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billryan
billryan
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May 11th, 2026 at 9:06:50 AM permalink
Twice in three years is an obvious pattern. I remember the days when this was a safe space.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
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May 11th, 2026 at 9:09:53 AM permalink
delted
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
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May 11th, 2026 at 9:10:32 AM permalink
deleted
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
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May 11th, 2026 at 9:11:15 AM permalink
sorry again -

as part of apologizing to MDawg I went back and tried to delete all of my posts

but I hit "quote" instead of "edit" - that's why you see all of these posts

but I went back and hit "edit" and I believe I have now deleted them all the correct way

.
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
MDawg
MDawg
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May 11th, 2026 at 9:27:35 AM permalink
No problem, thank you.

I actually have an unscientific rationale for why I lost so much money that day towards the end of that trip, but I can't post it publicly. Anyone (in real life) I have gone over it with agrees with me.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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May 11th, 2026 at 10:48:15 AM permalink
well I'm sorry I missed all that ha ha
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
MDawg
MDawg
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May 12th, 2026 at 9:50:47 AM permalink
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
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May 13th, 2026 at 10:24:57 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

The last time I attempted to override the ban via a request it was made clear in writing that I was free to visit and stay at the property, enjoy most anything it had to offer, but if I attempted to play, I might be subject to a trespass which would mean a complete 86.

I have no interest in staying in a casino resort where I cannot earn comps.
link to original post



Further to this

Quote: MDawg

Yes, three times, three separate matters.

Twice via letter writing, the one time the letter was not even responded to, the second time there was some response, and once all the way to hearing.

What I learned from the experiences was that unless it involves a non-discretionary matter that getting gaming involved isn't the way to go. The matter that went to hearing I would still send to hearing all the way no regrets there.

Over all what I have learned with regards to casinos in general is that pushing things via letter writing, and formal complaints, is not the way to go unless the matter is non-discretionary or some gaming rule is being violated.

Sometimes all it takes to resolve something is a phone call and a meeting one on one with a higher up.
link to original post


I am still trying to schmooze my way back into the Major that banned me, and I now have an outside person who carries a lot of clout with that casino working on it too.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
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May 19th, 2026 at 9:36:20 AM permalink
We move on with Avalanche tomorrow.

What I like is that the Knights have dispatched each adversary so far with a 5 to 1 win to close the last game of each playoff to a winning 4 to 2. That shows strength.

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
vegas
vegas
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May 19th, 2026 at 6:27:16 PM permalink
Colorado will win the cup this year.
50-50-90 Rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there is a 90% probability you'll get it wrong
MDawg
MDawg
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May 19th, 2026 at 9:27:43 PM permalink
The word on the street is at least that Avalanche will defeat the Knights in the Playoffs, however, we have beaten them before in individual games.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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May 20th, 2026 at 10:16:18 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

The word on the street is at least that Avalanche will defeat the Knights in the Playoffs, however, we have beaten them before in individual games.
link to original post



Somewhere around 28% chance VGK upsets COL.
COL is the best team in the league. VGK has been underwhelming all season…. Until now?
MDawg
MDawg
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May 20th, 2026 at 3:22:11 PM permalink
They had a hard time with both Mammoth and Ducks during regular season too.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
billryan
billryan
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May 20th, 2026 at 4:40:19 PM permalink
The regular season is a warm-up for this Tournament, and the G.K. has a different coach who uses strategies different from those the team used most of the season. It's uphill, but thats what will make the victory sweeter.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
MDawg
MDawg
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May 20th, 2026 at 6:57:57 PM permalink
Already 2 : 0 Knights ahead.

CO looks intently...worried.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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May 21st, 2026 at 6:08:57 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Already 2 : 0 Knights ahead.

CO looks intently...worried.
link to original post



GREAT win for the VGK. Billy does have a point about their success after coaching change.

Prediction. 5-2 Avs next game.
billryan
billryan
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May 21st, 2026 at 8:39:41 AM permalink
A healthy William Karlsson makes the Knights a much stronger team.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
MDawg
MDawg
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May 22nd, 2026 at 7:41:48 PM permalink
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
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May 24th, 2026 at 9:16:21 PM permalink
Avalanche will need to win the next 4 straight to prevail.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
billryan
billryan
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May 24th, 2026 at 10:05:54 PM permalink
Momentum.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
billryan
billryan
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May 24th, 2026 at 10:06:43 PM permalink
Momentum. It's a beautiful thing. I hope a weeklong vacation doesn't slow it down.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
toolyp
toolyp
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May 25th, 2026 at 4:25:58 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Momentum. It's a beautiful thing. I hope a weeklong vacation doesn't slow it down.
link to original post


I see here several posters in a thread with the same topic on gamblingforums. Is that forum gone? it would be ironic since their main thread was entitled “Wizard forum is dying”! A macabre joke! Glad to see all of you from GF alive and kicking. When I try now to access GF al I get is:
“Index of / Name Last modified Size Description”
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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May 25th, 2026 at 4:49:06 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Momentum. It's a beautiful thing. I hope a weeklong vacation doesn't slow it down.
link to original post



Mark Stone was freaking fantastic.
toolyp
toolyp
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May 25th, 2026 at 5:22:45 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: billryan

Momentum. It's a beautiful thing. I hope a weeklong vacation doesn't slow it down.
link to original post



Mark Stone was freaking fantastic.
link to original post


You talkin to me? I get Mark stone was the owner of GF. Past tense. I mean the forum not the man.
DRich
DRich
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May 25th, 2026 at 5:36:38 PM permalink
Quote: toolyp

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: billryan

Momentum. It's a beautiful thing. I hope a weeklong vacation doesn't slow it down.
link to original post



Mark Stone was freaking fantastic.
link to original post


You talkin to me? I get Mark stone was the owner of GF. Past tense. I mean the forum not the man.
link to original post



Am I the only one that has no idea what GF is?
You can't know everything, but you can know anything.
AutomaticMonkey
AutomaticMonkey
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May 25th, 2026 at 5:54:15 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: toolyp

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: billryan

Momentum. It's a beautiful thing. I hope a weeklong vacation doesn't slow it down.
link to original post



Mark Stone was freaking fantastic.
link to original post


You talkin to me? I get Mark stone was the owner of GF. Past tense. I mean the forum not the man.
link to original post



Am I the only one that has no idea what GF is?
link to original post



Golden Frog. Amphibia aurea. A layout for baccarat.
Dieter
Administrator
Dieter
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odiousgambit
May 26th, 2026 at 1:40:24 AM permalink
Quote: DRich


Am I the only one that has no idea what GF is?
link to original post



I don't think you're missing out.
May the cards fall in your favor.
toolyp
toolyp
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May 26th, 2026 at 6:03:28 AM permalink
Quote: AutomaticMonkey

Quote: DRich

Quote: toolyp

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: billryan

Momentum. It's a beautiful thing. I hope a weeklong vacation doesn't slow it down.
link to original post



Mark Stone was freaking fantastic.
link to original post


You talkin to me? I get Mark stone was the owner of GF. Past tense. I mean the forum not the man.
link to original post



Am I the only one that has no idea what GF is?
link to original post



Golden Frog. Amphibia aurea. A layout for baccarat.
link to original post


“Am I the only one that has no idea what GF is?”
Really? Didnt you post in GamblinForums GF (not girl friend)? at least about the “dying wizard forum” wf? The thread went on for over 10 years overthere. Several people here posted in that GF thread.

So I wonder WTF happened to GF?
MDawg
MDawg
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harris
May 26th, 2026 at 8:35:06 AM permalink
If you had said GF.com more people might have know what you were talking about, but around here we don't discuss other forums much, if it all. Part of that is due to a rule against "importing drama" from other forums, another is a general marketing policy of not mentioning rival forums.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
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May 26th, 2026 at 8:41:00 AM permalink
The first side bet that was around in Baccarat, I assume, was the tie bet. Simple enough, pays 8:1 if Bank and Player tie.

There was a variation to this that emerged at one of the Strip Majors for a while, that paid differing amounts based on what numbers tied, with the least paid for ties involved 6:6 and 7:7.

Betting on pairs is a common one that has been around a long time, pays 12:1, and people bet on Bank or Player pairs, or both. It is a separate bet placed on Bank or Player.

Then of course we have the Banker wins with 6
Lucky 6 / Tiger 6 bet.
The one that pays 22:1 is if bet separately and Bank wins with a two card 6, 50:1 for a three card 6 Bank win.

You may also bet Tiger as a single bet, and this pays 12:1 small (2 card Tiger), 20:1 big Tiger (3 card Tiger):
https://www.gaming.nv.gov/siteassets/content/divisions/enforcement/rules-of-play/Tiger_6.pdf

Another one is the "Tiger Pair" which is a single bet that covers Bank and Player together.

Bank or Player any pair, 4:1
Bank and Player any pair, 20:1
Bank and Player identical pair 100:1

The "Player wins on 7" (Lucky 7 / Super Lucky 7) is a new side bet that emerged earlier this year. The Player has to win with 7, but the payoff is the most if the Bank loses with 6, especially if more than four cards are involved. Payoffs up to 100:1 if the Player wins with 7 and Bank loses with 6, and six cards are dealt.
https://www.ggrasia.com/macau-ops-eye-new-side-bet-lucky-7-for-golden-week
Last edited by: MDawg on May 26, 2026
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
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May 26th, 2026 at 8:48:30 AM permalink
As far as the above bets, the Lucky 6 / Tiger 6, became extremely popular, displacing the popularity of betting on the tie, soon after introduced.

Betting it blindly every hand is probably the worst thing someone may do. When I used to play public tables I was on a Bank run for a dozen or so Banks, and bet the Bank only pressing all the way and made a mint, not even betting that big I made about fifty grand and walked, while another player at the table was putting a 1000 on each Bank bet (flat bet) but also 1000 on each Tiger bet (special limits). If either of these had hit, the player would have made a grip, but on this Bank run there were no specials, no Bank 6 wins, so the player actually lost a thousand plus 50 commission paid out on each hand. So by the end of the run the player was in the hole -12600 even though won each hand, plus the loss on the thirteenth hand which came up Player.

As far as the Lucky 7 / Super Lucky 7 bets on Player winning with a 7, the crew likes to say that "these hit more often than Tiger 6," which they actually do, but the house edge is as bad or worse as far as I can see, plus I haven't devised yet a way to count these yet unlike the Tiger 6 bet which I have known how to count since it was introduced.

To the average player, these side bets all seem like a good idea when they hit, especially if someone tends to bet them and doesn't on the very hand where it hits big, and the casinos are "banking" on this FOMO.
Last edited by: MDawg on May 26, 2026
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
AutomaticMonkey
AutomaticMonkey
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May 26th, 2026 at 10:37:27 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

As far as the above bets, the Lucky 6 / Tiger 6, became extremely popular, displacing the popularity of betting on the tie, soon after introduced...



Very popular, but among whom, the casinos or the players?

Those bets are all over the Strip, to the exclusion of almost everything else. But I don't see much action on them. I think typical players recognize how bad they suck.

Meanwhile at the lower-roller off-Strip stores with Golden Frog and 5 Treasures I see cheques all over that layout.
MDawg
MDawg
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May 26th, 2026 at 11:09:08 AM permalink
I may be more insulated from what is going on because I've been playing private / reserved tables for some time now, but whenever I pass by at all of the Majors where I play on the Strip, I see people betting Tiger 6 like there's no tomorrow.

At the casinos where some tables have the Tiger 6 bet and others do not, the tables that have Pairs only versus Tiger 6 are usually emptier.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
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