chaosrevolt
chaosrevolt
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June 9th, 2017 at 12:05:52 PM permalink
Hi, I have been working on a system that involves repeating numbers. To be honest i have tried every single system i could research or conjure up on my own and all have ultimately failed but despite that and every mathematician telling me roulette is impossible to beat and fully understanding the gamblers fallacy there is one thing that i just cant get past.
The problem i have is although i know that mathematically the odds of an outcome remain the same no matter what has happened before, the odds of 18 unique numbers hitting in 18 consecutive spins is not 1/37 and the odds of hitting 37 unique numbers in 37 spins is as near to impossible as it can get.
I am not all that intelligent and my judgement may be distorted from wanting to find a way to beat the casino and make millions but surely if it is almost impossible for 37 numbers to hit in 37 spins. A number that has already hit has odds lower than 1/37 of hitting again in 37 spins simply because not all 37 numbers will hit.
Really my only question is what is the most number of unique numbers anyone has seen consecutively and how often. for example I believe the most unique numbers i have seen is 17 or 18 and i have probably seen that 5 or 6 times in thousands and thousands of spins. the most i have heard of anyone seeing is 20 if anyone has seen more than it would be great if you could comment.
If you are interested the system is an increment betting system. first you need to watch 8 spins and keep your fingers crossed you dont see a repeat. then bet 1 unit on each of the 8 numbers that hit, then 2 units on the 9 numbers hit and so on you do not have to double up every time, but to make it to the 20th spin you will need 8973 units and your average return will only be around 23 units. so your risking a lot for a little. it will take 384 wins to cover your bankroll and also a lot of time as 50% of the time you will see a repeat before the 8th spin. i have tried a lot of systems and on thing i have learnt is you lose. Hopefully this system will see you win more than 384 times before you lose
odiousgambit
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June 9th, 2017 at 12:14:11 PM permalink
Thanks a lot, now they're going to shut down roulette and not let anyone play what with the secret of repeating numbers out in the open.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
OnceDear
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June 9th, 2017 at 12:37:09 PM permalink
Quote: chaosrevolt

Hi, I have been working on a system that involves repeating numbers. To be honest i have tried every single system i could research or conjure up on my own and all have ultimately failed but despite that and every mathematician telling me roulette is impossible to beat and fully understanding the gamblers fallacy there is one thing that i just cant get past.
The problem i have is although i know that mathematically the odds of an outcome remain the same no matter what has happened before, the odds of 18 unique numbers hitting in 18 consecutive spins is not 1/37 and the odds of hitting 37 unique numbers in 37 spins is as near to impossible as it can get.
I am not all that intelligent and my judgement may be distorted from wanting to find a way to beat the casino and make millions but surely if it is almost impossible for 37 numbers to hit in 37 spins. A number that has already hit has odds lower than 1/37 of hitting again in 37 spins simply because not all 37 numbers will hit.
Really my only question is what is the most number of unique numbers anyone has seen consecutively and how often. for example I believe the most unique numbers i have seen is 17 or 18 and i have probably seen that 5 or 6 times in thousands and thousands of spins. the most i have heard of anyone seeing is 20 if anyone has seen more than it would be great if you could comment.
If you are interested the system is an increment betting system. first you need to watch 8 spins and keep your fingers crossed you dont see a repeat. then bet 1 unit on each of the 8 numbers that hit, then 2 units on the 9 numbers hit and so on you do not have to double up every time, but to make it to the 20th spin you will need 8973 units and your average return will only be around 23 units. so your risking a lot for a little. it will take 384 wins to cover your bankroll and also a lot of time as 50% of the time you will see a repeat before the 8th spin. i have tried a lot of systems and on thing i have learnt is you lose. Hopefully this system will see you win more than 384 times before you lose


Hi New member. Welcome.
Just research the basics. On American roulette, over the lifetime of ANY system, you should expect to lose 2/38 x Total amount staked.
I.E. Your system might be amusing, but it is financially worthless to the EXACT same extent as EVERY OTHER SYSTEM.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
gamerfreak
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June 9th, 2017 at 12:44:38 PM permalink
You mentioned that you understand the gambler's fallacy, then describe the fallacy to a tee.

It's easy to fall into a trap along the lines of "since red has come up 18 times in a row, there must be a higher probability of black coming up next", and that thinking sorta makes sense at face value, but that's why it's called a fallacy. The wheel has no memory, period, point blank. Past events, no matter how improbable, cannot change the probability of future events.

The only way to beat roulette that I'm aware of is by finding a bias wheel (good luck), and kinda sorta maybe but probably not wheel clocking (also...good luck). But you shouldn't waste your time with either. If you want to find a beatable game, try BlackJack or Full Pay DDB/DW video poker.
boymimbo
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June 9th, 2017 at 12:47:02 PM permalink
The odds of seeing different numbers consecutive, starting after the 1st spin, assuming this system only has a 0 wheel

P(n) = Sum (37-n)/37

So the odds of seeing all 37 come out uniquely is 36/37 * 35/37 * 34/37 * 33/37 * 32/37 * ... 1/37 = .00000000000000130399.

Once again, for all readers, previous spins have no effect on future spins. Your system will result in a 2.71% house advantage, so if you are betting 8 units, you will start getting past the point of no return after 6 non-winning spins assuming you increasing by one unit and you start your next run next time you see 8 uniques.


Win 28 units 21.62% (Bet 1 unit on 8 spots) (35 - 7)
Win 46 units 19.06% (Bet 2 units on 9 spots = (70-16) - 8 from the previous)
Win 52 units 16.03% (Bet 3 units on 10 spots = (105 - 27) - 8 - 18 from the previous spins)
Win 44 units 12.87% (Bet 4 units on 11 spots = 140 - 40 - 30 - 18 - 8 from previous spins)
Win 20 units 9.86% (...)
Lose 22 units 7.22% (...)
Lose 238 units 13.33% (I give up!)

Net house advantage = 2.52 units on the progression. Which go figure is 1/37 * the average bet!!!

So unless you think the wheel is truly biased you might as well bet on random numbers.

But whatever floats your boat.
----- You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
QFIT
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June 9th, 2017 at 1:06:31 PM permalink
Suppose you have ten possible numbers with equal odds of appearance and ten rolls. The odds that you will get:

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
or
4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
or
7 2 5 9 4 8 6 3 1 10

are all exactly the same. It may seem that getting ten fours in a row is less likely than 7 2 5 9 4 8 6 3 1 10; but it isn't. The fact that these seem to suggest a pattern to the human brain, which likes to see patterns, does not affect randomness, where there are no patterns. None of these sets suggests what the eleventh roll will be.
"It is impossible to begin to learn that which one thinks one already knows." -Epictetus
chaosrevolt
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June 9th, 2017 at 1:25:06 PM permalink
Thanks for the welcome.
I am aware of the basics. i only ever play european roulette as the odds are slightly better.
I have used lots of different systems and lost however the only reason they dont work is the table limit. if there was no table limit and a gambler had infinite amount f money they would all work. I.E wait for 36 numbers to hit then bet on the remaining one. I tripled my money using that system but the return for effort/time/risk wasnt worth it. i may have just been lucky as i could have put all my money on the first 12 and tripled my money. However the 37th number will eventually hit its a question of when not if. Another system i used had me on average win 33 times to every loss over hundreds of plays but that was only ever enough to break even, a complete waste of time. I am not claiming that the system will be profitable. As with all gambling it is exactly that a gamble. you could lose twice in a row there is nothing to stop that but its simply trying to improve the odds. As i mentioned i have personally never seen more than 18 unique numbers in a row. so if i had played this system from my very first spin i would be a rich man. the simple fact is you dont just have to win but it has to be worth winning. if the system i used to break even had of won 34 times to every loss over the hundreds of spins i would have been +3units but it simply took to long to earn those 3 units to be worth doing. the system i wrote about is untested (by myself) and although i have never seen 20 repeats if (best case) it did happen after 384 spin you would have spent at least a couple of days to win 23 units. i think the casinos are safe.
Wizard
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chaosrevolt
June 9th, 2017 at 1:26:35 PM permalink
All betting systems are equally worthless.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
QFIT
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June 9th, 2017 at 1:27:32 PM permalink
If the player had an infinite amount of money, he could never win because he could never increase his bankroll.
"It is impossible to begin to learn that which one thinks one already knows." -Epictetus
chaosrevolt
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June 9th, 2017 at 1:39:36 PM permalink
Quote: QFIT

Suppose you have ten possible numbers with equal odds of appearance and ten rolls. The odds that you will get:

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
or
4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
or
7 2 5 9 4 8 6 3 1 10

are all exactly the same. It may seem that getting ten fours in a row is less likely than 7 2 5 9 4 8 6 3 1 10; but it isn't. The fact that these seem to suggest a pattern to the human brain, which likes to see patterns, does not affect randomness, where there are no patterns. None of these sets suggests what the eleventh roll will be.



Thats my exact point even thou mathematically the odds are the same in reality it doesnt work like that you are much more likely to get a repeat than see all 10 numbers
chaosrevolt
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June 9th, 2017 at 1:44:16 PM permalink
Quote: QFIT

If the player had an infinite amount of money, he could never win because he could never increase his bankroll.



and why would he need to gamble?
OnceDear
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June 9th, 2017 at 1:44:18 PM permalink
Quote: chaosrevolt

Thanks for the welcome.

You're welcome.
Quote:

I am aware of the basics. i only ever play european roulette as the odds are slightly better.

and I bet you know that EVERY SPIN has the same house advantage
Quote:

I have used lots of different systems and lost however the only reason they dont work is the table limit. if there was no table limit and a gambler had infinite amount f money they would all work.

No. Actually: You could never increase your infinite bankroll. DON'T try to argue that, as to do so would reveal you to be an unwanted troll.
Quote:

. . .I tripled my money using that system but the return for effort/time/risk wasnt worth it. i may have just been lucky


Yes. you had perfectly ordinary luck. The probability of that success was almost 33%
See https://wizardofvegas.com/member/oncedear/blog/2/#post1370
Quote:

Another system . . . a complete waste of time.

They all are. EXACTLY EVENLY WORTHLESS.
Quote:

. . . but its simply trying to improve the odds.

What part of 'The house edge is a constant don't you understand? The odds. What odds? The odds of winning per session, which can be increased vastly and easily. Or the odds of increasing your bankroll by exactly 100%. You can't alter those one jot.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
Ibeatyouraces
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June 9th, 2017 at 1:44:43 PM permalink
This....

1 1 3 5 5 7 2 2 9 10

is just as likely as...

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
OnceDear
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June 9th, 2017 at 1:50:52 PM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

This....

1 1 3 5 5 7 2 2 9 10

is just as likely as...

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

And even more so,
This....

0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,1,3,5,5,7,2,2,9,10

is just as likely as...

[Insert any conceivable 20 spins]
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
chaosrevolt
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June 9th, 2017 at 1:59:32 PM permalink
as i said im not that intelligent. i would bet everything even my lungs and my kidneys u cant get 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 to come out which means a repeat must be more likely whatever anyone says.
Ibeatyouraces
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June 9th, 2017 at 2:03:38 PM permalink
Quote: chaosrevolt

as i said im not that intelligent. i would bet everything even my lungs and my kidneys u cant get 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 to come out which means a repeat must be more likely whatever anyone says.


Probably because there are more combinations of ten numbers where you'll see the same number at least twice. It doesn't change the fact that you cannot predict these outcomes.
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
QFIT
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June 9th, 2017 at 2:04:53 PM permalink
Quote: chaosrevolt

Thats my exact point even thou mathematically the odds are the same in reality it doesnt work like that you are much more likely to get a repeat than see all 10 numbers



And each of the about 2,756 (assuming my abacus is working and that last glass of wine hasn't hit yet) sets with a repeat would be exactly as likely as a set with no repeats. The point is that any set, whether there exist repeats or not, is exactly as likely. 1 2 3 4 5 9 9 9 9 9 is exactly as likely as 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10.

(Wish I'd picked a smaller number.:))
"It is impossible to begin to learn that which one thinks one already knows." -Epictetus
chaosrevolt
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June 9th, 2017 at 2:13:00 PM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

Probably because there are more combinations of ten numbers where you'll see the same number at least twice. It doesn't change the fact that you cannot predict these outcomes.



you just bet on ones that come out one will repeat because as u say there are more combinations where 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 doesnt occur. this improves your odds surely and if you double up everytime u will win???
Ibeatyouraces
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June 9th, 2017 at 2:15:32 PM permalink
Use the numbers (1, 2, 3) and here are the combos:

1 1 1
1 1 2
1 1 3
1 2 1
1 2 2
1 2 3
1 3 1
1 3 2
1 3 3
2 1 1
2 1 2
2 1 3
2 2 1
2 2 2
2 2 3
2 3 1
2 3 2
2 3 3
3 1 1
3 1 2
3 1 3
3 2 1
3 2 2
3 2 3
3 3 1
3 3 2
3 3 3

As you see, there are 27 possible ways these numbers come out and only 6 don't have a repeater. Therefore 21 DO repeat. The point is, each of these 27 combos are equally likely and you cannot predict which one will show up.
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
odiousgambit
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June 9th, 2017 at 2:20:12 PM permalink
you are displaying "invincible ignorance" which you can look up with google or wikipedia - it suggests trolling so I would take a breath and go back and read and defeat my ignorance if you are for real

I've been hard on you so let me give you this: you need to think about how common your approach is. One billion gamblers before you have tried to find some angle in the same way you are trying. You have to realize no one has found success and ask why.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
chaosrevolt
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June 9th, 2017 at 2:20:27 PM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

Use the numbers (1, 2, 3) and here are the combos:

1 1 1
1 1 2
1 1 3
1 2 1
1 2 2
1 2 3
1 3 1
1 3 2
1 3 3
2 1 1
2 1 2
2 1 3
2 2 1
2 2 2
2 2 3
2 3 1
2 3 2
2 3 3
3 1 1
3 1 2
3 1 3
3 2 1
3 2 2
3 2 3
3 3 1
3 3 2
3 3 3

As you see, there are 27 possible ways these numbers come out and only 6 don't have a repeater. Therefore 21 DO repeat. The point is, each of these 27 combos are equally likely and you cannot predict which one will show up.



im not saying you can predict anything im saying your odds will improve in this case 1/9 that there wont be a repeat as opposed to 1/3. i could be completly wrong. has anyone ever seen more than 20 numbers without repeat?
OnceDear
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June 9th, 2017 at 2:25:46 PM permalink
Oh to hell with this nonsense!!!!
Go away and calculate exactly the house edge on your proposition.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
Ibeatyouraces
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June 9th, 2017 at 2:25:58 PM permalink
Quote: chaosrevolt

im not saying you can predict anything im saying your odds will improve in this case 1/9 that there wont be a repeat as opposed to 1/3. i could be completly wrong. has anyone ever seen more than 20 numbers without repeat?


The past doesn't predict the future. Whether you do or don't see one, it won't help you.
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
chaosrevolt
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June 9th, 2017 at 2:33:22 PM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

you are displaying "invincible ignorance" which you can look up with google or wikipedia - it suggests trolling so I would take a breath and go back and read and defeat my ignorance if you are for real

I've been hard on you so let me give you this: you need to think about how common your approach is. One billion gamblers before you have tried to find some angle in the same way you are trying. You have to realize no one has found success and ask why.



"invicible ignorance" i like that. im not trying to be anything. im not trying to prove a point and im telling anyone how it is or what they should do. i am fully aware no one has ever beat roulette and that it is impossible to beat the casino. no matter how much "invincible ignorance" i choose to display but is this or is this not a forum about betting systems. Try the syste you might win you will probably lose. i dont have much else to do other than write on here and endlessly spin a roulette wheel. looking for things that might increase your chance of winning. i know its a crappy life. i didnt force u to read this so please dont call me a troll. if a man had infinite money he would always win but would he really need to? without being offensive i am actually intrested to know how he couldnt increase his bankroll if that was the case
chaosrevolt
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June 9th, 2017 at 2:37:31 PM permalink
Quote: OnceDear

Oh to hell with this nonsense!!!!
Go away and calculate exactly the house edge on your proposition.



i know why they have the zero and only pay 1/35. i know what that is. the odds are against u without doubt. i was simply asking a question not one person has giving me an answer
boymimbo
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June 9th, 2017 at 2:48:50 PM permalink
Has someone seen 20 unique numbers in a row? Who knows? Who cares? The odds of it happening is 0.076892% immediately after seeing a repeat. Certainly not unheard of.

But most of us on the forum realize that no matter what happens even if they see 1-2-3-4-5-1-2-3-4-5-1-2-3-4-5-1-2-3-4-5 it's an unusual pattern but just as likely as 11, 36, 5, 16, 18, 35, 14, 18, 1, 29, 5, 19. 0, 20, 32, 34, 24,10, 35.

So, none of has seen it. Doesn't mean that it doesn't happen, because no one is looking for it.
----- You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
mustangsally
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chaosrevolt
June 9th, 2017 at 2:59:30 PM permalink
Quote: chaosrevolt

<snip>
Really my only question is what is the most number of unique numbers anyone has seen consecutively and how often.

25
and 2 times over thousands of spins.
was a big loser betting against it (not by me of course)
also seen 20 and 21 more than 2 (can't recall how many)

I think this was posted B4 using BruceZ R code
unique prob up to 20 spins for 37 slot wheel
(Hi BruceZ)

> draw.unique = function(u,d,n,digits=10) {
+ require(Rmpfr)
+ ulen = length(u)
+ umax = u[ulen]
+ bits = ceiling(lchoose(umax,umax%/%2)/log(2)+ d*log2(n))
+ p = rep(0,ulen)
+ for (i in 1:ulen) {
+ j = 0:(u-1)
+ a = chooseZ(u,j)
+ b = mpfr(u-j,bits)
+ N = mpfr(n,bits)
+ p = as.double(choose(n,u)/N^d * sum((-1)^j * a*b^d))
+ }
+ p = as.matrix(p)
+ rownames(p) = paste("u=",u," ",sep="")
+ colnames(p) = "Prob"
+ cat("\n")
+ print(formatC(p,digits),quote=FALSE)
+ }
> draw.unique(1:1,1,37)
Prob
u=1 1
> draw.unique(1:2,2,37)
Prob
u=1 0.02702331543
u=2 0.9729003906
> draw.unique(1:3,3,37)
Prob
u=1 0.000730458647
u=2 0.0788898468
u=3 0.9203796387
> draw.unique(1:4,4,37)
Prob
u=1 1.974216684e-05
u=2 0.004975026299
u=3 0.149250783
u=4 0.8457544148
> draw.unique(1:5,5,37)
Prob
u=1 5.335720887e-07
u=2 0.0002881289281
u=3 0.0168075208
u=4 0.2285822829
u=5 0.7543215336
> draw.unique(1:6,6,37)
Prob
u=1 1.442086727e-08
u=2 1.609368788e-05
u=3 0.001635326349
u=4 0.04015634701
u=5 0.3058060272
u=6 0.6523861913
> draw.unique(1:7,7,37)
Prob
u=1 3.897531695e-10
u=2 8.839601884e-07
u=3 0.0001478177871
u=4 0.005843959024
u=5 0.07714025911
u=6 0.3702732437
u=7 0.546593836
> draw.unique(1:8,8,37)
Prob
u=1 1.053386945e-11
u=2 4.816085111e-08
u=3 1.282140454e-05
u=4 0.000767611915
u=5 0.01563653901
u=6 0.1267602096
u=7 0.4136385786
u=8 0.4431841913
> draw.unique(1:9,9,37)
Prob
u=1 2.846991742e-13
u=2 2.613538419e-09
u=3 1.085130903e-06
u=4 9.476690309e-05
u=5 0.002797672655
u=6 0.03407920286
u=7 0.1844604472
u=8 0.4312062402
u=9 0.3473605824
> draw.unique(1:10,10,37)
Prob
u=1 7.694572276e-15
u=2 1.415493516e-10
u=3 9.045585277e-08
u=4 1.124221792e-05
u=5 0.0004625857048
u=6 0.007945966003
u=7 0.06345076808
u=8 0.2427963064
u=9 0.4224655732
u=10 0.2628674678
> draw.unique(1:11,11,37)
Prob
u=1 2.079614129e-16
u=2 7.658802913e-12
u=3 7.468156368e-09
u=4 1.298496505e-06
u=5 7.253842474e-05
u=6 0.001688609151
u=7 0.01866163034
u=8 0.1039430674
u=9 0.2930617039
u=10 0.3907489386
u=11 0.1918222062
> draw.unique(1:12,12,37)
Prob
u=1 5.620578726e-18
u=2 4.141916875e-13
u=3 6.127710055e-10
u=4 1.472406307e-07
u=5 1.096060833e-05
u=6 0.0003365644458
u=7 0.004945359353
u=8 0.03760522836
u=9 0.15275417
u=10 0.3273842458
u=11 0.3421693408
u=12 0.1347939827
> draw.unique(1:13,13,37)
Prob
u=1 1.519075331e-19
u=2 2.239420854e-14
u=3 5.007593853e-11
u=4 1.648099289e-08
u=5 1.612486013e-06
u=6 6.405746328e-05
u=7 0.001217594954
u=8 0.01214061101
u=9 0.06663078791
u=10 0.2040799789
u=11 0.3406280375
u=12 0.2841602879
u=13 0.09107701537
> draw.unique(1:14,14,37)
Prob
u=1 4.105609004e-21
u=2 1.210645561e-15
u=3 4.081394943e-12
u=4 1.827744688e-09
u=5 2.326027792e-07
u=6 1.178227925e-05
u=7 0.0002840255686
u=8 0.003612236128
u=9 0.02572310299
u=10 0.10558005
u=11 0.2501910227
u=12 0.3315203359
u=13 0.224000227
u=14 0.05907698294
> draw.unique(1:15,15,37)
Prob
u=1 1.109624055e-22
u=2 6.544429522e-17
u=3 3.320691196e-13
u=4 2.013444914e-10
u=5 3.306295867e-08
u=6 2.111809849e-06
u=7 6.36062064e-05
u=8 0.001011315029
u=9 0.009088183097
u=10 0.04800128064
u=11 0.1514260162
u=12 0.2833300168
u=13 0.3027030094
u=14 0.1676508975
u=15 0.03672352994
> draw.unique(1:16,16,37)
Prob
u=1 2.998983933e-24
u=2 3.537637435e-18
u=3 2.698642997e-14
u=4 2.207211664e-11
u=5 4.647544907e-09
u=6 3.710506425e-07
u=7 1.380296081e-05
u=8 0.0002702353088
u=9 0.003003291452
u=10 0.01985086306
u=11 0.08004650691
u=12 0.1982982871
u=13 0.297794312
u=14 0.2597833728
u=15 0.1191033403
u=16 0.02183561239
> draw.unique(1:17,17,37)
Prob
u=1 8.10536198e-26
u=2 1.912265631e-19
u=3 2.191435331e-15
u=4 2.410973113e-12
u=5 6.477325509e-10
u=6 6.418987275e-08
u=7 2.922251233e-06
u=8 6.962084581e-05
u=9 0.000942336406
u=10 0.007637859222
u=11 0.0382833751
u=12 0.1205618547
u=13 0.2386157631
u=14 0.2914602894
u=15 0.2097720994
u=16 0.08026062934
u=17 0.01239318541
> draw.unique(1:18,18,37)
Prob
u=1 2.190638373e-27
u=2 1.033664984e-20
u=3 1.778648357e-16
u=4 2.626594933e-13
u=5 8.968175317e-11
u=6 1.096936968e-08
u=7 6.066390456e-07
u=8 1.742254874e-05
u=9 0.0002837846536
u=10 0.002777405719
u=11 0.01695511689
u=12 0.06600297323
u=13 0.1652986835
u=14 0.2650600639
u=15 0.2662207607
u=16 0.1594366556
u=17 0.05124749644
u=18 0.006699019142
> draw.unique(1:19,19,37)
Prob
u=1 5.920644251e-29
u=2 5.587399606e-22
u=3 1.443125108e-17
u=4 2.855906426e-14
u=5 1.235341971e-11
u=6 1.856379302e-09
u=7 1.239601021e-07
u=8 4.258907062e-06
u=9 8.26842107e-05
u=10 0.0009654061483
u=11 0.007067465952
u=12 0.03332077616
u=13 0.1026745193
u=14 0.2075137648
u=15 0.2726944022
u=16 0.2272390061
u=17 0.1140372218
u=18 0.03096033171
u=19 0.003440036857
> draw.unique(1:20,20,37)
Prob
u=1 1.600174122e-30
u=2 3.020221764e-23
u=3 1.170629977e-18
u=4 3.100727556e-15
u=5 1.694852639e-12
u=6 3.117185201e-10
u=7 2.500725604e-08
u=8 1.021352961e-06
u=9 2.345043787e-05
u=10 0.0003234924157
u=11 0.002805624094
u=12 0.01577306564
u=13 0.05858886907
u=14 0.14511841
u=15 0.2395468277
u=16 0.2604081337
u=17 0.1813689702
u=18 0.07670352451
u=19 0.01766505413
u=20 0.001673531444

I Heart Vi Hart
michael99000
michael99000
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June 9th, 2017 at 3:08:04 PM permalink
At Sands in Bethlehem Pa I was playing at a wheel where the number 5 came out six spins in a row. i would think that's even less likely than 20 straight unique numbers. It was a 0/00 wheel. Even more ironic , prior to the first #5 spin I was having a discussion with the dealer about what the most consecutive times he'd ever spun the same number. The answer was four

Side note , I heard a rumor that after much complaining about and boycotting of their high limit room wheel after it went to a 00 last year , they are putting the single zero back as of tomorrow. I look forward to losing only half as much now.
QFIT
QFIT
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June 9th, 2017 at 3:12:00 PM permalink
Old story. BJ dealer once told me he dealt himself six BJs in a row with a high bettor at the table. The player picked up his chair and smashed against the table. Dealer said he didn't blame him.
"It is impossible to begin to learn that which one thinks one already knows." -Epictetus
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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Joined: Jan 12, 2010
June 9th, 2017 at 3:15:28 PM permalink
Quote: QFIT

Old story. BJ dealer once told me he dealt himself six BJs in a row with a high bettor at the table. The player picked up his chair and smashed against the table. Dealer said he didn't blame him.


I've had a dealer get 7 in a row. Yes it was a super high count and some aces up, so insurance was warranted and won.
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
ThatDonGuy
ThatDonGuy
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Joined: Jun 22, 2011
June 9th, 2017 at 6:55:20 PM permalink
Quote: chaosrevolt

I have used lots of different systems and lost however the only reason they dont work is the table limit. if there was no table limit and a gambler had infinite amount f money they would all work.


Ever read John Scarne's Complete Guide to Gambling? Scarne tells a story of a Curacao casino that asked for his help when it was losing money on roulette. Scarne's solution: reduce the maximum/minimum table limits to prevent a Martingale-type system from winning too many times. Keeping too many people from short-term wins using systems like this is one of the reasons the limits exist. You are right that every system works with "infinite time and budget," but you have neither of those.

If "25 different numbers in a row" "never" happens, then here's a guaranteed can't-miss sure-fire system:
(a) Wait until 24 different numbers in a row show up
(b) Bet on all 24 of those numbers
(c) One of them will win (otherwise that's "25 different numbers in a row") - profit!
(d) What if one of the other 13-14 numbers shows up? Don't look at me; I'm not the one who claimed that 25 different numbers in a row "never" happens.

Remember, on a double-zero wheel, the probability of N different numbers coming up in consecutive spins is only (39-N) / (N-1) times the probability of the same N spins having (N - 1) different numbers coming up followed by one of those (N - 1) numbers coming up again. (It is (38-N) / (N-1) times as likely on a single-zero wheel.)
Calder
Calder
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June 9th, 2017 at 7:09:41 PM permalink
Quote: chaosrevolt

i would bet everything even my lungs and my kidneys u cant get 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 to come out which means a repeat must be more likely whatever anyone says.



Good thing you have two of each.

Looks like you've got it figured, but:

Your bet is not on the next number in a sequence, your bet is on the next spin.

And that's 1 in 38 every time, aina?
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
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Joined: Oct 10, 2012
June 9th, 2017 at 7:25:39 PM permalink
There is a guy named TurboGenius on various roulette forums who preaches this exact type of system and claims to be making money.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
gamerfreak
gamerfreak
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Joined: Dec 28, 2014
June 9th, 2017 at 7:34:09 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

There is a guy named TurboGenius on various roulette forums who preaches this exact type of system and claims to be making money.


I'll sell you a winning lottery system for $20. No refunds.
michael99000
michael99000
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Joined: Jul 10, 2010
June 9th, 2017 at 9:35:22 PM permalink
My favorite roulette and bac systems are the ones that start with .. "watch the wheel/board until you see such and such occur and then go ahead and bet so and so " ...
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
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Joined: Oct 10, 2012
June 9th, 2017 at 10:12:00 PM permalink
Quote: gamerfreak

I'll sell you a winning lottery system for $20. No refunds.

Perhaps you think I believe in such nonsense?

I was merely pointing out that there is someone else out there with the same ridiculous beliefs.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
QFIT
QFIT
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Joined: Feb 12, 2010
June 10th, 2017 at 3:33:43 AM permalink
Quote: ThatDonGuy

Ever read John Scarne's Complete Guide to Gambling? Scarne tells a story of a Curacao casino that asked for his help when it was losing money on roulette. Scarne's solution: reduce the maximum/minimum table limits to prevent a Martingale-type system from winning too many times. Keeping too many people from short-term wins using systems like this is one of the reasons the limits exist. You are right that every system works with "infinite time and budget," but you have neither of those.



Scarne's book is interesting for history and rules. But, he really had little understanding of the math. His BJ chapter was modified after his death to remove some of the embarrassing stuff. There are many reasons that casinos assign different limit ranges to different tables:

· Chip trays have a fixed amount of space. It makes no sense to populate every tray with every size chip.
· High-limit players often do not like to play with low-limit players and low-limit players often do not like to play with high-limit players. So, they are segregated to a degree.
· The high-limit tables are watched more carefully.
· High-limit tables are less likely to be manned by less experienced dealers.
· Winning-hand payoffs are slower if players are betting many different chip sizes.
· High-limit tables are kept less crowded to provide more comfort to higher-limit players and to speed the play of larger bettors. Speed is just as important to the casino as it is to the advantage player. Some high-limit tables are often kept in separate areas or even on a separate floor.
· The limits also prevent ridiculously large bet changes, which could be of value to an advantage player.

Table limits are NOT there to prevent Martingale, which will lose even with no table limits.
"It is impossible to begin to learn that which one thinks one already knows." -Epictetus
prozema
prozema
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June 10th, 2017 at 5:20:02 AM permalink
I wish casinos would put a roulette style board up at the blackjack tables. If they just let everyone know how many 10s and aces were left in each shoe relative to the total remaining cards that would be useful. But casinos don't do that... Why you might ask? Well, it's because that information would be useful.

While I'm wishing... What if casinos made dealers that expose hole cards wear a hat... That would be useful to.

My grandma used to tell me that I should wish in one hand and poop in the other and see which hand fills up first.
FleaStiff
FleaStiff
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June 10th, 2017 at 5:26:56 AM permalink
Quote: chaosrevolt

Hi, I have been working on a system that involves repeating numbers. To be honest i have tried every single system i could research or conjure up on my own and all have ultimately failed

And all will ultimately fail.

Quote:

but despite that and every mathematician telling me roulette is impossible to beat

Impossible to beat legally.

Quote:

A number that has already hit has odds

that are totally unrelated to the fact that it already hit. Totally, completely unrelated to that fact. The wheel does not know that number already hit; the little white ball doesn't know it already hit and neither of them have a desire for the natural order of the universe to prevail.

Quote:

as 50% of the time you will see a repeat before the 8th spin.

No, 48.7 percent of the time you will see that.
QFIT
QFIT
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June 10th, 2017 at 5:30:00 AM permalink
Quote: FleaStiff


Impossible to beat legally.



More accurately, impossible to beat legally with a pure betting strategy.
Last edited by: QFIT on Jun 10, 2017
"It is impossible to begin to learn that which one thinks one already knows." -Epictetus
FleaStiff
FleaStiff
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June 10th, 2017 at 5:39:39 AM permalink
Quote: QFIT

High-limit tables are less likely to be manned by less experienced dealers.

That is the key. That casino which allowed a visiting Englilshman (Irishman?) to bet his entire life's savings on one spin of the roulette wheel actually called in their most experienced croupier despite the fact that it was his day off. The casino execs are no fools. They watch their employees closely.
FleaStiff
FleaStiff
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June 10th, 2017 at 5:46:59 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

There is a guy named TurboGenius on various roulette forums who preaches this exact type of system and claims to be making money.

I've not seen any of those posts but I would assume that somewhere someone is selling seminars on any system that is touted on those forums/fora/whatever.

Years ago there was a guy twittering about his table games winnings: visit different casinos and played different table games. Heavily into the plus column on twitter. Then someone followed him: he spent the day playing low stakes poker and then went home and twittered his craps, roulette and black jack winnings.
gamerfreak
gamerfreak
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June 10th, 2017 at 7:43:33 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Perhaps you think I believe in such nonsense?

I was merely pointing out that there is someone else out there with the same ridiculous beliefs.


lol it was a joke, I guess too subtle
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