, if they have not already. I don't play machines so I don't know much about this.
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Everyone was scrabbling to get in on it. It's been a big flop so far. Perhaps someday.
The game has since been removed. The problem seems to have been that it was too easy and therefore the average player could do much better on it than on a regular slot machine. To justify keeping it on the floor, the casino would have to make the game more difficult or set the payback percentage lower. But that would increase the frustration level among players with poor reaction times (mainly older players) which is probably bad for business overall.
Very nice.Quote: JackSpadeA couple years ago there was a golf game at mgm grand. I found that it was pretty easy to master - just hit the button at the right time for the optimal golf swing. I played it for a few minutes and won a small amount. I think it boasted of a payback of up to 99%.
Quote: MDawg\
Just curious, why do you mark out the serial numbers on the bills?
Quote: MDawgThe slips that hold the stacks together sometimes have dates and names of casinos on them, and sometimes the initials of the cashier who just handed me the bills, or at least of a cashier who works at that casino, and as long as I am redacting those, might as well be thorough. To keep the jerk offs who are still trying to track me down for nefarious purposes at bay.
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I understood blacking out the money band, just couldn't figure out the serial numbers.
Quote: DRichQuote: MDawgThe slips that hold the stacks together sometimes have dates and names of casinos on them, and sometimes the initials of the cashier who just handed me the bills, or at least of a cashier who works at that casino, and as long as I am redacting those, might as well be thorough. To keep the jerk offs who are still trying to track me down for nefarious purposes at bay.
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I understood blacking out the money band, just couldn't figure out the serial numbers.
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Avoids six degrees of separation.
Let's say two months from now that money winds up on the East Coast and I check his pics against my money and catch a match.
Then I can brag I touched MDawg's money!!!
He wants to avoid that!
I've always been intrigued by the mysterious tiny markings that sometimes appear on $100 bills. Here's a few from my latest stack:Quote: DRichQuote: MDawgThe slips that hold the stacks together sometimes have dates and names of casinos on them, and sometimes the initials of the cashier who just handed me the bills, or at least of a cashier who works at that casino, and as long as I am redacting those, might as well be thorough. To keep the jerk offs who are still trying to track me down for nefarious purposes at bay.
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I understood blacking out the money band, just couldn't figure out the serial numbers.
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Quote: UP84I've always been intrigued by the mysterious tiny markings that sometimes appear on $100 bills. Here's a few from my latest stack:
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I'm guessing (but not certain) that the WU chopmarks are from Western Union.