Beat the house at blackjack!!!!

I would think that it's quite reasonable to have a mature discussion on this website (which I think you've previously stated), rather than a belittling one, about the topic at hand.

Firstly, when ties are removed from the overall BJ game, the house has a winning margin of 4%, not 0.4%.

I admit I could be wrong about the Fibonacci betting strategy, but I'm not convinced that I don't have a decent point. So let's get practical:

Bet amount ($); Winner (P-player, D-dealer); Running total ($);

1. 50 P 50
2. 50 D 0
3. 80 D -80
4. 130 P 50
5. 50 P 100
6. 50 D 50
7. 80 D -30
8. 130 D -160
9. 210 D -370
10. 340 P -30
11. 130 D -160
12. 210 P 50
13. 80 D -30
14. 130 P 100

The bet amounts are taken from the Fibonacci sequence. The play is simplified (I've removed ties and doubling/splitting).

The play shows the dealer winning 8 times, to the player's 6 times. A dealer advantage of 7%. I also haven't added for the player bonuses from doubling and splitting. Yet, the player is up $100!

Actually the dealer advantage from wins losses in the above play is 14%, yet the player is up $100 without bonuses added.

And the normal dealer advantage in BJ is about 8% when ties are excluded, not 0.04%.

Yes it is reasonable that any negative progression strategy, such as the Fibonacci one you've used, can come out ahead even in the long term. However one day there will be a losing streak, the trick is to get out before that happens.
https://www.casinonewsdaily.com/casino-strategies/negative-progression-betting-systems/

Quote: Wellbush

I would think that it's quite reasonable to have a mature discussion on this website (which I think you've previously stated), rather than a belittling one, about the topic at hand.

Firstly, when ties are removed from the overall BJ game, the house has a winning margin of 4%, not 0.4%.

I admit I could be wrong about the Fibonacci betting strategy, but I'm not convinced that I don't have a decent point. So let's get practical:

Bet amount ($); Winner (P-player, D-dealer); Running total ($);

1. 50 P 50
2. 50 D 0
3. 80 D -80
4. 130 P 50
5. 50 P 100
6. 50 D 50
7. 80 D -30
8. 130 D -160
9. 210 D -370
10. 340 P -30
11. 130 D -160
12. 210 P 50
13. 80 D -30
14. 130 P 100

The bet amounts are taken from the Fibonacci sequence. The play is simplified (I've removed ties and doubling/splitting).

The play shows the dealer winning 8 times, to the player's 6 times. A dealer advantage of 7%. I also haven't added for the player bonuses from doubling and splitting. Yet, the player is up $100!

You are wrong about just about everything you are saying and believe. This is not a forum where you can say you can win and you are believed and fawned over. Your audience here is math professionals, odds experts, game protection specialists, Casino GM's, Table Game Directors and successful game inventors.

Your system doesn't work. List the details and some of the people above will disprove it for you beyond a reasonable doubt. If you can't do that, somewhere else will be less frustrating and more pleasant for you.


ZCore13

Quote: OnceDear

Your effort would be better spent gathering up and cashing in all your worldly goods, selling them, mortgaging to the hilt, and with your new-found bulletproof bankroll, take on the casinos, bankrupting them steadily..

A man after my own heart, I don't know how many times I have said something similar. I would upgrade/downgrade you to the 2nd WMOAT, but you seem to be the only MOD so the title is still yours.

Quote: Wellbush

Actually the dealer advantage from wins losses in the above play is 14%, yet the player is up $100 without bonuses added.

And the normal dealer advantage in BJ is about 8% when ties are excluded, not 0.04%.

Based on simulations (10m shoes) using UK rules the House Edge was 0.48% and the
Wins - 45.181%
Loses - 52.452%
Even - 8.808%
BJacks - 4.578%
It adds up to more than 100% due to splits and doubles and reflect the number of units you come out ahead etc. on each hand.

You have to get to a count of over 6 before the number of wins+BJ hands exceed the number of losses. Of course the winning BJs are paying 1.5 so you're getting a 2% advantage.

Quote: lilredrooster

gamblingforums.com

Thank you.

Quote: OnceDear

No need to send the OP to competing sites. What have they done to deserve that?

This site has the knowledge and experience to put these questions to rest. Consider it a public service to humanity.

Betting system players are nearly hopeless. No amount of math will convince them their system won't work. The only thing that does and will convince them is the eventual bankroll ruin they will eventually face.

Quote: Wellbush

I would think that it's quite reasonable to have a mature discussion on this website (which I think you've previously stated), rather than a belittling one, about the topic at hand.

Bet	amount ($)	Winner (P-player, D-dealer)	Running total ($)
1.	50	P	50
2.	50	D	0
3.	80	D	-80
4.	130	P	50
5.	50	P	100
6.	50	D	50
7.	80	D	-30
8.	130	D	-160
9.	210	D	-370
10.	340	P	-30
11.	130	D	-160
12.	210	P	50
13.	80	D	-30
14.	130	P	100

Never let it be said that I'm unhelpful

Quote: Wizard

Betting system players are nearly hopeless. No amount of math will convince them their system won't work. The only thing that does and will convince them is the eventual bankroll ruin they will eventually face.

Hence my earnest advice

Quote:

Your effort would be better spent gathering up and cashing in all your worldly goods, selling them, mortgaging to the hilt, and with your new-found bulletproof bankroll, take on the casinos, bankrupting them steadily.