CrapsGenious
CrapsGenious
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January 4th, 2014 at 6:33:55 AM permalink
Thought I'd post this is betting systems section because it worked repeatedly for a craps enthusiast the other night.

$5.00 craps table
1) Start by placing $5/4 or 10 (Bet pays $9.00 if it comes in)
2) Drop $2.00 and ask the dealer to place 5 & 6 for $5/5, $6/6.
3) Sit back and collect $7 and $9 profits from 3 numbers from your $7.00 investment.

$10.00 craps table
1) Start by placing $10/4 or 10 (Bet pays $18.00 if it comes in)
2) Drop $4.00 and ask the dealer to place 5 & 6 for $10/5, $12/6.
3) Sit back and collect $14 and $18 profits from 3 numbers from your $14.00 investment.

$25.00 craps table
1) Start by Buying 4 or 10/$25 (Bet pays $50.00 if it comes in)
2) Drop $6.00 and ask the dealer to place 5 & 6 for $25/5, $30/6.
3) Sit back and collect $35 and $50 profits from 3 numbers from your $32.00 investment.

*Bet both 4 & 10 if you feel lucky.
8 more years till retirement.
speedycrap
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January 4th, 2014 at 6:41:20 AM permalink
SIGH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
What a CRAP GENIOUS.
DeMango
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January 4th, 2014 at 6:42:43 AM permalink
Hoover Dam! Why didn't we think of it? Sheer genius!
When a rock is thrown into a pack of dogs, the one that yells the loudest is the one who got hit.
Ibeatyouraces
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January 4th, 2014 at 6:54:51 AM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
CrapsGenious
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January 4th, 2014 at 6:59:32 AM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

Normally I block these threads, but I enjoy watching train wrecks :-)



Oh come on, I know you're loving this. Hey the enthusiast made a couple hundred just in the same time I lost $500. so it's got to be worth the post gosh darn it.
8 more years till retirement.
Dicenor33
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January 4th, 2014 at 7:05:15 AM permalink
I'll go for 9 if it comes to a single number. Roughly it's 2:1,but you see it more often than 4.
odiousgambit
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January 4th, 2014 at 7:18:23 AM permalink
Quote: CrapsGenious

Oh come on, I know you're loving this. Hey the enthusiast made a couple hundred just in the same time I lost $500. so it's got to be worth the post gosh darn it.



You're hard to figure out. I mean, this last one was pretty much "Try Place Bets!"
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
Mission146
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January 4th, 2014 at 8:04:38 AM permalink
It doesn't work.

I mean, I didn't actually read the OP, but it doesn't work.

That concludes my analysis, thank you.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Beethoven9th
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January 4th, 2014 at 8:39:20 AM permalink
Quote: CrapsGenious

Thought I'd post this is betting systems section because it worked repeatedly for a craps enthusiast the other night.

[rubbish snipped]

*Bet both 4 & 10 if you feel lucky.


I've got an awesome craps system too:

1) Bet $5 on the 4 or 10
2) If the shooter throws a 7, repeat Step 1
3) If not, sit back and collect $5 when the 4/10 hits

I'm a "genious", huh?
Fighting BS one post at a time!
DJTeddyBear
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January 4th, 2014 at 8:56:46 AM permalink
Quote: Dicenor33

I'll go for 9 if it comes to a single number. Roughly it's 2:1,but you see it more often than 4.


7:5 is roughly 2:1 ?

That's some pretty liberal rough rounding there!
I invented a few casino games. Info: http://www.DaveMillerGaming.com/ ————————————————————————————————————— Superstitions are silly, childish, irrational rituals, born out of fear of the unknown. But how much does it cost to knock on wood? 😁
Ibeatyouraces
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January 4th, 2014 at 9:00:39 AM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
CrapsGenious
CrapsGenious
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January 4th, 2014 at 9:01:10 AM permalink
Quote: Dicenor33

I'll go for 9 if it comes to a single number. Roughly it's 2:1,but you see it more often than 4.



5 or 9 pays 3:2 or 7 for every 5 you have to win a couple times to place the other numbers.
8 more years till retirement.
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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January 4th, 2014 at 9:04:18 AM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
CrapsGenious
CrapsGenious
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January 4th, 2014 at 9:05:41 AM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

3:2 = 7.5:5, not 7:5



sorry thinking of Come bet w/Odds on the 5 & 9
8 more years till retirement.
Beethoven9th
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January 4th, 2014 at 9:19:39 AM permalink
Quote: CrapsGenious

5 or 9 pays 3:2 or 7 for every 5


This comment is pure "genious".
Fighting BS one post at a time!
CrapsGenious
CrapsGenious
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January 4th, 2014 at 10:14:41 AM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

Maybe he's related to the guy that thought 6:5 was "whopping!"

But it is "whopping when they roll more than 5 in a row. That takes you to max bet from $30 - 480
8 more years till retirement.
Johnzimbo
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January 4th, 2014 at 10:20:21 AM permalink
but....do you have a system for baccarat?
7craps
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January 4th, 2014 at 11:05:49 AM permalink
Quote: CrapsGenious

But it is "whopping when they roll more than 5 in a row.
That takes you to max bet from $30 - 480

and how often does that happen?
If this is the place6

But that was not in the first post you made in this thread.
$30 bet stays at $30 at the $25 table
"3) Sit back and collect $35 "

you have another system to share?

The system for the $25 table (I would rather place the 8 than the 5)
still can turn a $500 bankroll into $700 about 64% of every session played before ruin.
(65% for placing the 8 instead of the 5)

why chance ruining that good probability pressing your bets up?
winsome johnny (not Win some johnny)
Buzzard
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January 4th, 2014 at 11:50:09 AM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

Maybe he's related to the guy that thought 6:5 was "whopping!"



Hey, I am not a math genius, but both number in 6/5 are bigger than 3/2. Sounds whopping to me.
Shed not for her the bitter tear Nor give the heart to vain regret Tis but the casket that lies here, The gem that filled it Sparkles yet
AxiomOfChoice
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January 4th, 2014 at 1:58:10 PM permalink
Quote: Dicenor33

I'll go for 9 if it comes to a single number. Roughly it's 2:1,but you see it more often than 4.



That's impressive. You managed to dodge placing the 8 (1.51% house edge) and buying the 10 (1.66% house edge, sometimes 1.33%) and land right in the middle for the biggest sucker bet that's not in the middle of the table (placing the 9 = 4% house edge).
CrapsGenious
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January 4th, 2014 at 2:11:38 PM permalink
Quote: Johnzimbo

but....do you have a system for baccarat?



nope. But if I did I'd bet it all on the bank.
8 more years till retirement.
DeMango
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January 4th, 2014 at 5:31:33 PM permalink
Quote: DJTeddyBear

7:5 is roughly 2:1 ?

That's some pretty liberal rough rounding there!



Another effen genius!

edit: Whoops, Beethoven beat me to it.
When a rock is thrown into a pack of dogs, the one that yells the loudest is the one who got hit.
Dicenor33
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January 4th, 2014 at 5:59:17 PM permalink
Here is my logic. I have 500 in front of me. I can bet 100 on inside plus triple odds, or 100 on a single 9. What's better. Let say shooter 7 out 3 times in a row, on a fourth and fifth roll he pounded some numbers and 9 was among them. At best, with the spread he is lucky to recoup last $200, while hitting 9 couple times leaves him with the total loss of couple hundreds. I call it, craps phenomena, but 5 or 9 can show up a lot in a single roll.
michael99000
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January 4th, 2014 at 6:05:50 PM permalink
Upon reading this I decided to short MGM Grand common stock immediately. No way in hell they reach profit goals this quarter once this thread goes viral.

P.s. What's the difference between a craps enthusiast and a plain old craps player?
AxiomOfChoice
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January 4th, 2014 at 6:23:54 PM permalink
Quote: Dicenor33

Here is my logic. I have 500 in front of me. I can bet 100 on inside plus triple odds, or 100 on a single 9. What's better. Let say shooter 7 out 3 times in a row, on a fourth and fifth roll he pounded some numbers and 9 was among them. At best, with the spread he is lucky to recoup last $200, while hitting 9 couple times leaves him with the total loss of couple hundreds. I call it, craps phenomena, but 5 or 9 can show up a lot in a single roll.



I am in the wrong business. I need to open a casino.
mcallister3200
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January 4th, 2014 at 6:36:42 PM permalink
Quote: Dicenor33

Here is my logic. I have 500 in front of me. I can bet 100 on inside plus triple odds, or 100 on a single 9. What's better. Let say shooter 7 out 3 times in a row, on a fourth and fifth roll he pounded some numbers and 9 was among them. At best, with the spread he is lucky to recoup last $200, while hitting 9 couple times leaves him with the total loss of couple hundreds. I call it, craps phenomena, but 5 or 9 can show up a lot in a single roll.

quadruple face palm?
Dicenor33
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January 4th, 2014 at 6:36:54 PM permalink
Problem with 6 and 8 that it's hard to predict which one will show up, so you have to bet them both, thus increasing spread and getting paid 1:1. Craps is the loosing, but if you bet huge amount on a 9 and it shows 3-4 times, that's a hefty profit, tiny wins you accumulate by spread can not even compare.
AxiomOfChoice
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January 4th, 2014 at 6:47:37 PM permalink
Quote: Dicenor33

Problem with 6 and 8 that it's hard to predict which one will show up, so you have to bet them both, thus increasing spread and getting paid 1:1. Craps is the loosing, but if you bet huge amount on a 9 and it shows 3-4 times, that's a hefty profit, tiny wins you accumulate by spread can not even compare.



Good point. Luckily for you there is no number that comes up just as often as the 9.
Dicenor33
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January 4th, 2014 at 6:57:59 PM permalink
Let say you have 10k. No matter what you do, you gonna loose it. Instead, you bet 2.5 k on a 9 alone, let say you got lucky and you hit your number 3 times and that's 10k plus, you have 4 chances. At least you aim to hit big, better than slowly drain yourself
AxiomOfChoice
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January 4th, 2014 at 7:07:30 PM permalink
Quote: Dicenor33

Let say you have 10k. No matter what you do, you gonna loose it. Instead, you bet 2.5 k on a 9 alone, let say you got lucky and you hit your number 3 times and that's 10k plus, you have 4 chances. At least you aim to hit big, better than slowly drain yourself



I understand that you want some variance so you have a chance to win. But why you chose to place the 9 at a 4% house edge rather than buy the 10 at a 1.66% edge is beyond me

Buying the 10 is more variance with lower edge. What more could you want?

With your $10k example, if you really want to "aim big" you would do much better putting $2k at a time on the 4 or 10 (buying, not placing, of course). It pays $3900 after commission. Your money will last almost 2.5x as long on average, and if you hit it a few times you will make more money.
corvetteracing
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January 4th, 2014 at 7:30:40 PM permalink
Unfounded. Sorry it is based on one roll. No roll is ever the same it is all random. Try your system on the craps simulator on Wizard of odds. If its true blue it will be same every time. It is called gambling.
7craps
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January 4th, 2014 at 7:33:44 PM permalink
Quote: Dicenor33

Problem with 6 and 8 that it's hard to predict which one will show up, so you have to bet them both, thus increasing spread and getting paid 1:1. Craps is the loosing, but if you bet huge amount on a 9 and it shows 3-4 times, that's a hefty profit, tiny wins you accumulate by spread can not even compare.

I like fewer larger bets also

how about your 5 unit bankroll
$600/$120 bets or
$500/100 bets or $10k/2k bets or $25/$5 bets
same ratios

let us try to double 5u to 10u or go broke trying
No. Sessions simulated = 10,000,000
ruin = $0 or not enough to make a full bet.
(Add about 3% to win goal met where player goes all-in to win to make last bet)
Simulation of Place to Win on 6 or 8
Bankroll was busted . . = 57.495% of the time ( 5749482)
Win goal was met . . . = 42.505% of the time ( 4250518)
Avg. No. games played . = 21.43
Avg. No. games won . . = 9.74
Avg. No. games lost . . = 11.69
Avg. No. dice rolls . . = 70.14

Simulation of Place to Win on 5 or 9
Bankroll was busted . . = 61.588% of the time ( 6158777)
Win goal was met . . . = 38.412% of the time ( 3841223)
Avg. No. games played . = 17.77
Avg. No. games won . . = 7.11
Avg. No. games lost . . = 10.66
Avg. No. dice rolls . . = 63.97

Simulation of Buy bet on 4 or 10
5.00% Commission charged only on a win
Bankroll was busted . . = 61.284% of the time ( 6128378)
Win goal was met . . . = 38.716% of the time ( 3871622)
Avg. No. games played . = 12.68
Avg. No. games won . . = 4.23
Avg. No. games lost . . = 8.45
Avg. No. dice rolls . . = 50.72

I like
Bet big or go home (no be timid)
more fun in winning big


let us try to triple up 5u to 15u or go broke trying
more fun betting and winning big!
No. Sessions simulated = 10,000,000

Simulation of Place to Win on 6 or 8
Bankroll was busted . . = 73.935% of the time ( 7393456)
Win goal was met . . . = 26.065% of the time ( 2606544)
Avg. No. games played . = 40.26
Avg. No. games won . . = 18.30
Avg. No. games lost . . = 21.96
Avg. No. dice rolls . . = 131.77

Simulation of Place to Win on 5 or 9
Bankroll was busted . . = 78.161% of the time ( 7816055)
Win goal was met . . . = 21.839% of the time ( 2183945)
Avg. No. games played . = 32.04
Avg. No. games won . . = 12.82
Avg. No. games lost . . = 19.23
Avg. No. dice rolls . . = 115.35

Simulation of Buy bet on 4 or 10
5.00% Commission charged only on a win
Bankroll was busted . . = 74.580% of the time ( 7457978)
Win goal was met . . . = 25.420% of the time ( 2542022)
Avg. No. games played . = 22.81
Avg. No. games won . . = 7.60
Avg. No. games lost . . = 15.20
Avg. No. dice rolls . . = 91.22


how about play until ruin or 1 million bets
still 5 unit bankroll
ruin = $0 or not enough to make a full bet.
No. Sessions simulated = 1,000,000
Session will not quit at any win goal
Max. Decisions to quit = 1,000,000
All bets are a single unit

Simulation of Place to Win on 6 or 8
Bankroll was busted . . = 100.000% of the time ( 1000000)
Avg. No. games played . = 298.32
Avg. No. games won . . = 135.59
Avg. No. games lost . . = 162.72
Avg. No. dice rolls . . = 976.28
Avg. Total amount bet . = 298.32
Std-dev # games played = 1204.55
Median # games played = 34.15

Simulation of Place to Win on 5 or 9
Bankroll was busted . . = 100.000% of the time ( 1000000)
Avg. No. games played . = 113.56
Avg. No. games won . . = 45.43
Avg. No. games lost . . = 68.13
Avg. No. dice rolls . . = 408.81
Avg. Total amount bet . = 113.56
Std-dev # games played = 309.90
Median # games played = 24.52

Simulation of Buy bet on 4 or 10
5.00% Commission charged only on a win
Bankroll was busted . . = 100.000% of the time ( 1000000)
Avg. No. games played . = 257.07
Avg. No. games won . . = 85.70
Avg. No. games lost . . = 171.37
Avg. No. dice rolls . . = 1028.32
Avg. Total amount bet . = 269.92
Std-dev # games played = 1257.44
Median # games played = 16.69
winsome johnny (not Win some johnny)
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